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olivLaw · US equity research

Matrix Service Company MTRX

Construction - Special Trade Contractors · SIC 1700 · Vertical: Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700)

9.13USD−4.50% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Matrix Service Company designs, builds and maintains critical energy, power and industrial infrastructure across the United States and Canada. Revenue grew 14% to $873.6 million in fiscal 2026, and the company enters fiscal 2027 with no debt and an opportunity pipeline above $7 billion, amid large investment in LNG, data center power and critical minerals mining.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Matrix Service Company (MTRX) stock was 9.13 USD (−4.50% on the day), with market capitalisation 258.3 m USD, beta 1.53, 52-week range 9.13–15.60 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 244.5 m USD (+13.0% YoY), net income of 1.1 m USD, diluted EPS 0.04 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
258.3 m USD
shares as of 02 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.09 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-0.99%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.53
Volatility (1y) 49%
52-week range
9.1315.60

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
35.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.09 – 10.77
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.02 · band width 16.8%
SMA 50 / 200
10.14 / 11.76
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.25 / -0.19
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−12.4%−1.1%−11.3 pp—
3 months−21.0%−0.5%−20.5 pp—
6 months−33.8%+4.4%−38.2 pp—
Year to date−22.0%+12.3%−34.3 pp—
1 year−40.2%+13.5%−53.8 pp−55.4%
3 years−22.3%+76.4%−98.7 pp−29.1%
5 years−14.6%+63.7%−78.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−41.5%
05 Nov 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.0%
08 Nov 2021 → 27 Sept 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−3.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
244.5 m USD
+13.0% YoY
Net income
1.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.04
unavailable YoY
net / operating
0.5% / -0.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue165.6 m187.2 m200.2 m216.4 m211.9 m210.5 m206.7 m244.5 m
Cost of revenue157.8 m176.3 m187.3 m208.3 m197.7 m197.4 m189.6 m225.0 m
Gross profit7.8 m10.9 m12.9 m8.1 m14.2 m13.1 m17.2 m19.5 m
SG&A18.6 m17.3 m17.7 m17.6 m16.3 m15.1 m15.2 m16.9 m
Operating income-10.8 m-6.4 m-5.0 m-12.9 m-5.5 m-2.2 m-1.0 m-891.0 k
Depreciation & amortisation2.5 m2.5 m2.5 m2.5 m2.5 m2.2 m2.0 m1.9 m
Interest expense89.0 k145.0 k134.0 k150.0 k127.0 k118.0 k85.0 k107.0 k
Pre-tax income-9.2 m-5.5 m-3.4 m-10.8 m————
Income tax016.0 k0448.0 k69.0 k163.0 k35.0 k89.0 k
Net income-9.2 m-5.5 m-3.4 m-11.3 m-3.7 m-894.0 k835.0 k1.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.33-0.20-0.12-0.40 ≈-0.13-0.030.030.04 ≈
Operating cash flow11.9 m33.6 m ≈31.2 m ≈40.7 m-25.9 m7.5 m ≈34.2 m ≈-8.8 m
Capex1.9 m915.0 k ≈2.6 m ≈2.3 m2.0 m1.2 m ≈917.0 k ≈1.4 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue1.4 bn1.1 bn673.4 m707.8 m795.0 m728.2 m769.3 m873.6 m
Revenue YoY+29.8%−22.3%−38.8%+5.1%+12.3%−8.4%+5.6%+13.6%
Net income28.0 m-33.1 m-31.2 m-63.9 m-52.4 m-25.0 m-29.5 m-2.6 m
Net income YoYunavailable−218.2%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS1.01-1.24-1.18-2.39-1.94-0.91-1.06-0.09
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−222.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %2.0%-3.0%-4.6%-9.0%-6.6%-3.4%-3.8%-0.3%
Free cash flow21.8 m25.5 m-7.3 m-57.5 m1.2 m65.6 m109.8 m1.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
223.0 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
141.9 m USD
Total assets
602.6 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.98x
ROE
-1.8%
ROA
-0.4%
FCF margin
0.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
728.2 m
2025
769.3 m
2026
873.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
687.7 m
2025
729.6 m
2026
809.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
40.5 m
2025
39.7 m
2026
64.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

SG&A
2024
70.1 m
2025
71.2 m
2026
63.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-30.1 m
2025
-35.1 m
2026
-9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
11.0 m
2025
10.0 m
2026
8.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
-19.1 m ≈
2025
-25.1 m ≈
2026
-978.0 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
1.1 m
2025
518.0 k
2026
437.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-25.0 m
2025
-29.0 m
2026
-2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-36.0 k
2025
464.0 k
2026
356.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Net income
2024
-25.0 m
2025
-29.5 m
2026
-2.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-0.91
2025
-1.06
2026
-0.09

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
27.4 m
2025
27.8 m
2026
28.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
115.6 m
2025
224.6 m
2026
223.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Receivables
2024
139.0 m
2025
155.0 m
2026
172.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Inventories
2024
8.8 m
2025
5.9 m
2026
6.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Current assets
2024
301.6 m
2025
419.8 m
2026
435.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
43.5 m
2025
42.1 m
2026
36.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
29.0 m
2025
29.0 m
2026
28.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
1.7 m
2025
555.0 k
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Total assets
2024
451.4 m
2025
600.3 m
2026
602.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
65.6 m
2025
80.5 m
2026
108.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
265.1 m
2025
436.4 m
2026
442.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
287.2 m
2025
457.5 m
2026
460.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Equity
2024
164.2 m
2025
142.7 m
2026
141.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
72.6 m
2025
117.5 m
2026
6.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Capex
2024
7.0 m
2025
7.7 m
2026
5.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
65.6 m ≈
2025
109.8 m ≈
2026
1.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-945.0 k
2025
-7.4 m
2026
-3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-10.4 m
2025
-1.0 m
2026
-4.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Sept 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Oct 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
13.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-98.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
-0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
-1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-22.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
6.9 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
5.5 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
1.4 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
3 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
28 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
258.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
181.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
1.72
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

9.13 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 258.3 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
258.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 02 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Sept 2026
verified 2466derived 186

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-0.3%61 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.2%27 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-22.0x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x15 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation0.6%7 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet6/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial27/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial61/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial7/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Matrix Service Company (MTRX). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 873.6 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 13.6%; net margin -0.3%; ROE -1.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 3.2%
  • Interest coverage: -22.0x
  • Current ratio: 1.0x
  • FCF yield: 0.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 22.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.8x
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−70.5%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−39.6%)
ROE
-1.8%
vertical median -2.6%
above median
Net margin
-0.3%
vertical median -4.7%
above median
EBIT margin
-1.1%
vertical median -13.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
13.6%
vertical median 8.1%
above median (+68.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AGXArgan Inc4.1 bn23.039.8%15.1%+8.1%−26% / +523%
BBUCBrookfield Business Corporation2.7 bn—2.4%1.4%−32.4%−11% / +70%
RUNSunrun Inc.2.1 bn4.416.2%14.0%+45.1%−57% / −32%
LMBLimbach Holdings, Inc.681.6 m22.716.0%4.2%+24.7%−18% / +52%
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.510.5 m59.83.9%2.4%−7.7%+61% / +36%
PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings Limited401.7 m—-25.9%-16.7%−2.2%+32% / unavailable
MTRXMatrix Service Company258.3 m—-1.8%-0.3%+13.6%−40% / −22%
MSGYMasonglory Limited66.8 m7.0-135.4%-34.0%+1.0%−82% / unavailable
SPWRSunpower Inc.50.5 m——-3.8%+175.9%−86% / −79%
FGLFounder Group Limited24.7 m—-31.9%-5.6%unavailable−100% / unavailable
SMXTSolarMax Technology, Inc.19.5 m——-7.9%+295.8%−63% / unavailable
PMAMing Shing Group Holdings Limited16.9 m——-39.4%−56.8%−23% / unavailable
WXMWF International Limited14.4 m—-71.9%-24.5%−13.7%−62% / unavailable
CETXCemtrex, Inc.1.7 m—-152.4%-38.4%+14.4%−97% / −100%
ZEOZeo Energy Corp.0——-15.4%−5.3%−83% / −98%
LGNLegence Corp.——-7.5%-1.2%+21.5%−30% / unavailable
KAZRSkyline Builders Group Holding Limited——20.6%18.1%+8.9%−54% / unavailable
PBKPOWERBANK Corp——-174.4%-74.7%−28.9%−90% / unavailable
AMRCAmeresco, Inc.——5.5%3.3%+28.8%−39% / −29%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MTRX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

    In brief

    Matrix Service Company designs, builds and maintains critical energy, power and industrial infrastructure across the United States and Canada. Revenue grew 14% to $873.6 million in fiscal 2026, and the company enters fiscal 2027 with no debt and an opportunity pipeline above $7 billion, amid large investment in LNG, data center power and critical minerals mining.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Deep experience in complex storage infrastructure, full-service capabilities and long-standing customer relationships.
    • Debt-free balance sheet at June 30, 2026 and substantial liquidity, giving flexibility during growth phases.
    • Strong safety culture, Great Place To Work certification and a highly skilled workforce.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a few large customers means losing one contract could materially affect revenue.
    • Gross margins remain thin, and past annual results were hurt by losses on fixed-price projects.
    • Recent leadership changes and organizational restructuring could strain execution and strategic continuity.

    Opportunities

    • LNG, data center power and critical minerals mining could support long-term growth.
    • If large multi-year projects in the pipeline reach final investment decision, award activity could rise considerably.
    • Expansion of construction-only services could broaden the project delivery models offered to clients.

    Threats

    • Demand is cyclical and tied to capital and maintenance budgets of energy and industrial customers.
    • Delays in permits and environmental approvals can postpone or cancel important projects.
    • Rising labor and material costs, plus tariffs, could reduce margins on fixed-price contracts.

    Risks

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      A small number of customers account for a significant share of revenue, and contracts can be completed or terminated. Losing one could substantially affect results.

    • Fixed-price contract exposurehigh

      Cost overruns may not be recoverable and project estimates can prove inaccurate. This could reduce profit or lead to losses.

    • Backlog volatilitymedium

      Backlog can be cancelled or adjusted, and includes estimates for long-term maintenance contracts. It may not reliably indicate future earnings.

    • Permits and regulatory approvalsmedium

      Projects that depend on permits and interconnection agreements may be delayed or blocked, and costs may rise.

    • Retention of key personnelmedium

      Shortages of engineers, project managers and skilled craft workers could affect execution. Recent executive changes add to this risk.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Revenue growth, a return to quarterly profitability and a very large opportunity pipeline could support sustained growth if execution stays disciplined.
    • A debt-free balance sheet and high liquidity provide flexibility for new projects or acquisitions.
    • Exposure to LNG, data center power and critical minerals could bring long-term contracts.

    What would break the thesis

    • Annual profitability remains modest, and gross margin has stayed below levels typically considered sustainable for a contractor of this type.
    • Dependence on a few large customers and cyclical investment spending could keep revenue volatile.
    • Backlog in the utility and process segments fell during fiscal 2026, and the book-to-bill ratio in those segments below 1 points to uneven demand.

    What to watch

    • Backlog and book-to-bill trends by segmentQ1 2027
    • Timing of large pipeline projects reaching final investment decision2027
    • Gross margin and adjusted net income after fiscal 2026Q1 2027
    • Changes in the finance leadership and any effect on executionnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

    The business

    Matrix Service Company, headquartered in Houston, Texas, provides engineering, fabrication, construction and maintenance services for critical energy and industrial infrastructure. It has regional offices in the United States, Canada and other international locations, and operates through union and non-union subsidiaries. At June 30, 2026 it had 2,370 employees, 93% of them in the United States. According to the annual report, one customer accounted for 20.1% of consolidated revenue in fiscal 2026 1.

    Most work is awarded project by project and includes fixed-price, time-and-material, cost-plus and combined contracts. Fixed-price contracts can offer higher margins but carry more risk, since cost overruns may not be recoverable. The company also performs routine maintenance and repair work under master service agreements 1.

    Strategy rests on three priorities: Win, Execute and Deliver. Win focuses on diversifying revenue toward power for data centers and critical minerals mining, Execute targets disciplined bidding and project delivery, and Deliver emphasizes operating efficiency and capital allocation 1.

    Segments

    Storage and Terminal Solutions

    This segment provides EPC and maintenance services for bulk liquid, cryogenic and refrigerated storage and terminals, covering LNG, NGLs, petroleum products, hydrogen and ammonia. It also makes specialty precision-engineered tank products. It was the largest contributor to revenue growth, and its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue rose 43% 2.

    Utility and Power Infrastructure

    This segment covers construction, maintenance and upgrades for power generation and grid infrastructure for utilities, energy producers and data center customers, along with EPC work for LNG peak shaving facilities. Power infrastructure projects are seen as a long-term growth driver 1.

    Process and Industrial Facilities

    This segment delivers engineering, construction and maintenance for chemicals, mining, renewable fuels and hydrogen, and builds thermal vacuum test chambers for aerospace and defense. In fiscal 2026 it booked $185.3 million of awards, including a major mining project in the western United States 1.

    Market context

    The company serves energy and industrial infrastructure markets in North America, where demand depends on customer investment in LNG, electricity, petrochemicals and hydrogen. Management links its outlook to rising electricity demand, data center growth and investment in critical minerals, but warns that the business is cyclical and sensitive to energy prices and general economic conditions 1.

    Contracts are awarded per project, and investment timing can slip because of permits, financing and customer decisions. Seasonality also matters, with turnaround work typically scheduled in spring and fall 1.

    Trends

    • LNG and NGL infrastructure investmenttailwind

      Demand for LNG and NGL storage and terminal capacity remains strong, and the company says ammonia and LNG projects could be key growth drivers for storage. The pace still depends on final investment decisions and permits.

    • Power demand from data centerstailwind

      Rising electricity consumption and data center construction support power and grid projects. The company sees opportunities here, though large contracts can be delayed by customer procedures.

    • Mining and critical mineralstailwind

      U.S. non-ferrous mining activity has risen sharply, supported by copper demand and critical minerals policy. This brought a major mining project into the fourth quarter.

    • Material costs and supply riskheadwind

      Rising prices and possible shortages of steel, copper and equipment could weigh on bid profitability. Tariffs and inflation could add to this pressure.

    Competitive position

    Matrix competes with local, regional, national and international contractors, and awards are generally based on price, quality, safety, schedule and experience. Larger competitors may have greater financial and technical resources, lower cost structures or more ability to accept contractual risk 1.

    Few competitors operate in all of the company's markets, but to win contracts Matrix may have to accept lower margins or more favorable terms for customers 1.

    • Regional and local contractors

      Smaller firms competing for specific projects and maintenance work, particularly in service-oriented segments.

    • National and international engineering and construction contractors

      Firms with larger financial and technical resources that can take on large-scale projects and accept more contractual risk.

    • Energy EPC service providers

      Competitors active in storage, terminals and LNG, facing the same selection based on price and experience.

    • Power infrastructure contractors

      Firms bidding on utility and power plant work, where experience and workforce capacity are decisive.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 13 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Matrix Service Company · 03 Sept 2026
    2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Matrix Service Company · 02 Sept 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.