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olivLaw · US equity research

Ubiquiti Inc. UI

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment · SIC 3663 · Vertical: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663)

545.42USD+0.99% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) designs networking equipment and software platforms for enterprises and service providers, selling through distributors and its own webstores. Fiscal 2026 revenue reached 3.3 billion USD and net income 960.3 million USD, both up strongly on the prior year. The central question for investors is how durable this growth is given tariffs and component constraints.

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) stock was 545.42 USD (+0.99% on the day), with market capitalisation 33.0 bn USD, P/E 34.4 on diluted EPS of 15.85 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.59%, beta 1.59, 52-week range 515.44–1,084.50 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 937.3 m USD (+23.5% YoY), net income of 284.9 m USD (+6.8% YoY), diluted EPS 4.70 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
33.0 bn USD
shares as of 20 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
34.4
Diluted EPS TTM 15.85 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.91%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.59%
DPS 12m 3.20
Beta (2y)
1.59
Volatility (1y) 54%
52-week range
515.441,084.50

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
37.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
545.17 – 657.81
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.00 · band width 18.7%
SMA 50 / 200
588.60 / 661.85
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-8.24 / -0.20
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−12.1%−2.0%−10.1 pp—
3 months−2.6%−2.2%−0.4 pp—
6 months−46.3%+4.3%−50.5 pp—
Year to date−1.4%+10.6%−12.0 pp—
1 year−29.5%+10.5%−40.0 pp+1.0%
3 years+412.9%+73.7%+339.2 pp+52.1%
5 years+74.6%+61.7%+12.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.0%
17 Apr 2026 → 09 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.0%
28 Oct 2022 → 18 Apr 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.8%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
937.3 m USD
+23.5% YoY
Net income
284.9 m USD
+6.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.70
+6.8% YoY
net / operating
30.4% / 36.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue550.3 m599.9 m664.2 m759.2 m733.8 m814.9 m788.2 m937.3 m
Cost of revenue318.7 m352.6 m368.3 m416.4 m396.4 m440.9 m417.5 m508.1 m
Gross profit231.6 m247.2 m295.9 m342.7 m337.4 m374.0 m370.7 m429.3 m
Research & development38.0 m40.0 m44.3 m47.5 m48.5 m50.8 m51.8 m53.0 m
SG&A24.4 m28.5 m24.8 m33.9 m27.1 m30.3 m28.1 m36.3 m
Operating income169.2 m178.8 m226.9 m261.4 m261.7 m292.9 m290.8 m340.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation6.1 m4.6 m ≈6.9 m ≈4.3 m5.1 m4.5 m ≈4.6 m ≈4.7 m
Pre-tax income158.6 m167.4 m221.4 m258.2 m258.5 m291.3 m290.2 m343.1 m
Income tax30.6 m30.6 m41.0 m-8.5 m50.7 m57.7 m56.2 m58.2 m
Net income128.0 m136.8 m180.4 m266.7 m207.9 m233.6 m233.9 m284.9 m
Diluted EPS2.122.262.984.40 ≈3.433.863.864.70 ≈
Operating cash flow233.7 m152.4 m ≈123.6 m ≈130.4 m198.5 m263.9 m ≈167.8 m ≈298.5 m
Capex2.6 m2.0 m ≈2.8 m ≈5.2 m5.2 m3.6 m ≈5.6 m ≈5.4 m
Dividends paid36.3 m36.3 m ≈36.3 m ≈36.3 m48.4 m48.4 m ≈48.4 m ≈48.4 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 65 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 15.5, median 31.9, max 52.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue1.2 bn1.3 bn1.9 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn2.6 bn3.3 bn
Revenue YoY+14.2%+10.6%+47.8%−10.9%+14.7%−0.6%+33.4%+27.2%
Net income322.7 m380.3 m616.6 m378.7 m407.6 m350.0 m711.9 m960.3 m
Net income YoY+64.4%+17.9%+62.1%−38.6%+7.7%−14.1%+103.4%+34.9%
Diluted EPS4.515.809.786.136.745.7911.7615.85
Diluted EPS YoY+79.7%+28.6%+68.6%−37.3%+10.0%−14.1%+103.1%+34.8%
net %27.8%29.6%32.5%22.4%21.0%18.1%27.7%29.3%
Free cash flow207.6 m429.7 m593.7 m356.8 m-166.4 m529.5 m627.4 m908.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
522.6 m USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-522.6 m USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
2.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
2.93x
ROE
91.1%
ROA
52.4%
FCF margin
27.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.6 bn
2026
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
739.8 m
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Research & development
2024
159.8 m
2025
169.7 m
2026
204.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
81.0 m
2025
111.5 m
2026
121.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
499.0 m
2025
836.3 m
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
19.3 m
2025
21.9 m
2026
18.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
518.2 m ≈
2025
858.2 m ≈
2026
1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
423.8 m
2025
805.7 m
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
73.9 m
2025
93.7 m
2026
222.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
350.0 m
2025
711.9 m
2026
960.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
5.79
2025
11.76
2026
15.85

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
60.5 m
2025
60.5 m
2026
60.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
2.40
2025
2.40
2026
3.20

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
126.3 m
2025
149.7 m
2026
522.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
169.1 m
2025
244.6 m
2026
301.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
462.0 m
2025
675.1 m
2026
780.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
916.0 m
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
81.1 m
2025
73.5 m
2026
75.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
4.2 m
2025
2.6 m
2026
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
51.1 m
2025
164.8 m
2026
432.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
36.5 m
2025
249.6 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
669.9 m
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Aug 2025verified

Current liabilities
2024
284.8 m
2025
710.9 m
2026
626.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.1 bn
2025
798.2 m
2026
757.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
95.1 m †
2025
668.3 m †
2026
1.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
541.5 m
2025
640.0 m
2026
928.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
12.0 m
2025
12.6 m
2026
19.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
529.5 m ≈
2025
627.4 m ≈
2026
908.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-12.0 m
2025
-12.6 m
2026
-109.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-518.0 m
2025
-604.1 m
2026
-446.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
145.1 m
2025
145.2 m
2026
193.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Aug 2024verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
27.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
19.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
41.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
34.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
33.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
34.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
33.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
44.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
46.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
36.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
36.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
29.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
27.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
91.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
52.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
114.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
75.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
20.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
21.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-522.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
928.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
19.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
908.9 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
94.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
77.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
30 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
62 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
33.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
32.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
34.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
34.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
22.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
10.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
27.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
27.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
9.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
36.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 56 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

545.42 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 33.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
33.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
34.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
22.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
27.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
91.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
29.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
27.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 21 Aug 2026
verified 2662derived 205

Score by group

  • Balance sheet75
  • Valuation24
  • Quality67
  • Growth74
  • Returns43

Estimated value range

Low
99.97
USD per share
Mid
148.70
USD per share
High
259.41
USD per share
Price: 545.42 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -72.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -266.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 44.98 – 302.40 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales44.98 – 216.41 (Mid 90.54)
    10 companies used · median multiple 1.5x · quartiles 0.7x – 3.8x
    AVNW, BKSY, CRNT, GILT, HLIT, KUST, MSI, QCOM, VISN, WATT
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA154.96 – 302.40 (Mid 206.86)
    6 companies used · median multiple 10.0x · quartiles 7.4x – 14.8x
    AVNW, CRNT, GILT, MSI, QCOM, VISN
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 56/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality46.2%15 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality36.2%100 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality27.8%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth19.0%76 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth27.2%70 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.4x50 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.9x100 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation9.9x0 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation2.8%55 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.6%43 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet75/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth74/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality67/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns43/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation24/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

UBIQUITI INC. (UI). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.3 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 27.2%; net margin 29.3%; ROE 91.1%; net debt/EBITDA -0.4x.

The estimated value range is 99.97–259.41 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 148.70 USD, the price of 545.42 USD leaves a potential of -72.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -266.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 56/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 36.2%
  • FCF margin: 27.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 19.0%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 27.2%
  • Current ratio: 2.9x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 46.2%
  • EV/Sales: 9.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
34.4x
vertical median 19.7x
above median (+75.0%)
EV/EBITDA
27.0x
vertical median 10.0x
above median (+170.8%)
P/S
10.1x
vertical median 3.0x
above median (+235.1%)
P/B
22.9x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+918.4%)
ROE
91.1%
vertical median -1.2%
above median
Net margin
29.3%
vertical median -7.1%
above median
EBIT margin
36.2%
vertical median -3.1%
above median
Revenue YoY
27.2%
vertical median 8.6%
above median (+217.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.4x
vertical median -0.4x
below median
Dividend yield
0.6%
vertical median 1.6%
below median (−62.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
QCOMQualcomm Inc172.7 bn19.033.8%21.0%+13.7%−2% / +27%
MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.81.3 bn38.792.0%17.4%+8.0%+33% / +52%
UIUbiquiti Inc.33.0 bn34.491.1%29.3%+27.2%−30% / +413%
PLPlanet Labs PBC3.3 bn—-72.0%-95.1%+25.9%+6% / +421%
ONDSOndas Inc.3.0 bn18.020.1%96.0%+605.3%−33% / +381%
VISNVistance Networks, Inc.1.5 bn0.222,304.0%247.7%+39.7%−67% / +286%
HLITHarmonic Inc.1.1 bn—-11.7%-13.7%−26.2%+7% / −8%
BKSYBlacksky Technology Inc686.3 m—-44.8%-61.2%+4.4%−5% / +59%
UMACUnusual Machines, Inc.650.9 m—-2.9%-20.3%+101.2%+49% / unavailable
GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.521.2 m20.85.2%4.6%+47.9%−39% / +10%
AVNWAviat Networks, Inc.254.8 m104.71.0%0.6%+1.2%−10% / −34%
BKTIBK Technologies Corp252.4 m19.730.6%15.0%+12.5%+5% / +415%
CRNTCeragon Networks Ltd176.8 m—-1.2%-0.6%−14.1%−2% / +6%
VUZIVuzix Corp171.4 m—-122.7%-519.0%+9.1%−25% / −3%
SATLSatellogic Inc.87.6 m——-325.6%+37.6%+95% / +140%
AIRGAirgain, Inc.55.4 m—-23.7%-13.6%−14.6%+4% / +76%
WATTEnergous Corporation45.0 m—-32.8%-76.4%+633.1%+30% / −87%
CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp37.4 m—-50.5%-14.5%−17.0%−59% / −90%
KUSTKustom Entertainment, Inc.22.6 m—-323.8%-126.5%+1.7%−98% / −100%
NOKNokia Corporation——3.1%3.3%+3.5%+36% / +137%
ERICEricsson Lm Telephone Co——27.9%12.0%−4.5%+15% / +126%

1- and 3-year price returns: for UI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
356.76
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
627.84
Total return 16% · Per year 16%
941.76
Total return 73% · Per year 73%
3 years
423.17
Total return -21% · Per year -7%
830.32
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
1,356.13
Total return 152% · Per year 36%
5 years
501.95
Total return -5% · Per year -1%
1,098.10
Total return 106% · Per year 16%
1,952.83
Total return 264% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 207.58
  • Net margin± 145.31
  • Annual revenue growth± 108.37
  • Annual dilution± 12.21

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) designs networking equipment and software platforms for enterprises and service providers, selling through distributors and its own webstores. Fiscal 2026 revenue reached 3.3 billion USD 12 and net income 960.3 million USD 1, both up strongly on the prior year. The central question for investors is how durable this growth is given tariffs and component constraints 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Rapid revenue growth and a rising gross margin suggest the distributor and webstore model is working 12.
  • Proprietary software and firmware expertise and hardware design are described as differentiators 1.
  • A presence in very many countries and a broad distributor network reduce reliance on a single channel 1.

Weaknesses

  • Visibility into end-customer sales is limited, which makes forecasting results difficult 1.
  • Reliance on a small number of component suppliers and contract manufacturers could disrupt production 1.
  • The company has no traditional direct sales force, which may limit penetration of large enterprise accounts 1.

Opportunities

  • Extending the UniFi platforms into more connected-device categories could open new markets 1.
  • If tariffs ease or stabilize, margins could recover toward historical levels 12.
  • Demand for wireless connectivity as an alternative to wired networks could support growth among service providers 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and shifts in trade policy could raise import costs and hurt results 1.
  • Intense competition from larger firms with greater resources could pressure prices 1.
  • Geopolitical tensions between China and Taiwan or the conflict in Ukraine could disrupt supply chains 1.

Risks

  • Limited sales visibilityhigh

    Reliance on distributors means the company knows little about final demand and channel inventory, which can lead to excess stock or lost sales 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Frequent tariff changes can raise product costs and make historical margins less indicative of the future 12.

  • Concentrated supply chainmedium

    Components come from a few suppliers without long-term contracts, and their shortage could interrupt production 1.

  • Founder dependencemedium

    The founder and chief executive controls most of the common stock, and the business depends heavily on him 1.

  • Geopolitical tensionsmedium

    Contract manufacturers and logistics are located in regions exposed to conflict, and a disruption could affect deliveries 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If enterprise revenue growth continues, the company could strengthen its position in the UniFi-type network market 12.
  • A rising gross margin in fiscal 2026 could suggest better pricing power than before 2.
  • The dividend policy and repurchase program show an intention to return capital to shareholders 2.

What would break the thesis

  • If tariffs and component costs stay high, margins could decline again 12.
  • The service-provider segment fell in fiscal 2026, and a continued decline could reduce diversification 2.
  • Limited visibility into end demand could make future results volatile 1.

What to watch

  • Gross margin trend against component costs and tariffsQ1 2027
  • Revenue growth in the Enterprise Technology segment2027
  • Board decisions on quarterly dividendsQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Founded in 2005, the company develops platforms for high-capacity distributed internet access and unified network management, plus sensors, cameras and connected devices for enterprise, industrial and service-provider environments 1. Fiscal 2026 revenue was 3.3 billion USD and R&D expense 204.2 million USD 1. It reports one operating segment and has no traditional direct sales force, relying on the Ubiquiti Community instead 1.

In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 revenue was 937.3 million USD 2 and GAAP gross margin 45.8% 2. The board declared a 1.00 USD per share dividend and extended the repurchase program through September 30, 2027 2.

Market context

Demand for high-capacity connectivity keeps growing with video streaming, cloud applications, remote work and IoT, and wireless networks increasingly compete with wired ones on deployment speed and lower cost 1. Competition has intensified in enterprise networking, service-provider infrastructure and video surveillance 1.

Customers compare solutions on total cost of ownership, ease of installation, scalability and security 1. The company argues it can win where it offers integrated, low-cost solutions 1.

Trends

  • US tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs imposed by the US on imports from China and Vietnam have raised product costs and affected margins, and the company expects this to continue while tariffs remain in effect 12. Recent court rulings have nullified some tariffs, adding uncertainty 1.

  • Growing demand for connectivitytailwind

    Internet traffic and connected devices increase the need for reliable, easily managed networks, supporting the UniFi platforms 1. Revenue growth in the enterprise segment reflects this trend 2.

  • Component costsheadwind

    The company saw higher component and shipping costs in the fourth quarter, and availability could remain constrained, which could pressure margins if price increases cannot be passed on 2.

  • International footprintmixed

    Most sales come from outside the US, and expanding or repatriating production could change the cost structure as well as operational risks 1. Developing its own foreign manufacturing capacity is noted as a risk 1.

Competitive position

Networking markets are highly competitive, and the company says it competes on price-performance and rapid development 1. Competition comes from established firms and emerging players, and new entrants may appear as the company enters new markets 1.

In backhaul and CPE the named competitors are Cambium, Ceragon, MikroTik, Trango and Tarana Wireless 1. In enterprise WLAN and switching the named competitors include Cisco, Fortinet, HPE (Aruba and Juniper) and Ruckus 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 23 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ubiquiti Inc. · 21 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ubiquiti Inc. · 21 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.