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olivLaw · US equity research

Chevron Corporation CVX

Petroleum Refining · SIC 2911 · Vertical: Petroleum Refining (SIC 2911)

216.96USD−3.69% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company active in oil and gas production, refining and petrochemicals. Proved reserves reached 10.6 billion barrels of oil-equivalent at year-end 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 Chevron reported net income of 12.1 billion dollars and a return on capital employed of 21.4 percent.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Chevron Corporation (CVX) stock was 216.96 USD (−3.69% on the day), with market capitalisation 428.7 bn USD, P/E 20.8 on diluted EPS of 10.43 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.22%, beta 0.25, 52-week range 146.75–235.52 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 70.1 bn USD (+56.3% YoY), net income of 12.1 bn USD (+384.8% YoY), diluted EPS 6.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
428.7 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.8
Diluted EPS TTM 10.43 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.81%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
3.22%
DPS 12m 6.98
Beta (2y)
0.25
Volatility (1y) 25%
52-week range
146.75235.52

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
210.79 – 237.78
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.23 · band width 12.0%
SMA 50 / 200
214.38 / 194.20
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
4.13 / 5.33
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.1%−1.1%+6.2 pp—
3 months+16.4%−0.5%+16.8 pp—
6 months+17.2%+4.4%+12.8 pp—
Year to date+42.4%+12.3%+30.0 pp—
1 year+41.4%+13.5%+27.9 pp+89.6%
3 years+47.0%+76.4%−29.4 pp+126.3%
5 years+89.1%+63.7%+25.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.5%
27 Mar 2026 → 01 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−28.9%
15 Nov 2022 → 21 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+13.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
70.1 bn USD
+56.3% YoY
Net income
12.1 bn USD
+384.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
6.11
+321.4% YoY
net / operating
17.2% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue50.7 bn52.2 bn47.6 bn44.8 bn49.7 bn46.9 bn48.6 bn70.1 bn
Cost of revenue30.5 bn30.1 bn28.6 bn26.9 bn27.4 bn25.3 bn28.3 bn36.6 bn
SG&A1.2 bn1.6 bn1.2 bn889.0 m1.5 bn1.5 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn
Depreciation & amortisation4.2 bn5.0 bn4.1 bn4.3 bn5.8 bn5.9 bn5.8 bn6.1 bn
Interest expense164.0 m199.0 m212.0 m274.0 m370.0 m361.0 m345.0 m352.0 m
Pre-tax income6.5 bn6.1 bn5.6 bn4.1 bn5.4 bn4.6 bn3.9 bn16.7 bn
Income tax2.0 bn2.8 bn2.1 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.7 bn4.5 bn
Net income4.5 bn3.2 bn3.5 bn2.5 bn3.5 bn2.8 bn2.2 bn12.1 bn
Diluted EPS2.481.82 ≈2.001.451.821.39 ≈1.116.11
Operating cash flow9.7 bn ≈8.7 bn5.2 bn8.6 bn ≈9.4 bn ≈10.8 bn2.5 bn22.6 bn ≈
Capex4.1 bn ≈4.3 bn3.9 bn3.7 bn ≈4.4 bn ≈5.3 bn4.1 bn4.5 bn ≈
Dividends paid2.9 bn ≈2.9 bn3.0 bn2.9 bn ≈3.4 bn ≈3.4 bn3.5 bn3.5 bn ≈
Share repurchases4.8 bn ≈4.5 bn3.9 bn2.6 bn ≈2.6 bn ≈3.0 bn2.6 bn3.0 bn ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 64 percentile of its own 36-quarter history (min 8.2, median 17.0, max 139.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue166.3 bn146.5 bn94.7 bn162.5 bn246.3 bn200.9 bn202.8 bn189.0 bn
Revenue YoY+17.4%−11.9%−35.4%+71.6%+51.6%−18.4%+0.9%−6.8%
Net income14.8 bn2.9 bn-5.5 bn15.6 bn35.5 bn21.4 bn17.7 bn12.3 bn
Net income YoY+61.2%−80.3%−289.6%unavailable+127.0%−39.7%−17.4%−30.4%
Diluted EPS7.741.54-2.968.1418.2811.369.726.63
Diluted EPS YoY+59.6%−80.1%−292.2%unavailable+124.6%−37.9%−14.4%−31.8%
net %8.9%2.0%-5.9%9.6%14.4%10.6%8.7%6.5%
Free cash flow16.8 bn13.2 bn1.7 bn21.1 bn37.6 bn19.8 bn15.0 bn16.6 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
7.3 bn USD
Financial debt
10.9 bn USD
Net debt
3.6 bn USD
Equity
192.2 bn USD
Total assets
324.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.06x
Current ratio
1.15x
ROE
7.1%
ROA
4.2%
FCF margin
8.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
200.9 bn
2024
202.8 bn
2025
189.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
119.2 bn
2024
119.2 bn
2025
108.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
81.8 bn ≈
2024
83.6 bn ≈
2025
80.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
320.0 m
2024
353.0 m
2025
427.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
17.3 bn
2024
17.3 bn
2025
20.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
469.0 m
2024
594.0 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
29.6 bn
2024
27.5 bn
2025
19.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
8.2 bn
2024
9.8 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
21.4 bn
2024
17.7 bn
2025
12.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
11.36
2024
9.72
2025
6.63

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
6.04
2024
6.52
2025
6.84

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
8.2 bn
2024
8.3 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
17.6 bn
2024
18.3 bn
2025
16.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
8.6 bn
2024
9.1 bn
2025
9.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
41.1 bn
2024
40.9 bn
2025
38.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 May 2023verified

Goodwill
2023
4.7 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
4.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
261.6 bn
2024
256.9 bn
2025
324.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
20.4 bn
2024
22.1 bn
2025
19.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
5.1 bn
2024
12.7 bn
2025
10.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
32.3 bn
2024
38.6 bn
2025
33.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
99.7 bn
2024
103.8 bn
2025
131.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
161.9 bn
2024
153.2 bn
2025
192.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
35.6 bn
2024
31.5 bn
2025
33.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
15.8 bn
2024
16.4 bn
2025
17.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
19.8 bn ≈
2024
15.0 bn ≈
2025
16.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-15.2 bn
2024
-8.9 bn
2025
-15.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-30.1 bn
2024
-23.5 bn
2025
-19.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
11.3 bn
2024
11.8 bn
2025
12.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
14.9 bn
2024
15.2 bn
2025
12.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-30.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-29.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-31.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-28.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
10.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
45.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
12.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
12.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
66.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
51.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-9.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
45.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
18.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
27.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
131.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
30 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
67 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-5 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
428.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
419.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
20.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
15.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 51 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

216.96 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 428.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
428.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
12.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2771derived 237

Score by group

  • Valuation58
  • Returns89
  • Quality80
  • Balance sheet38
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
89.88
USD per share
Mid
103.10
USD per share
High
120.88
USD per share
Price: 216.96 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -52.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -110.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 84.19 – 230.07 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)154.08 – 230.07 (Mid 183.76)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 28.0 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 2.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E84.19 – 112.18 (Mid 86.10)
    4 companies used · median multiple 8.3x · quartiles 8.1x – 10.8x
    COP, MPC, PSX, VLO
  • Dividend discount (DDM)89.88 – 120.88 (Mid 103.10)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Petroleum Refining (SIC 2911)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 51/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality9.6%60 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality131.2%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.4%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-28.7%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x38 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.8x42 (on a fixed band)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation6.3%79 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.8%83 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns51.3%98 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial38/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality80/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns89/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation58/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Chevron Corp (CVX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 189.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -6.8%; net margin 9.6%; ROE 12.2%.

The estimated value range is 89.88–120.88 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 103.10 USD, the price of 216.96 USD leaves a potential of -52.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -110.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 51/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 131.2%
  • FCF yield: 6.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.8%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 51.3%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -8.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -28.7%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Petroleum Refining (SIC 2911) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 56.0 bn and 3,582.9 bn (within 8× of the company's); 12 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.8x
vertical median 8.3x
above median (+152.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
2.0x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+212.1%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 3.3x
below median (−31.5%)
ROE
12.2%
vertical median 41.1%
below median (−70.2%)
Net margin
9.6%
vertical median 8.4%
above median (+13.3%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median —
Revenue YoY
-6.8%
vertical median -5.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
3.2%
vertical median 1.6%
above median (+99.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CVXChevron Corp428.7 bn20.812.2%9.6%−6.8%+41% / +47%
COPConocoPhillips164.5 bn18.114.2%14.7%+7.7%+54% / +18%
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation106.9 bn7.772.6%8.4%−4.4%+103% / +163%
VLOValero Energy Corp101.9 bn8.250.1%8.4%−5.5%+107% / +191%
PSXPhillips 66101.3 bn8.341.1%7.5%−7.5%+90% / +101%
IMOImperial Oil Limited——25.2%10.9%−8.6%+29% / +126%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CVX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
115.95
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
206.03
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
311.75
Total return 47% · Per year 47%
3 years
92.07
Total return -51% · Per year -21%
185.94
Total return -6% · Per year -2%
311.75
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
5 years
73.11
Total return -57% · Per year -16%
167.81
Total return -9% · Per year -2%
311.75
Total return 62% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 46.48
  • Net margin± 32.54
  • Annual revenue growth± 29.39
  • Annual dilution± 2.73

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company active in oil and gas production, refining and petrochemicals. Proved reserves reached 10.6 billion barrels of oil-equivalent at year-end 2025 1, and in the second quarter of 2026 Chevron reported net income of 12.1 billion dollars and a return on capital employed of 21.4 percent 23.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Broad portfolio of upstream and downstream assets spread across regions, giving operational diversification 1.
  • Record U.S. production and near-capacity refinery operation support cash flow 3.
  • Demonstrated capacity to cut debt and control costs through structural reductions and Hess synergies 3.

Weaknesses

  • Profitability depends heavily on crude oil prices, which are set in global markets outside the company's control 2.
  • Higher depreciation, depletion and amortization after the Hess acquisition has weighed on upstream margins 2.
  • Insurance coverage is limited and the company is to a substantial extent self-insured for major incidents 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion in the Permian Basin, the Gulf of America and Guyana projects could support longer-term volume growth 13.
  • The data center power agreements could open a new business line if the projects proceed 3.
  • Potential participation in Iraqi oilfield developments could widen the resource base 3.

Threats

  • Prolonged declines in crude and gas prices could materially affect results, investment and reserves 1.
  • Climate policy and the energy transition could reduce long-term demand for petroleum products 2.
  • Geopolitical tensions and conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine could disrupt operations and supply 13.

Risks

  • Volatility of oil and gas priceshigh

    Market prices, shaped by demand, OPEC and geopolitical events, could materially affect earnings, production and reserves if they stay low for long periods 1.

  • Resource developmentmedium

    If the company does not replace its production with economic new resources, its business could decline, depending on exploration success and large projects 1.

  • Operational and environmental hazardshigh

    Operations can be disrupted by natural events, accidents, cyberattacks or conflict, and the company does not insure fully against all losses 1.

  • Integration of the Hess acquisitionmedium

    If anticipated synergies and growth are not achieved on the expected timetable, financial results could be affected 1.

  • Litigation and regulationmedium

    The company may face liability or project delays from litigation or government action on environmental and health matters 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Record U.S. production, the Hess integration and realized synergies could support solid cash flow if prices remain favorable 23.
  • Debt reduction and the structural cost program could strengthen the balance sheet and the funding of long-term projects 3.
  • Data center power agreements and potential Iraqi projects could diversify the company's revenue sources 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Earnings depend heavily on crude prices, and a prolonged decline could sharply reduce results and investment 12.
  • Climate policies and shifting consumer preferences could reduce long-term demand for petroleum products 2.
  • Geopolitical risks and Middle East disruptions could affect production and refinery supply 3.

What to watch

  • Production performance against the 2026 growth guidance2026
  • Delivery of Hess synergies and structural cost reductionsQ4 2026
  • Closing of the sale of the Singapore Refining Company interest2027
  • Next annual report with updated proved reserves and new projectsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Chevron manages its investments in subsidiaries and provides administrative, financial and technology support for integrated energy and chemicals operations 1. The upstream segment covers exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas, along with LNG and gas storage 1. The downstream segment covers crude refining, marketing of petroleum products, renewable fuels and petrochemicals 1.

Segments

All Other

All Other covers worldwide cash management and debt financing, corporate administration, insurance operations and real estate 3. Net charges were roughly flat against the prior year 3.

Market context

Competition is strong in all sectors of the petroleum and petrochemical industries, both upstream for leases and equipment and downstream in refining and marketing 1. Geopolitical tensions and conflicts in the Middle East affected supply and refining in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Trends

  • High crude oil pricesmixed

    Higher crude and gas prices supported realizations and quarterly earnings; if prices fell for a prolonged period, upstream revenues could be affected 21.

  • Integration of the Hess acquisitiontailwind

    The Hess acquisition added volumes and cost synergies that could support production growth if integration proceeds as planned 3.

  • Energy transitionheadwind

    Emissions policies and shifting consumer preferences could reduce long-term demand for petroleum products 12.

  • Power demand from data centerstailwind

    The Microsoft power agreement could open new revenue streams if the projects are developed as planned 3.

Competitive position

Chevron competes with fully integrated major petroleum companies, independent companies and national petroleum companies, both upstream for acquisition of leases and equipment and downstream in refining and sales 1. Competition also arises in petrochemicals and in the supply of fuels and lubricants 1.

The company describes industry-wide competition in its filings without naming individual competitors, so the list below reflects the competitor categories described in the sources 1.

  • Fully integrated major petroleum companies

    Compete with Chevron in upstream and downstream for resources, refining and product sales 1.

  • Independent petroleum companies

    Compete for exploration leases and production properties 1.

  • National petroleum companies

    Active in resource acquisition and in supplying refined products 1.

  • Independent refining and petrochemical entities

    Compete in refining, manufacturing and sale of fuels, lubricants and petrochemicals 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Chevron Corporation · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Chevron Corporation · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Chevron Corporation · 31 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.