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olivLaw · US equity research

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. AKA

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses · SIC 5961 · Vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

10.49USD+4.48% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. runs a portfolio of fashion brands, Princess Polly, Culture Kings, Petal & Pup and mnml, sold mostly online to Millennial and Gen Z consumers. Net sales rose to 600.2 million USD in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 the company reported higher adjusted EBITDA while reiterating its full-year outlook.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (AKA) stock was 10.49 USD (+4.48% on the day), with market capitalisation 116.0 m USD, beta 0.80, 52-week range 8.59–14.22 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 161.3 m USD (+9.7% YoY), net income of -7.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.70 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
116.0 m USD
shares as of 02 Nov 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.72 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-25.92%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.80
Volatility (1y) 54%
52-week range
8.5914.22

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.5
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.94 – 10.95
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.54 · band width 9.7%
SMA 50 / 200
10.66 / 10.51
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.10 / -0.09
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−2.0%−1.1%−0.9 pp—
3 months−7.3%−0.5%−6.8 pp—
6 months−4.5%+4.4%−8.9 pp—
Year to date−2.0%+12.3%−14.3 pp—
1 year−13.4%+13.5%−26.9 pp+6.8%
3 years+38.6%+76.4%−37.8 pp+16.0%
5 years−92.5%+63.7%−156.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−39.6%
28 Nov 2025 → 17 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−97.9%
16 Nov 2021 → 05 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−40.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
161.3 m USD
+9.7% YoY
Net income
-7.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.70
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-4.8% / -2.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue159.0 m128.7 m160.5 m147.1 m164.0 m132.5 m160.1 m161.3 m
Cost of revenue70.1 m55.0 m68.2 m60.1 m72.9 m48.8 m62.2 m64.4 m
Gross profit88.9 m73.7 m92.3 m87.0 m91.1 m83.6 m97.8 m96.9 m
Operating income-2.8 m-5.4 m-491.0 k-1.4 m-10.7 m-4.1 m1.2 m-4.1 m
Interest expense2.6 m2.7 m2.5 m2.4 m2.5 m2.2 m2.2 m2.1 m
Pre-tax income-5.4 m-8.3 m-3.6 m-4.1 m-13.3 m-6.9 m-260.0 k-7.6 m
Income tax3.9 m9.0 k10.0 k873.0 k1.2 m210.0 k-99.0 k169.0 k
Net income-9.4 m-8.4 m-3.6 m-5.0 m-14.5 m-7.1 m-161.0 k-7.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.88 ≈-0.78-0.34-0.46-1.35 ≈-0.66-0.01-0.70
Operating cash flow7.0 m-1.9 m11.9 m ≈4.7 m ≈1.7 m-3.8 m22.6 m ≈-2.5 m ≈
Capex3.9 m3.4 m4.5 m ≈4.4 m ≈4.7 m2.6 m4.3 m ≈4.9 m ≈
Share repurchases243.0 k257.0 k110.0 k ≈1.6 m ≈1.0 k00 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue102.4 m215.9 m562.2 m611.7 m546.3 m574.7 m600.2 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+110.8%+160.4%+8.8%−10.7%+5.2%+4.4%
Net income1.4 m14.3 m-6.0 m-176.7 m-98.9 m-26.0 m-31.4 m
Net income YoYunavailable+928.3%−141.6%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.020.21-0.77-16.47-9.24-2.46-2.93
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+950.0%−466.7%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %1.4%6.6%-1.1%-28.9%-18.1%-4.5%-5.2%
Free cash flow-520.0 k20.4 m16.2 m-20.1 m27.5 m-10.9 m-633.0 k

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
20.3 m USD
Financial debt
111.1 m USD
Net debt
90.8 m USD
Equity
97.8 m USD
Total assets
397.4 m USD
Debt / equity
1.14x
Current ratio
1.23x
ROE
-29.2%
ROA
-8.0%
FCF margin
-0.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
546.3 m
2024
574.7 m
2025
600.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
246.0 m
2024
247.2 m
2025
256.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
300.3 m
2024
327.5 m
2025
344.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-83.4 m
2024
-10.3 m
2025
-18.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
7.6 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2024verified

EBITDA
2023
-75.8 m ≈
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2024derived

Interest expense
2023
11.2 m
2024
10.3 m
2025
10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-97.0 m
2024
-21.7 m
2025
-29.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.9 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-98.9 m
2024
-26.0 m
2025
-31.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-9.24
2024
-2.46
2025
-2.93

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
10.7 m
2024
10.6 m
2025
10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
21.9 m
2024
24.2 m
2025
20.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
4.8 m
2024
8.1 m
2025
10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
91.0 m
2024
95.8 m
2025
86.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
135.7 m
2024
144.8 m
2025
129.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
27.2 m
2024
31.3 m
2025
39.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
94.9 m
2024
89.3 m
2025
93.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
64.3 m
2024
52.4 m
2025
43.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
361.7 m
2024
385.2 m
2025
397.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
28.3 m
2024
30.3 m
2025
31.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
3.3 m
2024
6.3 m
2025
6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
90.1 m
2024
105.4 m
2025
104.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
86.0 m
2024
97.0 m
2025
105.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
213.1 m
2024
267.6 m
2025
299.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
148.6 m
2024
117.6 m
2025
97.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
33.4 m
2024
669.0 k
2025
16.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
6.0 m
2024
11.6 m
2025
17.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
27.5 m ≈
2024
-10.9 m ≈
2025
-633.0 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-6.0 m
2024
-11.6 m
2025
-17.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-52.8 m
2024
15.5 m
2025
-4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
2.1 m
2024
1.5 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
22.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
59.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-29.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
86.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
17.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
16.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
5 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
141 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
81 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
116.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
202.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
86.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

10.49 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 116.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
116.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-29.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 02 Nov 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 969derived 79

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
4.53
USD per share
Mid
8.09
USD per share
High
14.87
USD per share
Price: 10.49 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -22.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -29.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.53 – 14.87 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)4.53 – 14.87 (Mid 8.09)
    WACC 7.3% · starting FCFF 8.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 5.4%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-8.0%33 (vs peers)21%
Net margin · Quality-4.8%21 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.6%0 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-2.0x0 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x22 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation1.2%14 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet9/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality29/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial14/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (AKA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 600.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 4.4%; net margin -4.8%; ROE -29.5%.

The estimated value range is 4.53–14.87 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 8.09 USD, the price of 10.49 USD leaves a potential of -22.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -29.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -4.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.6%
  • Interest coverage: -2.0x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • FCF yield: 1.2%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 28 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.3x
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.4x
below median (−55.3%)
P/B
1.3x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−49.2%)
ROE
-29.5%
vertical median -6.3%
below median
Net margin
-4.8%
vertical median -0.6%
below median
EBIT margin
-2.9%
vertical median 0.6%
below median (−606.9%)
Revenue YoY
4.4%
vertical median 6.3%
below median (−29.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.2,876.6 bn21.527.4%16.9%+12.4%+14% / +82%
CDWCdw Corp21.1 bn19.742.5%4.5%+6.8%+17% / −20%
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.5.2 bn25.713.1%2.5%−5.2%+103% / +16%
JMIAJumia Technologies AG1.3 bn—-108.9%-32.6%+12.8%−57% / +60%
BZUNBaozun Inc.597.0 m—-6.6%-2.4%+10.2%+21% / +16%
LITBLightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.590.4 m68.0—3.7%−12.1%+42% / −63%
GCTGigacloud Technology Inc539.8 m13.732.3%10.6%+11.1%+56% / +495%
HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.476.3 m—-6.9%-3.6%−1.9%+65% / +86%
TDUPThredUp Inc.290.9 m—-39.2%-6.9%+19.5%−71% / +12%
DIBS1stdibs.com, Inc.186.9 m—-9.2%-8.5%+1.5%−3% / +30%
NXHNeighborhood Intelligence, Inc.163.0 m—-47.0%-7.1%−25.1%−72% / −91%
AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.116.0 m—-29.5%-4.8%+4.4%−13% / +39%
SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.79.5 m—-6.3%-0.9%+6.4%−31% / −21%
HOURHour Loop, Inc.53.9 m37.021.8%1.1%+3.0%−28% / +3%
GROVGrove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.47.4 m——-4.1%−14.6%−19% / −44%
LVLULulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.31.0 m—-602.9%-3.2%−10.6%+107% / −74%
UZXLinkage Global Inc21.7 m—-63.1%-144.5%−50.5%−98% / unavailable
GIFTGiftify, Inc.21.1 m—-36.2%-8.8%−6.5%−47% / −85%
CHWYChewy, Inc.2.3 k35.372.0%2.1%+6.2%−33% / +34%
QVCGQVC Group, Inc.8—-6.3%-0.2%−7.8%unavailable / unavailable
PTRNPattern Group Inc.——6.6%0.9%+39.3%+22% / unavailable
HEPSD-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading——-39.7%-2.8%+11.1%+19% / +100%
LUXELuxExperience B.V.——63.3%45.2%+50.1%+7% / +224%
VIPSVipshop Holdings Limited—1.418.3%6.8%+2.0%−30% / −14%
WWayfair Inc.———-1.2%+5.1%+12% / +121%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AKA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. runs a portfolio of fashion brands, Princess Polly, Culture Kings, Petal & Pup and mnml, sold mostly online to Millennial and Gen Z consumers. Net sales rose to 600.2 million USD in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 the company reported higher adjusted EBITDA while reiterating its full-year outlook 13.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A portfolio of brands with loyal customer communities and exclusive products, supported by a fast product testing model 1.
    • An asset-light structure based on third-party suppliers, which allows limited upfront investment 1.
    • Gross margin improvement and a stronger balance sheet in 2026, according to the quarterly results 3.

    Weaknesses

    • Net losses in recent years and adjusted operating profitability that is still modest 1.
    • High dependence on suppliers concentrated in China, with cost and reputational risks 1.
    • Second-quarter 2026 sales were nearly flat year on year, and declined on a constant currency basis 3.

    Opportunities

    • Expansion of physical stores in the U.S. and the United Kingdom, including the new U.K. distribution centre 3.
    • Growth of wholesale and marketplace channels, with new partners for Petal & Pup 3.
    • The U.S. online fashion market is estimated to grow, which could support direct brand sales 1.

    Threats

    • Customs tariffs and changes in trade policy between the U.S. and China could raise costs 1.
    • Inflationary pressure and a possible economic slowdown could reduce customers' discretionary spending 1.
    • Social media marketing costs are rising, which could make acquiring customers more expensive 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on suppliers in Chinahigh

      Most suppliers and manufacturers are in China, exposing the company to policy changes, tariffs and forced labour risks in the supply chain 1.

    • Changes in trade policyhigh

      Changes to tariffs in the U.S. and Australia, along with uncertainty after the IEEPA tariff ruling, could affect costs and results 1.

    • Consumer preferencesmedium

      Rapid shifts in taste can make products look outdated, and the company depends on anticipating trends 1.

    • Indebtednessmedium

      Total debt of 99.9 million USD at the end of the second quarter of 2026 requires steady cash generation to be serviced 3.

    • Customer acquisition costsmedium

      If acquiring customers becomes more expensive, profitability could be affected, especially on social channels 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Higher net sales in 2025 and a recovery in gross margin in 2026 suggest the model can support profitability, if the trend continues 13.
    • An improved balance sheet and a reiterated 2026 outlook point to financial discipline and room for new investment 3.
    • Expansion into physical stores and wholesale channels could bring new customers and raise brand visibility 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • Adjusted operating profit remains low relative to sales, and net losses in recent years show profitability is not yet stable 1.
    • Second-quarter 2026 sales were nearly unchanged and demand in the ANZ region was weak, which could signal pressure on growth 3.
    • Dependence on suppliers in China and on tariff policy makes profitability sensitive to external decisions the company does not control 1.

    What to watch

    • Third-quarter results against the sales and adjusted profit guidanceQ3 2026
    • Trend in selling and marketing expenses as the store footprint grows2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    The company operates as a platform managing several fashion brands, each with its own identity and target audience, while sharing suppliers, technology and leadership at group level 1. The core model is direct-to-consumer, with predominantly online sales, and physical stores, wholesale and marketplace channels are used to increase brand visibility 1. The company describes its model as asset light, relying on third-party suppliers and technology partners 1.

    Segments

    Culture Kings and mnml

    Culture Kings is a premium streetwear retailer with experiential stores in Australia and New Zealand, and opened a store in Las Vegas in 2022 1. The company has announced plans for a new U.S. store and signed a lease in Puerto Rico 3. mnml, a men's streetwear brand, is sold directly and through Culture Kings, and the test, repeat & clear model also extends to these brands 1.

    Petal & Pup

    Petal & Pup is a feminine lifestyle brand with a somewhat older customer base, typically in their 20s and 30s, and a growing presence in wholesale stores 1. The brand has entered several U.S. retail chains and continues to add specialty wholesale partners 3.

    Market context

    Online market growth and the preference for newness favour the company's model, but competitive pressure on social and influencer marketing is rising 1. Demand remains sensitive to inflation and a possible economic slowdown 1.

    Trends

    • Growth of online fashion shoppingtailwind

      Young consumers buy more and more online, and social networks are a main channel for discovering brands, which favours the company's model 1. If this trend continues, direct-to-consumer brands could benefit.

    • Tariffs and trade policymixed

      Tariffs on goods from China and the Supreme Court decision of February 2026 on IEEPA tariffs create uncertainty about purchasing costs and possible refunds 1. Diversifying the supply chain also brings additional costs 1.

    • Expansion of physical storesmixed

      Opening physical stores attracts customers and increases brand visibility, but it also raises selling expenses, which reached 29.9 percent of net sales in the second quarter of 2026 3. The net effect depends on how these stores mature 3.

    • Inflation and discretionary spendingheadwind

      Inflation and tighter consumer budgets can reduce orders and increase returns, especially for discretionary products 1. The company has said that a recession could weigh on demand 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with other online fashion retailers and with brands selling through social networks and wholesale channels. The cited sources do not name direct competitors in detail, but they highlight rising pressure on social and influencer marketing channels 1.

    The company differentiates itself through exclusive products, the test, repeat & clear model and an omnichannel presence 1. In streetwear, competition includes third-party brands that the company also sells 1.

    • Online fashion retailers

      Online competitors targeting the same young audience, not identified in detail in the cited sources.

    • Streetwear and sportswear brands

      Third-party brands sold also by Culture Kings compete for the same streetwear customers.

    • Social commerce platforms

      Channels such as TikTok Shop, used by the company, also compete for customer attention and spending.

    • Wholesale and marketplace partners

      Retail chains that distribute the brands are also sales channels, but they can compete for visibility.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. · 05 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.