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olivLaw · US equity research

DT Midstream, Inc. DTM

Natural Gas Transmission · SIC 4922 · Vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

112.88USD−4.00% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

DT Midstream (DTM) owns and operates an integrated network of natural gas transmission, storage and gathering assets in the United States and Canada, linking consumer centers with the Marcellus/Utica and Haynesville production basins. The company closed fiscal 2025 with operating revenues of 1243 million USD, and in the second quarter of 2026 it reaffirmed a 2026 Adjusted EBITDA range of 1155 - 1225 million USD, supported by new growth contracts.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, DT Midstream, Inc. (DTM) stock was 112.88 USD (−4.00% on the day), with market capitalisation 11.5 bn USD, P/E 24.5 on diluted EPS of 4.60 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.07%, beta 0.59, 52-week range 111.63–151.12 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 336.0 m USD (+7.0% YoY), net income of 118.0 m USD (+2.6% YoY), diluted EPS 1.16 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
11.5 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.5
Diluted EPS TTM 4.60 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.08%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.07%
DPS 12m 3.46
Beta (2y)
0.59
Volatility (1y) 23%
52-week range
111.63151.12

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
33.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
116.23 – 130.20
below the lower band · %B -0.24 · band width 11.3%
SMA 50 / 200
124.85 / 134.85
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.60 / -0.69
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.4%−5.9%−3.5 pp—
3 months−15.1%−4.6%−10.5 pp—
6 months−21.7%+0.2%−21.9 pp—
Year to date−5.7%+7.4%−13.1 pp—
1 year+2.1%+8.2%−6.1 pp+10.5%
3 years+101.8%+68.4%+33.3 pp+50.0%
5 years+131.6%+56.5%+75.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−25.3%
22 May 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−25.3%
22 May 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+18.3%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
336.0 m USD
+7.0% YoY
Net income
118.0 m USD
+2.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.16
+2.7% YoY
net / operating
35.1% / 48.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue249.0 m303.0 m309.0 m314.0 m317.0 m336.0 m343.0 m336.0 m
Operating income113.0 m148.0 m155.0 m155.0 m156.0 m166.0 m173.0 m163.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation53.0 m63.0 m63.0 m65.0 m67.0 m69.0 m68.0 m71.0 m
Interest expense36.0 m40.0 m40.0 m40.0 m41.0 m40.0 m42.0 m40.0 m
Pre-tax income119.0 m146.0 m145.0 m153.0 m154.0 m170.0 m169.0 m163.0 m
Income tax43.0 m35.0 m34.0 m35.0 m40.0 m36.0 m53.0 m41.0 m
Net income73.0 m108.0 m107.0 m115.0 m111.0 m130.0 m112.0 m118.0 m
Diluted EPS0.73 ≈1.061.041.131.08 ≈1.271.091.16
Operating cash flow152.0 m247.0 m185.0 m ≈274.0 m ≈161.0 m280.0 m222.0 m ≈275.0 m ≈
Capex90.0 m71.0 m81.0 m ≈143.0 m ≈131.0 m78.0 m105.0 m ≈91.0 m ≈
Dividends paid71.0 m75.0 m83.0 m ≈83.0 m ≈83.0 m83.0 m89.0 m ≈90.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 62 percentile of its own 21-quarter history (min 13.0, median 16.9, max 32.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue504.0 m754.0 m840.0 m920.0 m922.0 m981.0 m1.2 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+49.6%+11.4%+9.5%+0.2%+6.4%+26.7%
Net income204.0 m312.0 m307.0 m370.0 m384.0 m354.0 m441.0 m
Net income YoYunavailable+52.9%−1.6%+20.5%+3.8%−7.8%+24.6%
Diluted EPS2.113.233.163.813.943.604.30
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+53.1%−2.2%+20.6%+3.4%−8.6%+19.4%
net %40.5%41.4%36.5%40.2%41.6%36.1%35.5%
Free cash flow179.0 m79.0 m432.0 m387.0 m26.0 m413.0 m441.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
54.0 m USD
Financial debt
3.3 bn USD
Net debt
3.3 bn USD
Equity
4.9 bn USD
Total assets
10.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.68x
Current ratio
1.07x
ROE
9.1%
ROA
4.4%
FCF margin
35.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
922.0 m
2024
981.0 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
471.0 m
2024
489.0 m
2025
614.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
182.0 m
2024
209.0 m
2025
258.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
653.0 m ≈
2024
698.0 m ≈
2025
872.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
150.0 m
2024
153.0 m
2025
161.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
500.0 m
2024
504.0 m
2025
598.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
104.0 m
2024
137.0 m
2025
144.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
384.0 m
2024
354.0 m
2025
441.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.94
2024
3.60
2025
4.30

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
97.5 m
2024
98.4 m
2025
102.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.76
2024
2.94
2025
3.28

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
56.0 m
2024
68.0 m
2025
54.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
154.0 m
2024
172.0 m
2025
186.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
272.0 m
2024
310.0 m
2025
318.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
4.4 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
473.0 m
2024
776.0 m
2025
781.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
9.0 bn
2024
9.9 bn
2025
10.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
94.0 m
2024
77.0 m
2025
65.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
165.0 m
2024
150.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
434.0 m
2024
426.0 m
2025
296.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.7 bn
2024
5.2 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
798.0 m
2024
763.0 m
2025
867.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
772.0 m
2024
350.0 m
2025
426.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
26.0 m ≈
2024
413.0 m ≈
2025
441.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-351.0 m
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-372.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-452.0 m
2024
330.0 m
2025
-509.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
263.0 m
2024
280.0 m
2025
324.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Feb 2024verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
26.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
10.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
24.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
19.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
70.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
49.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
35.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
40.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
75.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
64.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
4.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
938.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
405.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
533.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
113.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
100.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
11.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
14.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
24.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
8.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
22.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
21.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.76
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 49 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

112.88 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 11.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
11.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
35.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
26.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 974derived 74

Score by group

  • Growth58
  • Returns57
  • Balance sheet54
  • Valuation29
  • Quality58

Estimated value range

Low
56.95
USD per share
Mid
69.81
USD per share
High
92.11
USD per share
Price: 112.88 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -38.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -61.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 43.10 – 153.70 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)80.71 – 153.70 (Mid 107.69)
    WACC 8.2% · starting FCFF 653.8 m USD · terminal value share of EV 77%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 12.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA54.22 – 86.51 (Mid 71.08)
    9 companies used · median multiple 11.0x · quartiles 9.2x – 12.7x
    ET, KGS, KMI, KNTK, NGL, TRGP, USAC, WES, WMB
  • Peers: P/E59.69 – 97.71 (Mid 68.55)
    10 companies used · median multiple 14.9x · quartiles 13.0x – 21.2x
    AM, AROC, EPD, ET, KMI, KNTK, TRGP, USAC, WES, WMB
  • Dividend discount (DDM)43.10 – 57.97 (Mid 49.44)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 49/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.1%11 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality35.4%94 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality113.2%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth10.6%88 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth4.1%27 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.3x73 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.0x39 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x30 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation24.5x25 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation15.6x11 (vs peers)10%
FCF yield · Valuation4.6%58 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.0%43 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns64.7%79 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet54/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth58/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality58/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns57/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation29/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

DT Midstream, Inc. (DTM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 26.7%; net margin 35.4%; ROE 9.9%; net debt/EBITDA 3.3x.

The estimated value range is 56.95–92.11 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 69.81 USD, the price of 112.88 USD leaves a potential of -38.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -61.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 49/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 35.4%
  • FCF conversion: 113.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 10.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.3x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 64.7%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 6.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 4.1%
  • P/E (TTM): 24.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 15.6x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
24.5x
vertical median 17.4x
above median (+41.2%)
EV/EBITDA
15.6x
vertical median 11.0x
above median (+41.4%)
P/S
8.6x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+205.9%)
P/B
2.4x
vertical median 2.9x
below median (−18.1%)
ROE
9.9%
vertical median 14.0%
below median (−29.5%)
Net margin
35.4%
vertical median 15.8%
above median (+123.9%)
EBIT margin
49.4%
vertical median 28.9%
above median (+71.1%)
Revenue YoY
26.7%
vertical median 7.4%
above median (+259.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.3x
vertical median 3.9x
below median (−15.5%)
Dividend yield
3.1%
vertical median 3.6%
below median (−15.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P.79.0 bn12.0—10.2%−6.4%+12% / +37%
WMBWilliams Companies, Inc.78.6 bn25.624.0%25.2%+13.8%+5% / +75%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.67.3 bn18.711.6%19.6%+12.2%+11% / +72%
ETEnergy Transfer LP66.1 bn12.1—4.4%+3.5%+15% / +38%
TRGPTarga Resources Corp.58.3 bn24.075.0%13.5%+3.9%+55% / +201%
WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP16.5 bn12.8—28.2%+6.6%+1% / +34%
DTMDT Midstream, Inc.11.5 bn24.59.9%35.4%+26.7%+2% / +102%
AMAntero Midstream Corporation9.1 bn13.531.6%53.4%+7.4%+6% / +44%
AROCArchrock, Inc.4.7 bn13.722.6%22.9%+28.7%+8% / +84%
KGSKodiak Gas Services, Inc.3.9 bn45.84.6%5.8%+12.8%+11% / +121%
USACUSA Compression Partners, LP3.5 bn22.1—12.4%+5.0%−4% / +2%
KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.3.3 bn16.1—10.7%+19.0%+42% / +35%
NGLNGL Energy Partners LP1.8 bn——-5.4%−9.0%+50% / +241%
SMCSummit Midstream Corporation285.3 m8,705.40.1%0.0%+30.8%+7% / +29%
TRPTc Energy Corporation——12.8%23.1%+10.7%+14% / +67%
TCPATranscanada Pipelines Ltd——14.0%23.1%+7.2%−15% / unavailable
NGGNational Grid PLC——8.6%15.8%−7.4%+13% / +30%
TGSGas Transporter Of The South Inc.——18.1%30.3%+23.7%−30% / +56%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DTM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
71.00
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
125.17
Total return 14% · Per year 14%
188.07
Total return 71% · Per year 71%
3 years
77.54
Total return -23% · Per year -8%
152.98
Total return 47% · Per year 14%
251.11
Total return 137% · Per year 33%
5 years
84.68
Total return -11% · Per year -2%
186.96
Total return 87% · Per year 13%
335.28
Total return 225% · Per year 27%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 38.24
  • Net margin± 26.77
  • Annual revenue growth± 20.77
  • Annual dilution± 2.25

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

DT Midstream (DTM) owns and operates an integrated network of natural gas transmission, storage and gathering assets in the United States and Canada, linking consumer centers with the Marcellus/Utica and Haynesville production basins. The company closed fiscal 2025 with operating revenues of 1243 million USD, and in the second quarter of 2026 it reaffirmed a 2026 Adjusted EBITDA range of 1155 - 1225 million USD, supported by new growth contracts.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has well-placed assets linking production in the Marcellus/Utica and Haynesville basins with consumer centers and export terminals 1.
  • Most customer contracts are long-term firm service contracts with fixed revenues regardless of the volumes actually transported 1.
  • Net income attributable to the company rose in 2025 and is supported by contributions from equity method investments 1.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on one major customer, Expand Energy, exposes the company to the risk of lower volumes or non-renewal of contracts 1.
  • The company does not own most of the land on which its assets sit, which can lead to higher costs and delays in securing rights-of-way 1.
  • Many operations run through joint ventures where the company has limited control over operating and investment decisions 1.

Opportunities

  • Contracted expansion projects in Haynesville, LEAP and Stonewall could extend the long-term revenue base 23.
  • The Viking modernization and the Guardian G3 project could open new transport flows in the regions served 3.
  • The emission-reduction goal could attract investment in carbon-reducing technologies and low-carbon business opportunities 12.

Threats

  • A decline in gas production or demand in the operating regions could reduce the company's volumes and revenues 1.
  • Alternative fuels, technological advances and renewable energy could weaken demand for natural gas over the long term 1.
  • Operational incidents, natural disasters and interruptions at interconnected pipelines could affect assets and financial results 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A single customer provides a large share of operating revenues, and the loss or reduction of its volumes could affect results 1.

  • Contract renewalmedium

    Expiring contracts could be renewed on less favorable terms or for shorter periods, which could weaken cash flow stability 1.

  • Operational incidentshigh

    Explosions, leaks or pipeline interruptions could cause major losses and penalties, especially near populated areas 1.

  • Projects and acquisitionsmedium

    Integrating acquisitions or delaying expansion projects could create unexpected costs and reduce cash flow 1.

  • Land rightslow

    If rights-of-way cannot be renewed, the company could be forced into condemnation proceedings or to relocate facilities 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the contracted Haynesville, LEAP and Stonewall projects are delivered on schedule, they could support higher revenues and Adjusted EBITDA in the coming years 3.
  • The fixed-revenue contract structure could limit exposure to gas price swings and support cash flow stability 1.
  • The positioning of assets between major production basins and consumer centers could attract new long-term contracts 12.

What would break the thesis

  • Heavy reliance on one customer could leave revenues exposed to changes in that customer's strategy or volumes 1.
  • If natural gas demand falls because of alternative fuels or environmental policy, transported volumes could decline 1.
  • Rising operating costs and amortization, visible in the Gathering segment, could erode profitability if revenues do not grow at the same pace 12.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of 1155 - 1225 million USD2026
  • Confirmation of the preliminary 2027 Adjusted EBITDA outlook2027
  • Progress of contracted growth projects, including LEAP Phase 5 and the Viking modernizationnext 10-K
  • Renewal of major customer contracts and the trend in Expand Energy volumesQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

DT Midstream is an owner, operator and developer of integrated natural gas midstream assets, providing multiple services through its Pipeline segment, which includes interstate and intrastate pipelines, storage systems and gathering lateral pipelines, and through its Gathering segment, which includes gathering systems, treatment plants and compression facilities 1. Its core assets connect demand centers in the Midwestern U.S., Eastern Canada and Northeastern U.S. with Marcellus/Utica production, and connect Gulf Coast demand centers and LNG export terminals with Haynesville production 1. The company says its growth rests on long-term contracts with producers, local distribution companies, power generators, industrials and national marketers 1. Operating revenues rose to 1243 million USD in 2025 from 981 million USD in 2024, mainly because of the Midwest Pipeline Acquisition 12.

Segments

Pipeline

The Pipeline segment includes interstate and intrastate pipelines, storage systems, gathering lateral pipelines and equity method investments such as Vector, Millennium and NEXUS 1. Segment revenues reached 687 million USD in 2025, up from 443 million USD in 2024, driven mainly by the acquired Midwest assets and new LEAP contracts 1. Revenues for the first half of 2026 were 368 million USD, higher than in the first half of 2025, supported by LEAP contracts and the MVP-related Stonewall expansion 2.

Gathering

The Gathering segment includes gathering systems, treatment plants and compression facilities in the Marcellus/Utica and Haynesville basins 1. Revenues increased to 556 million USD in 2025 from 538 million USD in 2024, although net income attributable to DT Midstream fell to 71 million USD from 78 million USD because of higher operating costs and depreciation 1. In the first half of 2026 segment revenues rose to 324 million USD and net income to 48 million USD, from 30 million USD a year earlier 2.

Market context

The company's activity depends on the availability and demand for natural gas in the regions where it operates, and demand can be affected by alternative fuels, technological progress and renewable energy sources 1. Firm contracts with fixed demand charges and minimum volume commitments give the business more stable revenues than exposure to gas prices would, although the concentration of revenue in one counterparty remains high 1. The sector is also shaped by macroeconomic conditions, including interest rates and trade policy, factors the company lists in its forward-looking statements 3.

Trends

  • Contracted expansion projectstailwind

    The company reports that it has commercialized two billion USD of organic growth projects, including the Haynesville system expansion and LEAP Phase 5 3. If these projects are completed on time and on budget, they could support long-term revenues.

  • Dependence on one customerheadwind

    Expand Energy accounted for about 45% of operating revenues in 2025 1. A decline in its volumes or a change in contract terms could significantly affect results.

  • Modernization and new transport demandmixed

    The company reached a final investment decision on the first phase of Viking Gas Transmission modernization and filed the FERC 7(c) application for the Guardian G3 expansion 3. These projects could add transport capacity but carry delay and cost-overrun risks.

  • Environmental and climate policymixed

    Pipeline safety and greenhouse gas rules could bring additional compliance costs and spending on pollution control equipment 1. Emission-reduction goals could attract investment if they are linked to new contracts.

Competitive position

The company competes for volumes from new wells and for volumes connected to other pipelines, and losing contracts could reduce revenues 1. To differentiate itself, DT Midstream stresses the location of its assets and their connectivity to consumer centers and LNG terminals 13. The consulted sources do not name specific competitors, and market share data is not available in the reviewed documents.

  • Interstate and intrastate pipeline operators in the Appalachian and Gulf Coast regions

    The sources do not name individual competitors; competition concerns volumes from new drilling and from other connected pipelines 1.

  • Gathering system operators in the Marcellus/Utica and Haynesville basins

    Competition for volumes from new wells is mentioned generically in the company's risk factors 1.

  • Providers of alternative fuels and renewable energy sources

    These players could reduce natural gas demand in the markets the company serves, according to its own statements 1.

  • Other interstate carriers linking production basins with consumer markets

    The company notes that it can compete for volumes sourced from other connected pipelines 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / DT Midstream, Inc. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / DT Midstream, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / DT Midstream, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.