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olivLaw · US equity research

Arm Holdings plc ARM

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

191.80USD−5.28% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Arm Holdings designs and licenses processor architectures, especially CPUs, used by nearly all smartphone makers and increasingly in data centers and AI systems. In March 2026 the company moved into its own production silicon with the Arm AGI CPU, widening its model beyond IP licensing. The stakes lie in whether it can turn its mobile dominance into a position in AI infrastructure.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Arm Holdings plc (ARM) stock was 191.80 USD (−5.28% on the day), with market capitalisation 204.1 bn USD, P/E 225.6 on diluted EPS of 0.85 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.74, 52-week range 104.55–439.46 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
204.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
225.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.85 · TTM to 31 Mar 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.44%
TTM to 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.74
Volatility (1y) 79%
52-week range
104.55439.46

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
32.6
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
184.35 – 272.71
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.08 · band width 38.7%
SMA 50 / 200
256.08 / 230.29
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-18.28 / -15.51
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−36.7%−2.0%−34.7 pp—
3 months−30.1%−2.2%−28.0 pp—
6 months−19.2%+4.3%−23.4 pp—
Year to date+75.5%+10.6%+64.9 pp—
1 year+19.3%+10.5%+8.9 pp+43.1%
3 years+258.6%+73.7%+184.9 pp+135.5%
5 yearsunavailable+61.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−56.4%
18 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−56.4%
18 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 67 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 142.4, median 178.0, max 431.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20222023202420252026
Revenue2.7 bn2.7 bn3.2 bn4.0 bn4.9 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable−0.9%+20.7%+23.9%+22.8%
Net income549.0 m524.0 m306.0 m792.0 m904.0 m
Net income YoYunavailable−4.6%−41.6%+158.8%+14.1%
Diluted EPS0.540.510.290.750.85
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−5.6%−43.1%+158.6%+13.3%
net %20.3%19.6%9.5%19.8%18.4%
Free cash flow424.0 m675.0 m998.0 m178.0 m979.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
2.8 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
8.3 bn USD
Total assets
10.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
6.00x
ROE
12.0%
ROA
9.2%
FCF margin
19.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
3.2 bn
2025
4.0 bn
2026
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
154.0 m
2025
121.0 m
2026
121.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.9 bn
2026
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Research & development
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

SG&A
2024
983.0 m
2025
984.0 m
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
111.0 m
2025
831.0 m
2026
900.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
162.0 m
2025
183.0 m
2026
249.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
273.0 m ≈
2025
1.0 bn ≈
2026
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
212.0 m
2025
720.0 m
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-94.0 m
2025
-72.0 m
2026
253.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
306.0 m
2025
792.0 m
2026
904.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
0.29
2025
0.75
2026
0.85

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
781.0 m
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.8 bn
2026
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
215.0 m
2025
354.0 m
2026
772.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
152.0 m
2025
151.0 m
2026
230.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
7.9 bn
2025
8.9 bn
2026
10.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
1.5 bn
2025
929.0 m
2026
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
5.3 bn †
2025
6.8 bn †
2026
8.3 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
1.1 bn
2025
397.0 m
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
92.0 m
2025
219.0 m
2026
545.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
998.0 m ≈
2025
178.0 m ≈
2026
979.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-516.0 m
2025
-35.0 m
2026
-325.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-208.0 m
2025
-202.0 m
2026
-548.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
22.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
14.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
19.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
18.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
450.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
97.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
18.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
19.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROA
9.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
6.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Cash ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
545.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
979.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
108.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
132.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
89 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
204.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
225.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
225.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
24.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/S
41.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
208.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
FCF yield
0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

191.80 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 204.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
204.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
225.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
24.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Mar 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Mar 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Mar 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 26 May 2026
verified 144

Score by group

72% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality97.5%100 (on a fixed band)15%
EBIT margin · Quality18.3%66 (vs peers)12%
FCF margin · Quality19.9%80 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth22.5%90 (on a fixed band)24%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth22.8%51 (vs peers)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet6.0x100 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation0.5%10 (on a fixed band)18%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth77/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality83/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial10/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK (ARM). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-03-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.9 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 22.8%; net margin 18.4%; ROE 12.0%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 97.5%
  • FCF margin: 19.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 22.5%
  • Current ratio: 6.0x

What contradicts it

  • FCF yield: 0.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
225.6x
vertical median 49.8x
above median (+353.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 28.1x
P/S
41.5x
vertical median 9.3x
above median (+347.0%)
P/B
24.6x
vertical median 5.7x
above median (+329.4%)
ROE
12.0%
vertical median 8.4%
above median (+42.2%)
Net margin
18.4%
vertical median 10.8%
above median (+69.8%)
EBIT margin
18.3%
vertical median 12.4%
above median (+48.1%)
Revenue YoY
22.8%
vertical median 22.4%
at median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited10,262.8 bn291.029.3%40.0%+25.0%+36% / +307%
NVDANvidia Corp4,981.2 bn26.1117.2%63.7%+65.5%+17% / +342%
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1,585.5 bn42.444.2%42.9%+23.9%−18% / +259%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.967.5 bn11.588.3%63.8%+256.3%+262% / +1,023%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices Inc790.0 bn124.510.1%15.6%+34.3%+122% / +299%
INTCIntel Corporation321.8 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+49% / +35%
AMATApplied Materials Inc303.1 bn32.941.1%30.1%+4.4%+51% / +155%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc285.5 bn40.539.7%34.3%+13.0%+86% / +105%
ARMArm Holdings PLC204.1 bn225.612.0%18.4%+22.8%+19% / +259%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc203.4 bn49.812.2%29.8%+16.9%+58% / +129%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc150.8 bn56.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+92% / +209%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.2 bn20.729.2%23.4%−2.7%+35% / +29%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.64.8 bn73.225.1%23.9%+26.4%+43% / +142%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated42.3 bn107.77.2%9.3%+7.1%+45% / −7%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.40.5 bn115.825.8%30.7%+115.1%+48% / unavailable
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd28.4 bn53.830.7%33.8%+205.7%−15% / +743%
ONOn Semiconductor Corp28.3 bn42.28.9%10.8%−15.3%+45% / +2%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.9 bn40.18.9%12.4%+9.7%+47% / unavailable
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.0 bn10.818.7%37.1%+24.1%−32% / +18%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.18.0 bn75.317.2%20.7%+32.6%+35% / +180%
TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.16.7 bn76.77.9%14.1%+9.1%+38% / +443%
SMTCSemtech Corporation10.3 bn—-5.8%-3.0%+15.5%+50% / +578%
RMBSRambus Inc8.9 bn34.119.6%33.4%+27.1%−13% / +23%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.4 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+139% / +383%
MXLMaxLinear, Inc.5.2 bn—-5.9%-4.4%+29.7%+265% / +204%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ARM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
125.27
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
220.46
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
330.69
Total return 72% · Per year 72%
3 years
148.59
Total return -23% · Per year -8%
291.56
Total return 52% · Per year 15%
476.20
Total return 148% · Per year 35%
5 years
176.26
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
385.59
Total return 101% · Per year 15%
685.72
Total return 258% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 72.89
  • Net margin± 51.02
  • Annual revenue growth± 38.05
  • Annual dilution± 4.29

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 May 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (18 Sept 2026), 6-K (10 Sept 2026), 6-K (10 Aug 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026).

In brief

Arm Holdings designs and licenses processor architectures, especially CPUs, used by nearly all smartphone makers and increasingly in data centers and AI systems. In March 2026 the company moved into its own production silicon with the Arm AGI CPU, widening its model beyond IP licensing. The stakes lie in whether it can turn its mobile dominance into a position in AI infrastructure. 1

SWOT

Strengths

  • Dominant position in mobile architecture, with a very broad software ecosystem and an installed base of chips that is hard to replace.
  • Licensing model that generates recurring royalty revenue tied to volumes shipped by customers.
  • Sustained IP development, with CSS and accelerators that shorten time to market for customers.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on a small number of customers and on the mobile market, making revenue sensitive to their decisions.
  • Exposure to the Chinese market, where the company operates through Arm China without direct control over its operations.
  • Entry into production silicon brings new manufacturing, inventory and third-party supplier risks.

Opportunities

  • Growth of AI workloads in data centers, automotive and robotics could widen the addressable market.
  • The DreamBig acquisition could add networking capabilities and more complete solutions for customers.
  • Subsystem and complete-chip offerings could attract OEMs that are now building their own chips.

Threats

  • Customers could develop proprietary architectures based on the Arm ISA, reducing the need for processor licenses.
  • Geopolitical tensions and export restrictions could limit access to certain markets.
  • Litigation with Qualcomm and other proceedings could generate costs and unfavourable outcomes.

Risks

  • Qualcomm litigationhigh

    The dispute over license contracts and Nuvia technology is ongoing and is expected to go to trial in the fourth calendar quarter of 2026. An unfavourable result could affect licensing terms and revenue.

  • Exposure to Chinahigh

    Revenue from China is significant, and trade or national security tensions could affect market access. The company does not control the operations of Arm China.

  • Dependence on a few customersmedium

    A significant share of revenue comes from a limited number of customers, and decisions to reduce licenses or move to proprietary architectures could have rapid effects.

  • Production silicon risksmedium

    Entering physical products such as the Arm AGI CPU brings yield, defect, inventory and third-party fab dependence risks, with potential impact on reputation.

  • Controlling shareholder concentrationlow

    SoftBank Group controls the company, and its interests could differ from those of other shareholders, limiting their influence over decisions.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If AI workloads expand across all device categories, Arm's architecture could benefit from higher demand for energy-efficient compute. The very large installed base and software ecosystem support this position.
  • Entry into custom chips and complete solutions could open new revenue, especially if the DreamBig acquisition adds networking capabilities. The licensing model could remain stable over the long term.
  • If the Qualcomm dispute resolves favourably, contract uncertainty could decline and the company could focus resources on growth markets.

What would break the thesis

  • If large customers shift to proprietary architectures, demand for licenses could fall and revenue could become less predictable.
  • High exposure to the mobile market and to China makes the company sensitive to consumer cycles and geopolitical tensions.
  • Entry into production silicon could bring costs, inventory and execution risks that did not exist in the pure licensing model.

What to watch

  • Outcome of the appeal in the Nuvia case and the Qualcomm trial2026
  • Production timing of the Arm AGI CPU and first silicon revenue2026
  • Closing of the DreamBig acquisition and its integrationQ2 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 May 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (18 Sept 2026), 6-K (10 Sept 2026), 6-K (10 Aug 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026).

The business

Arm designs, develops and licenses high-performance, energy-efficient compute platforms built around CPUs, complemented by GPU and NPU accelerators, system IP, compute subsystems (CSS) and software tools. Customers pay license fees and then per-chip royalties on chips shipped, calculated on average selling price or a fixed fee per unit. Since March 2026 the offer includes the Arm AGI CPU, its first production silicon product. 1

The licensing model is flexible: Total Access and Flexible Access packages give access to a portfolio for an annual fee, while TLA and ALA licenses grant rights to a single design or architecture. Royalty revenue depends on licensees adopting the products and on their product lifecycles. The company also describes a reorganisation into three AI domains: Edge AI, Physical AI and Cloud AI. 1

Arm was founded in 1990 as a joint venture and was listed in London and on Nasdaq from 1998 until 2016, when SoftBank Group took it private. Its ADSs have traded on Nasdaq under the symbol ARM since September 2023. The company asserts its position through a common architectural standard that underpins a vast software ecosystem. 1

Segments

Physical AI

Covers automotive and robotics products. The source mentions electric vehicles, autonomous driving and demand for compute without reducing range, but gives no separate figures for this segment in the document. 1

Cloud AI

Covers server chips, data processing units and network cards used by cloud providers. The company notes that Arm-based chips have been gaining share in data centers as providers deploy their own designs. 1

Market context

The semiconductor market is volatile and cyclical, with average selling prices declining over a chip generation. The company states its architecture now runs most of the world's software, from sensors to supercomputers, and that demand for energy-efficient compute grows with AI workloads. 1

The trend of OEMs building custom chips opens a market for IP and subsystems but may also reduce reliance on standard chips. If this trend accelerates, Arm's share could depend increasingly on its ability to offer complete solutions rather than only licenses. 1

Trends

  • AI demand for efficient computetailwind

    AI workloads increase pressure on power use in phones, data centers and vehicles. The company believes this favours its architecture, but if AI development slows, demand could be affected.

  • Customers building their own chipsmixed

    Many OEMs and cloud providers now build custom chips, which can lift demand for IP and CSS but may also replace some traditional licenses.

  • Industry cyclicalityheadwind

    Demand for semiconductors is cyclical, and per-chip royalties fall as volumes rise. The company acknowledges that qualification delays and channel inventory reductions can affect revenue.

  • Geopolitics and export controlsheadwind

    Revenue from China is a significant exposure, and export restrictions and trade tensions can affect market access. The company relies on its relationship with Arm China to operate there.

Competitive position

The source indicates that Arm competes with other microprocessor architectures, and that licensees can develop their own processors based on the Arm ISA, making some customers also competitors. Competition also comes from suppliers designing processors for the same smartphone, PC and data center markets. 1

The company cites a dispute with Qualcomm over a license agreement and Nuvia technology, with a trial expected in the fourth calendar quarter of 2026. The outcome could influence licensing terms and the position against a direct competitor. 1

  • QualcommQCOM

    Arm licensee and party to a dispute with the company over contracts and Nuvia technology.

  • Licensees developing their own processors

    Companies using the Arm ISA for proprietary architectures, potentially competing directly with licensed products.

  • Other microprocessor architectures

    The source mentions competing architectures in the target markets without naming them.

  • Cloud providers with in-house chips

    Cloud providers designing their own processors for data centers, acting both as customers and potential competitors.

News & filings

In the press

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Arm Holdings plc · 26 May 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Arm Holdings plc (ARM): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw