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olivLaw · US equity research

SunCoke Energy, Inc. SXC

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) · SIC 3312 · Vertical: Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) (SIC 3312)

10.45USD−2.70% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

SunCoke Energy produces high-quality metallurgical coke in the United States and Brazil and provides industrial material handling services for coal, steel and other bulk products. In fiscal 2025 the company reported revenue of 1,837.3 million USD and Adjusted EBITDA of 219.2 million USD, while revised 2026 guidance points to a modest recovery in profitability, mainly through the Industrial Services segment.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, SunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC) stock was 10.45 USD (−2.70% on the day), with market capitalisation 886.9 m USD, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.63, 52-week range 5.67–11.33 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 485.9 m USD (−0.2% YoY), net income of 21.8 m USD (−1.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.25 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
886.9 m USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.65 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-6.26%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
0.63
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
5.6711.33

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.8
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.36 – 11.24
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.58 · band width 18.2%
SMA 50 / 200
10.05 / 8.32
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.27 / 0.21
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.1%−1.1%+6.2 pp—
3 months+8.6%−0.5%+9.1 pp—
6 months+44.1%+4.4%+39.7 pp—
Year to date+45.1%+12.3%+32.8 pp—
1 year+53.0%+13.5%+39.5 pp+14.5%
3 years+14.0%+76.4%−62.5 pp+38.3%
5 years+51.4%+63.7%−12.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.1%
09 Feb 2026 → 26 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−55.4%
22 Nov 2024 → 26 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+8.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
485.9 m USD
−0.2% YoY
Net income
21.8 m USD
−1.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.25
−3.8% YoY
net / operating
4.5% / 8.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue486.0 m436.0 m434.1 m487.0 m480.2 m455.1 m475.3 m485.9 m
SG&A15.4 m14.7 m20.6 m28.3 m21.2 m30.3 m31.5 m27.7 m
Operating income35.5 m30.2 m9.8 m13.4 m-97.8 m4.4 m29.0 m40.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation28.8 m28.8 m28.6 m37.4 m58.8 m44.9 m39.9 m42.2 m
Interest expense7.1 m6.8 m7.0 m9.2 m9.9 m9.9 m9.4 m8.9 m
Pre-tax income29.9 m25.0 m4.4 m5.0 m-107.2 m-4.3 m20.5 m32.1 m
Income tax4.1 m5.6 m900.0 k-18.8 m-21.7 m-900.0 k4.9 m8.3 m
Net income23.7 m17.3 m1.9 m22.2 m-85.6 m-4.4 m13.1 m21.8 m
Diluted EPS0.28 ≈0.200.020.26-1.00 ≈-0.050.150.25
Operating cash flow60.9 m25.8 m17.5 m ≈9.2 m ≈56.6 m72.7 m-27.2 m ≈94.8 m ≈
Capex24.8 m4.9 m12.6 m ≈25.5 m ≈23.8 m17.0 m15.9 m ≈20.9 m ≈
Dividends paid10.1 m10.9 m10.2 m ≈10.1 m ≈10.2 m10.7 m10.2 m ≈10.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.5 bn1.6 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+9.0%+10.3%−16.7%+9.2%+35.5%+4.6%−6.2%−5.1%
Net income26.2 m-152.3 m3.7 m43.4 m100.7 m57.5 m95.9 m-44.2 m
Net income YoY−78.6%−681.3%unavailable+1,073.0%+132.0%−42.9%+66.8%−146.1%
Diluted EPS0.40-1.980.040.521.190.681.12-0.52
Diluted EPS YoY−78.7%−595.0%unavailable+1,200.0%+128.8%−42.9%+64.7%−146.4%
net %1.8%-9.5%0.3%3.0%5.1%2.8%5.0%-2.4%
Free cash flow85.5 m71.8 m83.9 m134.5 m133.4 m139.8 m95.9 m42.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
88.7 m USD
Financial debt
685.5 m USD
Net debt
596.8 m USD
Equity
626.1 m USD
Total assets
1.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.09x
Current ratio
2.11x
ROE
-6.6%
ROA
-2.6%
FCF margin
2.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.1 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
70.7 m
2024
61.2 m
2025
84.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
125.1 m
2024
151.9 m
2025
-44.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
142.8 m
2024
118.9 m
2025
153.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
267.9 m ≈
2024
270.8 m ≈
2025
109.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
27.3 m
2024
28.7 m
2025
32.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
97.8 m
2024
128.5 m
2025
-72.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
34.3 m
2024
25.0 m
2025
-34.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
57.5 m
2024
95.9 m
2025
-44.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.68
2024
1.12
2025
-0.52

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
84.9 m
2024
85.3 m
2025
85.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
140.1 m
2024
189.6 m
2025
88.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
88.3 m
2024
96.6 m
2025
111.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
182.6 m
2024
180.8 m
2025
219.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
416.8 m
2024
474.6 m
2025
463.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
3.4 m
2025
55.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
27.7 m
2024
25.8 m
2025
44.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
172.1 m
2024
153.2 m
2025
157.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2024verified

Long-term debt
2023
490.3 m
2024
492.3 m
2025
685.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
223.8 m
2024
205.8 m
2025
219.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.0 bn
2024
957.2 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
645.5 m
2024
711.0 m
2025
626.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
249.0 m
2024
168.8 m
2025
109.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
109.2 m
2024
72.9 m
2025
66.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
139.8 m ≈
2024
95.9 m ≈
2025
42.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-109.2 m
2024
-72.3 m
2025
-339.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-89.7 m
2024
-47.0 m
2025
128.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
30.7 m
2024
37.6 m
2025
41.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-129.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-146.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-146.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-55.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
34.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
543.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
196.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
77.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
119.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
121.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
33 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
886.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
7.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.74
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 40 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

10.45 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 886.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
886.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Oct 2026
verified 2541derived 184

Score by group

  • Valuation76
  • Returns80
  • Quality6
  • Balance sheet30
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
15.31
USD per share
Mid
19.97
USD per share
High
28.28
USD per share
Price: 10.45 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 91.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 47.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.81 – 38.25 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)18.82 – 38.25 (Mid 25.68)
    WACC 7.6% · starting FCFF 151.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -26.6%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA11.81 – 18.31 (Mid 14.25)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.8x · quartiles 9.5x – 12.9x
    CRS, MT, STLD, TWI
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) (SIC 3312)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 40/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-1.6%0 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality-2.9%17 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.3%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.4x20 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.6x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.8x56 (on a fixed band)14%
FCF yield · Valuation13.5%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.6%66 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns34.5%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet30/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality6/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns80/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation76/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SUNCOKE ENERGY, INC. (SXC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.1%; net margin -2.9%; ROE -8.5%; net debt/EBITDA 3.4x.

The estimated value range is 15.31–28.28 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 19.97 USD, the price of 10.45 USD leaves a potential of 91.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 47.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 40/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.0x
  • FCF yield: 13.5%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 34.5%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -1.6%
  • Net margin: -2.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -2.3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.4x
  • Interest coverage: -0.6x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) (SIC 3312) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 28.4x
EV/EBITDA
8.8x
vertical median 10.8x
below median (−18.4%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 1.5x
below median (−69.6%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−46.1%)
ROE
-8.5%
vertical median 7.1%
below median (−219.2%)
Net margin
-2.9%
vertical median 5.3%
below median (−155.3%)
EBIT margin
-1.3%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−124.1%)
Revenue YoY
-5.1%
vertical median -1.3%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
3.4x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+228.6%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 0.8%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TXTernium S.A.103.0 bn233.63.6%2.7%−11.6%+40% / +30%
NUENucor Corp60.8 bn35.68.2%5.4%+5.7%+68% / +58%
TSTenaris SA59.9 bn31.011.6%16.1%−4.3%+39% / +61%
MTArcelorMittal47.6 bn15.26.1%5.1%−1.7%+45% / +148%
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.34.1 bn17.720.8%8.8%+3.6%+43% / +102%
CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation14.5 bn25.827.8%17.9%+8.6%−8% / +313%
CMCCommercial Metals Company7.3 bn11.314.8%7.0%+20.5%+4% / +47%
SXCSuncoke Energy, Inc.886.9 m—-8.5%-2.9%−5.1%+53% / +14%
MTUSMetallus Inc.737.3 m35.03.4%1.9%+6.9%+6% / −12%
TWITitan International, Inc.314.6 m—-22.9%-5.7%−0.9%−40% / −63%
ASTLAlgoma Steel Group Inc.——-98.5%-47.2%−25.4%+23% / −37%
SIMGRUPO SIMEC, S.A.B. de C.V.——19.2%31.2%−18.2%−8% / −15%
PKXPosco Holdings Inc.——2.1%1.5%−4.7%−3% / −45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SXC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    SunCoke Energy produces high-quality metallurgical coke in the United States and Brazil and provides industrial material handling services for coal, steel and other bulk products. In fiscal 2025 the company reported revenue of 1,837.3 million USD and Adjusted EBITDA of 219.2 million USD, while revised 2026 guidance points to a modest recovery in profitability, mainly through the Industrial Services segment.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Leading position in independent coke production in the Americas, supported by long-term contracts and proprietary heat recovery technology 1.
    • Diversification through industrial services complements the coke business and provides revenue linked to terminal volumes 12.
    • Long operating history and a capacity to build new plants, a rare capability in the industry 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a small number of customers is a significant risk if one of them reduces demand or fails to perform under its contract 1.
    • A material plant impairment followed a customer's breach of contract and weighed on the net result for fiscal 2025 1.
    • Higher debt and interest costs after the Phoenix Global acquisition limit financial flexibility 2.

    Opportunities

    • Contract renewals and expanded volumes with existing customers could support revenue stability 13.
    • Growth in industrial services volumes and integration of Phoenix Global could widen segment margins 23.
    • Export markets and demand for foundry coke could add volumes if trade conditions remain favorable 1.

    Threats

    • Alternative steelmaking technologies such as electric arc furnaces could reduce long-term demand for blast furnace coke 1.
    • Cheap imports and dumping could pressure prices and export volumes for American producers 1.
    • Operational incidents and equipment failures can interrupt production and generate unplanned costs 12.

    Risks

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      Sales are concentrated among a small number of customers; their financial difficulties or failure to perform could significantly affect cash flows 1.

    • Asset impairmenthigh

      A customer's breach of contract and its effect on future cash flows could lead to further impairment charges on long-lived assets 1.

    • Operational risksmedium

      Equipment failures, plant incidents and weather could temporarily halt production, as the Middletown turbine failure showed 12.

    • Environmental and safety regulationmedium

      Strict emission and worker safety requirements can raise costs and require additional investment 1.

    • Debt and interest expenselow

      Greater use of the revolving credit facility has increased interest expense, which could reduce net income 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the industrial recovery holds and the revised guidance is confirmed, the company could show a gradual rebound in Adjusted EBITDA after a weaker 2025 23.
    • Long-term take-or-pay contracts provide a predictable revenue level, and proprietary cokemaking technology can support its market position 1.
    • Diversification through the Phoenix Global acquisition could reduce dependence on coke activity and create new revenue streams 2.

    What would break the thesis

    • If a major customer exits or fails to renew its contracts, revenue and cash flow could fall significantly 1.
    • Alternative steelmaking technologies could gradually reduce demand for the coke the company produces 1.
    • Higher debt and interest costs could limit the company's ability to fund investments and dividends 2.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the revised 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range2026
    • Progress of the Industrial Services recovery after the Phoenix Global acquisitionQ3 2026
    • Outcome of the Granite City contract renewal, which expires at year end2027
    • Resolution of the dispute with the customer that breached the coke contract, and any financial recoverynext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

    The business

    SunCoke Energy, Inc. describes itself as the largest independent producer of high-quality coke in the Americas, measured by tons produced each year, with more than 65 years of coke production experience 1. Most coke segment sales come from long-term take-or-pay contracts with steelmakers, which gives the revenue base a relatively predictable profile 1. The company operates five cokemaking facilities in the United States and one in Brazil under licensing and operating agreements for ArcelorMittal Brasil 1.

    SunCoke's heat recovery technology differs from by-product cokemaking because the energy from the hot flue gas can be sold as steam or electricity 1. The company says it has built the only greenfield cokemaking facilities in the U.S. in over 35 years and is the only North American coke producer using heat recovery technology 1.

    With the acquisition of Phoenix Global, completed on August 1, 2025, SunCoke extended its industrial business into mission-critical services for steel mills, including slag and scrap handling 12. The change in reporting structure led to segments being organized as Domestic Coke and Industrial Services 2.

    Segments

    Domestic Coke

    The Domestic Coke segment produces coke at the Jewell, Indiana Harbor, Haverhill, Granite City and Middletown plants, and its revenue is mainly tied to blast furnace coke sales under long-term contracts 1. In fiscal 2025 capacity utilization was 93 percent, down from 100 percent in 2024, and Adjusted EBITDA per ton fell to 46.35 USD 1.

    Industrial Services

    The Industrial Services segment includes the Convent Marine, Kanawha River and Lake logistics terminals and molten slag handling at multiple sites in the United States, Brazil, Slovakia and Spain 1. Revenue rose in fiscal 2025 mainly because of the Phoenix Global inclusion, and in the second quarter of 2026 the segment reported its best quarter since the acquisition 23.

    Market context

    The coke market depends on blast furnace steel production, and competition comes from both independent producers and steelmakers' captive plants; imports of coke from China, Colombia and Indonesia can limit additional export volumes 1. Long-term demand for coke could be affected if electric arc furnace use expands, since that process requires less or no coke 1.

    In industrial services, terminal volumes are influenced by thermal and metallurgical coal prices, weather and steel demand 1. The revised 2026 guidance published in July 2026 foresees Adjusted EBITDA between 250 and 265 million USD, which points to an expected improvement on 2025 3.

    Trends

    • Steel demand and alternative technologiesheadwind

      If steelmakers shift further to electric arc furnaces or direct reduced iron, demand for blast furnace coke could decline, which would affect existing contracts at renewal 1.

    • Recovery in industrial activitytailwind

      Higher terminal volumes and the inclusion of Phoenix Global supported Industrial Services revenue in 2026 23.

    • Trade policy and tariffsmixed

      Coke dumping and tariff changes could alter the competitiveness of SunCoke's products against foreign producers, either positively or negatively 1.

    • Renewal of long-term contractsmixed

      Take-or-pay contracts with major customers are central to profitability, and recent extensions, such as those for Haverhill II and Granite City, show both stability and exposure to negotiation 13.

    Competitive position

    The main coke competitors are merchant producers and the captive plants of integrated steelmakers, and the decision factors include quality, price, supply reliability and proximity to market 1. In services, competition comes from other logistics terminals, trucking and specialist slag handling firms 1.

    The company argues its position is strong because of its heat recovery technology and its ability to replace aging plants of other producers 1. Competition could intensify if new steelmaking technologies advance faster than expected 1.

    • Merchant coke producers

      Independent coke producers selling on the spot and export markets, in direct competition for non-contracted volumes 1.

    • Captive cokemaking plants of steelmakers

      Coke ovens owned by blast furnace steelmakers, which control most of the world's coke production capacity 1.

    • Coke importers from China, Colombia and Indonesia

      Foreign suppliers that can affect export markets and price pressure, although transport costs often make imports uneconomic 1.

    • Independent logistics terminal operators

      Terminals competing for coal and other bulk material handling, especially in the Gulf and East Coast regions 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / SunCoke Energy, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / SunCoke Energy, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / SunCoke Energy, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.