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olivLaw · US equity research

Aviat Networks, Inc. AVNW

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment · SIC 3663 · Vertical: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663)

19.90USD−1.09% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Aviat Networks designs and sells microwave and wireless access networking equipment and services used by telecom operators and private network customers. Revenue edged up in fiscal 2026, and guidance for fiscal 2027 points to moderate growth if demand in backhaul and private markets holds.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Aviat Networks, Inc. (AVNW) stock was 19.90 USD (−1.09% on the day), with market capitalisation 254.8 m USD, P/E 104.7 on diluted EPS of 0.19 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.20, 52-week range 15.09–26.74 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 120.9 m USD (+4.8% YoY), net income of -1.3 m USD (−124.6% YoY), diluted EPS -0.10 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
254.8 m USD
shares as of 21 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
104.7
Diluted EPS TTM 0.19 · TTM to 03 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.95%
TTM to 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.20
Volatility (1y) 62%
52-week range
15.0926.74

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
18.73 – 21.03
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.51 · band width 11.6%
SMA 50 / 200
20.00 / 21.14
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.01 / -0.06
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−3.1%−1.1%−2.0 pp—
3 months−6.4%−0.5%−5.9 pp—
6 months+20.8%+4.4%+16.4 pp—
Year to date−6.9%+12.3%−19.2 pp—
1 year−17.8%+13.5%−31.3 pp+3.5%
3 years−34.8%+76.4%−111.2 pp+58.8%
5 years−38.3%+63.7%−102.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.6%
04 Mar 2026 → 05 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−65.1%
02 Feb 2023 → 06 Nov 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−9.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 03 Jul 2026

Revenue
120.9 m USD
+4.8% YoY
Net income
-1.3 m USD
−124.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.10
−125.1% YoY
net / operating
-1.1% / 4.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue88.4 m118.2 m112.6 m115.3 m107.3 m111.5 m100.0 m120.9 m
Cost of revenue68.6 m77.3 m73.3 m75.9 m71.7 m75.4 m70.7 m83.6 m
Gross profit19.8 m40.9 m39.3 m39.5 m35.7 m36.1 m29.3 m37.2 m
Research & development10.4 m10.2 m7.7 m7.4 m7.1 m6.4 m7.7 m7.2 m
SG&A24.9 m21.3 m22.1 m21.1 m23.4 m22.4 m20.4 m22.4 m
Operating income-15.6 m8.0 m9.3 m8.9 m5.2 m7.3 m939.0 k5.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.3 m1.5 m1.2 m1.4 m463.0 k900.0 k700.0 k1.2 m
Pre-tax income-17.4 m6.1 m4.7 m10.2 m2.5 m8.1 m-2.3 m4.9 m
Income tax-5.5 m1.6 m1.1 m5.0 m2.3 m2.4 m-244.0 k6.2 m
Net income-11.9 m4.5 m3.5 m5.2 m162.0 k5.7 m-2.1 m-1.3 m
Diluted EPS-0.940.350.270.39 ≈0.010.44-0.16-0.10 ≈
Operating cash flow-27.2 m20.8 m ≈1.6 m ≈10.5 m-11.7 m23.9 m ≈-1.7 m ≈3.1 m
Capex5.4 m2.5 m ≈2.8 m ≈2.3 m1.7 m1.4 m ≈3.7 m ≈615.0 k
Share repurchases——99.0 k ≈———500.0 k ≈—

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 87 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 3.4, median 22.1, max 838.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue243.9 m238.6 m274.9 m303.0 m344.4 m408.1 m434.6 m439.7 m
Revenue YoY+0.6%−2.1%+15.2%+10.2%+13.7%+18.5%+6.5%+1.2%
Net income9.7 m257.0 k110.1 m21.2 m10.2 m10.8 m1.3 m2.5 m
Net income YoY+427.8%−97.4%+42,755.6%−80.8%−51.9%+5.8%−87.5%+89.3%
Diluted EPS0.870.029.421.790.860.860.100.19
Diluted EPS YoY+163.6%−97.7%+47,000.0%−81.0%−52.0%0.0%−88.4%+90.0%
net %4.0%0.1%40.1%7.0%3.0%2.6%0.3%0.6%
Free cash flow-2.3 m12.9 m14.5 m997.0 k-7.0 m27.9 m-7.2 m6.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 03 Jul 2026

Cash
72.8 m USD
Financial debt
97.0 m USD
Net debt
24.2 m USD
Equity
267.4 m USD
Total assets
599.0 m USD
Debt / equity
0.36x
Current ratio
1.97x
ROE
1.0%
ROA
0.4%
FCF margin
1.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
408.1 m
2025
434.6 m
2026
439.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
263.4 m
2025
295.2 m
2026
301.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
144.7 m
2025
139.4 m
2026
138.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Research & development
2024
36.4 m
2025
35.8 m
2026
28.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
85.0 m
2025
89.5 m
2026
88.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
19.4 m
2025
10.6 m
2026
19.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
4.0 m
2025
5.3 m
2026
3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
23.4 m ≈
2025
15.9 m ≈
2026
22.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2021verified

Pre-tax income
2024
16.9 m
2025
3.6 m
2026
13.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
6.1 m
2025
2.2 m
2026
10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
10.8 m
2025
1.3 m
2026
2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
0.86
2025
0.10
2026
0.19

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
12.5 m
2025
12.8 m
2026
13.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
64.6 m
2025
59.7 m
2026
72.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
158.0 m
2025
180.3 m
2026
192.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
405.2 m
2025
463.6 m
2026
439.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
9.5 m
2025
17.5 m
2026
18.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
8.2 m
2025
19.7 m
2026
19.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
13.6 m
2025
26.9 m
2026
23.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
535.2 m
2025
633.3 m
2026
599.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
92.9 m
2025
148.1 m
2026
119.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
2.4 m
2025
18.6 m
2026
7.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
46.0 m
2025
69.0 m
2026
89.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
218.9 m
2025
282.2 m
2026
223.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
279.3 m
2025
370.1 m
2026
331.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
255.9 m †
2025
263.2 m †
2026
267.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
30.5 m
2025
5.7 m
2026
13.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
2.7 m
2025
13.0 m
2026
7.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
27.9 m ≈
2025
-7.2 m ≈
2026
6.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-35.2 m
2025
-28.5 m
2026
-7.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
48.7 m
2025
18.7 m
2026
6.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
81.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
89.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
-37.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
-53.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
90.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
-39.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
-54.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
31.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROA
0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROIC
5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROCE
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
24.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
13.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
7.5 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
6.1 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
239.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
60.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
155 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
162 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
254.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
278.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
100.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
104.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
14.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/FCF
41.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
FCF yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 41 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

19.90 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 254.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
254.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
104.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROE
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 03 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 03 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 21 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Aug 2026
verified 2480derived 193

Score by group

  • Balance sheet41
  • Growth33
  • Valuation66
  • Quality20

Estimated value range

Low
20.46
USD per share
Mid
48.96
USD per share
High
131.87
USD per share
Price: 19.90 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 146.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 59.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.03 – 224.13 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/Sales29.88 – 224.13 (Mid 76.48)
    10 companies used · median multiple 2.3x · quartiles 0.9x – 6.6x
    BKSY, CRNT, GILT, HLIT, KUST, MSI, QCOM, UI, VISN, WATT
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA11.03 – 39.61 (Mid 21.44)
    6 companies used · median multiple 13.3x · quartiles 7.4x – 23.6x
    CRNT, GILT, MSI, QCOM, UI, VISN
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 41/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality31.5%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality4.4%60 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality1.4%6 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.5%34 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth1.2%30 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.1x13 (vs peers)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x69 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation0.6x80 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation2.4%48 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet41/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth33/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality20/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Aviat Networks, Inc. (AVNW). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-03.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 439.7 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 1.2%; net margin 0.6%; ROE 1.0%; net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.

The estimated value range is 20.46–131.87 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 48.96 USD, the price of 19.90 USD leaves a potential of 146.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 59.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 41/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EV/Sales: 0.6x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 31.5%
  • FCF margin: 1.4%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 1.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.1x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
104.7x
vertical median 19.7x
above median (+432.5%)
EV/EBITDA
12.4x
vertical median 13.3x
below median (−6.6%)
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 3.8x
below median (−84.6%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 2.8x
below median (−66.4%)
ROE
1.0%
vertical median -1.2%
above median
Net margin
0.6%
vertical median -7.1%
above median
EBIT margin
4.4%
vertical median -3.1%
above median
Revenue YoY
1.2%
vertical median 8.6%
below median (−86.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.1x
vertical median -0.5x
above median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
QCOMQualcomm Inc185.3 bn13.652.8%31.6%−2.6%+3% / +34%
MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.82.2 bn40.077.2%16.5%+8.0%+34% / +54%
UIUbiquiti Inc.34.0 bn35.491.1%29.3%+27.2%−4% / +400%
PLPlanet Labs PBC3.3 bn—-72.0%-95.1%+25.9%+6% / +421%
ONDSOndas Inc.3.0 bn18.020.1%96.0%+605.3%−33% / +381%
VISNVistance Networks, Inc.1.5 bn0.222,304.0%247.7%+39.7%−67% / +286%
HLITHarmonic Inc.1.1 bn—-11.7%-13.7%−26.2%+7% / −8%
BKSYBlacksky Technology Inc686.3 m—-44.8%-61.2%+4.4%−5% / +59%
UMACUnusual Machines, Inc.650.9 m—-2.9%-20.3%+101.2%+49% / unavailable
GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.521.2 m20.85.2%4.6%+47.9%−39% / +10%
AVNWAviat Networks, Inc.254.8 m104.71.0%0.6%+1.2%−18% / −35%
BKTIBK Technologies Corp252.4 m19.730.6%15.0%+12.5%+5% / +415%
CRNTCeragon Networks Ltd176.8 m—-1.2%-0.6%−14.1%−2% / +6%
VUZIVuzix Corp171.4 m—-122.7%-519.0%+9.1%−25% / −3%
SATLSatellogic Inc.87.6 m——-325.6%+37.6%+95% / +140%
AIRGAirgain, Inc.55.4 m—-23.7%-13.6%−14.6%+4% / +76%
WATTEnergous Corporation45.0 m—-32.8%-76.4%+633.1%+30% / −87%
CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp37.4 m—-50.5%-14.5%−17.0%−59% / −90%
KUSTKustom Entertainment, Inc.22.6 m—-323.8%-126.5%+1.7%−98% / −100%
NOKNokia Corporation——3.1%3.3%+3.5%+36% / +137%
ERICEricsson Lm Telephone Co——27.9%12.0%−4.5%+15% / +126%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AVNW from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
12.77
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
22.53
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
33.89
Total return 70% · Per year 70%
3 years
13.40
Total return -33% · Per year -12%
26.52
Total return 33% · Per year 10%
43.64
Total return 119% · Per year 30%
5 years
14.07
Total return -29% · Per year -7%
31.20
Total return 57% · Per year 9%
56.19
Total return 182% · Per year 23%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.63
  • Net margin± 4.64
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.67
  • Annual dilution± 0.39

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Aviat Networks designs and sells microwave and wireless access networking equipment and services used by telecom operators and private network customers. Revenue edged up in fiscal 2026, and guidance for fiscal 2027 points to moderate growth if demand in backhaul and private markets holds.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Broad wireless product portfolio and a large installed base with customers in many countries 12.
  • Revenue and backlog growth in fiscal 2026, with a trailing book-to-bill ratio above 1 in the fourth quarter 2.
  • Expertise in total cost of ownership and in services supports demand from existing customers 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a limited number of customers and on sole sources for some components can affect deliveries 1.
  • Quarterly revenue is volatile due to long sales cycles and contracts concentrated late in quarters 1.
  • Gross margin fell in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 compared with the prior year, driven by product and customer mix 2.

Opportunities

  • Public broadband programs and private network investment could create additional demand 1.
  • Expanding the e-commerce platform and AI-enabled software could increase service revenue 1.
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance points to growth, and its achievement would depend on execution of large projects 2.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions could raise costs and disrupt the supply chain 1.
  • Competitive pricing pressure could reduce average selling prices over time 1.
  • Radio spectrum allocation and product approval rules could restrict market access 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on large contracts and a few customershigh

    A significant share of revenue comes from a limited number of customers, and delays in large contracts could affect quarterly results 1.

  • Tariff and supply chain pressuremedium

    Tariffs and supply chain disruption could raise production costs and reduce margins 1.

  • Price competitionmedium

    Pricing pressure could reduce average revenue per product, especially in international markets 1.

  • International market exposuremedium

    Given the large share of international sales, political, economic and currency risks could affect results 1.

  • Cybersecurity and product quality riskslow

    Product errors or cyberattacks could harm reputation and increase costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If investment in 5G, backhaul and private networks continues, demand for wireless solutions could support revenue and margin growth 12.
  • A growing backlog and fiscal 2027 guidance could indicate better revenue visibility 2.
  • Public broadband programs and the software portfolio could open additional revenue sources 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If competitive pricing pressure intensifies, margins could continue to decline 12.
  • Dependence on large contracts and uncertain project timing could keep quarterly results volatile 1.
  • Tariffs and supply chain costs could reduce profitability, especially if mitigation falls short 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against fiscal 2027 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance2027
  • Gross margin trend and the effect of tariffs on costsQ1 2027
  • Backlog development and book-to-bill ratioQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Aviat Networks, Inc. is a global supplier of microwave and millimeter wave networking solutions, supported by professional services and support 1. It sells to communications service providers and to private network operators such as governments, utilities and public safety agencies 1. Revenue reached 439.7 million USD in fiscal 2026, up 1.2% 1, and fiscal 2027 guidance is 455 to 470 million USD 2.

The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas, and is listed on NASDAQ under AVNW 1. It had 900 employees as of July 3, 2026 1.

Aviat's technology is underpinned by more than 300 patents, and it has more than 3,000 customers 1. The company competes on total cost of ownership and expertise in mission critical communications 1.

Market context

Demand for microwave transport is supported by 5G and LTE rollouts, rising subscriber numbers and connected devices 1. The 42.45 billion USD American federal broadband grant program could support middle mile investment 1. The market remains sensitive to the timing of large projects, which makes quarterly revenue hard to predict.

Trends

  • 5G and mobile backhaul expansiontailwind

    Rising data traffic and 5G rollouts increase capacity needs in backhaul, where microwave is an alternative to fiber 1. The effect could be positive over the medium term if operators keep investing.

  • Broadband grants for rural areastailwind

    The American federal grant program for high-speed internet could generate demand for middle mile links 1. Implementation timing and fund distribution remain uncertain.

  • Tariff and supply chain cost pressureheadwind

    US tariffs on some imported goods have raised costs in the supply chain, and the company has applied mitigation and pricing actions 1. If pressure persists, margins could be affected.

Competitive position

Aviat competes on total cost of ownership, microwave expertise and solutions for mission critical communications 1. The company cites competitive pricing pressure, without listing competitors' market shares 1.

The acquisition of NEC's wireless transport business brought Aviat into direct competition with the Pasolink line, a segment where NEC had been a leader 1. The consolidation increased scale and diversified the portfolio but does not remove competitive pressure 1.

  • NEC Corporation

    Former leader in wireless backhaul whose business was acquired by Aviat; not confirmed as US-listed in the sources.

  • Regional microwave and access equipment suppliers

    Local and regional competitors implied by the pricing pressure in international markets.

  • Fiber optic and satellite connectivity providers

    Alternative connectivity options that compete with wireless solutions, noted in the market description.

  • Network software and managed service providers

    Competitors in the software and services component where Aviat is expanding its offering.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 01 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 06 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / Aviat Networks, Inc. · 27 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Aviat Networks, Inc. · 27 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.