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olivLaw · US equity research

Global Payments, Inc. GPN

Services-Business Services, NEC · SIC 7389 · Vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

96.09USD−1.95% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Global Payments (GPN) is a payments technology company that, after acquiring Worldpay in January 2026 and divesting Issuer Solutions, now operates as a commerce solutions provider organized in three segments. In the second quarter of 2026 GAAP revenue was 3.32 billion USD, while normalized adjusted net revenue grew 4%. The company reaffirmed its capital return plan, though integrating Worldpay could weigh on margins in the near term.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Global Payments, Inc. (GPN) stock was 96.09 USD (−1.95% on the day), with market capitalisation 25.4 bn USD, dividend yield 1.04%, beta 1.15, 52-week range 62.47–99.63 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 3.3 bn USD (+68.6% YoY), net income of 13.0 m USD (−94.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
25.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.98 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-3.10%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.04%
DPS 12m 1.00
Beta (2y)
1.15
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
62.4799.63

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
66.0
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
74.25 – 97.99
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.92 · band width 27.6%
SMA 50 / 200
86.54 / 77.28
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.89 / 1.04
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.9%−1.1%+18.0 pp—
3 months+9.8%−0.5%+10.3 pp—
6 months+38.0%+4.4%+33.6 pp—
Year to date+24.1%+12.3%+11.8 pp—
1 year+20.2%+13.5%+6.6 pp−3.2%
3 years−15.5%+76.4%−91.9 pp+7.4%
5 years−29.7%+63.7%−93.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−24.3%
20 Feb 2026 → 10 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−58.8%
01 Feb 2022 → 10 Jun 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−6.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
3.3 bn USD
+68.6% YoY
Net income
13.0 m USD
−94.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.05
−94.9% YoY
net / operating
0.4% / 10.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue2.0 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn3.0 bn3.3 bn
Cost of revenue504.6 m525.4 m495.2 m501.8 m556.7 m569.0 m1.3 bn1.3 bn
SG&A1.1 bn984.2 m957.2 m1.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn
Operating income442.7 m696.8 m372.0 m393.3 m778.0 m169.3 m-15.6 m337.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation310.4 m304.9 m292.6 m296.5 m303.2 m341.1 m864.8 m884.1 m
Interest expense146.8 m152.9 m144.8 m151.4 m141.7 m196.2 m239.2 m261.1 m
Pre-tax income348.0 m580.7 m261.5 m276.3 m655.7 m24.0 m-224.5 m104.3 m
Income tax59.9 m110.3 m43.8 m40.9 m199.3 m-111.0 m-11.8 m-4.9 m
Net income315.1 m567.2 m305.7 m241.6 m635.2 m217.5 m-1.8 bn13.0 m
Diluted EPS1.242.25 ≈1.240.992.640.92 ≈-6.590.05
Operating cash flow835.7 m ≈883.4 m555.1 m817.5 m ≈768.7 m ≈515.2 m-288.8 m662.6 m ≈
Capex166.3 m ≈184.0 m127.6 m152.2 m ≈169.8 m ≈168.2 m261.3 m235.7 m ≈
Dividends paid63.4 m ≈62.3 m61.1 m60.4 m ≈58.0 m ≈59.1 m68.2 m66.5 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈651.9 m446.3 m244.8 m ≈500.0 m ≈-69.0 k549.9 m550.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.4 bn4.9 bn7.4 bn8.5 bn9.0 bn7.4 bn7.7 bn7.7 bn
Revenue YoY−15.3%+45.9%+51.1%+14.8%+5.3%−17.8%+4.8%−0.4%
Net income452.1 m430.6 m584.5 m965.5 m111.5 m986.2 m1.6 bn1.4 bn
Net income YoY−3.5%−4.7%+35.7%+65.2%−88.5%+784.6%+59.2%−10.8%
Diluted EPS2.842.161.953.290.403.776.165.78
Diluted EPS YoY−5.6%−23.9%−9.7%+68.7%−87.8%+842.5%+63.4%−6.2%
net %13.4%8.8%7.9%11.3%1.2%13.4%20.3%18.2%
Free cash flow892.8 m1.1 bn1.9 bn2.3 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn2.4 bn2.0 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
8.3 bn USD
Financial debt
23.5 bn USD
Net debt
15.1 bn USD
Equity
23.6 bn USD
Total assets
53.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.00x
Current ratio
1.69x
ROE
6.0%
ROA
2.8%
FCF margin
26.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
7.4 bn
2024
7.7 bn
2025
7.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
5.3 bn ≈
2024
5.7 bn ≈
2025
5.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.5 bn ≈
2024
3.2 bn ≈
2025
3.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
627.6 m
2024
608.4 m
2025
633.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
781.7 m
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
186.5 m
2024
241.5 m
2025
251.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
986.2 m
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.77
2024
6.16
2025
5.78

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
261.7 m
2024
254.8 m
2025
242.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.00
2024
1.00
2025
1.00

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.1 bn
2024
787.7 m
2025
784.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
8.1 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
12.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2021verified

Goodwill
2023
26.7 bn
2024
17.0 bn
2025
17.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
10.2 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
50.6 bn
2024
46.9 bn
2025
53.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
620.6 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
16.4 bn
2024
16.3 bn
2025
21.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
8.1 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
7.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
26.8 bn
2024
23.9 bn
2025
29.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
23.3 bn
2024
22.9 bn
2025
23.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
2.5 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
658.1 m
2024
674.9 m
2025
617.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.9 bn ≈
2024
2.4 bn ≈
2025
2.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.4 bn
2024
-173.9 m
2025
-230.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
1.8 bn
2024
-2.3 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
260.4 m
2024
252.8 m
2025
238.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
418.3 m
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-11.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
132.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
19.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
143.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
24.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-14.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
63.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
35.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
30.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
18.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
835.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
822.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
45.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
291 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
25.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
43.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
11.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
34.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
4.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
30.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 38 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

96.09 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 25.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
25.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
11.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 2862derived 183

Score by group

  • Balance sheet0
  • Growth50
  • Quality9
  • Returns100
  • Valuation62

Estimated value range

Low
13.14
USD per share
Mid
35.68
USD per share
High
79.14
USD per share
Price: 96.09 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -62.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -169.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 12.69 – 180.12 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)12.69 – 79.14 (Mid 35.68)
    WACC 7.3% · starting FCFF 1.6 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 15.0%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA149.22 – 180.12 (Mid 163.65)
    6 companies used · median multiple 16.7x · quartiles 15.7x – 17.9x
    BR, CPAY, EBAY, FICO, RBA, UBER
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)13.14 – 17.67 (Mid 15.07)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 38/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.8%9 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality-9.1%8 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.0%0 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth143.6%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.9x0 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.5x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x2 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation11.9x80 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation3.2%40 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.3%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns30.6%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality9/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation62/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

Memo

GLOBAL PAYMENTS INC. (GPN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -0.4%; net margin -9.1%; ROE -4.1%; net debt/EBITDA 4.9x.

The estimated value range is 13.14–79.14 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 35.68 USD, the price of 96.09 USD leaves a potential of -62.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -169.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 38/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 143.6%
  • EV/EBITDA: 11.9x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.3%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 30.6%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 2.8%
  • Net margin: -9.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.9x
  • Interest coverage: 1.5x
  • Current ratio: 0.8x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 13 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 2.8 bn and 181.8 bn (within 8× of the company's); 86 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 26.3x
EV/EBITDA
11.9x
vertical median 16.7x
below median (−29.1%)
P/S
2.5x
vertical median 2.8x
below median (−12.3%)
P/B
1.1x
vertical median 5.2x
below median (−78.7%)
ROE
-4.1%
vertical median 26.7%
below median (−115.3%)
Net margin
-9.1%
vertical median 13.9%
below median (−165.5%)
EBIT margin
12.4%
vertical median 17.0%
below median (−27.0%)
Revenue YoY
-0.4%
vertical median 8.5%
below median (−104.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
4.9x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+129.4%)
Dividend yield
1.0%
vertical median 1.1%
at median

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.142.7 bn41.312.4%6.1%+18.3%−20% / +24%
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.88.2 bn47.327.5%5.3%+39.1%−16% / +7%
EBAYeBay Inc.54.9 bn27.246.6%16.9%+7.9%+51% / +205%
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.50.0 bn11.523.8%13.8%+4.3%−4% / +4%
MSCIMsci Inc.48.2 bn35.7—40.3%+9.7%+20% / +29%
FISVFiserv, Inc.33.0 bn—-17.0%-18.9%+3.6%+1% / −52%
CPAYCorpay, Inc27.5 bn25.430.5%22.7%+13.9%+42% / +74%
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.25.4 bn—-4.1%-9.1%−0.4%+20% / −16%
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.21.4 bn20.940.2%13.9%+8.5%−17% / −2%
RBARB Global, Inc17.6 bn39.98.8%10.0%+7.2%−3% / +49%
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.15.3 bn4.423.0%26.8%+5.4%−55% / −49%
FICOFair Isaac Corp15.1 bn20.3—34.1%+15.9%−61% / −36%
ACNAccenture plc—19.526.7%11.3%+6.5%+6% / −21%
MAMastercard Incorporated—35.2231.4%46.7%+16.4%+22% / +63%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GPN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

    In brief

    Global Payments (GPN) is a payments technology company that, after acquiring Worldpay in January 2026 and divesting Issuer Solutions, now operates as a commerce solutions provider organized in three segments 12. In the second quarter of 2026 GAAP revenue was 3.32 billion USD, while normalized adjusted net revenue grew 4% 23. The company reaffirmed its capital return plan, though integrating Worldpay could weigh on margins in the near term 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has extensive global scale and a direct distribution network considered among the best in the industry 1.
    • Its software and point-of-sale portfolio, including the Genius platform, strengthens client relationships 3.
    • Revenue is largely recurring, tied to transactions and software subscriptions 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Amortization of acquired Worldpay assets has reduced operating margin in recent quarters 2.
    • The company carries significant debt, which could limit financial flexibility 1.
    • Transformation and integration costs have risen and could continue into 2028 2.

    Opportunities

    • Realizing Worldpay synergies could materially improve margins over the medium term 2.
    • Digitization of traditional sectors such as education and healthcare could open new markets 1.
    • Expanding AI-based solutions could create additional value for clients 2.

    Threats

    • Competition from larger rivals could put pressure on pricing 1.
    • Changes to card network rules could affect fees and revenue 1.
    • Slower consumer spending could reduce transaction volume 1.

    Risks

    • Worldpay integrationhigh

      Integrating an acquisition of this scale could delay expected synergies or disrupt service to clients 12.

    • Cybersecurity threatshigh

      Attacks on systems that process sensitive data could lead to financial losses and reputational damage 1.

    • Dependence on card networksmedium

      The relationship with Visa and Mastercard is essential; changes to registration conditions could affect operations 1.

    • Indebtednessmedium

      High debt, including notes issued to fund the Worldpay acquisition, could raise interest costs if credit ratings weaken 12.

    • Currency and macroeconomic riskslow

      Currency fluctuations and inflation could affect financial results, particularly outside the United States 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the Worldpay integration proceeds as planned, cost synergies could support margin expansion and earnings growth in the coming years 23.
    • Global scale and an extensive distribution network could let the company benefit from digital payment growth in new sectors 1.
    • The shareholder capital return program could continue if cash flows remain solid 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If the Worldpay integration runs into difficulties, expected synergies could be delayed and costs could stay elevated 2.
    • Higher debt and heavy amortization could limit flexibility and reduce reported margins 12.
    • Competitive pressure and macroeconomic uncertainty could reduce transaction volumes and revenue 13.

    What to watch

    • Progress on Worldpay synergies and updates on integration costsQ3 2026
    • Evolution of the adjusted EPS and normalized growth outlook2026
    • Delivery of the more than 650 million USD transformation benefit targetfirst half 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

    The business

    Global Payments operates in card transaction processing, merchant acceptance solutions and business management software, with presence in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America 1. Revenue in fiscal 2025 was essentially flat at 7,705.9 million USD, despite the dispositions of AdvancedMD and Payroll Solutions 1. The Worldpay acquisition closed in January 2026, and quarterly revenue rose sharply mainly because of it 2.

    The company says it is focusing resources on areas with the best growth opportunities, and its transformation program could deliver more than 650 million USD of annual run-rate operating income benefit by the first half of 2027 12. For Worldpay integration, management targets 600 million USD of expense synergies by year-end 2028 2. Integration costs and amortization of acquired intangibles reduced consolidated operating margin in the first half of 2026 2.

    Strategically, the company is pursuing cloud-based POS and software, embedded payments and leveraging its global distribution channels 1. Revenue comes mainly from services priced as a percentage of transaction value or a fixed fee per transaction, plus software subscriptions 1.

    Segments

    Enterprise

    The Enterprise segment, realigned in the second quarter of 2026, serves large and multinational clients with card-present and card-not-present acceptance and AI-driven commerce platforms 2. Its revenue growth came mainly from the Worldpay acquisition 2.

    Platforms

    The Platforms segment provides embedded payments through software partners, marketplaces and payment facilitators 2. Its operating income rose in the first half of 2026, reflecting Worldpay's contribution 2.

    Small and Medium-Sized Businesses (SMB)

    The SMB segment includes point-of-sale technology and business management software for small and medium-sized businesses 2. Its operating income fell, mainly because of higher amortization of acquired Worldpay intangibles 2.

    Market context

    The payments industry keeps growing on wider card acceptance, migration to ecommerce and contactless payments 1. The company operates in more than 175 countries, giving it considerable global scale 3.

    The market is becoming more competitive and specialized as sectors such as education, government and healthcare shift to digital payments 1. Competition is intense, and some rivals have greater financial resources 1.

    Trends

    • Digital payment adoptiontailwind

      Migration of payments to digital solutions in education, government, healthcare and B2B could support processed volume growth 1.

    • Artificial intelligence in paymentsmixed

      Use of AI in payment platforms could improve operating efficiency, but it could also create new attack surfaces and regulatory risks 13.

    • Geopolitical and trade tensionsheadwind

      The conflict in the Middle East has affected the company's travel portfolio, and tariffs and trade tensions could reduce consumer spending 23.

    • Consolidation in paymentsmixed

      Acquisitions and alliances could increase the scale of large players, though complex integrations could bring temporary costs 1.

    Competitive position

    The company operates in a highly competitive industry where some rivals have larger financial and operational resources, which could give them advantages in pricing and developing new technologies 1. Competitive pressure also shows up in merchant and referral partner attrition 1.

    The Worldpay integration broadens the company's competitive position, but combining distribution channels and products takes time 23. Long-term success could depend on retaining clients during integration 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 04 Nov 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 05 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Global Payments, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Global Payments, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Global Payments, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.