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olivLaw · US equity research

Rush Street Interactive, Inc. RSI

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation · SIC 7990 · Vertical: Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990)

11.90USD−3.64% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Rush Street Interactive is an online casino and sports betting company active in the United States, Canada and Latin America, with online casino as its main driver. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported record revenue of 393.8 million USD, and its full-year 2026 guidance was raised, which makes the company relevant to investors in the regulated gambling sector.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI) stock was 11.90 USD (−3.64% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.4 bn USD, P/E 39.4 on diluted EPS of 0.30 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.12, 52-week range 11.40–34.52 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 385.9 m USD (+38.8% YoY), net income of 11.8 m USD (+95.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.10 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.4 bn USD
shares as of 29 Dec 2020
P/E (TTM)
39.4
Diluted EPS TTM 0.30 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.54%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.12
Volatility (1y) 51%
52-week range
11.4034.52

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
22.0
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
10.63 – 21.21
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.12 · band width 66.5%
SMA 50 / 200
20.39 / 23.62
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-2.42 / -2.16
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−42.1%−1.1%−41.0 pp—
3 months−52.6%−0.5%−52.1 pp—
6 months−57.3%+4.4%−61.7 pp—
Year to date−38.8%+12.3%−51.1 pp—
1 year−28.4%+13.5%−41.9 pp−33.4%
3 years+197.5%+76.4%+121.1 pp−27.0%
5 years−39.8%+63.7%−103.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−67.0%
20 Jul 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−86.9%
17 Nov 2021 → 05 Apr 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−9.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
385.9 m USD
+38.8% YoY
Net income
11.8 m USD
+95.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.10
+66.7% YoY
net / operating
3.1% / 11.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue254.2 m262.4 m269.2 m277.9 m324.9 m370.4 m393.8 m385.9 m
Cost of revenue161.6 m170.9 m174.1 m183.5 m213.2 m238.2 m254.1 m245.4 m
Operating income12.9 m14.9 m24.3 m19.5 m28.7 m42.8 m46.2 m42.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation9.1 m9.5 m9.8 m10.2 m10.5 m10.7 m11.1 m12.1 m
Pre-tax income14.1 m16.3 m-86.2 m22.0 m36.8 m45.8 m49.7 m46.8 m
Income tax7.6 m5.1 m-115.0 m7.2 m17.7 m19.6 m20.4 m18.1 m
Net income2.0 m5.3 m16.7 m6.1 m5.2 m9.1 m11.5 m11.8 m
Diluted EPS—0.050.120.060.02 ≈0.080.100.10
Operating cash flow25.9 m28.7 m25.8 m ≈41.4 m ≈69.1 m20.1 m52.1 m ≈71.2 m ≈
Capex171.0 k161.0 k202.0 k ≈227.0 k ≈177.0 k252.0 k347.0 k ≈883.0 k ≈
Share repurchases05.2 m2.5 m ≈0 ≈000 ≈13.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 4-quarter history (min 67.3, median 77.1, max 113.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue63.7 m278.5 m488.1 m592.2 m691.2 m924.1 m1.1 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+337.4%+75.3%+21.3%+16.7%+33.7%+22.8%
Net income-22.5 m1.1 m-19.5 m-38.6 m-18.3 m2.4 m33.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−1,902.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable+1,294.8%
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.01-0.51-0.61-0.270.030.31
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+933.3%
net %-35.3%0.4%-4.0%-6.5%-2.6%0.3%2.9%
Free cash flow-2.9 m14.3 m-52.0 m-64.5 m-7.2 m105.5 m164.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
336.3 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
303.5 m USD
Total assets
658.5 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.93x
ROE
13.3%
ROA
6.4%
FCF margin
14.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
691.2 m
2024
924.1 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
465.0 m
2024
602.0 m
2025
741.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
226.1 m ≈
2024
322.0 m ≈
2025
392.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
-51.6 m
2024
25.0 m
2025
87.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
29.8 m
2024
32.2 m
2025
40.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-21.9 m ≈
2024
57.3 m ≈
2025
127.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-48.8 m
2024
31.8 m
2025
-11.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
11.2 m
2024
24.6 m
2025
-85.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-18.3 m
2024
2.4 m
2025
33.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.27
2024
0.03
2025
0.31

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
68.5 m
2024
88.4 m
2025
236.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
168.3 m
2024
229.2 m
2025
336.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
10.5 m
2024
14.9 m
2025
15.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
228.6 m
2024
285.0 m
2025
406.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
4.6 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
74.9 m
2024
77.3 m
2025
76.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
318.6 m
2024
379.5 m
2025
658.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
32.3 m
2024
25.8 m
2025
41.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
137.7 m
2024
163.1 m
2025
210.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
152.5 m
2024
181.2 m
2025
355.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
166.1 m
2024
198.3 m
2025
303.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-5.9 m
2024
106.4 m
2025
165.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.3 m
2024
925.0 k
2025
767.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-7.2 m ≈
2024
105.5 m ≈
2025
164.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-33.8 m
2024
-33.4 m
2025
-37.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-518.0 k
2024
-2.7 m
2025
-37.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
7.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
24.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
32.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
249.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
1,294.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
98.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
933.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
55.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
35.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
23.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
25.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
212.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
1.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
210.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
559.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
103.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
5 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
64.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
39.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
12.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
11.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

11.90 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
39.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
12.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
23.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 893derived 76

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
4.29
USD per share
Mid
7.41
USD per share
High
10.44
USD per share
Price: 11.90 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -37.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -60.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.29 – 10.44 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E4.29 – 10.44 (Mid 7.41)
    7 companies used · median multiple 24.5x · quartiles 14.2x – 34.6x
    BRSL, DIS, MSGE, MTN, PRKS, PRSU, SEAT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality2.6%63 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality559.1%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth24.2%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation39.4x13 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation8.6%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.6%8 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality82/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial8/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation51/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 22.8%; net margin 2.6%; ROE 23.0%.

The estimated value range is 4.29–10.44 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 7.41 USD, the price of 11.90 USD leaves a potential of -37.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -60.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 559.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 24.2%
  • Current ratio: 2.2x
  • FCF yield: 8.6%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 39.4x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.6%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation (SIC 7990) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
39.4x
vertical median 28.3x
above median (+39.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.4x
P/S
1.7x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+9.0%)
P/B
12.5x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+587.2%)
ROE
23.0%
vertical median -16.5%
above median
Net margin
2.6%
vertical median -2.7%
above median
EBIT margin
10.9%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+403.9%)
Revenue YoY
22.8%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+381.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.5x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DISWalt Disney Co205.4 bn24.57.8%8.7%+3.4%+14% / +28%
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.5.6 bn38.544.4%5.2%−4.3%+13% / −27%
RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc.2.4 bn39.423.0%2.6%+22.8%−28% / +198%
BRSLBrightstar Lottery PLC1.9 bn13.511.6%5.9%−0.0%−36% / −63%
PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc.1.7 bn14.9—8.1%−3.6%+5% / −23%
PRSUPursuit Attractions and Hospitality, Inc.1.5 bn32.17.7%9.6%+23.4%+57% / +62%
NIPGNIP Group Inc.413.9 m—-15.9%-14.9%+1.9%−92% / unavailable
SEGSeaport Entertainment Group Inc.275.7 m—-22.6%-91.4%+18.3%+0% / unavailable
GENIGenius Sports Limited59.2 m—-17.2%-16.7%+31.0%−41% / +7%
SEATVivid Seats Inc.30.8 m0.02,000.9%278.1%−30.5%−64% / −98%
GRSDGrandstand Limited29.3 m—-28.5%-19.9%+30.1%−85% / −91%
FCHLFitness Champs Holdings Limited11.4 m—-349.1%-32.9%+4.7%−100% / unavailable
FBYDFalcon’s Beyond Global, Inc.68—-100.8%-36.0%+120.8%−67% / −35%
MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.—37.1—8.6%+12.5%+52% / +149%
ENHAEnhanced Group Inc.——-1,903.4%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
DKNGDraftkings Inc.——-21.1%-2.7%+27.0%−29% / −38%
STUBStubhub Holdings, Inc.——-145.8%-91.3%−1.4%−46% / unavailable
XPOFXponential Fitness, Inc.———-401.5%−20.7%−33% / −68%
CDROCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A.——17.3%1.9%+24.2%+19% / +159%
GDHGGolden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.——-6.5%-56.2%−31.5%−74% / −100%
MSGSMsg Knickerbockers Corp.—1,015.6—0.7%+11.0%+43% / +92%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RSI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.74
Total return -60% · Per year -60%
8.34
Total return -30% · Per year -30%
12.52
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
3 years
5.62
Total return -53% · Per year -22%
11.03
Total return -7% · Per year -2%
18.02
Total return 51% · Per year 15%
5 years
6.67
Total return -44% · Per year -11%
14.59
Total return 23% · Per year 4%
25.95
Total return 118% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.76
  • Net margin± 1.93
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.44
  • Annual dilution± 0.16

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Rush Street Interactive is an online casino and sports betting company active in the United States, Canada and Latin America, with online casino as its main driver. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported record revenue of 393.8 million USD 3, and its full-year 2026 guidance was raised 3, which makes the company relevant to investors in the regulated gambling sector.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The proprietary platform allows fast launches and frequent updates, and the company has considerable experience entering new markets 1.
  • Product and brand diversification, including social games used to build player databases, supports customer retention 1.
  • Record quarterly revenue and adjusted EBITDA reported in 2026 point to solid operational execution 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on state-level legislation and on local partners such as casinos or sports teams limits the company's control over market access 1.
  • Sports betting and jackpot results can vary widely between quarters, which makes revenue hard to predict 1.
  • Revenue per active user in some markets fell as a large number of new, lower-value players joined 2.

Opportunities

  • Entry into new markets such as Alberta and further expansion in Latin America could add revenue and users 12.
  • Growth of online casino and online poker could raise the average value of customers 13.
  • Major sporting events, such as those in the 2026 calendar, could lift both user numbers and betting volume 23.

Threats

  • Changes in regulation or taxation, including court and authority decisions, could reduce margins or close markets 12.
  • Grey market operators and new forms of competition outside regulation could attract customers with aggressive offers 1.
  • Cybersecurity risks and platform availability issues could damage reputation and disrupt operations 1.

Risks

  • Changing regulationhigh

    Legislative changes or differing interpretations of rules in the jurisdictions where the company operates could seriously affect its ability to operate 1.

  • Intense competitionhigh

    Larger rivals or grey market operators could offer more generous bonuses, forcing margin cuts or higher marketing spend 1.

  • Taxationmedium

    Tax changes in several jurisdictions could create additional liabilities and weigh on profitability, particularly in Latin America 13.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Cyberattacks or technical failures could compromise customer data and lead to litigation or penalties 1.

  • Dependence on partnersmedium

    Losing local partners or failing to negotiate with them could block access to certain markets 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Reported quarterly results and the raised guidance suggest that demand for regulated online casino could keep supporting the company's growth 3.
  • Expansion into new jurisdictions and Latin America could add new revenue streams if they develop as planned 12.
  • The proprietary platform and product diversification may help the company hold its position against competitors if technology investment continues 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Growth in revenue per active user may be limited by an influx of new, lower-value players, which could slow margin expansion 2.
  • If regulation or taxes tighten, the company could lose profitability or access to important markets 1.
  • The company's forecasts carry significant uncertainty, and results may differ materially from expectations 1.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and any change to full-year 2026 guidanceQ3 2026
  • Revenue and active-user trends in Alberta after launchQ3 2026
  • Colombian tax regime and its effect on ARPMAU in Latin America2027
  • New legalised jurisdictions and launch dates announced by the companynext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Rush Street Interactive, Inc. ('RSI') offers real-money online casino, online sports betting and retail sports betting in bricks-and-mortar locations, as well as free-to-play social games with virtual credits 1. The company operates in 16 U.S. states and five international markets, under brands such as BetRivers, PlaySugarHouse and RushBet 12. Its primary B2C model generated more than 99% of revenue in fiscal 2025 1, and a complementary B2B model supplies retail sports betting services to partners for a monthly commission 1.

Segments

Online casino

Online casino is the company's main engine, representing 72% of revenue in the second quarter of 2026 3, and its casino-first strategy aims at sustainable growth of active players in regulated markets.

Sports betting

Online and retail sports betting contribute the rest of revenue and are shaped by the sports calendar, including the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which lifted player engagement in mid-2026 23.

Market context

The company competes in regulated online gambling markets in North America and Latin America, with an aggregate population of over 360 million people in the markets it serves 1. Growth depends on legalisation in new jurisdictions, and the launch in Alberta, Canada in July 2026 2 extends its geographic footprint.

Demand is supported by monthly active users growing 58% from the second quarter of 2025 3, while revenue per active user in North America stayed high as the number of new players rose 13.

Trends

  • Legalisation in new statestailwind

    Broader legal online gaming across more U.S. states and Canadian provinces could open new markets to the company, which aims to enter quickly where regulation allows 1.

  • Growing player basetailwind

    Monthly active users rose in North America and Latin America, and retention of existing customers supports revenue growth if this pace is sustained 23.

  • Taxation and new leviesheadwind

    Temporary taxes imposed in Colombia and fiscal pressure in other jurisdictions could compress margins, and the company's guidance assumes current tax structures continue 13.

  • Competition and grey marketsmixed

    Intense competition, including from grey market operators and prediction-market platforms, could force the company to raise marketing spending or accept lower margins 1.

Competitive position

The company competes with online and bricks-and-mortar casino and betting operators, locally licensed casinos, state lotteries, social gaming, and platforms offering event contracts regulated by the CFTC 1. Some competitors have longer operating histories and established relationships across sectors 1.

Grey market operators that avoid licensing and gaming tax requirements can offer more aggressive promotions, creating an uneven playing field for the company 1. Industry consolidation could produce larger, better-funded rivals 1.

  • Locally licensed casino and betting operators

    Companies holding traditional casino or betting licences that compete for the same players in U.S. states 1.

  • CFTC-regulated event contract platforms

    Companies offering event contracts on sporting events under a different regulatory and tax framework from the company 1.

  • Grey market operators and sweepstakes casinos

    Operators in jurisdictions with unclear rules that can attract customers with aggressive offers without compliance costs 1.

  • Fantasy sports and skill game providers

    Products competing for customers' leisure time and spending on entertainment, not always classed as traditional gambling 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Rush Street Interactive, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Rush Street Interactive, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Rush Street Interactive, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.