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olivLaw · US equity research

Newell Brands Inc. NWL

Plastics Products, NEC · SIC 3089 · Vertical: Plastics Products, NEC (SIC 3089)

5.86USD+4.09% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Newell Brands is a global consumer goods group whose brands include Rubbermaid, Sharpie, Graco, Coleman and Yankee Candle, sold in over 150 countries. The company is in the middle of a multi-year turnaround and reported in the second quarter of 2026 its first sales growth after more than four years, so margin and cash flow trends are being followed closely.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) stock was 5.86 USD (+4.09% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.5 bn USD, dividend yield 4.78%, beta 1.48, 52-week range 3.11–6.36 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.9 bn USD (+3.7% YoY), net income of -81.0 m USD (−485.7% YoY), diluted EPS -0.19 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.5 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.80 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-13.59%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.78%
DPS 12m 0.28
Beta (2y)
1.48
Volatility (1y) 64%
52-week range
3.116.36

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.11 – 5.99
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.85 · band width 16.0%
SMA 50 / 200
5.66 / 4.85
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.01 / -0.05
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+6.9%−1.1%+8.0 pp—
3 months−5.0%−0.5%−4.6 pp—
6 months+26.8%+4.4%+22.4 pp—
Year to date+57.5%+12.3%+45.2 pp—
1 year+86.6%+13.5%+73.1 pp+16.1%
3 years−15.3%+76.4%−91.7 pp+49.6%
5 years−75.7%+63.7%−139.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.2%
20 Feb 2026 → 02 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−88.1%
15 Feb 2022 → 06 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−24.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.9 bn USD
+3.7% YoY
Net income
-81.0 m USD
−485.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.19
−480.0% YoY
net / operating
-4.3% / 1.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.9 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn1.5 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn
Cost of revenue1.3 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn
Gross profit666.0 m503.0 m685.0 m616.0 m628.0 m513.0 m812.0 m649.0 m
SG&A565.0 m471.0 m508.0 m492.0 m514.0 m472.0 m519.0 m508.0 m
Operating income9.0 m21.0 m171.0 m119.0 m-272.0 m34.0 m283.0 m27.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation78.0 m75.0 m79.0 m77.0 m80.0 m79.0 m78.0 m77.0 m
Pre-tax income-79.0 m-55.0 m71.0 m42.0 m-359.0 m-61.0 m195.0 m-92.0 m
Income tax-25.0 m-18.0 m25.0 m21.0 m-44.0 m-28.0 m89.0 m-11.0 m
Net income-54.0 m-37.0 m46.0 m21.0 m-315.0 m-33.0 m106.0 m-81.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.13 ≈-0.090.110.05-0.78 ≈-0.080.25-0.19
Operating cash flow150.0 m-213.0 m-58.0 m ≈374.0 m ≈161.0 m-233.0 m29.0 m ≈297.0 m ≈
Capex96.0 m59.0 m59.0 m ≈59.0 m ≈70.0 m37.0 m47.0 m ≈47.0 m ≈
Dividends paid29.0 m31.0 m29.0 m ≈30.0 m ≈30.0 m36.0 m30.0 m ≈31.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue10.2 bn9.7 bn9.4 bn10.6 bn9.5 bn8.1 bn7.6 bn7.2 bn
Revenue YoY−31.1%−4.3%−3.4%+12.8%−10.7%−14.0%−6.8%−5.0%
Net income-6.9 bn107.0 m-766.0 m622.0 m197.0 m-388.0 m-216.0 m-285.0 m
Net income YoY−352.5%unavailable−815.9%unavailable−68.3%−297.0%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-14.650.25-1.811.450.47-0.94-0.52-0.68
Diluted EPS YoY−360.2%unavailable−824.0%unavailable−67.6%−300.0%unavailableunavailable
net %-68.4%1.1%-8.2%5.9%2.1%-4.8%-2.8%-4.0%
Free cash flow296.0 m779.0 m1.2 bn595.0 m-584.0 m646.0 m237.0 m17.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
203.0 m USD
Financial debt
4.7 bn USD
Net debt
4.5 bn USD
Equity
2.4 bn USD
Total assets
10.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.95x
Current ratio
1.07x
ROE
-11.1%
ROA
-2.6%
FCF margin
0.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
8.1 bn
2024
7.6 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.8 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
117.0 m
2024
123.0 m
2025
114.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-85.0 m
2024
67.0 m
2025
39.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
334.0 m
2024
323.0 m
2025
311.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
249.0 m ≈
2024
390.0 m ≈
2025
350.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
283.0 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-543.0 m
2024
-260.0 m
2025
-301.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-155.0 m
2024
-44.0 m
2025
-16.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-388.0 m
2024
-216.0 m
2025
-285.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.94
2024
-0.52
2025
-0.68

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
414.1 m
2024
415.5 m
2025
418.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.44
2024
0.28
2025
0.28

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
332.0 m
2024
198.0 m
2025
203.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.2 bn
2024
878.0 m
2025
987.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.4 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Apr 2022verified

Goodwill
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
12.2 bn
2024
11.0 bn
2025
10.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.0 bn
2024
891.0 m
2025
931.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
329.0 m
2024
87.0 m
2025
130.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.5 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
9.1 bn
2024
8.3 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.1 bn
2024
2.8 bn †
2025
2.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
930.0 m
2024
496.0 m
2025
264.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
284.0 m
2024
259.0 m
2025
247.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
646.0 m ≈
2024
237.0 m ≈
2025
17.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-199.0 m
2024
-151.0 m
2025
-164.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-664.0 m
2024
-451.0 m
2025
-101.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
184.0 m
2024
118.0 m
2025
120.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Feb 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-41.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-92.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
239.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
11.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
254.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
201.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
53.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
65.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
118 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
78 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
88 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
7.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
98.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
47.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 14 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

5.86 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2974derived 254

Score by group

  • Valuation20
  • Returns44
  • Quality0
  • Balance sheet11
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
2.03
USD per share
Mid
2.85
USD per share
High
3.28
USD per share
Price: 5.86 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -51.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -105.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.38 – 4.95 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.38 – 1.60 (Mid 1.47)
    5 companies used · median multiple 13.5x · quartiles 12.3x – 13.7x
    ATR, AWI, KRT, MYE, SWIM
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)3.68 – 4.95 (Mid 4.22)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Plastics Products, NEC (SIC 3089)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 14/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality0.9%0 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality-4.4%0 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.7%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet11.9x0 (vs peers)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x39 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation18.4x14 (vs peers)15%
FCF yield · Valuation2.1%27 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.1%73 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns239.6%0 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet11/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns44/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation20/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

NEWELL BRANDS INC (NWL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.0%; net margin -4.4%; ROE -12.8%; net debt/EBITDA 11.9x.

The estimated value range is 2.03–3.28 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 2.85 USD, the price of 5.86 USD leaves a potential of -51.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -105.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 14/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.1%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 0.9%
  • Net margin: -4.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -8.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 11.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 18.4x
  • FCF yield: 2.1%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 239.6%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Plastics Products, NEC (SIC 3089) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 30.9x
EV/EBITDA
18.4x
vertical median 13.5x
above median (+35.8%)
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−81.9%)
P/B
1.1x
vertical median 3.5x
below median (−70.3%)
ROE
-12.8%
vertical median 9.8%
below median (−230.0%)
Net margin
-4.4%
vertical median 8.4%
below median (−152.4%)
EBIT margin
1.0%
vertical median 11.3%
below median (−91.3%)
Revenue YoY
-5.0%
vertical median 2.1%
below median (−339.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
11.9x
vertical median 0.7x
above median (+1,614.2%)
Dividend yield
4.8%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+153.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ENTGEntegris, Inc.21.8 bn55.79.6%11.1%−1.4%+85% / +37%
ATRAptarGroup, Inc9.3 bn35.69.9%6.7%+5.4%+18% / +16%
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.7.4 bn23.536.0%18.4%+12.1%−7% / +107%
NWLNewell Brands Inc2.5 bn—-12.8%-4.4%−5.0%+87% / −15%
MYEMyers Industries, Inc.1.1 bn37.69.7%3.3%−1.3%+58% / +62%
KRTKarat Packaging Inc.1.1 bn21.531.2%10.2%+10.7%+143% / +149%
SWIMLatham Group, Inc.963.2 m100.22.2%1.6%+7.4%+14% / +262%
CMTCore Molding Technologies, Inc.187.1 m26.14.4%2.4%−9.5%+12% / +18%
DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.46.5 m4.410.0%17.3%−9.3%−19% / +12%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NWL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    Newell Brands is a global consumer goods group whose brands include Rubbermaid, Sharpie, Graco, Coleman and Yankee Candle, sold in over 150 countries 1. The company is in the middle of a multi-year turnaround and reported in the second quarter of 2026 its first sales growth after more than four years 3, so margin and cash flow trends are being followed closely.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds a broad portfolio of well-known brands with presence in many countries and diverse distribution channels 1.
    • A production base in the United States and Mexico gives flexibility in the face of tariffs in some categories 1.
    • The Learning and Development segment shows high operating margins and sales growth in the latest reported quarter 3.

    Weaknesses

    • Debt is high and credit ratings have been cut, raising the cost of financing 12.
    • Sales are concentrated among a few large customers who can negotiate prices and reduce orders 1.
    • The Home and Commercial Solutions segment posted an operating loss in 2025 and remains under pressure 1.

    Opportunities

    • If the sales recovery holds, the company could improve margins through productivity and lower fixed costs 3.
    • Expanding online sales and product innovation could win back share lost in some categories 1.
    • Recovery of tariffs paid earlier could bring additional cash in the second half of the year 3.

    Threats

    • Additional or retaliatory tariffs could raise costs and reduce trade with external partners 1.
    • Private label retailers and digital brands could erode pricing and market share 1.
    • If refinancing of bond maturities is not achieved on favorable terms, financial pressure could increase 2.

    Risks

    • High indebtedness and refinancinghigh

      High debt and reduced credit ratings could make refinancing more expensive or difficult if capital markets deteriorate 12.

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      If a major customer reduces orders or changes its strategy, revenue could decline significantly 1.

    • Tariffs and trade policymedium

      New tariffs or retaliatory measures could raise import costs and disrupt supply chains 12.

    • Intangible asset impairmentmedium

      If brand outlooks weaken, further impairment charges may be needed, as happened in 2025 1.

    • Execution of restructuring planmedium

      If cost reductions and reorganization are not completed on time, the announced savings could be smaller than expected 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • The return to sales growth and margin expansion in the second quarter of 2026 suggests the transformation strategy could be working 3.
    • A portfolio of well-known brands and global reach provide a solid base for growth if innovation is sustained 1.
    • The raised 2026 outlook and expected operating cash flow could ease pressure on debt 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The sales growth is recent and partly supported by non-recurring tariff recoveries, so it may not repeat 3.
    • High debt and reduced credit ratings limit financial flexibility if market conditions worsen 12.
    • Dependence on a few large retailers and price pressure could limit long-term margin gains 1.

    What to watch

    • Core sales trend and normalized operating margin against the revised outlookQ3 2026
    • Receipt of the IEEPA tariff refund and delivery of operating cash flow around 400 million USD2026
    • Refinancing of bond maturities and changes in credit ratingsnext 10-K
    • Completion of the Productivity Plan and restructuring charges recorded2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

    The business

    Newell Brands operates three segments: Home and Commercial Solutions, Learning and Development and Outdoor and Recreation 1. Products include kitchen and storage items, commercial cleaning solutions, writing instruments, baby products and outdoor equipment 1. Sales are concentrated at large retailers, and in 2025 Amazon and Walmart together accounted for a significant share of net sales 1.

    In 2025 net sales fell 5% from the prior year, to 7204 million USD, due to soft demand and distribution losses 1. In December 2025 the company announced a productivity plan aimed at reducing over 900 employees and optimizing the Yankee Candle store network 1. Overall, the strategy targets top-line growth, margin expansion and debt reduction 1.

    The latest reported quarter shows a recovery: in the second quarter of 2026 gross margin was 40.7% and net sales rose 3% 3. The results include IEEPA tariff recoveries that contributed meaningfully to profit and should be read separately from operating activity 3.

    Segments

    Home and Commercial Solutions

    The largest segment covers small kitchen appliances, food storage, commercial products and Yankee Candle home fragrance 1. It was under the most pressure in 2025, with an operating loss 1, and in the second quarter of 2026 core sales declined slightly 3.

    Outdoor and Recreation

    The segment includes Coleman, Campingaz, Bubba and Contigo, along with technical apparel 1. In the second quarter of 2026 core sales grew 3.7%, but the operating margin stayed low 3.

    Market context

    The consumer products market is dominated by large omni-channel and e-commerce retailers with strong bargaining power over suppliers 1. Competition includes many established manufacturers and newer digital brands, which intensifies pricing pressure 1. Consumer shifts toward online shopping are increasingly important for this market 1.

    Demand remains moderate, and retailers are rebalancing inventory and changing promotional behavior 2. Rising raw material and transport costs, including oil-linked costs, could limit the company's ability to pass prices on to consumers 23.

    Trends

    • Retailer consolidationheadwind

      Large retailers are consolidating and demand lower prices, faster delivery and tailored products, which could reduce supplier revenue and margins 1.

    • E-commerce and direct channelsmixed

      Growth in online shopping is accelerating the shift away from traditional retail and opening direct access for new brands, which could both expand and erode the company's share 1.

    • US tariffsmixed

      Tariffs imposed in 2025 and 2026 raised costs, but U.S. and Mexican plants could provide an advantage in some categories 12.

    • Inflation and input costsheadwind

      Inflationary pressure and rising oil and raw material prices can weigh on margins, especially if they cannot be offset through productivity or pricing 23.

    Competitive position

    Newell competes with numerous manufacturers and distributors of consumer products, many large and well established, as well as with retailers selling their own private label goods 1. Yankee Candle stores compete with specialty candle and personal care retailers and general department stores 1.

    The company's main competitive tools are strong brands, superior customer service and competitive production costs 1. To stay relevant it invests in innovation and advertising, whose long-term payoff remains uncertain 1.

    • Private label retailers

      Retailers import and sell their own brands at lower prices, competing directly with Newell brands 1.

    • Established consumer goods manufacturers

      Numerous large, established manufacturers in household, writing and outdoor categories compete on the same shelves 1.

    • Digitally native brands

      Online-born brands have lowered entry barriers and can launch products directly to consumers 1.

    • Specialty candle and personal care retailers

      Specialty retailers compete with Yankee Candle stores for the same customers 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Quarterly report30 Oct 2026
    • Current report30 Oct 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report20 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report02 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report19 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report05 Aug 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report31 Jul 2026
    • Current report31 Jul 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report31 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report13 May 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Newell Brands Inc. · 13 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Newell Brands Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Newell Brands Inc. · 31 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.