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olivLaw · US equity research

McGrath RentCorp MGRC

Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC · SIC 7359 · Vertical: Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC (SIC 7359)

127.48USD−4.05% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

McGrath RentCorp rents modular classroom buildings, portable storage containers and electronic test equipment to business customers, with a model built on fast recovery of fleet investment. Consolidated revenues in fiscal 2025 were 944.2 million USD, while the pace slowed in the second quarter of 2026, making equipment sales a closely watched line.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) stock was 127.48 USD (−4.05% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.1 bn USD, P/E 19.6 on diluted EPS of 6.49 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.55%, beta 0.70, 52-week range 95.60–132.92 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 274.6 m USD (+7.1% YoY), net income of 48.8 m USD (+15.4% YoY), diluted EPS 2.00 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.1 bn USD
shares as of 27 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.6
Diluted EPS TTM 6.49 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.09%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.55%
DPS 12m 1.97
Beta (2y)
0.70
Volatility (1y) 28%
52-week range
95.60132.92

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
105.12 – 131.81
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.84 · band width 22.5%
SMA 50 / 200
114.96 / 114.39
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.97 / 2.37
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.1%−5.9%+14.0 pp—
3 months+4.7%−4.6%+9.3 pp—
6 months+11.5%+0.2%+11.3 pp—
Year to date+21.5%+7.4%+14.1 pp—
1 year+18.4%+8.2%+10.2 pp+31.5%
3 years+25.2%+68.4%−43.2 pp+42.6%
5 years+61.1%+56.5%+4.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−14.3%
04 Feb 2026 → 13 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−26.5%
12 Feb 2024 → 18 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+10.0%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
274.6 m USD
+7.1% YoY
Net income
48.8 m USD
+15.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.00
+16.3% YoY
net / operating
17.8% / 26.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue243.7 m195.4 m235.6 m256.4 m256.8 m198.5 m221.1 m274.6 m
Cost of revenue129.0 m99.0 m124.9 m137.2 m128.2 m101.7 m113.2 m143.7 m
Gross profit114.8 m96.4 m110.7 m119.3 m128.6 m96.9 m107.9 m130.9 m
SG&A51.7 m50.9 m53.5 m52.5 m54.4 m53.5 m56.4 m56.9 m
Operating income63.1 m45.6 m57.2 m66.7 m74.2 m43.4 m53.3 m73.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation26.6 m26.4 m26.3 m ≈27.0 m ≈27.4 m27.8 m28.5 m ≈29.7 m ≈
Interest expense8.9 m8.2 m7.8 m8.2 m6.5 m6.5 m7.1 m8.0 m
Pre-tax income52.0 m37.4 m49.5 m58.5 m67.7 m36.9 m46.1 m66.0 m
Income tax13.0 m9.2 m13.5 m16.2 m17.9 m9.8 m12.5 m17.2 m
Net income38.9 m28.2 m36.0 m42.3 m49.8 m27.0 m33.7 m48.8 m
Diluted EPS1.58 ≈1.151.461.722.02 ≈1.101.372.00
Operating cash flow36.8 m53.9 m55.8 m ≈65.1 m ≈80.9 m42.4 m63.3 m ≈72.3 m ≈
Capex4.2 m4.0 m17.6 m ≈11.6 m ≈11.1 m8.0 m11.4 m ≈18.6 m ≈
Dividends paid11.7 m12.1 m11.9 m ≈11.9 m ≈11.9 m12.5 m12.2 m ≈12.1 m ≈
Share repurchases—————11.9 m15.5 m ≈6.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 68 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 7.4, median 17.5, max 24.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue498.3 m570.2 m572.6 m534.6 m635.7 m831.8 m910.9 m944.2 m
Revenue YoY+7.9%+14.4%+0.4%−6.6%+18.9%+30.9%+9.5%+3.7%
Net income79.4 m96.8 m102.0 m89.7 m115.1 m174.6 m231.7 m156.3 m
Net income YoY−48.4%+21.9%+5.3%−12.0%+28.4%+51.7%+32.7%−32.5%
Diluted EPS3.243.934.163.664.707.129.436.35
Diluted EPS YoY−48.9%+21.3%+5.9%−12.0%+28.4%+51.5%+32.4%−32.7%
net %15.9%17.0%17.8%16.8%18.1%21.0%25.4%16.6%
Free cash flow127.0 m175.9 m166.8 m193.1 m176.8 m51.4 m334.1 m211.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
295.0 k USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.2 bn USD
Total assets
2.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
13.2%
ROA
6.7%
FCF margin
22.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
831.8 m
2024
910.9 m
2025
944.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
438.2 m
2024
475.5 m
2025
489.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
393.6 m
2024
435.4 m
2025
455.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
207.5 m
2024
200.4 m
2025
211.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
189.7 m
2024
244.3 m
2025
243.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
109.4 m
2024
107.5 m
2025
107.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
299.1 m ≈
2024
351.7 m ≈
2025
350.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
40.6 m
2024
47.2 m
2025
30.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
149.5 m
2024
313.6 m
2025
213.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
37.6 m
2024
81.9 m
2025
56.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
174.6 m
2024
231.7 m
2025
156.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
7.12
2024
9.43
2025
6.35

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
24.5 m
2024
24.6 m
2025
24.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.86
2024
1.90
2025
1.94

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
877.0 k
2024
807.0 k
2025
295.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
8.0 m
2024
14.3 m
2025
8.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
154.3 m
2024
182.3 m
2025
218.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
323.2 m
2024
323.2 m
2025
332.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
64.6 m
2024
54.3 m
2025
46.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
933.8 m †
2024
1.1 bn †
2025
1.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
95.3 m
2024
374.4 m
2025
255.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
44.0 m
2024
40.2 m
2025
44.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
51.4 m ≈
2024
334.1 m ≈
2025
211.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-391.9 m
2024
-150.8 m
2025
-127.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
296.4 m
2024
-223.7 m
2025
-129.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
45.6 m
2024
46.8 m
2025
47.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-32.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-32.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-36.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
48.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
37.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
25.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
22.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
30.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
23.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
8.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
258.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
49.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
209.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
131.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
72.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
9 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
3.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 74 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

127.48 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 2475derived 195

Score by group

  • Quality90
  • Growth85
  • Balance sheet100
  • Returns53
  • Valuation56

Estimated value range

Low
37.45
USD per share
Mid
52.91
USD per share
High
77.76
USD per share
Price: 127.48 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -58.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -140.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 25.49 – 121.23 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E49.40 – 121.23 (Mid 76.59)
    8 companies used · median multiple 11.8x · quartiles 7.6x – 18.7x
    AER, EQPT, KPLT, PRG, SUNB, TRTN-PA, UPBD, URI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)25.49 – 34.28 (Mid 29.24)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC (SIC 7359)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 74/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality16.8%80 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality131.7%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.1%100 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth10.5%70 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet8.7x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation19.6x33 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation6.8%84 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.6%22 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns23.2%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality90/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns53/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation56/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

McGRATH RENTCORP (MGRC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 944.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.7%; net margin 16.8%; ROE 12.9%.

The estimated value range is 37.45–77.76 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 52.91 USD, the price of 127.48 USD leaves a potential of -58.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -140.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 74/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 16.8%
  • FCF conversion: 131.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 10.5%
  • Interest coverage: 8.7x
  • FCF yield: 6.8%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 23.2%

What contradicts it

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.6%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC (SIC 7359) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
19.6x
vertical median 13.1x
above median (+49.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 8.3x
P/S
3.3x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+216.7%)
P/B
2.4x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+27.6%)
ROE
12.9%
vertical median 18.2%
below median (−29.2%)
Net margin
16.8%
vertical median 5.4%
above median (+209.6%)
EBIT margin
25.7%
vertical median 8.2%
above median (+213.6%)
Revenue YoY
3.7%
vertical median 8.3%
below median (−55.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.2x
Dividend yield
1.5%
vertical median 1.4%
above median (+9.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.64.6 bn22.630.6%16.3%+4.9%+28% / +119%
SUNBSunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.31.2 bn22.418.2%12.1%+3.4%unavailable / unavailable
AERAerCap Holdings N.V.27.7 bn7.821.1%44.0%+6.5%+24% / +144%
MGRCMcGRATH RENTCORP3.1 bn19.612.9%16.8%+3.7%+18% / +25%
TRTN-PATriton International Limited2.5 bn4.918.8%854.3%+22.4%−6% / −5%
CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.2.1 bn70.43.7%1.4%+7.9%+46% / +60%
PRGProg Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn10.520.0%5.5%+0.4%+35% / +43%
UPBDUpbound Group, Inc.1.5 bn13.115.5%2.4%+8.7%+39% / −15%
EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc1.1 bn17.47.4%1.3%+16.3%unavailable / unavailable
KPLTKatapult Holdings, Inc.49.1 m7.0—5.4%+18.0%+59% / −10%
EHGOEShallGo Inc.——-117.3%-69.4%+21.1%−66% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for MGRC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
83.23
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
146.53
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
219.87
Total return 75% · Per year 75%
3 years
97.12
Total return -19% · Per year -7%
190.77
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
311.88
Total return 152% · Per year 36%
5 years
113.32
Total return -3% · Per year -1%
248.35
Total return 107% · Per year 16%
442.39
Total return 263% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 47.69
  • Net margin± 33.38
  • Annual revenue growth± 25.09
  • Annual dilution± 2.81

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

In brief

McGrath RentCorp rents modular classroom buildings, portable storage containers and electronic test equipment to business customers, with a model built on fast recovery of fleet investment. Consolidated revenues in fiscal 2025 were 944.2 million USD, while the pace slowed in the second quarter of 2026, making equipment sales a closely watched line.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading position in classroom modular rental in California and Florida, and a maintained fleet with good residual value on sale 1.
  • Business model in which investment is recovered quickly through rents, supported by maintenance that extends equipment life 1.
  • Long history of annual dividend increases, described as a rare distinction among listed companies 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on public school funding makes revenues sensitive to state budget changes 2.
  • Sales revenues are hard to predict and fell in the second quarter of 2026 3.
  • The container division saw margins pressured by transport and preparation costs 3.

Opportunities

  • Growth in demand from data center projects could support the TRS-RenTelco division 3.
  • Regional expansion and large commercial projects can grow the installed customer base 3.
  • If modular fleet utilization keeps improving, operating efficiency could lift margins 3.

Threats

  • Cuts in school funding or smaller class programs could reduce demand for modular buildings 2.
  • Weak commercial construction activity could keep pressure on container revenues 3.
  • Supply chain disruptions or higher prices for new equipment could affect costs 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on school budgetshigh

    A large part of modular revenue depends on public school funding. Changes in state budgets could directly affect demand and pricing 2.

  • Residual value riskmedium

    Resale value of used equipment can fall below book value, and sales below projections would weigh on results 1.

  • Supplier dependencemedium

    The company has no long-term purchase contracts with suppliers and relies on third parties to build equipment to its specifications 1.

  • Acquisitions and integrationmedium

    Future acquisitions could bring integration difficulties, goodwill impairment and pressure on borrowing capacity 1.

  • Leadership transitionlow

    The change of chief executive could create uncertainty among investors, customers and employees during the handover 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the rental divisions keep growing and fleet utilization improves, results could support the revised 2026 outlook 3.
  • Demand from data center projects and large commercial jobs could sustain growth at TRS-RenTelco and Mobile Modular 3.
  • The fleet model, with long asset lives and quick investment recovery, provides a base of cash generation for capital spending and dividends 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If school funding falls or projects are delayed, demand for classroom modulars could weaken significantly 2.
  • The drop in equipment sales in the second quarter of 2026 shows that revenues can be volatile from one quarter to the next 3.
  • Container margins have been squeezed by costs, and weak construction activity could prolong that pressure 3.

What to watch

  • Delivery against the revised full-year revenue and Adjusted EBITDA outlooknext 10-Q
  • Timing of delayed equipment sales at Enviroplex and Mobile Modular, shifted into the second halfQ3 2026
  • Recovery in commercial construction activity for the Portable Storage division2026
  • Public school funding budgets and their effect on modular demandnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

The business

McGrath RentCorp is a business-to-business rental company based in Livermore, California, listed on NASDAQ under the symbol MGRC. It has three rental divisions: relocatable modular buildings, portable storage containers and electronic test equipment. Rental is the primary emphasis, though equipment sales occur in the normal course of business. The model relies on recovering investment quickly through rents, followed by sales of equipment that have recovered a high share of the original cost 1.

The operating structure rests on large regional sales and inventory centers that spread costs across a broad installed customer base. The company had 1,306 employees at year-end 2025, with no collective bargaining agreements 1. In February 2026 the chief executive's retirement was announced and the role passed to the former chief operating officer 1.

Segments

Mobile Modular

The largest segment, renting and selling modular buildings, especially classrooms for public and private schools in California, Florida and Texas. It contributed 66% of pre-tax income in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 rental revenues rose 2% while sales fell 23% 3.

TRS-RenTelco

The electronic test equipment rental division, serving customers in aerospace, defense, communications and semiconductors. Its share of pre-tax income rose to 16% in 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 rental revenues grew 17%, helped by projects supporting new data centers 3.

Portable Storage

Rental of steel storage containers, with demand tied to construction and commercial activity. In the second quarter of 2026 rental revenues were flat and margins were pressured by higher equipment preparation and trucking costs 3.

Market context

The US modular building rental market has equipment on rent or available for rent with an aggregate original cost of over 5.0 billion USD 1. Educational demand depends on shifting school populations, state construction funding and class size policies. If school funding falls, temporary classroom projects could be postponed, while schools may prefer modular solutions over permanent construction 2.

For containers and test equipment, demand follows construction, energy, manufacturing and communications infrastructure cycles. Management's 2026 outlook calls for total revenue between 955 and 985 million USD and Adjusted EBITDA between 363 and 375 million USD 3.

Trends

  • Public school fundingmixed

    State funding and class size reduction programs directly drive demand for modular classrooms. Changes in funding could affect revenues from this segment 2.

  • Data center projectstailwind

    Projects for new data centers supported profitable growth at TRS-RenTelco in the second quarter of 2026 3.

  • Commercial construction activityheadwind

    Soft construction activity limited Portable Storage revenues and kept pressure on margins 3.

  • Timing of equipment salesheadwind

    Delays in several sales projects moved revenue into the second half of the year, making sales harder to forecast quarter to quarter 3.

Competitive position

The company describes the modular building market as service-intensive and locally based, where fleet quality, delivery speed and customer support are key factors 1. Specific competitors are not named in the source texts, so the analysis is limited to the factors the company lists.

In containers and test equipment, the company's advantage comes from operating scale and the ability to redeploy equipment quickly. Transport and preparation costs can, however, narrow that advantage in weaker periods 3.

  • WillScot Mobile Mini

    Company named in the source texts as party to a merger agreement terminated in 2024; the sources do not confirm a US listing.

  • Regional classroom modular providers

    Local competition in the states where the company operates, described through the need for local regulatory expertise and regional presence.

  • Portable storage container rental firms

    Competitors in the portable container segment, where the company cites presence in construction and commercial markets.

  • Electronic test equipment providers

    Competitors in the TRS-RenTelco division serving aerospace, defense and semiconductor customers; not named in the source texts.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / McGrath RentCorp · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / McGrath RentCorp · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / McGrath RentCorp · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.