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olivLaw · US equity research

The Manitowoc Company, Inc. MTW

Construction Machinery & Equip · SIC 3531 · Vertical: Construction Machinery & Equip (SIC 3531)

23.20USD−2.52% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Manitowoc Company is a global maker of cranes, from crawler and tower cranes to mobile hydraulic cranes, plus aftermarket services meant to reduce its reliance on new machine sales. In the second quarter of 2026 orders rose sharply and the company raised its full-year guidance, a sign that demand for lifting equipment remains firm. Annual net sales were 2.2 billion USD in fiscal 2025, and 2026 guidance is 2.3 to 2.4 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) stock was 23.20 USD (−2.52% on the day), with market capitalisation 837.7 m USD, P/E 32.6 on diluted EPS of 0.71 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.61, 52-week range 10.31–23.80 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 613.8 m USD (+10.9% YoY), net income of 11.0 m USD (+120.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.30 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
837.7 m USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
32.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.71 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.07%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.61
Volatility (1y) 52%
52-week range
10.3123.80

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
21.15 – 23.90
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.74 · band width 12.2%
SMA 50 / 200
21.80 / 15.70
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.50 / 0.44
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.3%−1.1%−0.2 pp—
3 months+62.8%−0.5%+63.3 pp—
6 months+74.7%+4.4%+70.3 pp—
Year to date+93.5%+12.3%+81.2 pp—
1 year+131.5%+13.5%+118.0 pp+13.1%
3 years+71.1%+76.4%−5.3 pp+21.9%
5 years+4.6%+63.7%−59.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.1%
10 Feb 2026 → 20 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−68.0%
08 Nov 2021 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
613.8 m USD
+10.9% YoY
Net income
11.0 m USD
+120.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.30
+114.3% YoY
net / operating
1.8% / 5.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue596.0 m470.9 m539.5 m553.4 m677.1 m494.6 m594.9 m613.8 m
Cost of revenue500.8 m381.1 m440.5 m450.8 m563.8 m399.3 m471.8 m492.0 m
Gross profit95.2 m89.8 m99.0 m102.6 m113.3 m95.3 m123.1 m121.8 m
Operating income16.2 m5.3 m9.8 m18.5 m20.2 m3.1 m31.1 m31.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation15.4 m14.8 m14.6 m14.9 m15.4 m15.0 m14.6 m14.8 m
Pre-tax income9.4 m-8.8 m1.3 m7.5 m12.4 m-9.3 m21.4 m18.8 m
Income tax-47.3 m-2.5 m-200.0 k2.5 m5.4 m-3.3 m7.2 m7.8 m
Net income56.7 m-6.3 m1.5 m5.0 m7.0 m-6.0 m14.2 m11.0 m
Diluted EPS1.53 ≈-0.180.040.140.19 ≈-0.170.390.30
Operating cash flow112.4 m12.9 m-67.7 m ≈-14.1 m ≈91.1 m27.4 m8.0 m ≈-33.2 m ≈
Capex11.3 m10.8 m6.0 m ≈7.9 m ≈12.8 m8.2 m14.1 m ≈8.9 m ≈
Dividends paid00000000
Share repurchases0——0 ≈0———

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 67 percentile of its own 24-quarter history (min 4.6, median 25.8, max 178.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.8 bn1.8 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn
Revenue YoY+16.8%−0.7%−21.3%+19.2%+18.2%+9.6%−2.2%+2.9%
Net income-67.1 m46.6 m-19.1 m11.0 m-123.6 m39.2 m55.8 m7.2 m
Net income YoY−813.8%unavailable−141.0%unavailable−1,223.6%unavailable+42.3%−87.1%
Diluted EPS-1.891.31-0.550.31-3.511.091.560.20
Diluted EPS YoY−826.9%unavailable−142.0%unavailable−1,232.3%unavailable+43.1%−87.2%
net %-3.6%2.5%-1.3%0.6%-6.1%1.8%2.6%0.3%
Free cash flow-544.7 m-88.4 m-61.4 m35.8 m15.1 m-14.4 m3.5 m-15.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
77.3 m USD
Financial debt
478.9 m USD
Net debt
401.6 m USD
Equity
695.2 m USD
Total assets
1.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.69x
Current ratio
2.23x
ROE
1.1%
ROA
0.4%
FCF margin
-0.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
425.2 m
2024
375.0 m
2025
404.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
35.3 m
2024
41.1 m
2025
55.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
92.4 m
2024
51.8 m
2025
53.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
56.6 m
2024
59.8 m
2025
59.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
149.0 m ≈
2024
111.6 m ≈
2025
113.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
44.2 m
2024
11.7 m
2025
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
5.0 m
2024
-44.1 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
39.2 m
2024
55.8 m
2025
7.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.09
2024
1.56
2025
0.20

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
36.0 m
2024
35.7 m
2025
36.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
34.4 m
2024
48.0 m
2025
77.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
278.8 m
2024
260.3 m
2025
281.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
666.5 m
2024
609.4 m
2025
683.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.0 bn
2024
958.9 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
366.1 m
2024
346.2 m
2025
343.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
79.6 m
2024
77.8 m
2025
79.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
125.6 m
2024
118.5 m
2025
125.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
457.4 m
2024
389.4 m
2025
401.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
13.4 m
2024
13.1 m
2025
13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
373.7 m
2024
395.4 m
2025
465.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
563.3 m
2024
474.3 m
2025
491.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
603.3 m
2024
640.1 m
2025
695.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
63.0 m
2024
49.2 m
2025
22.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
77.4 m
2024
45.7 m
2025
37.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-14.4 m ≈
2024
3.5 m ≈
2025
-15.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-71.8 m
2024
-40.4 m
2025
-49.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-21.4 m
2024
6.7 m
2025
54.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
5.5 m
2024
5.7 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-87.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-87.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-537.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-47.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
93.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
44.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
49.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
188.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
63.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
154 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
90 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
110 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
837.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
790.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
32.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
32.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
17.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 65 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

23.20 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 837.7 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
837.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
32.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2715derived 151

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation74
  • Quality56
  • Growth28
  • Returns40

Estimated value range

Low
27.47
USD per share
Mid
34.73
USD per share
High
38.42
USD per share
Price: 23.20 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 49.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 33.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 16.51 – 43.82 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA38.43 – 43.82 (Mid 40.30)
    3 companies used · median multiple 9.6x · quartiles 9.2x – 10.5x
    AEBI, ASTE, PLOW
  • Peers: P/E16.51 – 33.02 (Mid 29.17)
    5 companies used · median multiple 41.0x · quartiles 23.2x – 46.4x
    AEBI, ASTE, CAT, CNH, PLOW
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Construction Machinery & Equip (SIC 3531)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 65/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality7.9%45 (on a fixed band)12%
Net margin · Quality1.1%29 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality188.2%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.3%28 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.3x100 (on a fixed band)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.1x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation32.6x60 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.4x87 (on a fixed band)12%
FCF yield · Valuation5.9%74 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial28/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality56/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation74/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.9%; net margin 1.1%; ROE 3.8%; net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.

The estimated value range is 27.47–38.42 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 34.73 USD, the price of 23.20 USD leaves a potential of 49.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 33.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 65/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 188.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.3x
  • Current ratio: 2.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 5.4x
  • FCF yield: 5.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 1.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 3.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Construction Machinery & Equip (SIC 3531) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
32.6x
vertical median 41.0x
below median (−20.5%)
EV/EBITDA
5.4x
vertical median 10.5x
below median (−48.5%)
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−49.0%)
P/B
1.2x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−25.9%)
ROE
3.8%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−6.0%)
Net margin
1.1%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−35.6%)
EBIT margin
3.6%
vertical median 8.1%
below median (−55.3%)
Revenue YoY
2.9%
vertical median 8.1%
below median (−64.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.3x
vertical median 3.2x
below median (−110.3%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.4%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CATCaterpillar Inc270.6 bn23.256.1%15.2%+4.3%+3% / +136%
CNHCnh Industrial N.V.14.5 bn47.04.0%1.7%−8.8%+24% / +9%
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.904.9 m46.42.9%1.3%+8.1%−11% / +26%
AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AG902.5 m41.03.6%1.1%+40.6%−2% / unavailable
PLOWDouglas Dynamics, Inc879.7 m13.822.2%8.7%+15.4%+18% / +40%
MTWThe Manitowoc Company, Inc.837.7 m32.63.8%1.1%+2.9%+132% / +71%
CMCOColumbus McKinnon Corporation537.7 m—-30.8%-19.6%+23.9%+13% / −47%
GENCGencor Industries, Inc.——6.9%13.5%+2.0%+31% / +17%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MTW from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
13.81
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
24.44
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
36.83
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
13.09
Total return -44% · Per year -17%
26.08
Total return 12% · Per year 4%
43.20
Total return 86% · Per year 23%
5 years
12.40
Total return -47% · Per year -12%
27.83
Total return 20% · Per year 4%
50.67
Total return 118% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.52
  • Net margin± 4.56
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.79
  • Annual dilution± 0.38

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

The Manitowoc Company is a global maker of cranes, from crawler and tower cranes to mobile hydraulic cranes, plus aftermarket services meant to reduce its reliance on new machine sales. In the second quarter of 2026 orders rose sharply and the company raised its full-year guidance, a sign that demand for lifting equipment remains firm. Annual net sales were 2.2 billion USD in fiscal 2025, and 2026 guidance is 2.3 to 2.4 billion USD 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Long-established brands and a global service and distribution network support strong customer relationships and good resale values for machines 1.
  • Growth in non-new machine sales shows the CRANES+50 strategy is beginning to produce results, with revenue steadier than new machine sales 13.
  • Record backlog and rising orders in the second quarter of 2026 give visibility into future sales 23.

Weaknesses

  • The company carries significant leverage, with debt including second lien notes due 2031 and a partly drawn ABL revolving facility 1.
  • The EURAF segment continues to post operating losses, pointing to profitability problems in Europe 1.
  • Operating cash flow was weak in 2025, hit by a large payment to settle a matter with the EPA 1.

Opportunities

  • Expanding services, the rental fleet and distribution agreements, such as the one with Hiab, could grow aftermarket revenue 1.
  • Demand from data centers, semiconductor fabrication and energy projects could generate new crane orders 12.
  • Developing new products for Belt and Road regions and the Middle East could open growing markets 1.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and a trade war could raise costs and weigh on demand, especially if new retaliatory measures are imposed 1.
  • Chinese competitors offering lower prices could limit the company's margins 1.
  • A construction slowdown or higher interest rates could reduce demand and affect customers' ability to finance purchases 1.

Risks

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    US tariffs and retaliation by other countries can raise the cost of materials and components, and the company may not always pass these costs on to customers 1.

  • Cyclical demandhigh

    Crane sales depend on construction activity and economic conditions, and a slowdown could sharply affect revenue and profitability 1.

  • Leveragemedium

    Total debt rose in 2025, and interest costs and refinancing needs could limit financial flexibility 1.

  • Raw materials and sourcingmedium

    Dependence on steel and certain suppliers can lead to higher costs or delays in deliveries 1.

  • International operationsmedium

    Operations outside the United States, which account for almost half of sales, are exposed to political, currency and regulatory risks 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong order growth and the record backlog in the second quarter of 2026 could support continued sales growth in the second half of the year 23.
  • The raised 2026 guidance and tariff refunds could improve profitability if the trend holds 3.
  • The CRANES+50 strategy and growing non-new machine sales could reduce revenue volatility over the long term 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could return in other forms, affecting costs and demand even after the refunds received so far 12.
  • High debt and weak operating cash flow in 2025 could limit the company's ability to invest or to respond to a slowdown 1.
  • The EURAF segment remains at an operating loss, and Chinese competition could pressure prices in several markets 1.

What to watch

  • Conversion of backlog into sales and quarterly gross marginQ3 2026
  • Evolution of US tariffs and any further refundsQ3 2026
  • Delivery against the raised 2026 guidance (sales of 2.3 to 2.4 billion USD)2026
  • Operating losses in the EURAF segment and European profitabilitynext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Founded in 1902 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Manitowoc designs, manufactures and distributes cranes under the Grove, Manitowoc, National Crane, Potain and Shuttlelift brands through wholly-owned subsidiaries 1. The company covers both products and services: lattice-boom crawler cranes, tower cranes and mobile hydraulic cranes, as well as parts, technical support, remanufacturing and telematics. Under its CRANES+50 strategy, launched in 2021, it aims to become a provider of complete lifting solutions rather than only a machine maker 1.

Aftermarket sales and new machine sales are complementary: the company says non-new machine sales are less capital intensive, more profitable and less cyclical than new machine sales 1. This explains its investment in the rental fleet, the service network and the ServiceMax digital platform, launched in 2025 1.

The company operates nine manufacturing facilities, and its products are sold mainly through global networks of independent distributors and rental companies, with its own distribution network, MGX Equipment Services, in certain parts of the United States 1. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales in 2023-2025 1.

Segments

EURAF

The EURAF segment, covering Europe and Africa excluding the Middle East, had net sales of 667.2 million USD in 2025, up 8.3%, driven by more new tower crane shipments, but it remained at an operating loss 1.

Market context

Manitowoc cranes are used in commercial and residential construction, infrastructure, energy, data centers, semiconductor fabrication and petrochemical industries 1. Demand depends on general economic activity, the availability of financing, crude oil prices and government infrastructure spending, and construction customers may postpone purchases in favor of repairing existing machinery 1.

In the second quarter of 2026 orders rose in all three segments, which points to strong interest in the market, although management describes the environment as still dynamic 23. If this trend holds, it could support the raised 2026 guidance.

Trends

  • US tariffs and IEEPA refundsmixed

    US tariffs, including 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum derivative products, raised component costs. In the second quarter of 2026 the company received IEEPA tariff refunds that produced a net benefit, but tariffs remain a source of uncertainty 12.

  • Rising orders and backlogtailwind

    Orders and backlog have grown significantly, which could support sales in coming periods if conversion of backlog into revenue proceeds as expected 23.

  • Growth in non-new machine salestailwind

    Non-new machine sales, which are less cyclical and more profitable, keep growing and sit at the center of the CRANES+50 strategy, which could reduce dependence on capital spending cycles 13.

  • Raw material costs and supply chain problemsheadwind

    Higher steel prices, logistics constraints and geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East could raise costs and delay deliveries, especially in Europe 12.

Competitive position

The market is highly competitive, with global players such as Liebherr, Terex and Tadano, and Chinese manufacturers that can offer lower prices 1. The company suggests its advantages are strong brands with competitive resale values, a reputation for quality, its distribution network and aftermarket support 1.

  • Liebherr

    Competitor in tower cranes and mobile telescopic cranes, listed in the company's competitor table 1.

  • TerexTEX

    Competitor in tower and mobile telescopic cranes, named as a primary rival 1.

  • Tadano

    Competitor in mobile telescopic cranes, named in the company's sources 1.

  • Zoomlion

    Chinese competitor in tower and mobile cranes, listed among the main rivals 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / The Manitowoc Company, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / The Manitowoc Company, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Manitowoc Company, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.