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olivLaw · US equity research

Hour Loop, Inc. HOUR

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses · SIC 5961 · Vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

1.53USD+1.93% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hour Loop is a U.S. online retailer that sells mostly through Amazon as a third-party seller, managing more than 100,000 SKUs. Revenue grew 25% in the second quarter of 2026, but gross margin narrowed and the company faces new import costs after the Supreme Court tariff ruling.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Hour Loop, Inc. (HOUR) stock was 1.53 USD (+1.93% on the day), with market capitalisation 53.9 m USD, P/E 37.0 on diluted EPS of 0.04 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.38, 52-week range 1.50–2.66 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 33.9 m USD (+25.2% YoY), net income of 1.1 m USD (−10.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.03 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
53.9 m USD
shares as of 11 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.04 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.70%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.38
Volatility (1y) 63%
52-week range
1.502.66

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
38.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.45 – 1.83
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.21 · band width 22.7%
SMA 50 / 200
1.76 / 1.89
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.07 / -0.06
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−15.9%−1.1%−14.8 pp—
3 months−16.3%−0.5%−15.8 pp—
6 months−33.5%+4.4%−37.9 pp—
Year to date−15.0%+12.3%−27.3 pp—
1 year−18.6%+13.5%−32.2 pp+6.8%
3 years+7.0%+76.4%−69.4 pp+16.0%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.6%
07 May 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−89.5%
07 Jan 2022 → 08 Aug 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
33.9 m USD
+25.2% YoY
Net income
1.1 m USD
−10.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.03
−25.0% YoY
net / operating
3.1% / 3.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue31.1 m54.4 m25.8 m27.1 m33.4 m56.1 m29.9 m33.9 m
Cost of revenue14.0 m29.5 m11.7 m11.6 m16.2 m28.3 m13.9 m16.0 m
Gross profit17.0 m24.9 m14.1 m15.5 m17.2 m27.8 m16.0 m18.0 m
Operating income721.8 k-2.5 m920.9 k1.6 m742.0 k-822.8 k1.1 m1.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation27.7 k ≈20.4 k14.1 k9.4 k ≈7.6 k ≈10.3 k12.2 k12.5 k ≈
Interest expense62.9 k62.6 k47.1 k43.8 k42.5 k50.9 k33.9 k46.3 k
Pre-tax income687.4 k-2.2 m935.9 k1.6 m713.9 k-835.0 k1.1 m1.3 m
Income tax217.8 k-633.5 k281.4 k405.7 k183.3 k-177.7 k309.7 k206.0 k
Net income469.6 k-1.5 m654.5 k1.2 m530.6 k-657.3 k823.5 k1.1 m
Diluted EPS0.01-0.04 ≈0.020.040.01-0.02 ≈0.020.03
Operating cash flow-2.2 m ≈1.5 m-23.9 k-901.5 k ≈500.4 k ≈3.0 m-2.2 m-1.4 m ≈
Capex438 ≈96572081 ≈51.2 k ≈26.1 k5.7 k43 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 44 percentile of its own 9-quarter history (min 24.4, median 44.5, max 224.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202020212022202320242025
Revenue38.7 m62.8 m95.9 m132.1 m138.3 m142.4 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+62.4%+52.8%+37.7%+4.6%+3.0%
Net income3.8 m4.8 m-1.5 m-2.4 m657.4 k1.7 m
Net income YoYunavailable+25.1%−130.9%unavailableunavailable+159.3%
Diluted EPSunavailable0.14-0.04-0.070.020.05
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−128.6%unavailableunavailable+150.0%
net %9.9%7.6%-1.5%-1.8%0.5%1.2%
Free cash flowunavailable7.7 m-11.9 m-2.1 m277.1 k2.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
unavailable USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
7.0 m USD
Total assets
23.8 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.37x
ROE
28.1%
ROA
7.8%
FCF margin
1.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
132.1 m
2024
138.3 m
2025
142.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
65.6 m
2024
66.2 m
2025
67.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
66.5 m
2024
72.0 m
2025
74.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-3.0 m
2024
730.9 k
2025
2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
138.0 k
2024
119.1 k
2025
41.4 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-2.9 m ≈
2024
850.0 k ≈
2025
2.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
248.8 k
2024
249.6 k
2025
184.3 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-3.2 m
2024
959.6 k
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-730.8 k
2024
302.1 k
2025
692.7 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-2.4 m
2024
657.4 k
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.07
2024
0.02
2025
0.05

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
35.1 m
2024
35.1 m
2025
35.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.5 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2024verified

Receivables
2023
747.7 k
2024
1.7 m
2025
236.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
14.3 m
2024
14.6 m
2025
18.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
18.0 m
2024
18.7 m
2025
22.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
148.8 k
2024
56.8 k
2025
95.9 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
19.6 m
2024
20.0 m
2025
23.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
3.8 m
2024
4.2 m
2025
6.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2022verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
10.9 m
2024
14.8 m
2025
16.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
15.1 m
2024
14.8 m
2025
16.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.5 m †
2024
5.2 m †
2025
7.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-2.1 m
2024
313.1 k
2025
2.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
14.8 k
2024
36.0 k
2025
78.1 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-2.1 m ≈
2024
277.1 k ≈
2025
2.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-14.8 k
2024
-36.0 k
2025
-75.1 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
—
2024
-671.0 k
2025
-839.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
29.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
236.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
159.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
-14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
150.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
803.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
51.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
21.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
26.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
13.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
-49.9 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
83.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-132.9 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
-2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
4 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
103 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
42 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
53.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
30.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.53 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 53.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
53.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
21.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 11 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 711derived 59

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
0.83
USD per share
Mid
0.89
USD per share
High
1.02
USD per share
Price: 1.53 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -41.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -71.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.83 – 1.02 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E0.83 – 1.02 (Mid 0.89)
    6 companies used · median multiple 21.6x · quartiles 20.1x – 24.7x
    AMZN, CDW, CHWY, GCT, NSIT, RVLV
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality1.1%64 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality-7.6%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.1%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet13.5x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x57 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation37.0x13 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-0.2%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet83/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality32/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation7/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Hour Loop, Inc. (HOUR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 142.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.0%; net margin 1.1%; ROE 21.8%.

The estimated value range is 0.83–1.02 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.89 USD, the price of 1.53 USD leaves a potential of -41.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -71.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.1%
  • Interest coverage: 13.5x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -7.6%
  • P/E (TTM): 37.0x
  • FCF yield: -0.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 28 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
37.0x
vertical median 21.6x
above median (+71.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.3x
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 0.4x
below median (−16.4%)
P/B
6.1x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+356.0%)
ROE
21.8%
vertical median -6.3%
above median
Net margin
1.1%
vertical median -1.1%
above median
EBIT margin
1.5%
vertical median 0.5%
above median (+182.9%)
Revenue YoY
3.0%
vertical median 6.3%
below median (−52.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.2,876.6 bn21.527.4%16.9%+12.4%+14% / +82%
CDWCdw Corp21.1 bn19.742.5%4.5%+6.8%+17% / −20%
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.5.2 bn25.713.1%2.5%−5.2%+103% / +16%
JMIAJumia Technologies AG1.3 bn—-108.9%-32.6%+12.8%−57% / +60%
BZUNBaozun Inc.597.0 m—-6.6%-2.4%+10.2%+21% / +16%
LITBLightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.590.4 m68.0—3.7%−12.1%+42% / −63%
GCTGigacloud Technology Inc539.8 m13.732.3%10.6%+11.1%+56% / +495%
HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.476.3 m—-6.9%-3.6%−1.9%+65% / +86%
TDUPThredUp Inc.290.9 m—-39.2%-6.9%+19.5%−71% / +12%
DIBS1stdibs.com, Inc.186.9 m—-9.2%-8.5%+1.5%−3% / +30%
NXHNeighborhood Intelligence, Inc.163.0 m—-47.0%-7.1%−25.1%−72% / −91%
AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.116.0 m—-29.5%-4.8%+4.4%−26% / +9%
SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.79.5 m—-6.3%-0.9%+6.4%−31% / −21%
HOURHour Loop, Inc.53.9 m37.021.8%1.1%+3.0%−19% / +7%
GROVGrove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.47.4 m——-4.1%−14.6%−19% / −44%
LVLULulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.31.0 m—-602.9%-3.2%−10.6%+107% / −74%
UZXLinkage Global Inc21.7 m—-63.1%-144.5%−50.5%−98% / unavailable
GIFTGiftify, Inc.21.1 m—-36.2%-8.8%−6.5%−47% / −85%
CHWYChewy, Inc.2.3 k35.372.0%2.1%+6.2%−33% / +34%
QVCGQVC Group, Inc.8—-6.3%-0.2%−7.8%unavailable / unavailable
PTRNPattern Group Inc.——6.6%0.9%+39.3%+22% / unavailable
HEPSD-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading——-39.7%-2.8%+11.1%+19% / +100%
LUXELuxExperience B.V.——63.3%45.2%+50.1%+7% / +224%
VIPSVipshop Holdings Limited—1.418.3%6.8%+2.0%−30% / −14%
WWayfair Inc.———-1.2%+5.1%+12% / +121%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HOUR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
1.19
Total return -22% · Per year -22%
2.10
Total return 37% · Per year 37%
3.15
Total return 106% · Per year 106%
3 years
1.39
Total return -9% · Per year -3%
2.73
Total return 79% · Per year 21%
4.47
Total return 192% · Per year 43%
5 years
1.62
Total return 6% · Per year 1%
3.55
Total return 132% · Per year 18%
6.33
Total return 314% · Per year 33%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 0.68
  • Net margin± 0.48
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.36
  • Annual dilution± 0.04

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Hour Loop is a U.S. online retailer that sells mostly through Amazon as a third-party seller, managing more than 100,000 SKUs. Revenue grew 25% in the second quarter of 2026 3, but gross margin narrowed and the company faces new import costs after the Supreme Court tariff ruling.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has proprietary software for pricing, inventory and operations, which reduces manual work and supports data-driven decisions 1.
  • Dependence on one channel is high, but the relationship with Amazon is stable and operations are well established 1.
  • Revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026 shows solid demand for the company's products 3.

Weaknesses

  • Gross margin declined in the second quarter of 2026, and operating cash flow was negative 3.
  • The company depends almost entirely on Amazon, whose agreements are generally terminable at will 1.
  • Profitability is modest and liquidity has been under pressure, with amounts due to related parties 3.

Opportunities

  • Expansion to other marketplaces and a larger number of SKUs could diversify revenue 3.
  • AI-driven automation could lower operating costs if it is implemented successfully 3.
  • Continued growth of e-commerce can support demand over the long term 1.

Threats

  • New tariffs and trade investigations could raise sourcing costs and pressure margins 1.
  • Changes in Amazon's logistics and storage fee policies could affect profitability 1.
  • Intense competition and well-funded new entrants could force price cuts 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on Amazonhigh

    Almost all revenue comes from a single platform, and restrictions or loss of access could seriously affect the business 1.

  • Import dutieshigh

    New import taxes and Section 301 investigations could raise landed costs and affect margins 2.

  • Liquiditymedium

    Cash declined in the first half of 2026, and the company depends on access to financing for its capital needs 3.

  • Supplier and vendor concentrationmedium

    Relationships with suppliers, or changes in their policies, could affect operating results 1.

  • Governance and controllow

    The founders control the company, which may limit minority shareholders' influence over decisions 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026 and the reaffirmed annual guidance point to solid demand and confidence in the plan 3.
  • If AI-driven automation lowers costs and stabilizes margins, the company could turn growth into more consistent profit 3.
  • A possible recovery of duties paid in 2025 could improve results if the process succeeds 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Gross margin fell and operating cash flow was negative, which could limit internal funding capacity 3.
  • Near-total dependence on a single platform makes the company vulnerable to policy or fee changes 1.
  • New import costs and trade investigations could add pressure on margins in the coming period 2.

What to watch

  • Achievement of 2026 revenue guidance of $143.0 million to $163.0 millionnext 10-K
  • Trend in gross margin and operating cash flowQ3 2026
  • Outcome of the Section 301 investigations and expiry of the 10% surcharge2026
  • Process for recovering 2025 duties and its effect on resultsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Hour Loop, Inc. is an online retailer doing e-commerce in the U.S. market. It has sold as a third-party seller on www.amazon.com since 2013 and on Walmart since 2020, managing more than 100,000 SKUs across categories such as home and garden decor, toys, kitchenware, apparel and electronics 1. Its model is wholesale: it buys products in bulk from brands or manufacturers and resells them on Amazon, which fulfills the orders for a fee 1. Revenue of $142.4 million in 2025 1 came almost entirely through Amazon, which accounted for 98% of revenue 1.

The company was founded in 2013 by a husband-and-wife team that leads operations, and its strategy relies on proprietary software that identifies product gaps and keeps stock available year-round, including the holiday season 1. Prices are set by an internal automated system that syncs competing Amazon offers and adjusts prices based on sales, stock, fees and seasonality 1.

Segments

Amazon wholesale sales

The main segment is selling products bought in bulk from manufacturers and distributed on Amazon, which generates nearly all revenue 1. The advantage is scalability, while the drawback is fierce competition for the Buy Box 1.

Walmart and own website

Sales on Walmart and on the company website hourloop.com have remained negligible compared with total volume 1. The second-quarter 2026 release also mentions expansion to other marketplaces such as eBay and SHEIN, without separate figures 3.

Market context

The market is dominated by large platforms, and Hour Loop competes with about 1.9 million active third-party sellers on Amazon 1. The company was listed at number 25 in Marketplace Pulse's ranking of top Amazon sellers 1.

Trends

  • Tariffs and Section 122headwind

    After the Supreme Court ruling of February 20, 2026 invalidated the IEEPA tariffs, a new global import surcharge of 10% took effect on February 24, 2026 2. Landed costs could rise, and the outcome of future tariffs remains uncertain 1. The company could recover duties paid in 2025, but the process is uncertain 1.

  • End of the de minimis exemptionheadwind

    Suspending the exemption for low-value parcels (up to $800) has increased compliance costs and per-parcel fees 1. The company says the impact on its per-unit landed costs is not material, but this cost should be watched 1.

  • Growth of e-commercetailwind

    U.S. online retail kept growing, and its share of retail sales stayed near 16.4% 1. This trend supports demand for the sales channels the company operates in 1.

  • Automation and AImixed

    Management describes automation as central, with a proprietary AI system coordinating more than one hundred agents 3. If these investments lower operating costs, margins could benefit, but the results have yet to be shown 3.

Competitive position

The online market is intensely competitive, and larger rivals have greater resources, better vendor terms and more aggressive pricing 1. The company says it avoids matching competitor prices when those are below cost, which protects margin but can cost volume 1.

Amazon has about 1.9 million active third-party sellers, and competition for the Buy Box is fierce 1. Competition is also fueled by well-funded new entrants and new business models 1.

  • AmazonAMZN

    The platform on which Hour Loop sells almost all its products and also the largest U.S. online retailer, with about 40% of e-commerce 1.

  • WalmartWMT

    A marketplace the company joined in 2020, though with negligible revenue so far 1.

  • eBayEBAY

    Another marketplace mentioned in recent reporting as an expansion of the company's channels 3.

  • SHEIN

    An e-commerce platform mentioned as a new sales destination, not identified as a listed issuer in the sources reviewed 3.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Hour Loop, Inc. · 24 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Hour Loop, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hour Loop, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.