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olivLaw · US equity research

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. GTE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

10.05USD−2.05% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Gran Tierra Energy is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with assets in Colombia, Canada and Ecuador, with most of its revenue still coming from Colombia. Its shift from declining output toward a broader portfolio in Canada and Ecuador, during a period of higher oil prices, makes it a relevant case for readers watching the balance between production, debt and investment.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) stock was 10.05 USD (−2.05% on the day), with market capitalisation 355.6 m USD, beta 0.49, 52-week range 3.76–11.73 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 187.2 m USD (+25.3% YoY), net income of 24.9 m USD, diluted EPS 0.70 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
355.6 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -7.24 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-72.07%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.49
Volatility (1y) 74%
52-week range
3.7611.73

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
38.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.95 – 12.01
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.05 · band width 18.7%
SMA 50 / 200
10.53 / 8.34
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.07 / 0.25
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−4.1%−1.1%−3.0 pp—
3 months+6.5%−0.5%+6.9 pp—
6 months+15.0%+4.4%+10.6 pp—
Year to date+137.0%+12.3%+124.7 pp—
1 year+159.7%+13.5%+146.1 pp+19.9%
3 years+44.8%+76.4%−31.6 pp+8.7%
5 years+15.5%+63.7%−48.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−37.9%
04 May 2026 → 02 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−83.7%
08 Jun 2022 → 31 Oct 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+2.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
187.2 m USD
+25.3% YoY
Net income
24.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.70
unavailable YoY
net / operating
13.3% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue151.4 m147.3 m168.2 m149.4 m149.3 m129.9 m172.1 m187.2 m
Interest expense19.9 m23.8 m23.2 m24.4 m25.4 m28.3 m49.9 m24.5 m
Pre-tax income21.9 m-21.9 m-15.7 m-8.1 m-31.2 m-177.8 m-145.8 m45.3 m
Income tax20.8 m12.3 m3.6 m4.6 m-11.3 m-36.7 m-26.6 m20.5 m
Net income1.1 m-34.2 m-19.3 m-12.7 m-20.0 m-141.1 m-119.2 m24.9 m
Diluted EPS0.04-1.00 ≈-0.54-0.36-0.57-3.99 ≈-3.380.70
Operating cash flow78.7 m ≈26.6 m73.2 m34.7 m ≈48.1 m ≈157.2 m172.7 m57.4 m ≈
Share repurchases3.5 m ≈3.2 m2.4 m1.1 m ≈0 ≈000 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue613.4 m571.0 m237.8 m473.7 m711.4 m637.0 m621.8 m596.7 m
Revenue YoY+45.5%−6.9%−58.3%+99.2%+50.2%−10.5%−2.4%−4.0%
Net income102.6 m38.7 m-778.0 m42.5 m139.0 m-6.3 m3.2 m-193.1 m
Net income YoYunavailable−62.3%−2,110.8%unavailable+227.3%−104.5%unavailable−6,104.9%
Diluted EPS0.260.10-2.121.153.76-0.190.10-5.45
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−61.5%−2,220.0%unavailable+227.0%−105.1%unavailable−5,550.0%
net %16.7%6.8%-327.1%9.0%19.5%-1.0%0.5%-32.4%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
82.9 m USD
Financial debt
696.0 m USD
Net debt
613.1 m USD
Equity
228.7 m USD
Total assets
1.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
3.04x
Current ratio
0.60x
ROE
-60.1%
ROA
-11.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
637.0 m
2024
621.8 m
2025
596.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
201.4 m
2024
220.8 m
2025
265.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
435.5 m ≈
2024
401.1 m ≈
2025
330.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
209.7 m
2024
223.1 m
2025
267.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
55.8 m
2024
80.5 m
2025
101.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
106.2 m
2024
44.6 m
2025
-232.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
112.4 m
2024
41.4 m
2025
-39.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-6.3 m
2024
3.2 m
2025
-193.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.19
2024
0.10
2025
-5.45

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
33.5 m
2024
32.0 m
2025
35.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
62.1 m
2024
103.4 m
2025
82.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
12.4 m
2024
35.5 m
2025
32.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
29.0 m
2024
43.1 m
2025
55.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
112.5 m
2024
211.3 m
2025
213.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2021verified

Total assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
187.0 m
2024
273.1 m
2025
314.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
35.6 m
2024
24.8 m
2025
21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
493.0 m
2024
701.8 m
2025
674.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
260.3 m
2024
322.4 m
2025
355.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
396.4 m †
2024
413.6 m †
2025
228.7 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
228.0 m
2024
239.3 m
2025
313.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-226.6 m
2024
-352.5 m
2025
-272.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-69.6 m
2024
156.9 m
2025
-59.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
17.3 m
2024
15.3 m
2025
3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
20.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-6,104.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-5,550.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
58.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
-40.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-97.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
448.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
4.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
435.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
20 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
61 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
472 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-390 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
355.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
804.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-72.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

10.05 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 355.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
355.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-97.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-40.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1981derived 141

Score by group

25% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-40.0%13 (vs peers)25%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.7%0 (on a fixed band)33%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)17%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial13/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC. (GTE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 596.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -4.0%; net margin -40.0%; ROE -97.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -40.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.7%
  • Current ratio: 0.5x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 11.0x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 5.2x
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−66.0%)
P/B
2.7x
vertical median 1.4x
above median (+95.9%)
ROE
-97.9%
vertical median 10.9%
below median (−995.5%)
Net margin
-40.0%
vertical median 9.0%
below median (−543.4%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 14.7%
Revenue YoY
-4.0%
vertical median -3.6%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.9x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TTETotalEnergies SE199.6 bn15.711.3%6.5%−6.2%+38% / +33%
PBRPetrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro SA145.9 bn33.810.9%8.2%−10.7%+56% / +28%
EOGEog Resources, Inc.77.1 bn11.422.5%25.4%−4.5%+36% / +19%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation57.3 bn8.618.9%33.7%−1.9%+37% / −3%
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.51.1 bn25.05.3%11.0%+35.8%+20% / +18%
DVNDevon Energy Corp48.5 bn10.511.5%16.7%+7.8%+19% / −2%
EQTEqt Corporation32.9 bn12.510.9%28.4%+63.9%−14% / +31%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation20.2 bn7.614.6%19.8%+186.3%−28% / +9%
PRPermian Resources Corporation18.8 bn14.911.5%21.5%+1.3%+55% / +71%
OVVOvintiv Inc.16.8 bn12.712.1%12.8%−2.7%+53% / +41%
APAApa Corporation15.6 bn9.425.9%—unavailable+78% / +24%
MTDRMatador Resources Company6.2 bn8.612.8%19.9%+5.5%+19% / −13%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp4.3 bn—-15.5%-18.1%+14.7%+1% / −6%
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn3.650.9%9.8%−6.4%+53% / +103%
TALOTalos Energy Inc.2.6 bn—-18.1%-18.4%−9.8%+36% / +12%
NOGNorthern Oil And Gas, Inc.2.4 bn—-22.1%-25.4%+11.2%−1% / −40%
MNRMach Natural Resources LP1.7 bn19.1—7.4%+21.2%−15% / −43%
DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.1.4 bn15.6—45.5%−5.4%+27% / −5%
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.948.6 m9.216.8%17.3%−4.4%+57% / +74%
DECDiversified Energy Company942.7 m16.711.0%4.9%+141.5%−11% / +1,434%
EGYVaalco Energy Inc568.0 m—-24.4%-31.1%−25.0%+51% / +16%
GPRKGeoPark LTD487.6 m9.922.1%10.1%−25.5%+16% / +4%
SDSandridge Energy, Inc.468.3 m5.716.2%46.1%+24.8%−11% / −9%
KRPKimbell Royalty Partners, LP415.5 m4.1—29.7%+7.9%+24% / +1%
GTEGran Tierra Energy Inc.355.6 m—-97.9%-40.0%−4.0%+160% / +45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GTE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Gran Tierra Energy is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with assets in Colombia, Canada and Ecuador, with most of its revenue still coming from Colombia. Its shift from declining output toward a broader portfolio in Canada and Ecuador, during a period of higher oil prices, makes it a relevant case for readers watching the balance between production, debt and investment.12

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Diversified portfolio across three countries, with a main asset base in Colombia and growth in Ecuador and Canada.
    • Experience in secondary recovery through water injection, applicable in both Colombia and Canadian plays.
    • Improved cash flow and debt-to-EBITDA ratio in 2026, supported by higher oil prices.

    Weaknesses

    • High dependence on Colombian output, which has been affected by transport disruptions and border closure.
    • Net losses in 2025, including a significant non-cash asset impairment.
    • Lower output in the second quarter of 2026 after asset sales and technical problems at fields.

    Opportunities

    • Development of resources in Dawson Clearwater and Mount Head, where the company holds a 100% working interest.
    • Output growth in Ecuador as fields move into the development phase.
    • The Tisquirama block in Colombia, which could add production and growth potential.

    Threats

    • Oil price volatility, which can quickly reduce revenue and cash flow.
    • Colombian fiscal rules, including the temporary excise tax on first sale of crude, whose refund remains uncertain.
    • Limited water access and licence conditions in Canada, which could slow development.

    Risks

    • Oil and gas price volatilityhigh

      Prices are influenced by demand, supply, geopolitics and other factors outside the company's control. Prolonged declines could make some projects unprofitable.

    • Reserve estimatesmedium

      Reserves are subjective estimates, and actual results may differ significantly. Revisions could reduce revenue and lead to impairment.

    • Land tenure and royalties in Canadamedium

      The Government of Alberta can change royalties or lease renewal conditions, and failure to drill within lease terms can lead to loss of land.

    • Transport disruptions and border restrictionshigh

      Closure of the Colombia-Ecuador border has led to more expensive transport routes, reducing the realized price on Putumayo production.

    • Colombian taxes and regulationmedium

      The temporary tax on first sales of Colombian crude and the conditions for refunding excess collections create tax uncertainty.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Higher oil prices in 2026 and improving cash flow could allow debt reduction and funding of resource development in Canada and Ecuador.
    • If the Dawson Clearwater and Mount Head resources prove commercial, the company could add a growth source with low drilling costs.
    • Completing the Suroriente commitments and Ecuadorian approvals could improve profitability and reduce execution risk.

    What would break the thesis

    • Dependence on oil prices and on Colombia leaves the company exposed to market shocks and transport interruptions.
    • Output fell after asset sales and technical problems, and portfolio reshaping could take longer than expected.
    • Significant debt and the 2025 losses limit financial flexibility if prices decline.

    What to watch

    • Output trend after Canadian asset sales and Colombian production recoveryQ3 2026
    • Reopening of Colombia-Ecuador border traffic and transport costs2026
    • Drilling programme in Dawson Clearwater and Mount Head2027
    • Net debt to EBITDA ratio versus long-term targetnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Gran Tierra focuses on exploration and production of oil, natural gas and NGLs, headquartered in Calgary, Alberta. According to the 2025 annual report, Colombian properties represented 46% of proved NAR reserves, Canadian properties 38%, and Ecuadorian properties 16%. Revenue in 2025 came 70% from Colombia, 19% from Canada and 11% from Ecuador.1

    Average production NAR in 2025 was 38443 BOEPD, up from 27890 BOEPD in 2024, helped by positive exploration drilling in Ecuador and a full year of Canadian operations. The company nonetheless reported a net loss of 193.1 million USD for 2025, including a non-cash impairment of 136.3 million USD.1

    In the first half of 2026 the company sold Canadian assets, including the Lodgepole interests, and completed its Suroriente capital carry with Ecopetrol, which improved profitability on that block. In Ecuador operations are moving from exploration to development, after approval of field development plans for five of six fields.23

    Segments

    Colombia

    Colombia remains the main revenue source, at 70% of 2025 revenue. Output fell in the second quarter of 2026, mainly because of export disruptions and the closure of the Ecuador border, which forced Putumayo production onto more expensive transport routes. The Tisquirama block, acquired with a 49% working interest, adds potential for growth.123

    Canada

    Canadian assets lifted the revenue share to 19% in 2025 after a full year of operations. In 2026 the company sold Lodgepole and Simonette assets and concentrated spending on resources in the Dawson Clearwater and Mount Head areas, where it operates with a 100% working interest.13

    Ecuador

    Ecuador contributed 11% of 2025 revenue and now hosts growing output, supported by discoveries at the Conejo field and an early response to water injection at Chanangue. The company holds about 156000 acres of land for 20 years.13

    Market context

    Company revenue is directly tied to Brent oil prices and to quality and transport differentials in South America. The average Brent price in the second quarter of 2026 was 96.68 USD per barrel, 45% above the comparable 2025 period, which supported margins and cash flow. Oil prices remain volatile, and sector companies are exposed to short-term price swings.12

    Canadian asset sales and activity in Colombia and Ecuador show a portfolio restructuring toward fields with lower development costs. The company hedged part of its production, keeping exposure to price gains above the fixed levels.3

    Trends

    • Higher quality and transport discountsheadwind

      In Colombia, alternative transport routes raised costs for Putumayo production and reduced the realized price. The impact depends on the reopening of the Ecuador border.

    • Ecuador moving to developmenttailwind

      Approval of development plans for five of six Ecuadorian fields moves activity from exploration to production. This shift could stabilise output in the second half of the year.

    • Exit from mature Canadian assetsmixed

      Sales of Lodgepole and Simonette assets reduce output but simplify the portfolio and may reduce decommissioning obligations. The effect on total production depends on resources in Dawson Clearwater and Mount Head.

    Competitive position

    Gran Tierra competes with other independent oil and gas companies operating in Colombia, Canada and Ecuador for acreage, drilling equipment, personnel and transport contracts. The source texts do not name competitors, so the analysis is limited to general sector factors.

    The company's advantage lies in a portfolio spread across three countries and in applying waterflood expertise from Colombian fields to Canadian plays. Low drilling costs in Clearwater could offer an edge over other western Canadian oil plays.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 17 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 09 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Gran Tierra Energy Inc. · 04 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Gran Tierra Energy Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Gran Tierra Energy Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.