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olivLaw · US equity research

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. MSGE

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation · SIC 7990 · Vertical: Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990)

78.73USD−0.97% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) is a live entertainment company operating iconic venues in New York and Chicago, along with the Christmas Spectacular production and a bookings business for concerts and sporting events. For fiscal 2026, revenues reached 1,060.8 million USD, and the company says demand for its live offerings remained strong.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) stock was 78.73 USD (−0.97% on the day), with P/E 38.7 on diluted EPS of 2.03 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.87, 52-week range 44.27–88.42 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 217.1 m USD (+37.2% YoY), net income of 8.9 m USD, diluted EPS 0.19 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
38.7
Diluted EPS TTM 2.03 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.58%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.87
Volatility (1y) 30%
52-week range
44.2788.42

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
47.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
76.82 – 81.92
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.37 · band width 6.4%
SMA 50 / 200
79.18 / 70.80
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.07 / -0.09
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.6%−1.1%−0.5 pp—
3 months+1.2%−0.5%+1.6 pp—
6 months+17.6%+4.4%+13.2 pp—
Year to date+46.1%+12.3%+33.8 pp—
1 year+79.6%+13.5%+66.0 pp−31.8%
3 years+150.2%+76.4%+73.8 pp−25.9%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−14.3%
12 Aug 2026 → 10 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−33.9%
17 Oct 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
217.1 m USD
+37.2% YoY
Net income
8.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.19
unavailable YoY
net / operating
4.1% / 4.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue407.4 m242.5 m154.1 m158.3 m459.9 m246.3 m196.3 m217.1 m
SG&A57.2 m52.1 m59.9 m56.6 m68.4 m61.0 m67.2 m66.9 m
Operating income139.0 m27.3 m-25.8 m-29.7 m163.8 m16.1 m-8.6 m9.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation14.2 m14.4 m15.4 m14.1 m14.0 m13.8 m14.2 m13.8 m
Interest expense13.0 m11.8 m11.7 m11.0 m10.4 m9.4 m9.1 m9.1 m
Pre-tax income———-40.4 m———2.3 m
Income tax49.5 m7.3 m-15.0 m-18.8 m60.8 m3.1 m-4.4 m-6.6 m
Net income75.9 m8.0 m-27.2 m-21.7 m92.7 m5.1 m-10.0 m8.9 m
Diluted EPS1.560.17-0.57 ≈-0.461.940.11-0.21 ≈0.19
Operating cash flow112.9 m ≈56.8 m ≈-27.0 m19.8 m164.4 m ≈183.9 m ≈-16.6 m-26.2 m
Share repurchases25.0 m ≈14.7 m ≈025.0 m0 ≈0 ≈025.0 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 14-quarter history (min 11.2, median 35.9, max 64.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202120222023202420252026
Revenue81.8 m653.5 m851.5 m959.3 m942.7 m1.1 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+698.8%+30.3%+12.7%−1.7%+12.5%
Net income-218.6 m-133.3 m76.6 m144.3 m37.4 m66.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+88.4%−74.1%+76.8%
Diluted EPS-4.22-2.581.472.970.771.38
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+102.0%−74.1%+79.2%
net %-267.2%-20.4%9.0%15.0%4.0%6.2%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
293.6 m USD
Financial debt
570.8 m USD
Net debt
277.2 m USD
Equity
45.8 m USD
Total assets
1.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
12.47x
Current ratio
0.70x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
3.7%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
959.3 m
2025
942.7 m
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
207.0 m
2025
215.0 m
2026
253.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
111.9 m
2025
122.1 m
2026
141.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
53.9 m
2025
57.8 m
2026
56.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
165.8 m ≈
2025
179.9 m ≈
2026
197.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
58.0 m
2025
50.5 m
2026
40.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
52.3 m
2025
65.6 m
2026
107.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-92.0 m
2025
28.1 m
2026
40.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
144.3 m
2025
37.4 m
2026
66.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
2.97
2025
0.77
2026
1.38

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
48.6 m
2025
48.3 m
2026
48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
33.3 m
2025
43.0 m
2026
293.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
77.3 m
2025
66.8 m
2026
88.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
3.9 m
2025
3.8 m
2026
3.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
219.1 m
2025
237.1 m
2026
522.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
633.5 m
2025
621.1 m
2026
591.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
69.0 m
2025
69.0 m
2026
69.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Aug 2023verified

Total assets
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
26.6 m
2025
12.1 m
2026
27.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
16.3 m
2025
30.5 m
2026
30.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
599.2 m
2025
568.8 m
2026
540.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
505.8 m
2025
502.4 m
2026
748.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
-23.2 m
2025
-13.3 m
2026
45.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
111.3 m
2025
115.3 m
2026
351.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2024
-62.4 m
2025
-23.7 m
2026
-29.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-99.7 m
2025
-81.6 m
2026
-71.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
50.9 m
2025
39.7 m
2026
25.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
66.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
76.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
-4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
79.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
-2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
16.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
26.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
370.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
47.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
4.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
305.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
129.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
38.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 59 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

78.73 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
38.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 621derived 54

Score by group

  • Balance sheet65
  • Growth32
  • Valuation38
  • Quality94

Estimated value range

Low
27.59
USD per share
Mid
49.91
USD per share
High
73.86
USD per share
Price: 78.73 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -36.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -57.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 27.59 – 73.86 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E27.59 – 73.86 (Mid 49.91)
    7 companies used · median multiple 24.5x · quartiles 13.6x – 36.3x
    BRSL, DIS, MTN, PRKS, PRSU, RSI, SEAT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 59/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality26.0%100 (vs peers)16%
Net margin · Quality8.6%84 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.6%63 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.1%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.6x100 (vs peers)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.8x50 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.6x0 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation38.7x38 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet65/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth32/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality94/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial38/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

MADISON SQUARE GARDEN ENTERTAINMENT CORP. (MSGE). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 12.5%; net margin 8.6%; net debt/EBITDA 1.6x.

The estimated value range is 27.59–73.86 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 49.91 USD, the price of 78.73 USD leaves a potential of -36.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -57.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 59/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 26.0%
  • Net margin: 8.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.6x

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -2.1%
  • Current ratio: 0.6x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
38.7x
vertical median 29.0x
above median (+33.3%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.4x
P/S
—
vertical median 1.7x
P/B
—
vertical median 2.0x
ROE
—
vertical median -15.9%
Net margin
8.6%
vertical median -2.7%
above median
EBIT margin
16.2%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+649.1%)
Revenue YoY
12.5%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+164.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.6x
vertical median 4.1x
below median (−61.6%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DISWalt Disney Co205.4 bn24.57.8%8.7%+3.4%+14% / +28%
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.5.7 bn39.144.4%5.2%−4.3%+15% / −26%
RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc.2.5 bn40.923.0%2.6%+22.8%−33% / +193%
BRSLBrightstar Lottery PLC1.9 bn13.711.6%5.9%−0.0%−35% / −62%
PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc.1.6 bn13.5—8.1%−3.6%−5% / −30%
PRSUPursuit Attractions and Hospitality, Inc.1.5 bn33.67.7%9.6%+23.4%+65% / +70%
NIPGNIP Group Inc.471.7 m—-15.9%-14.9%+1.9%−91% / unavailable
SEGSeaport Entertainment Group Inc.301.9 m—-22.6%-91.4%+18.3%+10% / unavailable
GENIGenius Sports Limited70.1 m—-17.2%-16.7%+31.0%−30% / +26%
SEATVivid Seats Inc.32.0 m0.02,000.9%278.1%−30.5%−63% / −98%
GRSDGrandstand Limited29.8 m—-28.5%-19.9%+30.1%−85% / −91%
FCHLFitness Champs Holdings Limited12.0 m—-349.1%-32.9%+4.7%−100% / unavailable
FBYDFalcon’s Beyond Global, Inc.77—-100.8%-36.0%+120.8%−62% / −26%
MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.—38.7—8.6%+12.5%+80% / +150%
MSGSMsg Knickerbockers Corp.—983.9—0.7%+11.0%+38% / +86%
XPOFXponential Fitness, Inc.———-401.5%−20.7%−32% / −67%
CDROCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A.——17.3%1.9%+24.2%+25% / +173%
ENHAEnhanced Group Inc.——-1,903.4%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
STUBStubhub Holdings, Inc.——-145.8%-91.3%−1.4%−44% / unavailable
GDHGGolden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.——-6.5%-56.2%−31.5%−75% / −100%
DKNGDraftkings Inc.——-21.1%-2.7%+27.0%−30% / −40%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MSGE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 12 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) is a live entertainment company operating iconic venues in New York and Chicago, along with the Christmas Spectacular production and a bookings business for concerts and sporting events. For fiscal 2026, revenues reached 1,060.8 million USD 2, and the company says demand for its live offerings remained strong 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A portfolio of iconic venues and recognized music and show brands.
  • A strong position in the New York live entertainment market, described as the leading one in the country.
  • Long-term agreements with the Knicks and Rangers that provide recurring events.

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on a single production for a significant share of revenue.
  • Revenue shared with MSG Sports on suites and merchandise, which reduces direct margin.
  • Operating costs that are sensitive to inflation and labor expenses.

Opportunities

  • Expanding artist residencies and multi-night events in existing venues.
  • Developing new sponsorships and outdoor signage around Penn Station.
  • Growing premium hospitality offerings for corporate clients.

Threats

  • The real estate tax exemption for the Madison Square Garden complex could be reduced or repealed.
  • Consumer and corporate spending could fall during economic slowdowns.
  • Competition from other venues and digital entertainment options.

Risks

  • Concentration on the Christmas Spectacularhigh

    If the show's popularity declines, revenues from tickets, concessions and merchandise could fall significantly.

  • Tax exemption for The Gardenmedium

    Repeal or amendment of the property tax exemption could raise costs, and the effect would only be partly offset by the Arena License Agreements.

  • Dependence on music licensesmedium

    Higher PRO royalty rates or limits on passing them on to promoters could weigh on concert profitability.

  • Economic slowdownhigh

    A recession could reduce demand for tickets, suites and sponsorships, especially when consumer spending weakens.

  • Penn Station redevelopmentmedium

    The transfer of the Infosys Theater and the requirement that The Garden remain operational during works could bring costs and disruption.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Demand for live events appears solid, and revenues grew at a double-digit pace in fiscal 2026 2.
  • Long-term sports agreements and multi-year suite licenses provide a relatively predictable revenue base.
  • If growth in concert and sporting event revenues continues, adjusted operating income could keep improving.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on a single production leaves the company exposed to shifts in public taste.
  • The tax exemption and Penn Station are external factors that could materially change costs and access to venues.
  • In a recession, spending on tickets and sponsorships could fall faster than fixed costs.

What to watch

  • Trend in concert and sporting event revenuesQ1 2027
  • Guidance on adjusted operating income for fiscal 20272027
  • Status of definitive agreements on Penn Station and the Infosys Theaternext 10-K
  • Developments on the Madison Square Garden real estate tax exemption2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 12 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

The company produces, presents and hosts live events, from concerts and sporting events to family shows and special events, in The Garden, the Infosys Theater, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre and The Chicago Theatre 1. In fiscal 2026 it hosted about 6.4 million guests at nearly 960 events 12. Most venues are typically licensed to third-party promoters for a fee, and the company only promotes or co-promotes some shows, in which case it bears the economic risk 1.

Revenue comes from ticket sales for its own events, venue license fees, facility and ticketing fees, concessions, sponsorships and signage, suite licenses, and merchandise 1. Suite licenses at The Garden are sold mostly to corporate customers, typically on multi-year terms with annual escalators, and revenues are shared with MSG Sports, with a 67.5% allocation to MSG Sports 1.

The company has long-term agreements with MSG Sports for the Knicks and Rangers to play home games at The Garden, agreements with a 35-year term running through 2055 1. The Christmas Spectacular runs exclusively at Radio City Music Hall and represented 18% of revenues in fiscal 2026 1.

Segments

Live entertainment and bookings

The company reports one segment, which includes concerts, family shows and special events. Revenues from entertainment offerings rose 29% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, mainly because of more concerts at The Garden 2.

Productions and sports

The Christmas Spectacular delivered another year of record revenues in its 92nd season and surpassed 1.2 million visitors 12. On the sports side, the venues host the Knicks and Rangers and a calendar of boxing, mixed martial arts and college basketball events 1.

Market context

The company's main market is live entertainment in New York, and all revenues are generated in the United States, mostly in New York City 1. Demand depends on the popularity of artists and teams, as well as broader economic conditions that can affect spending on tickets, suites and sponsorships 1.

The company notes that a lack of popular artists or competition from other venues in New York and other cities could limit the number of events it hosts 1. Performance also depends on alternatives such as television, sporting events, music festivals and digital platforms 1.

Trends

  • Strong demand for live eventstailwind

    Revenues rose 13% in fiscal 2026, and management describes demand for live offerings as robust 2. If this continues, it could support growth in adjusted operating income in fiscal 2027, according to management 2.

  • Dependence on the Christmas Spectacularheadwind

    The production generates a significant share of revenue, and a decline in its popularity, for example from an economic downturn or another pandemic, could materially affect results 1.

  • Cost and inflation pressureheadwind

    Inflation can raise operating costs, including labor, food and venue maintenance, and the company may not be able to fully offset these increases through higher prices 1.

  • Penn Station redevelopmentmixed

    The redevelopment plan could change access to and operation of the venues, and a non-binding memorandum on transferring the Infosys Theater has not yet been finalized 2. The outcome depends on definitive agreements, which makes the effect uncertain 2.

Competitive position

The company competes with other leisure options such as television, films, restaurants, online platforms and other event venues in New York and elsewhere 1. For concerts, shows and sporting events, competition for artists and promoters is intense 1.

Its theaters and arenas compete directly with other venues in the New York metropolitan area and in Chicago, and new competing venues could affect traffic and rental pricing 1. Differentiation rests on its iconic brands and relationships with artists and sports leagues 1.

  • Other New York event venues

    Competition for concerts, sporting events and shows in the same metropolitan market.

  • Other Chicago performance venues

    Local competition for The Chicago Theatre and for cultural attractions in the city.

  • Digital entertainment platforms

    Competition for audience attention and spending through streaming, social media and online content.

  • Other family and special-event entertainment

    Shows, festivals and events that compete for the same public spending.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. · 12 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. · 12 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.