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olivLaw · US equity research

Lowe's Companies, Inc. LOW

Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers · SIC 5211 · Vertical: Building materials and hardware retail (SIC 52xx)

227.24USD−0.93% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Lowe's is the world's second largest home improvement retailer, with more than 1,750 stores and over 540 branches serving both DIY and professional customers. The company completed the acquisitions of Foundation Building Materials and Artisan Design Group, and second quarter 2026 sales rose to $26.0 billion.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) stock was 227.24 USD (−0.93% on the day), with market capitalisation 127.5 bn USD, P/E 19.2 on diluted EPS of 11.84 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.13%, beta 0.61, 52-week range 179.50–287.39 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 26.0 bn USD (+8.3% YoY), net income of 2.4 bn USD (+0.0% YoY), diluted EPS 4.27 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
127.5 bn USD
shares as of 25 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.2
Diluted EPS TTM 11.84 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.21%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
2.13%
DPS 12m 4.85
Beta (2y)
0.61
Volatility (1y) 30%
52-week range
179.50287.39

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
72.1
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
177.50 – 226.01
above the upper band · %B 1.03 · band width 24.0%
SMA 50 / 200
196.79 / 224.89
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
7.55 / 4.07
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+23.7%−5.9%+29.7 pp—
3 months+4.0%−4.6%+8.7 pp—
6 months−1.6%+0.2%−1.8 pp—
Year to date−5.8%+7.4%−13.2 pp—
1 year−3.0%+8.2%−11.2 pp−12.1%
3 years+17.0%+68.4%−51.4 pp−41.2%
5 years−3.5%+56.5%−60.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−37.5%
13 Feb 2026 → 05 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−37.5%
13 Feb 2026 → 05 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−0.7%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
26.0 bn USD
+8.3% YoY
Net income
2.4 bn USD
+0.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.27
0.0% YoY
net / operating
9.2% / 13.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue20.2 bn18.6 bn20.9 bn24.0 bn20.8 bn20.6 bn23.1 bn26.0 bn
Cost of revenue13.4 bn12.5 bn13.9 bn15.9 bn13.7 bn13.9 bn15.5 bn17.4 bn
Gross profit6.8 bn6.1 bn7.0 bn8.1 bn7.1 bn6.7 bn7.5 bn8.6 bn
SG&A3.8 bn3.8 bn4.0 bn4.2 bn4.2 bn4.4 bn4.4 bn4.5 bn
Operating income2.5 bn1.8 bn2.5 bn3.5 bn2.5 bn1.7 bn2.6 bn3.5 bn
Depreciation & amortisation433.0 m511.0 m507.0 m457.0 m475.0 m637.0 m644.0 m572.0 m
Pre-tax income2.2 bn1.5 bn2.2 bn3.2 bn2.1 bn1.3 bn2.2 bn3.2 bn
Income tax524.0 m378.0 m516.0 m758.0 m513.0 m304.0 m527.0 m776.0 m
Net income1.7 bn1.1 bn1.6 bn2.4 bn1.6 bn1.0 bn1.6 bn2.4 bn
Diluted EPS2.991.99 ≈2.924.272.881.79 ≈2.904.27
Operating cash flow1.3 bn ≈911.0 m3.4 bn4.2 bn ≈687.0 m ≈1.6 bn3.4 bn3.7 bn ≈
Capex571.0 m ≈548.0 m518.0 m495.0 m ≈597.0 m ≈603.0 m521.0 m542.0 m ≈
Dividends paid654.0 m ≈650.0 m645.0 m645.0 m ≈673.0 m ≈673.0 m674.0 m672.0 m ≈
Share repurchases751.0 m ≈1.4 bn112.0 m1.0 m ≈98.0 m ≈0363.0 m3.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 26 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 15.0, median 21.0, max 38.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue71.3 bn72.1 bn89.6 bn96.3 bn97.1 bn86.4 bn83.7 bn86.3 bn
Revenue YoY+3.9%+1.2%+24.2%+7.4%+0.8%−11.0%−3.1%+3.1%
Net income2.3 bn4.3 bn5.8 bn8.4 bn6.4 bn7.7 bn7.0 bn6.7 bn
Net income YoY−32.9%+85.0%+36.3%+44.7%−23.8%+20.0%−10.0%−4.4%
Diluted EPS2.845.497.7512.0410.1713.2012.2311.85
Diluted EPS YoY−30.6%+93.3%+41.2%+55.4%−15.5%+29.8%−7.3%−3.1%
net %3.2%5.9%6.5%8.8%6.6%8.9%8.3%7.7%
Free cash flow5.0 bn2.8 bn9.3 bn8.3 bn6.8 bn6.2 bn7.7 bn7.7 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jan 2026

Cash
982.0 m USD
Financial debt
39.8 bn USD
Net debt
38.8 bn USD
Equity
-9.9 bn USD
Total assets
54.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.08x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
13.7%
FCF margin
8.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
86.4 bn
2025
83.7 bn
2026
86.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
57.5 bn
2025
55.8 bn
2026
57.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
28.8 bn
2025
27.9 bn
2026
28.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2024
15.6 bn
2025
15.7 bn
2026
16.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
11.6 bn
2025
10.5 bn
2026
10.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.0 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
13.5 bn ≈
2025
12.4 bn ≈
2026
12.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
10.2 bn
2025
9.2 bn
2026
8.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.2 bn
2026
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
7.7 bn
2025
7.0 bn
2026
6.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
13.20
2025
12.23
2026
11.85

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
584.0 m
2025
568.0 m
2026
560.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
4.35
2025
4.55
2026
4.75

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
921.0 m
2025
1.8 bn
2026
982.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2024
16.9 bn
2025
17.4 bn
2026
17.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
19.1 bn
2025
20.4 bn
2026
21.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
17.7 bn
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 May 2024verified

Goodwill
2024
311.0 m
2025
311.0 m
2026
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
—
2025
277.0 m
2026
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
41.8 bn
2025
43.1 bn
2026
54.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
8.7 bn
2025
9.3 bn
2026
9.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
0
2025
2.6 bn
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 28 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
35.8 bn
2025
35.3 bn
2026
39.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
15.6 bn
2025
18.8 bn
2026
19.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
56.8 bn
2025
57.3 bn
2026
64.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
-15.1 bn †
2025
-14.2 bn †
2026
-9.9 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
8.1 bn
2025
9.6 bn
2026
9.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
6.2 bn ≈
2025
7.7 bn ≈
2026
7.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-1.9 bn
2025
-1.7 bn
2026
-12.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-6.7 bn
2025
-7.0 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.6 bn
2026
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
6.1 bn
2025
4.1 bn
2026
211.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
-3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
-0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
33.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
13.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
29.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
41.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
38.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-820.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
9.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
7.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
105.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
73.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
103 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
62 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
127.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
126.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
12.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
FCF yield
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 59 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

227.24 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 127.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
127.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
10.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 25 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Aug 2026
verified 2850derived 256

Score by group

  • Balance sheet64
  • Returns61
  • Quality80
  • Growth17
  • Valuation71

Estimated value range

Low
202.30
USD per share
Mid
235.92
USD per share
High
276.50
USD per share
Price: 227.24 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 3.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 3.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 62.42 – 379.82 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA202.30 – 276.50 (Mid 235.92)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.4x · quartiles 8.9x – 12.2x
    BLDR, FND, HD, TSCO
  • Peers: P/E272.85 – 379.82 (Mid 289.92)
    5 companies used · median multiple 24.5x · quartiles 23.1x – 32.1x
    FAST, FND, HD, SHW, TSCO
  • Dividend discount (DDM)62.42 – 83.94 (Mid 71.60)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Building materials and hardware retail (SIC 52xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 59/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality7.3%60 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality105.4%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.8%0 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth5.2%35 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.1x80 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x25 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation19.2x83 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.0x60 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation5.5%69 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.5%35 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns38.5%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet64/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth17/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality80/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns61/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation71/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

LOWES COMPANIES INC (LOW). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 86.3 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 3.1%; net margin 7.3%; net debt/EBITDA -0.1x.

The estimated value range is 202.30–276.50 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 235.92 USD, the price of 227.24 USD leaves a potential of 3.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 3.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 59/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 105.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 19.2x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 38.5%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.8%
  • Current ratio: 1.1x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Building materials and hardware retail (SIC 52xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
19.2x
vertical median 28.3x
below median (−32.1%)
EV/EBITDA
10.0x
vertical median 11.5x
below median (−12.9%)
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+24.7%)
P/B
—
vertical median 2.2x
ROE
—
vertical median 5.4%
Net margin
7.3%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+175.5%)
EBIT margin
11.4%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+434.3%)
Revenue YoY
3.1%
vertical median 2.3%
above median (+34.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.1x
vertical median -0.1x
below median
Dividend yield
2.1%
vertical median 2.2%
at median

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.349.1 bn24.5104.3%8.4%+3.2%−2% / +12%
LOWLowes Companies Inc127.5 bn19.2—7.3%+3.1%−3% / +17%
SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Company84.3 bn32.163.7%10.7%+2.1%+2% / +25%
FASTFastenal Co60.7 bn42.835.3%15.6%+8.7%+31% / +76%
TSCOTractor Supply Co19.0 bn10.570.5%11.6%+4.3%−33% / −10%
BLDRBuilders Firstsource, Inc.7.0 bn175.21.0%0.3%−7.4%−42% / −51%
FNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc.5.4 bn23.19.9%5.1%+5.1%−19% / −44%
GRWGGrowgeneration Corp.86.6 m—-17.1%-10.1%−14.4%−5% / −45%
JCTCJewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.10.1 m—-43.7%-20.9%−12.4%+16% / −41%
IPWiPower Inc.1.7 m—-66.0%-58.2%−68.4%−100% / −100%
ZKHZKH Group Limited——-4.6%-1.6%+2.6%−60% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for LOW from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
123.10
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
218.58
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
330.55
Total return 48% · Per year 48%
3 years
100.27
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
202.09
Total return -5% · Per year -2%
338.23
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
5 years
81.67
Total return -58% · Per year -16%
186.85
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
346.08
Total return 65% · Per year 11%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 50.52
  • Net margin± 35.37
  • Annual revenue growth± 31.56
  • Annual dilution± 2.97

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Aug 2026).

In brief

Lowe's is the world's second largest home improvement retailer, with more than 1,750 stores and over 540 branches serving both DIY and professional customers. The company completed the acquisitions of Foundation Building Materials and Artisan Design Group, and second quarter 2026 sales rose to $26.0 billion 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Second largest home improvement retailer in the world, with an extensive network of stores and branches that provides scale and customer reach.
  • Strong operating cash flow allows the company to fund investment and distribute dividends to shareholders.
  • The Total Home strategy covers both DIY and Pro customers, with omnichannel integration that has supported comparable sales growth.

Weaknesses

  • Discretionary DIY spending has remained weak, and the number of comparable customer transactions declined in fiscal 2025.
  • Recent acquisitions added operating costs and intangible amortization that have weighed on operating margin.
  • Dependence on housing market conditions makes near-term demand difficult to predict.

Opportunities

  • Expanding the large Pro segment through the FBM and ADG acquisitions could open new revenue in residential and commercial construction.
  • A possible recovery in housing activity could boost demand for the company's products and services.
  • Growth in installation services and loyalty programs could raise average ticket value over time.

Threats

  • Tariffs and shifts in trade policy can raise purchase costs and pressure margins.
  • Competition from online retailers and omnichannel rivals could reduce market share if delivery services are not competitive.
  • Inflation and tighter credit could limit consumer spending on home projects.

Risks

  • Adapting to customer behaviourhigh

    If Lowe's fails to identify and respond to changing shopping habits and demographics, it could lose market share, especially to efficient low-cost competitors.

  • Online and delivery competitionhigh

    Online competitors offer fast delivery and transparent pricing, and a lack of competitive delivery capabilities could weigh on sales.

  • Labour costsmedium

    A competitive labour market and wage pressure could raise costs, and union organising at FBM could change how the business operates.

  • Reputation and public imagemedium

    Media criticism or negative social media campaigns could erode trust among customers, vendors and associates.

  • Integration of acquisitionsmedium

    Integrating FBM and ADG could present operational and cost difficulties, and acquisition amortization continues to weigh on results.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Steady growth in sales to Pro customers, online channels and installation services could support a recovery in results if the housing market improves.
  • Its position as a leading global home improvement retailer gives advantages of scale in purchasing and logistics.
  • The commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks is an element investors can monitor.

What would break the thesis

  • If discretionary DIY spending remains weak, comparable sales growth could stay close to zero.
  • Tariffs and trade policy changes could compress margins, especially if refunds do not recur.
  • Recent acquisitions bring amortization and operating costs that could reduce profitability in the coming period.

What to watch

  • Trend in comparable sales and the DIY segmentQ3 2026
  • Updated fiscal 2026 outlook for sales and EPS2026
  • Effect of tariffs and any additional refunds in the second half of the yearQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Aug 2026).

The business

Lowe's Companies, Inc. is an omnichannel home improvement retailer listed on the NYSE under the ticker LOW, headquartered in Mooresville, North Carolina 12. Its Total Home strategy focuses on Pro penetration, accelerating online sales, expanding home services, creating a loyalty ecosystem and increasing space productivity 1. Net sales reached $86.3 billion in fiscal 2025, up 3.1% 1.

Segments

Pro branches and installed sales

The branch network, with more than 540 locations in the United States and Canada, serves larger Pro customers and handles the delivery and installation of building materials 1. The FBM and ADG acquisitions extended this activity into residential and commercial markets 12.

Online and home services

Online sales grew 15.7% in the second quarter of 2026, while installation services are delivered through independent contractors and a third-party model 12. These channels support the growth strategy, though they have not fully offset DIY pressure 2.

Trends

  • Growth in the Pro segmenttailwind

    Sales to professional customers supported comparable sales, and recent acquisitions extend the offer to larger Pro customers 12. If this trend holds, it could offset weakness in the DIY segment.

  • Growing online salesmixed

    Online and omnichannel shopping is increasingly important, and customers compare prices in real time using digital tools 12. Investment in fast delivery is costly but supports market share.

  • Pressure on DIY spendingheadwind

    Discretionary spending by individual homeowners has remained under pressure, according to the August 2026 release 2. If macroeconomic conditions do not improve, DIY sales volumes could stay weak.

  • Tariffs and refundsmixed

    Trade policy and tariffs can affect purchase costs, and IEEPA tariff refunds influenced second quarter 2026 results 12. The company excluded possible additional refunds in the second half of the year from its outlook 2.

Competitive position

Lowe's competes with national and regional home improvement warehouse chains, hardware stores, general merchandise retailers, warehouse clubs and online retailers 1. Key competitive factors include store location, product assortment, pricing, stock levels and omnichannel capabilities 1.

  • The Home DepotHD

    Principal rival among national home improvement warehouse chains, named as a competing national chain in the company's markets.

  • Online and omnichannel retailers

    Online sellers offering fast delivery and comparable prices, described in the source as a growing competitive pressure.

  • Hardware, plumbing and electrical retailers

    Traditional hardware and specialty stores that compete on individual product categories.

  • Building materials distributors

    Distributors competing in the professional segment, including in the building materials area targeted by recent acquisitions.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-30 · SEC / Lowe's Companies, Inc. · 23 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Lowe's Companies, Inc. · 19 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.