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olivLaw · US equity research

Scilex Holding Company SCLX

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · SIC 2836 · Vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

1.83USD−1.08% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Scilex Holding Company develops and commercializes non-opioid pain management products, led by ZTlido, a lidocaine topical system. The company faces a funding squeeze: its net loss reached $160.6 million in the first half of 2026 and management has concluded there is substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) stock was 1.83 USD (−1.08% on the day), with market capitalisation 15.5 m USD, beta 1.01, 52-week range 1.83–14.02 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 7.6 m USD (−22.8% YoY), net income of -115.0 m USD, diluted EPS -16.65 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
15.5 m USD
shares as of 10 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -4,955.08 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-270,769.21%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.01
Volatility (1y) 97%
52-week range
1.8314.02

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
14.7
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.63 – 3.22
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.13 · band width 65.6%
SMA 50 / 200
3.94 / 5.24
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.63 / -0.65
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−52.1%−1.1%−51.0 pp—
3 months−71.9%−0.5%−71.5 pp—
6 months−69.1%+4.4%−73.5 pp—
Year to date−75.9%+12.3%−88.2 pp—
1 year−85.1%+13.5%−98.6 pp−3.8%
3 years−94.9%+76.4%−171.3 pp+18.6%
5 years−99.2%+63.7%−162.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−86.9%
21 Nov 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.4%
12 Apr 2023 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−61.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
7.6 m USD
−22.8% YoY
Net income
-115.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-16.65
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1,504.7% / -385.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue14.4 m14.9 m5.0 m9.9 m10.6 m4.8 m8.6 m7.6 m
Cost of revenue3.8 m4.7 m1.4 m3.3 m3.3 m2.6 m4.4 m3.7 m
Gross profit——17.7 m39.5 m——25.7 m15.8 m
Research & development2.3 m2.2 m2.5 m6.2 m3.9 m8.2 m3.2 m3.3 m
SG&A29.7 m35.4 m28.1 m19.8 m188.8 m30.2 m31.0 m28.0 m
Operating income-19.9 m-28.4 m-27.9 m-20.5 m-186.5 m-111.1 m-32.2 m-29.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.0 m ≈1.0 m1.0 m1.0 m ≈1.0 m ≈1.6 m2.9 m2.8 m ≈
Interest expense576.0 k285.0 k2.5 m2.7 m2.8 m3.5 m3.8 m6.1 m
Pre-tax income-4.4 m-6.5 m-26.1 m-44.0 m-257.8 m-46.1 m-45.7 m-115.0 m
Income tax0-1.0 k—19.0 k1.0 k6.0 k—7.0 k
Net income-4.4 m-6.5 m-26.1 m-44.0 m-257.8 m-46.1 m-45.7 m-115.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.58-259.54 ≈-2.26-7.42-22.17-4,909.98 ≈-6.28-16.65
Operating cash flow5.1 m ≈2.5 m6.0 m7.1 m ≈8.2 m ≈-17.5 m-1.1 m-6.7 m ≈
Capex0 ≈0——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20202022202320242025
Revenue23.6 m38.0 m46.7 m56.6 m30.3 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+22.9%+21.1%−46.5%
Net income-47.5 m-23.4 m-114.3 m-72.8 m-374.1 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.36-0.17-1.28-8.05-36.48
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-201.7%-61.4%-244.6%-128.7%-1,236.4%
Free cash flow-31.5 m-21.3 m-20.7 m19.3 m3.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
5.0 m USD
Financial debt
83.3 m USD
Net debt
78.3 m USD
Equity
-211.8 m USD
Total assets
365.0 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.08x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-163.4%
FCF margin
12.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
46.7 m
2024
56.6 m
2025
30.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
15.7 m
2024
16.7 m
2025
10.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
31.1 m ≈
2024
167.4 m
2025
125.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Research & development
2023
12.7 m
2024
9.6 m
2025
20.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

SG&A
2023
119.6 m
2024
119.0 m
2025
266.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-105.4 m
2024
-83.4 m
2025
-346.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
4.1 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
4.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-101.3 m ≈
2024
-79.4 m ≈
2025
-341.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
1.1 m
2024
2.0 m
2025
11.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-114.3 m
2024
-72.8 m
2025
-374.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
13.0 k
2024
-1.0 k
2025
26.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
-114.3 m
2024
-72.8 m
2025
-374.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.28
2024
-8.05
2025
-36.48

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
130.3 m
2024
10.1 k
2025
11.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.9 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2023
34.6 m
2024
26.4 m
2025
15.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2023
4.2 m
2024
2.4 m
2025
4.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
46.8 m
2024
41.5 m
2025
38.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
722.0 k
2024
708.0 k
2025
13.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
13.5 m
2024
13.5 m
2025
13.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
36.5 m
2024
32.5 m
2025
59.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2023
101.3 m
2024
93.0 m
2025
365.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
41.0 m
2024
52.6 m
2025
86.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
108.4 m
2024
34.9 m
2025
83.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2023verified

Current liabilities
2023
250.4 m
2024
259.6 m
2025
483.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
274.2 m
2024
285.6 m
2025
576.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
-172.9 m
2024
-192.6 m
2025
-211.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
243.3 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2024verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-20.7 m
2024
19.3 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
30.0 k
2024
0
2025
133.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-20.7 m ≈
2024
19.3 m ≈
2025
3.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-330.0 k
2024
-2.7 m
2025
4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
23.6 m
2024
-18.1 m
2025
-5.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
8.7 m
2024
8.7 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-46.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-81.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
348.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-1,110.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-1,136.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-1,469.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-56.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
-275.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
80.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
-22.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-17.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
726.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-17.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
134 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
87 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
2,338 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-2,117 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
15.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
95.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-270,769.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-114.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.83 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 15.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
15.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
-1,469.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-46.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 10 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 14 Aug 2026
verified 834derived 56

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-1,469.8%20 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-7.3%0 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-22.2x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.1x0 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-114.6%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial20/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Scilex Holding Company (SCLX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 30.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -46.5%; net margin -1,469.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -1,469.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -7.3%
  • Interest coverage: -22.2x
  • Current ratio: 0.1x
  • FCF yield: -114.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 38.4x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 19.6x
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 7.6x
below median (−93.5%)
P/B
—
vertical median 5.8x
ROE
—
vertical median -38.1%
Net margin
-1,469.8%
vertical median -122.2%
below median
EBIT margin
-1,136.4%
vertical median -128.0%
below median
Revenue YoY
-46.5%
vertical median 4.4%
below median (−1,168.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMGNAmgen Inc.258.8 bn27.778.4%24.1%+10.0%+39% / +77%
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.216.4 bn—-22.3%-12.5%+2.4%+39% / +128%
MRNAModerna, Inc.103.2 bn—-39.0%-141.4%−39.9%+895% / +233%
RVMDRevolution Medicines, Inc.43.2 bn—-93.6%-946.8%unavailable+157% / +756%
BIIBBiogen Inc.37.6 bn108.81.9%3.4%+2.2%+40% / +9%
MESOMesoblast Limited18.5 bn—-19.0%-593.9%+191.4%−17% / +425%
EXELExelixis, Inc.17.8 bn21.744.3%35.5%+7.0%+65% / +234%
HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc.14.8 bn38.4173.7%24.9%+37.6%+83% / +238%
KYMRKymera Therapeutics, Inc.11.6 bn—-27.3%-341.8%−16.7%+101% / +556%
TWSTTwist Bioscience Corporation8.9 bn—-29.6%-31.7%+20.3%+345% / +493%
SCNIScinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd.6.2 bn—-91.9%-633.6%+99.2%−96% / −99%
CGONCG Oncology, Inc.6.0 bn—-26.4%-3,602.7%+254.7%+51% / unavailable
TARSTarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.3.4 bn—-319.8%-102.9%+146.7%−14% / +318%
DNLIDenali Therapeutics Inc.3.4 bn—-33.9%-1,470.5%unavailable+8% / +13%
VCELVericel Corporation2.3 bn107.77.2%7.9%+16.5%+13% / +28%
ADMAAdma Biologics, Inc.2.3 bn13.641.9%35.1%+19.6%−45% / +183%
BCRXBiocryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.2.1 bn——-37.4%+94.1%+15% / +40%
VIRVir Biotechnology, Inc.2.0 bn—-21.8%-61.0%−7.6%+83% / +24%
ALVOAlvotech1.5 bn46.7—4.8%+19.7%−8% / −51%
INBXInhibrx Biosciences, Inc.1.3 bn—-1,773.6%—+550.0%+3% / unavailable
EVAXEvaxion A1.2 bn—-100.2%-102.4%+125.1%−50% / −93%
CADLCandel Therapeutics, Inc.692.5 m—-81.8%—0.0%+90% / +907%
SRZNSurrozen, Inc.372.0 m——-2,885.3%−67.4%+91% / +340%
AUTLAutolus Therapeutics plc367.3 m—-133.0%-238.7%+644.9%−2% / −68%
LXEOLexeo Therapeutics, Inc.265.0 m—-46.8%—unavailable−67% / −75%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SCLX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Scilex Holding Company develops and commercializes non-opioid pain management products, led by ZTlido, a lidocaine topical system. The company faces a funding squeeze: its net loss reached $160.6 million in the first half of 2026 and management has concluded there is substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A commercial portfolio of three approved products and an established sales force that can promote several products in parallel 1.
    • The pipeline includes a candidate that has completed an earlier Phase 3 study and a regulatory path the company considers realistic 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Heavy reliance on a single product, ZTlido, for revenue, while the other products are at an early stage 1.
    • Very low liquidity at the end of the first half of 2026 and management's conclusion about substantial doubt on going concern 2.
    • Recurring net losses and an accumulated deficit that limit self-funding capacity 1.

    Opportunities

    • Expanding ELYXYB and GLOPERBA outside the US, where the company has already obtained rights, could add new revenue 1.
    • Partnerships or strategic transactions could bring capital without further equity issuance 1.

    Threats

    • Generic products could quickly erode ZTlido's market share, especially when insurer contracts are renewed 1.
    • Volatility in cryptocurrency prices could reduce the value of treasury assets and require additional liquidity reserves 1.
    • A clinical failure or an FDA rejection could delay or halt development of pipeline products 1.

    Risks

    • Going concernhigh

      Management concluded there is substantial doubt about the company's ability to operate for one year after the financial statements are issued, which could force operating cutbacks if funding is not secured 12.

    • Dependence on ZTlidohigh

      Revenue depends largely on ZTlido, and a decline in its sales could directly affect the ability to sustain operations 1.

    • Cryptocurrency exposurehigh

      The cryptocurrency treasury strategy exposes the company to price volatility, regulatory uncertainty and security risks around private keys 1.

    • Single-source suppliersmedium

      The company relies on sole or single-source suppliers for commercial supply of some products, and a disruption could be hard to offset 1.

    • Debt and restrictive covenantsmedium

      The terms of the Oramed notes restrict operating and financial flexibility, and debt service could become hard to sustain 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If ZTlido holds its sales and ELYXYB and GLOPERBA grow faster than expected, the company could meaningfully reduce its dependence on a single product.
    • Approval of SEMDEXA could open a significant market where there is no FDA-approved alternative to off-label injections.
    • If financing is obtained on reasonable terms, the company could continue developing its pipeline without abandoning its strategic ambitions.

    What would break the thesis

    • Very low liquidity and the going concern conclusion could force large dilution or cuts to commercial programs.
    • Recurring net losses and costs linked to the cryptocurrency treasury could keep consuming available capital.
    • If generic products or cheaper alternatives gain share, revenue growth could fall short of the company's expectations.

    What to watch

    • Evolution of liquidity and any new financing or dilutionQ3 2026
    • ZTlido, ELYXYB and GLOPERBA sales in the next quarterly reportQ3 2026
    • Changes in federal digital-asset regulation and how the treasury strategy is classifiednext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Scilex describes itself as a company that acquires, develops and commercializes non-opioid therapies for acute and chronic pain, focusing on indications with high unmet need. Its commercial portfolio includes ZTlido (lidocaine 1.8%) for postherpetic neuralgia, ELYXYB for acute migraine, approved by the FDA and in Canada, and GLOPERBA, a liquid oral colchicine for gout flare prophylaxis, launched in June 2024 1. The company has also adopted a cryptocurrency treasury strategy under which it intends to accumulate bitcoin and other digital assets as long-term holdings 1.

    The company has also expanded beyond its product portfolio: it acquired an interest in Vivasor Holding Company in December 2025, lent 20 million USD to Quantum Scan Holdings in January 2026, and bought Datavault shares paid in bitcoin worth 150 million USD between September and November 2025 1. These transactions have substantially changed the asset profile and should be read alongside the liquidity position.

    Segments

    ZTlido (neuropathic pain, PHN)

    ZTlido is the main commercial product, approved for neuropathic pain associated with postherpetic neuralgia. It is distributed through a direct network to wholesalers and pharmacies, and the company promotes it to primary care physicians, pain specialists and neurologists 1. The company states that more than 206 million prescription lidocaine patches were sold in the US in 2025 1.

    ELYXYB and GLOPERBA

    ELYXYB, launched in April 2023, is a ready-to-use oral solution for the acute treatment of migraine in adults, and GLOPERBA, launched in June 2024, is a liquid colchicine for gout flare prophylaxis 1. The company describes both as early in commercialization, and their success depends on physician acceptance and reimbursement terms 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in the US market for non-opioid pain therapies, where there is demand for alternatives to opioids and for treatments with a better safety profile. Gout affects, according to the company, an estimated 9.2 million people in the US 1. Epidural steroid injections are administered over 12 million times annually in the US, indicating the potential market for SEMDEXA 1.

    Market access depends on reimbursement, formulary positioning and competition from generics, factors the company explicitly cites as influencing adoption of its products 1. If reimbursement remains restrictive, revenue growth could be slower than the company expects.

    Trends

    • Demand for non-opioid alternativestailwind

      Pressure on opioid prescribing and demand for lower-risk treatments provide a supportive backdrop for products the company presents as non-opioid alternatives 1.

    • Cost of financing and capital needsheadwind

      The company reported rapidly depleted cash and very low liquidity, making it dependent on new financing, potentially on less favorable terms 2.

    • Regulation of digital assetsmixed

      The cryptocurrency treasury strategy depends on the evolution of federal regulation, including whether some assets could be classified as securities or the company could be treated as an investment company, which could substantially change its operating model 1.

    • Generic competitionheadwind

      The company cites generic products and cheaper alternatives as factors that could limit demand for ZTlido, ELYXYB and GLOPERBA 1.

    Competitive position

    Scilex competes with generic lidocaine patch makers, oral migraine treatments and conventional colchicine for gout. The documents do not name individual competitors, but they stress that cheaper alternatives and products developed by others could reduce market share 1.

    In epidural steroids, SEMDEXA could compete with off-label products that are routinely administered in the US. The company argues that its patents and trade secrets could require potential competitors to run extensive preclinical and costly comparative clinical studies 1.

    • Generic lidocaine patch makers

      Generic products that could compete with ZTlido in the neuropathic pain prescription segment, cited by the company as a cheaper alternative 1.

    • Conventional colchicine producers

      Established colchicine treatments routinely used for gout could limit GLOPERBA adoption if physicians see no clear advantage 1.

    • Off-label epidural corticosteroids

      Off-label products routinely administered for sciatica that SEMDEXA could displace if approved 1.

    • Acute migraine treatments

      Other acute migraine therapies compete with ELYXYB for physician attention and formulary access 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report29 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report14 Aug 2026
    • Current report12 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report22 Jul 2026
      Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Jul 2026
      Material agreement · Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report29 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Item 3.02
    • Current report24 Jun 2026
      Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report20 May 2026
    • Current report11 May 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report05 May 2026
      Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Scilex Holding Company · 10 Apr 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Scilex Holding Company · 14 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Scilex Holding Company · 08 Oct 2024

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.