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olivLaw · US equity research

Triton International Limited TRTN-PA

Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC · SIC 7359 · Vertical: Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC (SIC 7359)

24.43USD−1.29% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Triton International Limited is the world's largest lessor of intermodal containers, with an owned and managed fleet of more than 7.0 million twenty-foot equivalent units. Leasing revenues fell in 2025 as demand weakened and new container prices stayed low, which matters for the global freight sector.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Triton International Limited (TRTN-PA) stock was 24.43 USD (−1.29% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.5 bn USD, P/E 2.3 on diluted EPS of 10.50 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.06, 52-week range 24.43–26.42 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2025): net income of 508.4 m USD (−1.9% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.5 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
2.3
Diluted EPS TTM 10.50 · TTM to 30 Jun 2023
E/P (TTM)
42.97%
TTM to 30 Jun 2023
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
0.06
Volatility (1y) 8%
52-week range
24.4326.42

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
28.8
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
24.57 – 25.78
below the lower band · %B -0.11 · band width 4.8%
SMA 50 / 200
25.49 / 25.78
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.23 / -0.15
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−4.5%−5.9%+1.5 pp—
3 months−6.7%−4.6%−2.1 pp—
6 months−6.0%+0.2%−6.2 pp—
Year to date−4.6%+7.4%−12.1 pp—
1 year−3.9%+8.2%−12.1 pp+31.5%
3 years−4.2%+68.4%−72.7 pp+42.6%
5 years−12.9%+56.5%−69.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−7.5%
04 Sept 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−15.1%
10 Nov 2021 → 12 Apr 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−2.7%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Revenue
unavailable USD
unavailable YoY
Net income
508.4 m USD
−1.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
unavailable / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '23Q3 '23Q4 '23Q1 '24Q2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q4 '25
Revenue26.4 m35.0 m15.5 m10.1 m14.0 m11.5 m13.0 m—
Cost of revenue24.5 m30.5 m15.1 m9.8 m12.0 m10.4 m12.1 m—
Gross profit1.9 m4.5 m408.0 k377.0 k1.9 m1.1 m944.0 k—
Operating income213.1 m141.0 m193.1 m199.7 m152.0 m233.4 m241.5 m—
Depreciation & amortisation146.9 m141.4 m138.8 m136.1 m135.5 m135.0 m134.9 m—
Interest expense57.3 m60.1 m64.6 m61.5 m61.4 m67.4 m69.7 m—
Pre-tax income156.1 m81.1 m128.6 m138.4 m90.6 m166.1 m172.0 m—
Income tax14.3 m11.4 m15.8 m12.8 m13.2 m15.4 m7.4 m—
Net income141.8 m69.7 m474.1 m125.5 m77.4 m150.7 m518.2 m508.4 m
Diluted EPS2.34———————
Operating cash flow304.8 m ≈255.3 m ≈287.3 m257.5 m267.7 m ≈342.9 m ≈245.3 m—
Capex84.2 m31.8 m56.9 m74.3 m293.9 m298.2 m——
Dividends paid38.3 m ≈38.3 m ≈2.0 k200.0 m0 ≈-200.0 m ≈0—

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 17 percentile of its own 18-quarter history (min 2.2, median 4.9, max 7.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue83.0 m84.0 m85.8 m143.0 m147.9 m96.0 m48.6 m59.5 m
Revenue YoY+121.9%+1.1%+2.1%+66.7%+3.4%−35.1%−49.3%+22.4%
Net income356.7 m353.3 m329.8 m530.2 m746.9 m474.1 m518.2 m508.4 m
Net income YoY+0.9%−1.0%−6.7%+60.8%+40.9%−36.5%+9.3%−1.9%
Diluted EPS4.354.544.167.2211.19unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoY−3.8%+4.4%−8.4%+73.6%+55.0%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %429.5%420.6%384.4%370.9%505.1%493.9%1,065.4%854.3%
Free cash flow-609.3 m821.7 m199.6 m-2.0 bn941.8 m942.0 munavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
40.3 m USD
Financial debt
6.6 bn USD
Net debt
6.6 bn USD
Equity
2.6 bn USD
Total assets
9.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
2.56x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
18.8%
ROA
4.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
96.0 m
2024
48.6 m
2025
59.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
88.1 m
2024
44.3 m
2025
57.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
7.9 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
768.7 m
2024
826.6 m
2025
817.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
575.6 m
2024
541.5 m
2025
386.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
1.4 bn ≈
2025
1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
240.8 m
2024
259.9 m
2025
263.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
528.6 m
2024
567.0 m
2025
553.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
54.5 m
2024
48.8 m
2025
45.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
474.1 m
2024
518.2 m
2025
508.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Feb 2023verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Feb 2023verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.10
2024
2.10
2025
0.00

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
57.8 m
2024
58.2 m
2025
40.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
236.7 m
2024
236.7 m
2025
236.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
11.2 bn
2024
11.1 bn
2025
9.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
7.5 bn
2024
7.7 bn
2025
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
8.3 bn
2024
8.3 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
101.2 m
2025
101.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
972.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
208.2 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Free cash flow
2023
942.0 m ≈
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024derived

Investing cash flow
2023
144.3 m
2024
-555.1 m
2025
-773.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.3 bn
2024
-537.8 m
2025
-220.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
115.6 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
129.8 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
22.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-26.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
9.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
2,023.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
1,373.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
854.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
18.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
6.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
5.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
3.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
972.1 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
80.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
9.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
4.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
4.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
20.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
41.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
7.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
11.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
151.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 46 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

24.43 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
4.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
7.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
18.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
854.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 20 Feb 2026
verified 1265derived 123

Score by group

  • Quality69
  • Growth0
  • Balance sheet9
  • Returns0
  • Valuation90

Estimated value range

Low
41.78
USD per share
Mid
56.28
USD per share
High
69.53
USD per share
Price: 24.43 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 130.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 56.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 34.24 – 102.21 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA34.24 – 36.85 (Mid 35.84)
    3 companies used · median multiple 8.5x · quartiles 8.3x – 8.6x
    CTOS, PRG, SUNB
  • Peers: P/E49.31 – 102.21 (Mid 76.72)
    8 companies used · median multiple 15.3x · quartiles 9.8x – 20.3x
    AER, EQPT, KPLT, MGRC, PRG, SUNB, UPBD, URI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC (SIC 7359)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 46/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality7.7%50 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality854.3%100 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-26.2%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.5x0 (vs peers)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.1x25 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation4.9x100 (vs peers)15%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation7.5x80 (vs peers)15%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet9/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality69/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation90/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TRITON INTERNATIONAL LIMITED (TRTN-PA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 59.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 22.4%; net margin 854.3%; ROE 18.8%; net debt/EBITDA 5.5x.

The estimated value range is 41.78–69.53 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 56.28 USD, the price of 24.43 USD leaves a potential of 130.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 56.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 46/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 854.3%
  • P/E (TTM): 4.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 7.5x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -26.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 5.5x
  • Interest coverage: 3.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Current ratio, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC (SIC 7359) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
4.9x
vertical median 17.4x
below median (−72.1%)
EV/EBITDA
7.5x
vertical median 8.5x
below median (−11.3%)
P/S
41.5x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+3,926.4%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−56.2%)
ROE
18.8%
vertical median 15.5%
above median (+21.6%)
Net margin
854.3%
vertical median 5.4%
above median (+15,686.3%)
EBIT margin
1,373.5%
vertical median 8.2%
above median (+16,633.7%)
Revenue YoY
22.4%
vertical median 7.2%
above median (+211.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.5x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+99.8%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.4%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.64.6 bn22.630.6%16.3%+4.9%+28% / +119%
SUNBSunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.31.2 bn22.418.2%12.1%+3.4%unavailable / unavailable
AERAerCap Holdings N.V.27.7 bn7.821.1%44.0%+6.5%+24% / +144%
MGRCMcGRATH RENTCORP3.1 bn19.612.9%16.8%+3.7%+24% / +25%
TRTN-PATriton International Limited2.5 bn4.918.8%854.3%+22.4%−4% / −4%
CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.2.1 bn70.43.7%1.4%+7.9%+46% / +60%
PRGProg Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn10.520.0%5.5%+0.4%+35% / +43%
UPBDUpbound Group, Inc.1.5 bn13.115.5%2.4%+8.7%+39% / −15%
EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc1.1 bn17.47.4%1.3%+16.3%unavailable / unavailable
KPLTKatapult Holdings, Inc.49.1 m7.0—5.4%+18.0%+59% / −10%
EHGOEShallGo Inc.——-117.3%-69.4%+21.1%−66% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for TRTN-PA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
13.06
Total return -47% · Per year -47%
23.21
Total return -5% · Per year -5%
35.12
Total return 44% · Per year 44%
3 years
10.37
Total return -58% · Per year -25%
20.95
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
35.12
Total return 44% · Per year 13%
5 years
8.24
Total return -66% · Per year -20%
18.90
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
35.12
Total return 44% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 5.24
  • Net margin± 3.67
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.31
  • Annual dilution± 0.31

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (18 Aug 2026), 6-K (31 Jul 2026), 6-K (28 Apr 2026).

In brief

Triton International Limited is the world's largest lessor of intermodal containers, with an owned and managed fleet of more than 7.0 million twenty-foot equivalent units 1. Leasing revenues fell in 2025 as demand weakened and new container prices stayed low, which matters for the global freight sector 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is the world's largest container lessor, with a very large fleet and a global network of offices and depots 1.
  • Most of the fleet is on long-term leases, which provides predictable recurring cash flows 1.
  • Long-standing relationships with the largest customers and high fleet utilization support revenue stability 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on a small number of large shipping lines means a default by one major customer could have a material impact 1.
  • Used container disposal gains depend on market prices, which fell during 2025 1.
  • The company carries substantial debt, and interest and debt expense remained significant in 2025 1.

Opportunities

  • A recovery in trade volumes and container investment could support new leasing contracts 1.
  • The 2025 acquisition of GCI shows that acquisitions can add fleet capacity 1.
  • Managing containers owned by others can generate fee income without large capital outlays 1.

Threats

  • Trade tensions and tariffs could reduce trade volumes and container demand 1.
  • A return to Suez Canal routing could create a container surplus and pressure rates 1.
  • Intense competition and customers choosing to buy rather than lease could reduce investment and margins 1.

Risks

  • Weaker global tradehigh

    A slowdown in world trade caused by recession or adverse macroeconomic conditions could reduce leasing demand, utilization and resale prices 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Tariffs and protectionist measures could reduce trade volumes and container demand, especially between the United States and China 1.

  • Customer default riskmedium

    Dependence on a few large shipping lines means a default by a major customer could significantly affect results 1.

  • Competition and lease ratesmedium

    Strong competition can lower lease rates and margins, and falling new container prices could add to that pressure 1.

  • Geopolitics and shipping routesmedium

    Military conflicts and disruption of Red Sea and Russia-related routes could affect trade and results, and a return to normal routing could create a container surplus 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If container demand and investment recover, the company could benefit from better lease rates and high fleet utilization 1.
  • Long-term leases provide predictable cash flows that could support results even in weaker periods 1.
  • Its position as the global leader and long relationships with customers could help it gain share if competitors weaken 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If trade tensions persist, container demand could stay weak and leasing rates could fall further 1.
  • A container surplus after routes through the Red Sea normalize could reduce utilization and resale prices 1.
  • Customers choosing to buy containers rather than lease them could permanently reduce leasing investment opportunities 1.

What to watch

  • Fleet utilization and leasing rates for new and used containersQ1 2026
  • Results of used container disposals and trading margins2026
  • Developments in US-China tariffs and their effect on container demand2026
  • Return of container routing through the Suez Canal and effect on surplusnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (18 Aug 2026), 6-K (31 Jul 2026), 6-K (28 Apr 2026).

The business

Triton is a Bermuda holding company whose operations run through subsidiaries, leasing intermodal containers and chassis used to move freight by ship, rail and truck 1. Its main customers are the world's largest container shipping lines, and it runs a global network of offices and third-party depots 1. Since the September 2023 merger it is privately held through Thanos Holdings Limited, a subsidiary of Brookfield Infrastructure, although its preference shares remain listed on the NYSE 12.

Segments

Equipment leasing

The leasing segment owns, leases and disposes of containers and chassis, and also manages containers owned by others for management fees 1. Leasing revenues, including per diem, fee and finance lease income, are the company's main source of income 1.

Equipment trading

The trading segment buys new and used containers from shipping lines and other sellers and resells them to retailers and storage or one-way users 1. Trading margins are thin and depend on volumes, selling prices and selling costs 1.

Market context

Container demand depends largely on world trade and economic growth, and lessors owned about 47% of the total worldwide container fleet at the end of 2025 1. Leasing rates follow new equipment prices, which are heavily influenced by steel prices, along with interest rates and the supply and demand balance 1.

Trends

  • Tariffs and trade tensionsheadwind

    Tariffs and trade tensions between the United States and China reduced trade volumes and container demand in 2025, and could continue to weigh if relations stay strained 1.

  • Red Sea reroutingmixed

    Container demand was lifted in 2024 and 2025 by rerouting around the Suez Canal, and a return to normal routing could create a container surplus and lower leasing rates 1.

  • Low new container pricesheadwind

    Low new container prices led to historically low leasing rates in 2025 and reduced gains on used container sales, which could weigh on profitability if conditions persist 1.

  • Customers buying instead of leasingheadwind

    In 2025 shipping lines significantly reduced their reliance on leasing for new container additions, leading to low industry investment and heavier competition for leasing deals 1.

Competitive position

Container leasing is highly competitive, with several major leasing companies, many smaller lessors, equipment financing companies and manufacturers who sometimes lease directly to shipping lines 1. Some competitors have greater financial resources or lower return expectations, which could pressure lease rates and margins 1.

  • Major container leasing companies

    The source refers to several major leasing companies competing directly with Triton for the same lease transactions, without naming them 1.

  • Smaller container lessors

    The source refers to many smaller lessors that can build up underutilized inventory and push down lease rates 1.

  • Equipment financing companies

    Equipment financing companies compete with Triton by offering leasing and financing directly to shipping line customers 1.

  • Container equipment manufacturers

    Manufacturers of container equipment can lease and finance containers directly with shipping lines, making them competitors 1.

News & filings

In the press

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Triton International Limited · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Triton International Limited · 01 Aug 2023

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.