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olivLaw · US equity research

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. MSGS

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation · SIC 7990 · Vertical: Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990)

324.99USD+3.22% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) owns the New York Knicks (NBA) and New York Rangers (NHL), plus two development teams and a performance center, all playing at Madison Square Garden. In fiscal 2026 revenues reached 1,153.8 million USD, and the Knicks won the NBA championship, making the company relevant amid a proposed separation of its Rangers business.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) stock was 324.99 USD (+3.22% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.1 bn USD, P/E 1,015.6 on diluted EPS of 0.32 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.15%, beta 0.71, 52-week range 212.91–416.34 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 278.7 m USD (+36.7% YoY), net income of 28.3 m USD, diluted EPS 1.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.1 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2015
P/E (TTM)
1,015.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.32 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.10%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.15%
DPS 12m 7.00
Beta (2y)
0.71
Volatility (1y) 45%
52-week range
212.91416.34

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
38.6
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
254.34 – 455.84
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.35 · band width 56.7%
SMA 50 / 200
380.15 / 356.77
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-23.79 / -21.01
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−18.8%−1.1%−17.7 pp—
3 months−17.0%−0.5%−16.5 pp—
6 months−3.0%+4.4%−7.4 pp—
Year to date+25.6%+12.3%+13.3 pp—
1 year+47.9%+13.5%+34.4 pp−35.5%
3 years+86.3%+76.4%+9.9 pp−27.0%
5 years+62.0%+63.7%−1.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−30.5%
28 Sept 2026 → 26 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−32.0%
08 Nov 2021 → 30 Sept 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+10.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
278.7 m USD
+36.7% YoY
Net income
28.3 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
1.15
unavailable YoY
net / operating
10.2% / 11.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue53.3 m357.8 m424.2 m204.0 m39.5 m403.4 m432.2 m278.7 m
SG&A52.6 m67.9 m74.7 m70.9 m57.8 m69.1 m73.7 m85.4 m
Operating income-8.3 m13.3 m32.3 m-22.6 m-27.4 m22.2 m2.0 m32.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation782.0 k791.0 k823.0 k822.0 k811.0 k790.0 k790.0 k788.0 k
Interest expense6.1 m5.6 m5.0 m5.0 m5.6 m6.2 m4.8 m4.4 m
Pre-tax income-14.6 m1.8 m22.6 m-27.1 m-17.4 m15.0 m-13.3 m33.7 m
Income tax-7.0 m698.0 k36.9 m-25.3 m-8.6 m6.7 m6.7 m5.4 m
Net income-7.5 m1.1 m-14.2 m-1.8 m-8.8 m8.2 m-20.0 m28.3 m
Diluted EPS-0.310.05-0.59-0.07 ≈-0.370.34-0.831.15 ≈
Operating cash flow-26.2 m61.8 m ≈6.3 m ≈49.7 m-85.0 m32.4 m ≈57.5 m ≈57.7 m
Capex359.0 k533.0 k ≈2.4 m ≈373.0 k371.0 k857.0 k ≈143.0 k ≈36.0 k
Dividends paid440.0 k160.0 k ≈33.0 k ≈0340.0 k132.0 k ≈0 ≈0

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 95 percentile of its own 22-quarter history (min 37.3, median 80.1, max 1,375.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue1.6 bn603.3 m415.7 m821.4 m887.4 m1.0 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn
Revenue YoY+4.6%−63.0%−31.1%+97.6%+8.0%+15.7%+1.2%+11.0%
Net income11.4 m-182.4 m-14.0 m51.1 m47.8 m58.8 m-22.4 m7.8 m
Net income YoY−91.9%−1,696.1%unavailableunavailable−6.5%+23.0%−138.2%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.48-7.62-0.582.101.892.44-0.930.32
Diluted EPS YoY−91.9%−1,687.5%unavailableunavailable−10.0%+29.1%−138.1%unavailable
net %0.7%-30.2%-3.4%6.2%5.4%5.7%-2.2%0.7%
Free cash flow-27.6 m-358.9 m-35.8 m177.1 m151.3 m90.7 m88.0 m61.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
164.5 m USD
Financial debt
258.5 m USD
Net debt
94.0 m USD
Equity
-263.3 m USD
Total assets
1.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.50x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
0.5%
FCF margin
5.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
261.4 m
2025
266.1 m
2026
286.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
146.0 m
2025
14.8 m
2026
28.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
3.2 m
2025
3.2 m
2026
3.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
149.2 m ≈
2025
18.0 m ≈
2026
32.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
27.6 m
2025
21.7 m
2026
21.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
105.7 m
2025
-17.3 m
2026
18.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
46.9 m
2025
5.2 m
2026
10.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
58.8 m
2025
-22.4 m
2026
7.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
2.44
2025
-0.93
2026
0.32

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
24.1 m
2025
24.1 m
2026
24.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
7.00
2025
7.00
2026
7.00

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
89.1 m
2025
144.6 m
2026
164.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Aug 2022verified

Current assets
2024
216.9 m
2025
251.1 m
2026
323.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
28.5 m
2025
29.0 m
2026
27.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
226.5 m
2025
226.5 m
2026
226.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
0
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Aug 2025verified

Total assets
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Aug 2022verified

Short-term debt
2024
30.0 m
2025
24.0 m
2026
16.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
275.0 m
2025
267.0 m
2026
242.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
522.0 m
2025
563.5 m
2026
642.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
-266.3 m
2025
-281.4 m
2026
-263.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
92.1 m
2025
91.6 m
2026
62.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
1.5 m
2025
3.6 m
2026
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
90.7 m ≈
2025
88.0 m ≈
2026
61.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-8.9 m
2025
-6.9 m
2026
-2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-28.8 m
2025
-26.4 m
2026
-49.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
701.0 k
2025
633.0 k
2026
472.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
9.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
22.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
94.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
-45.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
-44.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-30.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
2.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
2,187.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
94.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
1.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
62.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
1.4 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
61.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
789.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
195.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
8.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
1,044.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
1,015.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
7.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
255.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
283.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
7.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
132.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 32 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

324.99 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
1,015.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
255.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 1713derived 129

Score by group

  • Quality76
  • Growth38
  • Balance sheet36
  • Returns40
  • Valuation3

Estimated value range

Low
24.77
USD per share
Mid
31.15
USD per share
High
40.01
USD per share
Price: 324.99 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -90.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -943.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.66 – 123.71 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)43.05 – 68.04 (Mid 52.75)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 79.0 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA6.50 – 11.46 (Mid 9.55)
    5 companies used · median multiple 10.4x · quartiles 8.0x – 11.8x
    BRSL, DIS, FBYD, MTN, PRKS
  • Peers: P/E4.66 – 11.98 (Mid 9.06)
    8 companies used · median multiple 28.3x · quartiles 14.6x – 37.4x
    BRSL, DIS, MSGE, MTN, PRKS, PRSU, RSI, SEAT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)91.99 – 123.71 (Mid 105.51)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 32/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality0.7%53 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality789.5%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth9.1%76 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-44.7%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.9x71 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.4x0 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation1,015.6x0 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation255.7x0 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation0.8%9 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.8%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet36/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth38/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality76/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation3/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

MSG KNICKERBOCKERS CORP. (MSGS). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.2 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 11.0%; net margin 0.7%; net debt/EBITDA 2.9x.

The estimated value range is 24.77–40.01 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 31.15 USD, the price of 324.99 USD leaves a potential of -90.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -943.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 32/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 789.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 9.1%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 2.9x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.8%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -44.7%
  • Interest coverage: 1.4x
  • Current ratio: 0.5x
  • P/E (TTM): 1,015.6x
  • EV/EBITDA: 255.7x
  • FCF yield: 0.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
1,015.6x
vertical median 28.3x
above median (+3,486.3%)
EV/EBITDA
255.7x
vertical median 10.4x
above median (+2,368.2%)
P/S
7.0x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+324.9%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.9x
ROE
—
vertical median -15.9%
Net margin
0.7%
vertical median -2.7%
above median
EBIT margin
2.5%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+15.9%)
Revenue YoY
11.0%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+133.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.9x
vertical median 4.1x
below median (−27.9%)
Dividend yield
2.2%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−16.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DISWalt Disney Co205.4 bn24.57.8%8.7%+3.4%+14% / +28%
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.5.6 bn38.544.4%5.2%−4.3%+13% / −27%
RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc.2.4 bn39.423.0%2.6%+22.8%−35% / +183%
BRSLBrightstar Lottery PLC1.9 bn13.511.6%5.9%−0.0%−36% / −63%
PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc.1.7 bn14.9—8.1%−3.6%+5% / −23%
PRSUPursuit Attractions and Hospitality, Inc.1.5 bn32.17.7%9.6%+23.4%+57% / +62%
NIPGNIP Group Inc.413.9 m—-15.9%-14.9%+1.9%−92% / unavailable
SEGSeaport Entertainment Group Inc.275.7 m—-22.6%-91.4%+18.3%+0% / unavailable
GENIGenius Sports Limited59.2 m—-17.2%-16.7%+31.0%−41% / +7%
SEATVivid Seats Inc.30.8 m0.02,000.9%278.1%−30.5%−64% / −98%
GRSDGrandstand Limited29.3 m—-28.5%-19.9%+30.1%−85% / −91%
FCHLFitness Champs Holdings Limited11.4 m—-349.1%-32.9%+4.7%−100% / unavailable
FBYDFalcon’s Beyond Global, Inc.68—-100.8%-36.0%+120.8%−67% / −35%
MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.—37.1—8.6%+12.5%+52% / +149%
CDROCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A.——17.3%1.9%+24.2%+19% / +159%
MSGSMsg Knickerbockers Corp.—1,015.6—0.7%+11.0%+48% / +86%
ENHAEnhanced Group Inc.——-1,903.4%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
DKNGDraftkings Inc.——-21.1%-2.7%+27.0%−29% / −38%
STUBStubhub Holdings, Inc.——-145.8%-91.3%−1.4%−46% / unavailable
XPOFXponential Fitness, Inc.———-401.5%−20.7%−33% / −68%
GDHGGolden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.——-6.5%-56.2%−31.5%−74% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MSGS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
195.57
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
345.01
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
518.68
Total return 60% · Per year 60%
3 years
207.93
Total return -36% · Per year -14%
410.99
Total return 27% · Per year 8%
675.78
Total return 108% · Per year 28%
5 years
221.08
Total return -32% · Per year -7%
489.59
Total return 51% · Per year 9%
880.45
Total return 172% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 102.75
  • Net margin± 71.92
  • Annual revenue growth± 56.52
  • Annual dilution± 6.04

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) owns the New York Knicks (NBA) and New York Rangers (NHL), plus two development teams and a performance center, all playing at Madison Square Garden. In fiscal 2026 revenues reached 1,153.8 million USD, and the Knicks won the NBA championship, making the company relevant amid a proposed separation of its Rangers business 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Iconic teams with globally recognised brands, one of which, the Knicks, won the NBA championship in 2026 12.
  • A strong presence in the nation's largest media market and a broad, loyal fan base 1.
  • Long-term partnerships with MSG Entertainment for suites, sponsorships and arena, plus national media rights through the NBA and NHL 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy dependence on team popularity and sporting success, which makes revenue volatile from season to season 1.
  • The company does not own the arena where it plays, creating reliance on license agreements with MSG Entertainment 1.
  • Player salaries and NBA luxury tax costs are high and can rise without full control by the company 1.

Opportunities

  • The proposed separation of the Rangers business could create two entities with distinct investment profiles if completed 12.
  • New NBA and NHL media contracts could support longer-term recurring revenue 12.
  • Corporate demand for suites and sponsorships could grow, especially if the teams stay competitive 2.

Threats

  • Intense competition in the New York area for fans, audiences and advertising could erode market share 1.
  • Lower local media rights from MSG Networks could hurt revenue if that network's financial position weakens 12.
  • Economic, geopolitical and regulatory risks could reduce demand for tickets and premium services 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on sporting performancehigh

    Revenue depends on team popularity and success, and a weak season could reduce ticket, sponsorship and playoff revenue.

  • Arena license agreementsmedium

    The company does not own the arena, and any problems at MSG Entertainment or failure to renew agreements could affect operations.

  • Local media rightsmedium

    Lower fees from MSG Networks or its financial difficulties could reduce revenue from local telecasts.

  • Salary costs and NBA taxlow

    Player salaries are rising and a luxury tax could apply, which could reduce operating margins if revenue does not grow in parallel.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue growth of 11% in fiscal 2026 and the Knicks championship show the company's ability to turn sporting success into revenue 12.
  • If the Rangers separation is completed, the two entities could have clearer strategies and risk profiles for investors 12.
  • Long-term media contracts and corporate demand for suites could provide a more stable revenue base over time 12.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue remains highly sensitive to sporting results, and a weak season could reverse recent gains 1.
  • The Rangers separation may generate costs, delays or tax obligations, and its completion is not assured 12.
  • Reliance on agreements with MSG Entertainment and MSG Networks could expose the company to partner problems 12.

What to watch

  • Completion of the proposed Rangers separation and the approval conditionsOctober 2026
  • Revenue and operating results for the first quarter of fiscal 2027Q1 2027
  • Development of local media rights and the financial position of MSG Networks2027
  • Sporting performance of the Knicks and Rangers and demand for tickets and suitesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company owns and operates a portfolio of professional sports teams in New York, mainly the Knicks of the NBA and the Rangers of the NHL, both playing home games at Madison Square Garden Arena, which the company does not own but operates under license agreements with MSG Entertainment 1. Revenue comes from ticket sales, facility fees, league media rights distributions, local telecast fees from MSG Networks, suite and club licenses, sponsorships, and food, beverage and merchandise sales 1. Fiscal 2026, ended June 30, 2026, was marked by the Knicks winning the NBA championship, and the company reported revenue growth of 11% over the prior year 12.

The company has said it is exploring a possible spin-off of the Rangers business from the Knicks business, through a tax-free distribution to shareholders via a new entity, MSGS Spinco, Inc. 1. It expects to complete the separation by the end of October 2026, subject to conditions including board approval, league approval and an effective Form 10 registration statement 2. Until then the Rangers remain in continuing operations 1.

Revenue figures show dependence on sporting performance and playoffs: in the fiscal 2026 fourth quarter revenues rose 37%, mainly from higher playoff-related revenues compared with the prior year 2. The company notes that revenue is concentrated in the second and third fiscal quarters due to the NBA and NHL seasons 1.

Segments

Knicks (NBA)

The Knicks are an original NBA franchise with three NBA championships, including the 2026 title, and are the company's main revenue driver, especially from tickets, suites and playoffs 12.

Rangers (NHL)

The Rangers are one of the NHL's Original Six franchises, have won four Stanley Cups, and are the subject of the proposed spin-off, remaining in continuing operations until any distribution is completed 1.

Development teams and training center

The Westchester Knicks (NBAGL) and Hartford Wolf Pack (AHL) support player development, and the Greenburgh training center of about 114,000 square feet supports team preparation 1.

Market context

Demand for tickets and corporate hospitality depends on team popularity and success, and the company reports robust consumer and corporate demand for both the Knicks and the Rangers during the year 2. Per-game revenue rose in every in-arena category, including tickets, suites, sponsorship and food, beverage and merchandise 2.

Trends

  • Lower local media rightsheadwind

    Amendments to local telecast agreements with MSG Networks reduced local rights fees, and if this trend continues it could weigh on revenue 2.

  • Team performance and playoffsmixed

    On-court success, including the Knicks championship, generated extra playoff and merchandise revenue; if performance declines, these gains could shrink 12.

  • Rangers separationmixed

    The proposed spin-off could change the company's structure and create two separately listed entities, but it involves costs, uncertainty and possible tax obligations 12.

Competitive position

The company competes with other sports and entertainment options in New York, including other professional teams in baseball, football, women's hockey and women's basketball, as well as other leisure options 1. Competition for tickets, audiences and advertising is intense, and the company acknowledges that rivals may have greater resources 1.

Within the NBA and NHL, teams also compete for players, and rivals in the same leagues may offer salaries or conditions that could affect the company's ability to retain talent 1.

  • Brooklyn Nets

    NBA team in the New York metropolitan area that competes with the Knicks for basketball fans.

  • New York Islanders and New Jersey Devils

    NHL teams in the New York area that compete with the Rangers for hockey fans.

  • New York Yankees and New York Mets

    Baseball teams in New York that compete for fan attention and advertising.

  • New York Giants and New York Jets

    American football teams that compete for entertainment and sponsorship budgets.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 10 Jun 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 27 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report27 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement27 Oct 2026
  • Other events
  • Current report30 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Annual report13 Aug 2026
  • Current report13 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report08 May 2026
  • Current report08 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. · 13 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. · 13 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.