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olivLaw · US equity research

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. LPLA

Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services · SIC 6200 · Vertical: Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services (SIC 6200)

300.89USD−3.40% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

LPL Financial is the largest independent broker-dealer in the United States, offering technology, self-clearing and practice management services to independent financial advisors and institutions. In 2026 the company is integrating Commonwealth, acquired for a cash payment of about $2.7 billion, and reported total assets of $2.6 trillion at June 30, 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA) stock was 300.89 USD (−3.40% on the day), with market capitalisation 23.4 bn USD, P/E 17.3 on diluted EPS of 17.43 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.40%, beta 1.14, 52-week range 265.86–393.25 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 5.3 bn USD (+17.4% YoY), net income of 356.6 m USD, diluted EPS 4.52 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
23.4 bn USD
shares as of 27 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.3
Diluted EPS TTM 17.43 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.79%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.40%
DPS 12m 1.20
Beta (2y)
1.14
Volatility (1y) 40%
52-week range
265.86393.25

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
277.27 – 345.53
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.35 · band width 21.9%
SMA 50 / 200
325.47 / 321.11
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-8.03 / -7.97
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.5%−5.9%−3.5 pp—
3 months−16.2%−4.6%−11.6 pp—
6 months−2.8%+0.2%−3.0 pp—
Year to date−15.8%+7.4%−23.2 pp—
1 year−19.7%+8.2%−27.9 pp+10.6%
3 years+36.2%+68.4%−32.2 pp+40.7%
5 years+78.9%+56.5%+22.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−32.4%
09 Feb 2026 → 28 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−33.4%
30 Jul 2025 → 28 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+12.3%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
5.3 bn USD
+17.4% YoY
Net income
356.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
4.52
unavailable YoY
net / operating
6.7% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.5 bn3.7 bn3.8 bn4.6 bn4.9 bn4.9 bn5.2 bn5.3 bn
Depreciation & amortisation92.0 m92.4 m96.2 m99.7 m105.1 m105.8 m109.8 m117.3 m
Interest expense82.0 m85.9 m105.6 m106.3 m105.6 m100.3 m101.5 m105.8 m
Pre-tax income341.3 m417.3 m368.8 m-34.1 m397.6 m484.6 m515.5 m485.1 m
Income tax70.5 m98.7 m95.6 m-4.6 m96.8 m128.2 m136.2 m128.6 m
Net income270.7 m318.6 m273.2 m-29.5 m300.7 m356.4 m379.3 m356.6 m
Diluted EPS3.59 ≈4.243.40-0.373.74 ≈4.434.744.52
Operating cash flow-178.8 m339.8 m193.3 m ≈-1.7 bn ≈785.0 m290.4 m402.0 m ≈297.1 m ≈
Capex165.5 m119.5 m137.0 m ≈142.2 m ≈171.7 m165.8 m199.4 m ≈229.7 m ≈
Dividends paid22.5 m22.4 m24.0 m ≈24.0 m ≈24.0 m24.1 m24.0 m ≈23.6 m ≈
Share repurchases100.1 m100.2 m-240.0 k ≈0 ≈00309.5 m ≈300.6 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 39 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 8.1, median 18.8, max 32.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.2 bn5.6 bn5.9 bn7.7 bn8.6 bn10.1 bn12.4 bn17.0 bn
Revenue YoY+21.2%+8.4%+4.4%+31.5%+11.4%+16.9%+23.2%+37.2%
Net income439.5 m559.9 m472.6 m459.9 m845.7 m1.1 bn1.1 bn863.0 m
Net income YoY+84.0%+27.4%−15.6%−2.7%+83.9%+26.1%−0.7%−18.5%
Diluted EPS4.856.625.865.6310.4013.6914.0310.92
Diluted EPS YoY+87.3%+36.5%−11.5%−3.9%+84.7%+31.6%+2.5%−22.2%
net %8.5%10.0%8.0%6.0%9.8%10.6%8.5%5.1%
Free cash flow448.9 m467.5 m634.4 m237.1 m1.6 bn109.3 m-284.9 m-981.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.0 bn USD
Financial debt
7.3 bn USD
Net debt
6.2 bn USD
Equity
5.3 bn USD
Total assets
18.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.36x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
20.9%
ROA
5.4%
FCF margin
-5.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
10.1 bn
2024
12.4 bn
2025
17.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
247.0 m
2024
308.5 m
2025
393.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
186.8 m
2024
274.2 m
2025
403.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
378.5 m
2024
334.3 m
2025
286.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
863.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
13.69
2024
14.03
2025
10.92

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
77.9 m
2024
75.4 m
2025
79.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.20
2024
1.20
2025
1.20

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
465.7 m
2024
967.1 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
933.1 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
671.6 m
2024
1.5 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
10.4 bn
2024
13.3 bn
2025
18.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.7 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
8.3 bn
2024
10.4 bn
2025
13.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.1 bn †
2024
2.9 bn †
2025
5.3 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
512.6 m
2024
277.6 m
2025
-411.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
403.3 m
2024
562.5 m
2025
570.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
109.3 m ≈
2024
-284.9 m ≈
2025
-981.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-860.2 m
2024
-1.6 bn
2025
-2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-208.5 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
92.2 m
2024
89.7 m
2025
94.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
1.1 bn
2024
170.1 m
2025
100.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
37.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
25.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
23.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-18.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
12.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-22.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
25.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
6.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
766.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
72.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
23.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
30.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
16.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
23.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

300.89 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 23.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
23.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
25.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
37.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

24/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2123derived 171

Score by group

58% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
266.60
USD per share
Mid
379.68
USD per share
High
454.33
USD per share
Price: 300.89 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 26.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 20.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 239.91 – 464.28 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)239.91 – 464.28 (Mid 322.11)
    WACC 8.1% · starting FCFF 1.3 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 12.5%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E293.30 – 444.37 (Mid 437.25)
    9 companies used · median multiple 25.1x · quartiles 16.8x – 25.5x
    BGC, CBOE, CME, GSIW, ICE, MRX, NDAQ, SNEX, TW
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate15.77 – 21.21 (Mid 18.09)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services (SIC 6200)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality6.8%57 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Quality72.4%61 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth25.5%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth1.6%11 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation17.3x67 (vs peers)18%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.3%54 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.0%43 (on a fixed band)11%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns9.5%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth55/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality59/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation61/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 37.2%; net margin 6.8%; ROE 25.7%.

The estimated value range is 266.60–454.33 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 379.68 USD, the price of 300.89 USD leaves a potential of 26.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 20.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 25.5%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 9.5%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 1.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services (SIC 6200) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
17.3x
vertical median 25.1x
below median (−31.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.5x
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 6.9x
below median (−83.4%)
P/B
4.0x
vertical median 3.5x
above median (+15.2%)
ROE
25.7%
vertical median 14.1%
above median (+82.1%)
Net margin
6.8%
vertical median 3.2%
above median (+114.3%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median -0.0%
Revenue YoY
37.2%
vertical median 18.9%
above median (+96.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.9x
Dividend yield
0.4%
vertical median 1.1%
below median (−63.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.97.2 bn23.714.2%29.6%+7.5%+11% / +53%
NDAQNasdaq, Inc.59.3 bn29.217.4%22.8%+11.6%+17% / +91%
CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.36.8 bn25.127.4%28.0%+15.1%+37% / +94%
LPLALPL Financial Holdings Inc.23.4 bn17.325.7%6.8%+37.2%−20% / +36%
SNEXStoneX Group Inc.6.5 bn12.321.9%0.3%+32.5%+33% / +196%
MRXMarex Group Ltd4.7 bn16.828.7%14.5%+26.9%+87% / unavailable
TOPTop Financial Group Limited438.2 m—-1.0%-23.3%+41.9%+113% / −46%
EBONEbang International Holdings Inc.182.3 m—-5.6%-215.6%+11.4%−52% / −75%
GSIWGarden Stage Limited162.5 m7.5-89.5%-190.1%+33.2%−65% / unavailable
WTFWaton Financial Limited94.5 m—-87.9%-136.7%+48.8%−41% / unavailable
STEXStreamex Corp.38.0 m—-705.4%—+122.2%−93% / −87%
SOSSOS Limited20.9 m—-22.7%-63.1%−33.3%−85% / −100%
CMECme Group Inc.—25.116.1%63.3%+6.4%+9% / +41%
TWTradeweb Markets Inc.029.914.1%39.8%+18.9%+17% / +32%
PLUTPlutus Financial Group Limited——-55.3%-377.3%+6.9%−64% / unavailable
BGCBGC Group, Inc.—25.519.5%6.0%+30.0%+20% / +61%

1- and 3-year price returns: for LPLA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
201.81
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
355.16
Total return 19% · Per year 19%
532.74
Total return 78% · Per year 78%
3 years
239.38
Total return -19% · Per year -7%
469.70
Total return 58% · Per year 16%
767.15
Total return 157% · Per year 37%
5 years
283.95
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
621.18
Total return 110% · Per year 16%
1,104.70
Total return 271% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 117.43
  • Net margin± 82.20
  • Annual revenue growth± 61.30
  • Annual dilution± 6.91

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

LPL Financial is the largest independent broker-dealer in the United States, offering technology, self-clearing and practice management services to independent financial advisors and institutions. In 2026 the company is integrating Commonwealth, acquired for a cash payment of about $2.7 billion 1, and reported total assets of $2.6 trillion at June 30, 2026 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Its position as the largest independent broker-dealer, with self-clearing and an integrated technology platform, gives the company cost advantages and control over client data 1.
  • The model without proprietary products or market-making reduces conflicts of interest, supporting its reputation with independent advisors 1.
  • Growth in advisory assets and gross profit in 2026 shows an ability to attract assets and improve operating efficiency 23.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on cash program revenue and benchmark interest rates makes profitability sensitive to monetary policy changes 1.
  • High leverage after acquisitions and a base of fixed costs limit flexibility in periods of market decline 12.
  • Brokerage assets recorded net outflows in the latest quarter, indicating pressure in the transactional segment 2.

Opportunities

  • Integrating Commonwealth and recruiting advisors from wirehouses could expand the asset base and revenue if most assets are retained 13.
  • Practice management and succession programs for advisors could generate additional revenue and retain existing advisors 1.
  • If regulation or interpretations on sweep fees become favourable, cash revenue could be sustained over the longer term 1.

Threats

  • Competition from firms with much greater resources and digital platforms could press fees and margins 1.
  • Regulatory changes or the loss of key advisors could affect growth and revenue 1.
  • Market volatility, technology outages or cybersecurity incidents could cause losses and reputational damage 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on recruiting advisorshigh

    Much revenue comes from advisor commissions and fees, so the departure of productive advisors could significantly reduce assets and revenue 1.

  • Interest rate sensitivityhigh

    Cash program revenue could fall if benchmark rates decline or if contracts with partner banks become less favourable 1.

  • Commonwealth integration riskmedium

    Conversion of Commonwealth assets could be delayed or retention could fall below estimates, affecting expected synergies 13.

  • Technology and cyber risksmedium

    Technology failures, cyberattacks or reliance on third-party providers could cause losses, litigation and sanctions 1.

  • Litigation and regulationmedium

    The company is exposed to litigation and regulatory actions by authorities and self-regulatory bodies, which could raise costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong growth in advisory assets and gross profit, together with rising recruitment, could sustain expansion if the pace holds.
  • The Commonwealth integration and a higher run-rate EBITDA estimate could bring meaningful synergies over the medium term.
  • Its leading position in the independent model and self-clearing could make it hard to match for advisors seeking autonomy.

What would break the thesis

  • Lower interest rates could reduce cash program revenue, which forms a significant part of asset-based income.
  • Brokerage net outflows and higher leverage after acquisitions could limit financial flexibility if markets weaken.
  • Competition and pressure on fees could narrow margins if the company must raise payouts to advisors.

What to watch

  • Completion of Commonwealth asset conversion and asset retention rateQ4 2026
  • Trend in cash program revenue and client cash balancesQ3 2026
  • Pace of share repurchases and the leverage ratioQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Revenue comes mainly from fees and commissions on products and advisory services, much of which is paid out to advisors, plus fees advisors pay for technology, custody, clearing, trust and reporting platforms 1. Asset-based revenue comes from insured bank sweep vehicles, money market balances and access to product providers 1. The company notes that part of its revenue is not asset-based or tied to equity markets 1.

Segments

Independent advisors and affiliation models

This is the main source of assets and revenue, since advisors in independent channels receive a larger share of fees and commissions than in captive channels, and LPL offers corporate RIA, brokerage and independent RIA platforms 1.

Institutions and Commonwealth

The institutional division supports advisors at banks, insurers and other institutions, while the Commonwealth acquisition, closed in August 2025, adds its assets to the LPL platform, with conversion expected in the fourth quarter of 2026 13.

Market context

The advisor-mediated market is contested by national and regional broker-dealers, banks, insurers, asset managers and robo-advice firms, and competitors often have much greater resources 1. Advisor migration from wirehouses to independent channels has supported the company's growth, but a slowdown in that migration could affect its growth plans 1.

Revenue depends on market levels and volatility, since declines hit both asset-based fees and transaction revenue, while bank sweep income depends on interest rates and contracts with partner banks 12.

Trends

  • Lower interest rates and cash revenueheadwind

    Revenue from client cash programs depends on benchmark rates, and continued reductions could lower the company's revenue 1.

  • Commonwealth integrationmixed

    Integrating Commonwealth could bring synergies and added revenue if assets are retained, though the company raised its run-rate EBITDA estimate and narrowed its core G&A outlook, showing progress alongside execution risk 3.

  • Resumed share repurchasesmixed

    The company resumed buybacks and approved a larger authorization, signalling a broader capital deployment that depends on leverage and liquidity 23.

  • Net outflows from brokerageheadwind

    Brokerage assets had net outflows in the second quarter of 2026 while advisory assets grew, suggesting a shift in product mix toward fee-based models 2.

Competitive position

Competition comes from national and regional broker-dealers, independent RIA firms, banks, insurers and robo-advice providers, some with far greater resources and different regulatory setups 1. Clearing-only firms may avoid supervisory liability for advisor conduct, which can give them competitive advantages 1.

Competition also plays out through technology, as rivals invest in artificial intelligence and machine learning to lower the cost of wealth management services 1. Pressure on fees could narrow margins if the company must raise payouts to advisors 1.

  • National wirehouses

    Broker-dealers with captive advisor networks that compete for experienced advisors.

  • Independent RIA firms

    Advisory firms competing with LPL for advisors and client assets, including through fixed-fee models.

  • Banks and insurance companies

    Institutions offering wealth management and investment products in direct competition for clients and advisors.

  • Robo-advice firms

    Automated advice providers that can attract clients at lower cost and influence market pricing.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 12 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / LPL Financial Holdings Inc. · 23 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / LPL Financial Holdings Inc. · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / LPL Financial Holdings Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.