olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

i-80 Gold Corp. IAUX

Gold and Silver Ores · SIC 1040 · Vertical: Gold and Silver Ores (SIC 1040)

1.38USD+6.15% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

i-80 Gold Corp. is a Nevada-focused gold and silver company advancing a portfolio of projects toward becoming a mid-tier gold producer. It completed a recapitalization plan of several hundred million dollars in 2026, and gold production in the first half of 2026 rose considerably from the prior year.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) stock was 1.38 USD (+6.15% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.2 bn USD, beta 1.08, 52-week range 0.89–2.08 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 32.7 m USD (+2.2% YoY), net income of -48.4 m USD, diluted EPS -0.06 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.2 bn USD
shares as of 02 Nov 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.31 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-22.72%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.08
Volatility (1y) 63%
52-week range
0.892.08

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.34 – 1.62
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.15 · band width 19.4%
SMA 50 / 200
1.63 / 1.60
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.07 / -0.06
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−15.3%−1.1%−14.2 pp—
3 months−8.6%−0.5%−8.2 pp—
6 months−12.7%+4.4%−17.1 pp—
Year to date−5.5%+12.3%−17.8 pp—
1 year+53.3%+13.5%+39.8 pp−14.3%
3 years−5.5%+76.4%−81.9 pp+145.9%
5 years−44.1%+63.7%−107.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−39.4%
11 Feb 2026 → 16 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−88.7%
21 Mar 2022 → 15 Nov 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−11.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
32.7 m USD
+2.2% YoY
Net income
-48.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.06
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-147.7% / -132.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue23.2 m14.0 m27.8 m32.0 m21.3 m52.4 m24.3 m32.7 m
Cost of revenue20.9 m10.8 m26.5 m28.4 m16.4 m35.8 m15.2 m27.2 m
Gross profit1.8 m2.9 m798.0 k3.1 m4.7 m16.1 m8.6 m5.0 m
Operating income-17.5 m-15.8 m-18.8 m-27.8 m-62.1 m-21.8 m-34.1 m-43.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation—743.0 k——————
Interest expense7.9 m8.2 m7.8 m7.0 m6.5 m5.9 m6.5 m6.4 m
Pre-tax income-17.4 m-41.2 m-30.2 m-41.9 m-88.8 m-77.4 m-50.0 m-48.6 m
Income tax339.0 k000-3.3 m1.2 m2.5 m-229.0 k
Net income-17.7 m-41.2 m-30.2 m-41.9 m-85.6 m-78.6 m-52.5 m-48.4 m
Diluted EPS-0.05 ≈-0.10-0.05-0.05-0.10 ≈-0.09-0.06-0.06
Operating cash flow-9.2 m-22.7 m-11.3 m-15.2 m-34.3 m-45.1 m-49.6 m-32.5 m
Capex505.0 k356.0 k1.1 m3.3 m4.9 m11.9 m21.5 m23.4 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20212022⚠ 202320242025
Revenue037.0 m54.9 m50.3 m95.2 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable—−8.3%+89.1%
Net income88.2 m-79.2 m-89.7 m-121.5 m-198.8 m
Net income YoYunavailable−189.8%—unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.58-0.33-0.33-0.34-0.30
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−156.9%—unavailableunavailable
net %unavailable-214.3%-163.3%-241.4%-208.9%
Free cash flow-19.0 m-96.1 m-94.9 m-84.5 m-93.2 m

The series breaks before 2023: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
63.2 m USD
Financial debt
174.7 m USD
Net debt
111.5 m USD
Equity
346.8 m USD
Total assets
703.4 m USD
Debt / equity
0.50x
Current ratio
0.73x
ROE
-57.9%
ROA
-29.3%
FCF margin
-97.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
54.9 m
2024
50.3 m
2025
95.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
52.9 m
2024
64.6 m
2025
82.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
-5.1 m
2024
-15.7 m
2025
11.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-101.0 m
2024
-89.1 m
2025
-124.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
8.7 m
2024
3.2 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
-92.2 m ≈
2024
-85.9 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
27.3 m
2024
32.5 m
2025
29.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-92.9 m
2024
-120.0 m
2025
-202.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-3.2 m
2024
1.5 m
2025
-3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-89.7 m
2024
-121.5 m
2025
-198.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.33
2024
-0.34
2025
-0.30

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
274.1 m
2024
359.2 m
2025
671.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
16.3 m
2024
19.0 m
2025
63.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
4.3 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2024verified

Inventories
2023
11.4 m
2024
15.3 m
2025
29.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
39.8 m
2024
42.3 m
2025
100.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2023verified

Total assets
2023
654.3 m
2024
655.6 m
2025
703.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
27.2 m
2024
26.4 m
2025
41.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
31.2 m
2024
37.8 m
2025
76.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
163.0 m
2024
153.6 m
2025
97.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
65.2 m
2024
74.1 m
2025
138.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
309.0 m
2024
315.0 m
2025
356.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
426.3 m
2024
340.7 m †
2025
346.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
298.5 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2024verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-77.5 m
2024
-82.5 m
2025
-83.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
17.4 m
2024
2.0 m
2025
9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-94.9 m ≈
2024
-84.5 m ≈
2025
-93.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-8.3 m
2024
-1.6 m
2025
-9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
65.4 m
2024
82.7 m
2025
139.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
89.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
37.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
26.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-123.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-202.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-170.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-81.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-27.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-15.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
41.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-6.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
5.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-161.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
61.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-223.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
129 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
192 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-22.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
5.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
9.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-18.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
0.03
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.38 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
5.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-81.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-202.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
89.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 02 Nov 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 462derived 24

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Gold and Silver Ores (SIC 1040)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-35.6%0 (vs peers)24%
Net margin · Quality-202.7%9 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth37.1%100 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-6.3x0 (on a fixed band)14%
Current ratio · Balance sheet6.1x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-18.6%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality3/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

i-80 GOLD CORP. (IAUX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 95.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 89.1%; net margin -202.7%; ROE -81.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 37.1%
  • Current ratio: 6.1x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -35.6%
  • Net margin: -202.7%
  • Interest coverage: -6.3x
  • FCF yield: -18.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Gold and Silver Ores (SIC 1040) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 16.6x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.1x
P/S
9.2x
vertical median 4.6x
above median (+98.6%)
P/B
5.3x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+99.3%)
ROE
-81.9%
vertical median 9.1%
below median (−1,002.0%)
Net margin
-202.7%
vertical median 23.9%
below median (−946.9%)
EBIT margin
-123.4%
vertical median 31.6%
below median (−490.8%)
Revenue YoY
89.1%
vertical median 36.9%
above median (+141.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEMNewmont Corporation122.7 bn13.726.8%34.7%+21.3%+30% / +194%
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Limited91.7 bn20.719.6%37.5%+43.7%+5% / +242%
BBarrick Mining Corp67.2 bn13.719.6%29.4%+31.2%−3% / +128%
FNVFRANCO NEVADA Corp46.7 bn42.016.3%61.0%+63.7%+15% / +116%
AUAngloGold Ashanti plc44.4 bn17.043.1%32.1%+70.8%+3% / +357%
GFIGold Fields Limited32.9 bn26.625.7%23.9%+15.6%−14% / +140%
KGCKinross Gold Corp25.7 bn11.031.0%33.9%+36.9%−24% / +264%
PAASPan American Silver Corp.17.5 bn16.216.8%27.1%+28.4%−9% / +165%
CDECoeur Mining, Inc.14.9 bn16.010.3%19.2%+96.4%−16% / +378%
AGIAlamos Gold Inc.12.6 bn14.322.1%49.0%+34.3%−20% / +103%
HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company Limited10.4 bn———+25.8%−17% / +163%
IAGIAMGOLD Corporation10.3 bn15.319.5%25.7%+74.7%+12% / +588%
EQXEquinox Gold Corp.8.9 bn32.24.8%12.2%+99.1%−19% / +106%
AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.7.6 bn45.38.0%13.1%+124.3%+1% / +158%
ARISAris Mining Corp3.2 bn38.37.0%8.4%+81.7%+12% / +396%
FSMFortuna Mining Corp.2.9 bn10.718.7%30.4%+39.8%−5% / +146%
NGNovagold Resources Inc.2.7 bn—-32.8%—unavailable−40% / +45%
AAUCAllied Gold Corporation2.5 bn—-13.8%-3.9%+82.3%−3% / unavailable
SVMSilvercorp Metals Inc.1.9 bn30.99.6%19.5%+38.9%+10% / +198%
HYMCHycroft Mining Holding Corporation1.6 bn—-72.3%—−100.0%+49% / +716%
IAUXi-80 GOLD CORP.1.2 bn—-81.9%-202.7%+89.1%+53% / −5%
MUXMcEWEN INC.916.1 m12.813.5%32.5%+13.2%−20% / +94%
GROYGold Royalty Corp.648.9 m—-0.7%-26.5%+54.5%−34% / +86%
OGGOsisko Development Corp.602.0 m—-27.0%-476.4%+678.0%−33% / −17%
ITRGIntegra Resources Corp.398.7 m—-1.4%-0.9%+703.7%−37% / +157%

1- and 3-year price returns: for IAUX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 10 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    i-80 Gold Corp. is a Nevada-focused gold and silver company advancing a portfolio of projects toward becoming a mid-tier gold producer. It completed a recapitalization plan of several hundred million dollars in 2026, and gold production in the first half of 2026 rose considerably from the prior year 2.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a portfolio of projects in Nevada, a stable jurisdiction, with several properties at advanced stages of permitting and construction 1.
    • The recent financings strengthened the balance sheet, giving the company significant liquidity and flexibility to develop its projects 2.
    • Granite Creek is already operating and generating revenue, providing an operational base alongside projects still in development 13.

    Weaknesses

    • Net loss and pre-development, evaluation and exploration expenses rose, and operating cash flow stayed negative in the first half of 2026 2.
    • Most properties are still at the exploration stage with no defined mineral reserves, which makes their value more uncertain 1.
    • The company relies on third parties to process material until the Lone Tree Plant is complete, which introduces delay risk 13.

    Opportunities

    • If Archimedes and the Lone Tree Plant enter production on schedule, the company could substantially increase output and cash flow 13.
    • Resources identified at Archimedes and Mineral Point could extend mine life if drilling results are confirmed 3.
    • Completing feasibility studies could open the way to defined mineral reserves and approval of financing for phase two 3.

    Threats

    • A fall in the gold price could reduce margins and make some resources uneconomic, affecting project value 1.
    • Delays in permits, construction or third-party processing could postpone production and increase costs 12.
    • Debt obligations and convertible instruments could limit financial flexibility if production falls short of expectations 2.

    Risks

    • Operational mining hazardshigh

      Mining operations are inherently dangerous and can be affected by rock falls, flooding or equipment failure, which could lead to prolonged interruptions 1.

    • Gold price volatilityhigh

      The gold price fluctuates sharply due to economic and geopolitical factors, and a prolonged decline could make resources uneconomic 1.

    • Uncertainty in resource estimatesmedium

      Mineral reserve and resource estimates are subjective and could be revised downward, which could lead to asset write-downs 1.

    • Project delays and cost overrunsmedium

      Project development may exceed budget or schedule, and if additional financing is not available, the company could reduce the scope of its plans 13.

    • Dependence on third-party processinglow

      Until the Lone Tree Plant is complete, part of the material is processed by third parties, which could affect sales timing, as seen in the second quarter 23.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Gold production rose considerably and the high gold price has improved margins; if Archimedes and the Lone Tree Plant enter production on time, the company could become a mid-tier gold producer.
    • The recapitalization completed in 2026 removed immediate balance sheet pressure and provided development funding, which could reduce near-term financing risk.
    • The Nevada project portfolio, with potentially extended resources at Archimedes and Mineral Point, could support longer-term output growth.

    What would break the thesis

    • Net losses and development costs have increased and operating cash flow remained negative; if this trend continues, financing pressure could return.
    • Most properties remain in exploration without defined reserves; if feasibility studies are delayed, project value could be lower than estimated.
    • Revenue depends on the gold price and third-party processing; if prices fall or delays continue, sales could weaken again.

    What to watch

    • First gold mined at Archimedes undergroundQ4 2026
    • Publication of feasibility studies for Granite Creek and CoveQ3 2026
    • Start of major construction at Lone Tree PlantQ4 2026
    • Completion of detailed engineering for Lone Tree Plantlate Q1 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 10 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

    The business

    i-80 Gold Corp. is a Nevada-focused company engaged in the exploration and extraction of gold and silver, with four main properties: Granite Creek, Ruby Hill, Lone Tree and Cove 1. Its strategy is a three-phase development plan covering three high-grade underground mines and two large open pit projects 1. For phase one, the Lone Tree Plant is essential, as it will process refractory material from the mines 1.

    Granite Creek underground is the company's first brownfield redevelopment and is ramping up toward steady-state output 1. Archimedes underground, the second mine, entered construction in the second half of 2025, with first gold mining expected by year-end 2026 13. Cove is planned as the third underground mine and is still at the exploration stage 1.

    The company strengthened its balance sheet in 2026 through financing transactions, including a royalty sold to Franco-Nevada and a gold prepayment facility 2. These funds are intended to advance five gold projects, refurbish the Lone Tree Plant and expand resources 12.

    Segments

    Granite Creek

    The Granite Creek underground project is a fully permitted, constructed and operating mine that is ramping up toward steady-state output and generated gross profit in the second half of 2025 13.

    Lone Tree Plant

    The Lone Tree processing plant is being refurbished, with major construction expected to begin in Q4 2026 and first gold pour targeted for Q4 2027 23.

    Archimedes and Ruby Hill

    Archimedes is the second planned underground mine with first gold targeted for year-end 2026; the Ruby Hill property also hosts the Mineral Point open pit, a key asset for phase three 13.

    Market context

    The gold and silver market is global, and the company is not dependent on a single purchaser, which reduces sales concentration risk 1. The average realized gold price rose from 3,368 dollars per ounce in 2025 to 4,801 dollars per ounce in the first half of 2026, supporting revenue 12. However, the price depends on external factors the company cannot control 1.

    The company operates only in Nevada, where environmental standards are strict and financial guarantees are required for reclamation 1. Processing is done through third-party facilities until 2027, with internal processing expected from 2028 1.

    Trends

    • High gold pricestailwind

      The average realized gold price rose significantly between 2025 and 2026, improving gross margin; if prices stay high, project profitability could increase 12.

    • High development costsheadwind

      Pre-development, evaluation and exploration expenses rose considerably, widening net losses; if these costs continue, pressure on cash flow could persist 2.

    • Financing and refinancingmixed

      The company obtained significant financing in 2026 and redeemed legacy debt; however, new instruments such as convertible notes create future obligations 2.

    • Delays at third-party processingheadwind

      Delays at a third-party processing facility reduced gold sales from Granite Creek in the second quarter of 2026; if these delays persist, sales could remain below expectations 23.

    Competitive position

    Mineral exploration is highly competitive, and companies active in the same Nevada regions often have greater financial resources, broader operating expertise or more advanced properties 1. Access to qualified personnel, drilling contractors and equipment is also contested 1.

    The company's sources do not name specific competitors; they refer only to companies active in the same Nevada regions without naming them 1. The competitive analysis therefore remains general and is based on the company's own risk description 1.

    • Mining companies active in the same Nevada regions

      Sources do not name competitors; the company notes that several firms in its project regions have greater financial resources or more advanced properties 1.

    • Other firms bidding for mineral properties

      The company competes with other firms for property acquisitions and qualified personnel, but the sources do not identify them 1.

    • Drilling and underground mining contractors

      The company competes for drilling and underground mining contractors, whose availability can influence project timing 1.

    • Mining equipment suppliers

      Access to exploration and mining equipment is limited by industry competition, which can affect planning 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / i-80 Gold Corp. · 19 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / i-80 Gold Corp. · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / i-80 Gold Corp. · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.