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olivLaw · US equity research

Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. BBCP

Construction - Special Trade Contractors · SIC 1700 · Vertical: Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700)

9.52USD−6.02% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Concrete Pumping Holdings is a leading provider of concrete pumping and concrete waste management services in the U.S. and U.K., operating a fleet the company considers the only nationally scaled one in both markets. Third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue grew 13% to 116.8 million USD, and management raised its full-year outlook as demand for commercial and infrastructure work, including data centers, stayed healthy.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (BBCP) stock was 9.52 USD (−6.02% on the day), with market capitalisation 479.7 m USD, P/E 56.2 on diluted EPS of 0.17 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.66, 52-week range 5.73–12.05 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 116.8 m USD (+12.6% YoY), net income of 4.9 m USD (+33.3% YoY), diluted EPS 0.09 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
479.7 m USD
shares as of 28 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
56.2
Diluted EPS TTM 0.17 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.78%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta (2y)
0.66
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
5.7312.05

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
45.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
8.65 – 10.54
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.46 · band width 19.7%
SMA 50 / 200
9.70 / 8.70
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.13 / 0.07
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−4.2%−1.1%−3.1 pp—
3 months−1.7%−0.5%−1.2 pp—
6 months+18.4%+4.4%+14.0 pp—
Year to date+41.9%+12.3%+29.6 pp—
1 year+46.9%+13.5%+33.4 pp−50.2%
3 years+39.4%+76.4%−37.0 pp−23.5%
5 years+3.4%+63.7%−60.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.3%
30 Jun 2026 → 02 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−49.7%
15 Nov 2021 → 18 May 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
116.8 m USD
+12.6% YoY
Net income
4.9 m USD
+33.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.09
+28.6% YoY
net / operating
4.2% / 12.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue111.5 m86.4 m94.0 m103.7 m108.8 m90.6 m106.8 m116.8 m
Cost of revenue65.2 m55.2 m57.8 m63.3 m65.5 m58.6 m65.5 m71.5 m
Gross profit46.2 m31.2 m36.2 m40.4 m43.3 m32.0 m41.3 m45.2 m
Operating income19.2 m3.5 m8.3 m12.9 m16.9 m4.5 m12.1 m15.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation14.3 m13.2 m13.6 m13.6 m13.1 m12.9 m12.9 m13.2 m
Interest expense6.0 m5.8 m8.3 m8.1 m9.3 m8.4 m8.4 m8.4 m
Pre-tax income13.3 m-3.7 m-6.0 k5.0 m8.7 m-3.5 m3.9 m6.9 m
Income tax3.9 m-1.0 m-2.0 k1.3 m3.4 m-1.1 m1.3 m2.0 m
Net income9.4 m-2.6 m-4.0 k3.7 m5.3 m-2.4 m2.5 m4.9 m
Diluted EPS0.17 ≈-0.06-0.010.070.10 ≈-0.060.040.09
Operating cash flow22.4 m6.0 m24.7 m ≈19.1 m ≈14.5 m21.4 m8.1 m ≈24.1 m ≈
Capex6.3 m5.8 m13.7 m ≈14.7 m ≈12.6 m9.5 m10.1 m ≈20.4 m ≈
Dividends paid0——0 ≈0——0 ≈
Share repurchases3.0 m2.6 m5.9 m ≈3.8 m ≈1.9 m4.6 m2.6 m ≈120.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 84 percentile of its own 19-quarter history (min 4.2, median 21.2, max 64.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2018202020212022202320242025
Revenue243.2 m304.3 m315.8 m401.3 m442.2 m425.9 m392.9 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+3.8%+27.1%+10.2%−3.7%−7.7%
Net income28.4 m-61.3 m-15.1 m28.7 m31.8 m16.2 m6.4 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+10.9%−49.0%−60.7%
Diluted EPS2.47-1.20-0.310.470.540.260.09
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+14.9%−51.9%−65.4%
net %11.7%-20.1%-4.8%7.1%7.2%3.8%1.6%
Free cash flow7.9 m39.6 m13.0 m-25.2 m42.4 m43.1 m17.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Oct 2025

Cash
44.4 m USD
Financial debt
417.9 m USD
Net debt
373.5 m USD
Equity
264.8 m USD
Total assets
879.5 m USD
Debt / equity
1.58x
Current ratio
2.17x
ROE
2.2%
ROA
0.7%
FCF margin
4.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
442.2 m
2024
425.9 m
2025
392.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
263.9 m
2024
260.0 m
2025
241.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
178.3 m
2024
165.8 m
2025
151.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Operating income
2023
61.5 m
2024
49.3 m
2025
41.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
58.7 m
2024
57.1 m
2025
53.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
120.1 m ≈
2024
106.5 m ≈
2025
95.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
28.1 m
2024
25.6 m
2025
31.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
40.6 m
2024
24.3 m
2025
10.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Income tax
2023
8.8 m
2024
8.1 m
2025
3.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Net income
2023
31.8 m
2024
16.2 m
2025
6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.54
2024
0.26
2025
0.09

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
54.2 m
2024
54.2 m
2025
52.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
15.9 m
2024
43.0 m
2025
44.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Receivables
2023
63.0 m
2024
56.4 m
2025
53.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Inventories
2023
6.7 m
2024
5.9 m
2025
7.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Current assets
2023
94.3 m
2024
112.4 m
2025
113.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
427.6 m
2024
415.7 m
2025
412.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
221.5 m
2024
223.0 m
2025
223.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
120.2 m
2024
105.6 m
2025
93.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Total assets
2023
904.5 m
2024
898.0 m
2025
879.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
8.9 m
2024
7.7 m
2025
6.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
371.9 m
2024
373.3 m
2025
417.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
84.0 m
2024
56.3 m
2025
52.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
571.3 m
2024
551.3 m
2025
589.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Equity
2023
308.2 m †
2024
321.7 m †
2025
264.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
96.9 m
2024
86.9 m
2025
64.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Capex
2023
54.5 m
2024
43.8 m
2025
46.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
42.4 m ≈
2024
43.1 m ≈
2025
17.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-44.2 m
2024
-32.1 m
2025
-37.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-44.3 m
2024
-28.8 m
2025
-25.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
0
2025
53.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
10.5 m
2024
10.2 m
2025
14.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Jan 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-15.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-60.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-39.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-65.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-42.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-59.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
38.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
23.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROA
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROCE
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
375.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
68.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
52.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
15.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
150.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
67.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
12 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
53 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
479.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
855.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
46.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
56.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
17.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
30.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
FCF yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.06
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 38 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

9.52 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 479.7 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
479.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
56.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROE
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Sept 2026
verified 1306derived 99

Score by group

  • Returns56
  • Growth0
  • Balance sheet19
  • Valuation33
  • Quality79

Estimated value range

Low
3.13
USD per share
Mid
5.81
USD per share
High
10.68
USD per share
Price: 9.52 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -39.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -63.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.07 – 17.83 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)5.18 – 17.83 (Mid 9.30)
    WACC 6.8% · starting FCFF 38.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 81%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -0.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E1.07 – 3.53 (Mid 2.33)
    4 companies used · median multiple 13.7x · quartiles 6.3x – 20.8x
    AGX, LMB, MSGY, RUN
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 38/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality4.9%71 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality2.4%72 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality150.5%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.7%0 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-42.4%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.7x8 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.4x0 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.7x76 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation56.2x0 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.5x59 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation3.2%41 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%27 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet19/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality79/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns56/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation33/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

CONCRETE PUMPING HOLDINGS, INC. (BBCP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 392.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -7.7%; net margin 2.4%; ROE 3.9%; net debt/EBITDA 3.7x.

The estimated value range is 3.13–10.68 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 5.81 USD, the price of 9.52 USD leaves a potential of -39.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -63.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 38/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 4.9%
  • Net margin: 2.4%
  • FCF conversion: 150.5%
  • Current ratio: 1.7x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -42.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.7x
  • Interest coverage: 1.4x
  • P/E (TTM): 56.2x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
56.2x
vertical median 13.7x
above median (+309.2%)
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
vertical median —
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 0.7x
above median (+51.6%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−33.6%)
ROE
3.9%
vertical median -4.7%
above median
Net margin
2.4%
vertical median -4.7%
above median
EBIT margin
11.5%
vertical median -13.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
-7.7%
vertical median 8.9%
below median (−186.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.7x
vertical median -0.1x
above median
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AGXArgan Inc3.7 bn20.739.8%15.1%+8.1%−34% / +460%
BBUCBrookfield Business Corporation2.7 bn—2.4%1.4%−32.4%−13% / +66%
RUNSunrun Inc.2.4 bn5.016.2%14.0%+45.1%−51% / −23%
LMBLimbach Holdings, Inc.639.3 m21.316.0%4.2%+24.7%−23% / +43%
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.479.7 m56.23.9%2.4%−7.7%+47% / +39%
PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings Limited395.1 m—-25.9%-16.7%−2.2%+30% / unavailable
MTRXMatrix Service Company243.9 m—-1.8%-0.3%+13.6%−26% / −13%
MSGYMasonglory Limited64.4 m6.8-135.4%-34.0%+1.0%−82% / unavailable
SPWRSunpower Inc.51.2 m——-3.8%+175.9%−86% / −79%
FGLFounder Group Limited22.4 m—-31.9%-5.6%unavailable−100% / unavailable
SMXTSolarMax Technology, Inc.18.0 m——-7.9%+295.8%−66% / unavailable
PMAMing Shing Group Holdings Limited16.0 m——-39.4%−56.8%−27% / unavailable
WXMWF International Limited12.8 m—-71.9%-24.5%−13.7%−66% / unavailable
CETXCemtrex, Inc.1.3 m—-152.4%-38.4%+14.4%−98% / −100%
AMRCAmeresco, Inc.——5.5%3.3%+28.8%−45% / −36%
ZEOZeo Energy Corp.0——-15.4%−5.3%−86% / −98%
KAZRSkyline Builders Group Holding Limited——20.6%18.1%+8.9%−49% / unavailable
LGNLegence Corp.——-7.5%-1.2%+21.5%−45% / unavailable
PBKPOWERBANK Corp——-174.4%-74.7%−28.9%−91% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for BBCP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
6.46
Total return -32% · Per year -32%
11.46
Total return 20% · Per year 20%
17.30
Total return 82% · Per year 82%
3 years
5.63
Total return -41% · Per year -16%
11.30
Total return 19% · Per year 6%
18.82
Total return 98% · Per year 26%
5 years
4.91
Total return -48% · Per year -12%
11.14
Total return 17% · Per year 3%
20.47
Total return 115% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.82
  • Net margin± 1.98
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.71
  • Annual dilution± 0.17

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Concrete Pumping Holdings is a leading provider of concrete pumping and concrete waste management services in the U.S. and U.K., operating a fleet the company considers the only nationally scaled one in both markets. Third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue grew 13% to 116.8 million USD 3, and management raised its full-year outlook as demand for commercial and infrastructure work, including data centers, stayed healthy 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has national scale, a fleet that is young compared with small competitors, and a diversified customer base with long relationships 1.
  • Eco-Pan's route density gives it, according to management, a profitability advantage over local operators 1.
  • Repeated acquisitions and their integration into existing operations are a capability the company highlights 23.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue is sensitive to the construction cycle and weather, and seasonality makes the first half of the fiscal year weaker 1.
  • Debt is significant and its cost rose after the 2025 refinancing, which limits financial flexibility 1.
  • Reliance on three equipment suppliers and an aging fleet could raise maintenance costs and reduce appeal to customers 1.

Opportunities

  • Data center and infrastructure projects could support growth in U.S. segments if demand stays high 3.
  • Expanding Eco-Pan and cross-selling it to pumping customers could lift revenue without entering new markets 1.
  • Strategic acquisitions such as Templant could diversify services within existing geographic markets 2.

Threats

  • A further slowdown in residential and light commercial construction could reduce volumes in several markets 13.
  • Fuel costs and emissions regulation could pressure margins and capital spending 23.
  • Competition and price pressure during cyclical downturns could affect revenue and cash flow 1.

Risks

  • Construction cyclicalityhigh

    The company's activity depends on construction spending, and an economic slowdown could weigh on revenue and operating results 1.

  • Indebtednesshigh

    Debt outstanding is significant, and interest costs could limit the ability to invest in the fleet or pay dividends 23.

  • Supplier dependencemedium

    The company relies on a small group of equipment manufacturers, and disruption in those relationships could affect operations 1.

  • Fuel costsmedium

    Fuel inflation already reduced margins in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 and could continue if prices stay high 3.

  • Goodwill impairmentlow

    Remaining goodwill could be impaired if acquired businesses underperform expectations 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, together with a raised outlook, shows the business can grow even while construction remains weak 23.
  • A leading national position in pumping and waste management, with an estimated regional share, could support long-term earnings 1.
  • Initiating a quarterly dividend and extending the buyback could reflect management's confidence in cash generation 23.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue fell in fiscal 2025, and recovery depends on light commercial and residential demand, which management says will not recover meaningfully this year 13.
  • Significant debt and higher borrowing costs after refinancing could limit financial flexibility, especially if interest rates stay high 1.
  • Part of the 2026 quarterly growth came from an acquisition and steadier weather, and these factors may not persist 3.

What to watch

  • Delivery against the fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlooknext 10-K
  • Gross margin trend as fuel cost inflation persistsQ4 2026
  • Leverage ratio and debt level after the first dividend paymentQ4 2026
  • Effect of accelerated investment for 2027 emissions standards on free cash flow2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The business model combines operated pumping services billed on a time and volume basis with a fixed-fee model at Eco-Pan that covers delivery and pickup of washout pans, disposal and a set period of use 1. The company states it does not take ownership of the concrete it pumps, which limits inventory and product liability exposure 1. Pumping equipment is sourced mainly from three manufacturers, and the company says it is the largest consumer of concrete pumping supplies in the industry 1.

In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 the company initiated a quarterly cash dividend of 0.13 USD per share, extended its share repurchase program to November 30, 2028, and acquired Templant Hire Limited in April 2026, adding temporary power solutions in the U.K. 23. Debt outstanding was 425.0 million USD at July 31, 2026, and the leverage ratio fell to 3.6x 3.

Market context

The company estimates it holds about 17% of the U.S. concrete pumping market and about 30% of the U.K. market, based on fleet size 1. The U.S. industry is highly fragmented, with roughly 1,000 participants, most running between five and ten pumps, and management says no other company has a national presence 1. Management also said demand for light commercial and residential construction remains weak, while large projects benefit from investment in data centers and infrastructure 3.

The fiscal 2026 outlook assumes light commercial and residential construction will not meaningfully recover this year 3. If those segments recover faster than management expects, the outlook could be revised upward again, while if U.S. emissions rules raise equipment costs, accelerated investment could pressure margins 23.

Trends

  • Data center and infrastructure investmenttailwind

    Management links the third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue growth to stronger demand for commercial and infrastructure projects, including data centers 3. If that demand holds, it could support growth in the U.S. pumping and waste management segments.

  • Weakness in light commercial and residential constructionheadwind

    The company says residential and light commercial construction remain weak because of high interest rates and economic uncertainty, and this contributed to lower volumes in fiscal 2025 13.

Competitive position

The concrete pumping industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with larger regional companies and small independent businesses, and in each geographic market the company typically competes with one or two others capable of complex projects 1. In waste management, competitors are mainly local operators with few pans, and the company says there is only one competitor at national level 1.

Competition is based on quality and breadth of service, reliability, price, and the size and age of the fleet, and the company notes its fleet age has risen in recent years 1. The company says it is not aware of any equivalent competitor in waste management in the U.K. 1.

  • Regional concrete pumping operators

    Larger regional companies that can run complex projects in one geographic market are the main competitors the company describes 1.

  • Independent local operators

    Small businesses with limited fleets compete mainly on price and proximity, and there are many of them in the U.S. industry 1.

  • National competitor in waste management

    The company estimates there is only one competitor at national level in U.S. concrete washout, without naming it 1.

  • U.K. pumping operators

    The company compares its U.K. position with other local operators, and no named competitor is identified in the sources reviewed 1.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-10-31 · SEC / Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. · 13 Jan 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. · 03 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. · 03 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.