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olivLaw · US equity research

Owens Corning OC

Abrasive, Asbestos & Misc Nonmetallic Mineral Prods · SIC 3290 · Vertical: Stone, clay, glass and concrete (SIC 32xx)

127.80USD+8.53% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Owens Corning is a building products leader with roofing, insulation and doors segments, now focused on residential markets in North America and Europe after selling its glass reinforcements business. Net sales in 2025 were 10.1 billion USD, and in the second quarter of 2026 the adjusted EBITDA margin was 24%.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Owens Corning (OC) stock was 127.80 USD (+8.53% on the day), with market capitalisation 9.9 bn USD, dividend yield 2.47%, beta 1.32, 52-week range 98.28–158.96 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.5 bn USD (−7.3% YoY), net income of -250.0 m USD, diluted EPS -3.18 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
9.9 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -5.39 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-4.22%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.47%
DPS 12m 3.16
Beta (2y)
1.32
Volatility (1y) 43%
52-week range
98.28158.96

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
106.70 – 125.27
above the upper band · %B 1.14 · band width 16.0%
SMA 50 / 200
122.86 / 126.09
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.24 / -1.71
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.8%−1.1%+9.9 pp—
3 months−16.2%−0.5%−15.7 pp—
6 months+3.9%+4.4%−0.5 pp—
Year to date+14.2%+12.3%+1.9 pp—
1 year+4.1%+13.5%−9.4 pp−12.7%
3 years+4.2%+76.4%−72.2 pp+9.5%
5 years+34.0%+63.7%−29.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−30.8%
30 Jun 2026 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−53.4%
25 Nov 2024 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+6.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.5 bn USD
−7.3% YoY
Net income
-250.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-3.18
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-10.0% / -6.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.6 bn2.5 bn2.7 bn2.7 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn2.8 bn2.5 bn
Cost of revenue1.8 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn
Gross profit749.0 m725.0 m858.0 m757.0 m498.0 m510.0 m793.0 m615.0 m
Research & development40.0 m35.0 m37.0 m39.0 m39.0 m37.0 m35.0 m35.0 m
SG&A282.0 m261.0 m263.0 m240.0 m250.0 m258.0 m252.0 m239.0 m
Operating income216.0 m407.0 m505.0 m-327.0 m-225.0 m120.0 m482.0 m-152.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation194.0 m159.0 m172.0 m ≈182.0 m ≈181.0 m174.0 m175.0 m ≈173.0 m ≈
Interest expense356.0 m64.0 m63.0 m65.0 m64.0 m66.0 m69.0 m62.0 m
Pre-tax income156.0 m343.0 m442.0 m-393.0 m-288.0 m54.0 m413.0 m-214.0 m
Income tax32.0 m88.0 m110.0 m102.0 m-7.0 m15.0 m102.0 m33.0 m
Net income-258.0 m-93.0 m363.0 m-494.0 m-298.0 m-105.0 m226.0 m-250.0 m
Diluted EPS-2.96 ≈-1.084.25-5.92-3.72 ≈-1.292.80-3.18
Operating cash flow676.0 m-49.0 m327.0 m ≈918.0 m ≈590.0 m-154.0 m398.0 m ≈813.0 m ≈
Capex197.0 m203.0 m198.0 m ≈166.0 m ≈257.0 m233.0 m199.0 m ≈191.0 m ≈
Dividends paid52.0 m59.0 m59.0 m ≈58.0 m ≈56.0 m63.0 m64.0 m ≈62.0 m ≈
Share repurchases103.0 m136.0 m227.0 m ≈220.0 m ≈232.0 m22.0 m208.0 m ≈276.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue7.1 bn7.2 bn7.1 bn8.5 bn9.8 bn8.4 bn9.9 bn10.1 bn
Revenue YoY+10.5%+1.5%−1.5%+20.5%+14.9%−14.2%+17.7%+2.6%
Net income545.0 m405.0 m-383.0 m995.0 m1.2 bn1.2 bn647.0 m-522.0 m
Net income YoY+88.6%−25.7%−194.6%unavailable+24.7%−3.6%−45.9%−180.7%
Diluted EPS4.893.68-3.539.5412.7013.147.37-6.22
Diluted EPS YoY+91.8%−24.7%−195.9%unavailable+33.1%+3.5%−43.9%−184.4%
net %7.7%5.7%-5.4%11.7%12.7%14.3%6.6%-5.2%
Free cash flow266.0 m590.0 m828.0 m1.1 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn962.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
345.0 m USD
Financial debt
4.7 bn USD
Net debt
4.4 bn USD
Equity
3.9 bn USD
Total assets
13.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.22x
Current ratio
1.26x
ROE
-11.6%
ROA
-3.9%
FCF margin
9.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
8.4 bn
2024
9.9 bn
2025
10.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.9 bn
2024
6.8 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.4 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
110.0 m
2024
131.0 m
2025
150.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
748.0 m
2024
959.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
360.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
609.0 m
2024
677.0 m
2025
694.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.2 bn ≈
2024
2.2 bn ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
74.0 m
2024
208.0 m
2025
256.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
104.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
364.0 m
2024
334.0 m
2025
293.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.2 bn
2024
647.0 m
2025
-522.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
13.14
2024
7.37
2025
-6.22

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
91.0 m
2024
87.8 m
2025
84.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.16
2024
2.49
2025
2.86

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.6 bn
2024
321.0 m
2025
345.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.9 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.8 bn
2024
3.8 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.4 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.5 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
11.2 bn
2024
14.1 bn
2025
13.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
1.0 m
2024
1.0 m
2025
50.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.6 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
6.0 bn
2024
9.0 bn
2025
9.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
5.2 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
526.0 m
2024
647.0 m
2025
824.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
962.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-356.0 m
2024
-3.4 bn
2025
-765.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-877.0 m
2024
334.0 m
2025
-1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
188.0 m
2024
208.0 m
2025
232.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
657.0 m
2024
491.0 m
2025
815.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-75.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-180.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-184.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-22.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
25.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-11.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
31.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
880.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
767.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
177.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
73 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
9.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
14.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
62.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 40 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

127.80 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 9.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
9.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-11.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2982derived 211

Score by group

  • Balance sheet13
  • Growth10
  • Quality29
  • Returns100
  • Valuation59

Estimated value range

Low
51.28
USD per share
Mid
70.78
USD per share
High
72.73
USD per share
Price: 127.80 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -44.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -80.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 37.58 – 258.13 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)130.60 – 258.13 (Mid 177.05)
    WACC 8.0% · starting FCFF 986.2 m USD · terminal value share of EV 77%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -8.7%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA51.28 – 72.73 (Mid 70.78)
    5 companies used · median multiple 10.4x · quartiles 8.8x – 10.5x
    AMRZ, APOG, CRH, OI, TGLS
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)37.58 – 50.54 (Mid 43.11)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Stone, clay, glass and concrete (SIC 32xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 40/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.3%33 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality-4.4%21 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.2%10 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.5x14 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.9x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x27 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation15.1x29 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuation7.8%97 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns10.0%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns31.9%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet13/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial10/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality29/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation59/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Owens Corning (OC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 10.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.6%; net margin -4.4%; ROE -11.3%; net debt/EBITDA 4.5x.

The estimated value range is 51.28–72.73 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 70.78 USD, the price of 127.80 USD leaves a potential of -44.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -80.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 40/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF yield: 7.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 10.0%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 31.9%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -4.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.5x
  • Interest coverage: 0.9x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 15.1x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Stone, clay, glass and concrete (SIC 32xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 19.0x
EV/EBITDA
15.1x
vertical median 10.5x
above median (+43.4%)
P/S
1.0x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−45.2%)
P/B
3.1x
vertical median 2.4x
above median (+32.5%)
ROE
-11.3%
vertical median 11.4%
below median (−198.8%)
Net margin
-4.4%
vertical median 7.2%
below median (−161.3%)
EBIT margin
2.3%
vertical median 10.5%
below median (−77.8%)
Revenue YoY
2.6%
vertical median 2.7%
at median
Net debt/EBITDA
4.5x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+135.8%)
Dividend yield
2.5%
vertical median 0.3%
above median (+637.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CXCemex Sab De Cv158.6 bn513.17.8%5.8%−2.1%+1% / +58%
CRHCRH public limited company65.7 bn18.614.8%9.2%+5.3%−18% / +57%
AMRZAmrize Ltd23.5 bn19.59.8%10.2%+0.9%−14% / unavailable
JHXJAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES plc17.1 bn117.63.3%2.7%+24.7%+49% / −8%
OCOwens Corning9.9 bn—-11.3%-4.4%+2.6%+4% / +4%
EXPEagle Materials Inc.6.0 bn16.424.5%16.1%+2.1%−11% / +9%
TGLSTecnoglass Holdings Inc.1.9 bn15.117.0%12.4%+10.5%−14% / +23%
APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.1.0 bn15.213.1%4.7%+3.2%+32% / +6%
OIO-I Glass, Inc.843.6 m—-119.2%-18.9%−1.6%−59% / −63%
RETOReTo Eco-Solutions, Inc.172.7 m—-48.3%-366.1%+84.3%−98% / −100%
SMIDSmith-Midland Corporation130.9 m21.414.5%8.6%+19.0%−29% / −19%
CPSHCps Technologies Corp.74.6 m—-0.1%-0.1%+54.3%+12% / +65%
CSTECaesarstone Ltd.56.7 m—-66.9%-34.6%−10.4%+9% / −60%
CPACHolcim Ltd——16.6%10.1%+1.4%+90% / +170%
LOMALoma Negra Compania Industrialargentina Sociedad Anonima——21.5%22.0%−23.9%−29% / +37%

1- and 3-year price returns: for OC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    Owens Corning is a building products leader with roofing, insulation and doors segments, now focused on residential markets in North America and Europe after selling its glass reinforcements business. Net sales in 2025 were 10.1 billion USD 1, and in the second quarter of 2026 the adjusted EBITDA margin was 24% 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds leading positions in several product categories and recognized brands such as PINK, which support its commercial strength 1.
    • The integrated three-segment structure and cost reduction efforts give a stronger operating base after the reshaping of the company 3.
    • The company maintained a high level of operating cash flow and returned substantial cash to shareholders through dividends and repurchases 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The company reported a net loss from continuing operations in 2025, influenced by the goodwill impairment of the Doors segment 1.
    • Sales can fall quickly because many customer volume commitments are short-term, and a few large customers account for a significant share of revenue 1.
    • Interest expense has risen, and higher debt levels put pressure on profitability 1.

    Opportunities

    • Completing the sale of the glass reinforcements business could let the company focus capital on residential products with more stable margins 23.
    • If the housing market improves, demand for repair and remodeling could return to higher levels 13.
    • Cost reduction programs in the Doors segment could add further value if fully delivered 3.

    Threats

    • Trade tariffs and retaliation by other countries could raise costs and reduce demand for the company's products 12.
    • High interest rates and economic uncertainty could limit new construction and remodeling activity 1.
    • Competitors with greater resources or lower costs could pressure prices and the company's market share 1.

    Risks

    • Construction demandhigh

      A decline in residential and non-residential construction could reduce revenue and profitability, particularly if interest rates remain high 1.

    • Goodwill impairmenthigh

      Goodwill remaining for the Doors segment could be impaired again if performance weakens, producing further non-cash charges 1.

    • Tariffs and international tradehigh

      New tariffs or changes in trade policy could raise costs and disrupt supply chains, and the company cannot guarantee that its offsetting measures will succeed 12.

    • Energy and raw material costsmedium

      Higher prices for asphalt, energy or transport could reduce margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      Loss of a major customer or consolidation among customers could significantly reduce revenue and put pressure on contract terms 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the housing market recovers, the company could benefit from its leading position and strong brands across several product categories 13.
    • A simpler structure after the sale of the glass reinforcements business could support better margins and cash flows over the long term 23.
    • Programs returning capital to shareholders and cost reductions could support shareholder value 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If interest rates stay high, demand for remodeling and new construction could remain weak for longer than the company expects 13.
    • The earlier impairment of the Doors segment shows that performance expectations can be corrected with a large cost 1.
    • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could affect margins more than the company's offsetting measures can compensate for 12.

    What to watch

    • Final post-closing adjustments to the proceeds from the sale of the glass reinforcements businessQ3 2026
    • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for the third quarterQ3 2026
    • Trend in residential repair, remodeling and new construction demand in the United States2027
    • Final impact of tariffs and any refunds, as presented in the next annual reportnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    Owens Corning is a building products company headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, founded in 1938, with approximately 25,000 employees in 31 countries 1. It now operates three reportable segments: Roofing, Insulation and Doors, after classifying the glass reinforcements business as discontinued operations effective January 1, 2025 1. The sale of that business was completed on April 30, 2026, and the strategy is to focus on building products in North America and Europe 23.

    The Masonite acquisition, completed in May 2024, added the Doors segment as a new growth platform and strengthened the company's position in residential building products 1. The company describes its products as durable and energy-efficient solutions, sold under recognized brands such as PINK 1. It reported cost synergies in the Doors segment that exceeded its original commitment 3.

    The integrated structure allows commercial coordination across the three divisions, which management presents as a competitive advantage 3. Residential repair and remodeling plays a central role in the company's revenue, and it sells largely through distributors, home centers and lumberyards 1.

    Segments

    Roofing

    The Roofing segment mainly sells laminate asphalt roofing shingles, with main channels being distributors and home centers in the United States 1. The segment accounted for approximately 43% of reportable segment net sales in 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 it generated net sales of 1,313 million USD and EBITDA of 441 million USD 3.

    Insulation

    The Insulation segment produces fiberglass and foam insulation, with operations in the United States, Canada, Europe and Latin America 1. The segment accounted for approximately 36% of reportable segment net sales in 2025 1. The company describes itself as North America's largest producer of residential, commercial and industrial fiberglass insulation 1.

    Doors

    The Doors segment produces interior and exterior doors for residential markets in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom 1. The segment accounted for approximately 21% of reportable segment net sales in 2025 1. The company recorded a goodwill impairment for this segment, and in the second quarter of 2026 its EBITDA declined year over year 13.

    Market context

    The company's markets are tied to new residential construction, residential repair and remodeling, and non-residential construction 1. Demand for Roofing products is also influenced by severe storms, which can increase demand sharply 1. The company expects discretionary remodeling and new residential construction to remain under some pressure in the third quarter of 2026 3.

    The market is competitive, with manufacturers and distributors both inside and outside the United States, and prices can be pressured by lower-cost competitors 1. The company says non-residential construction in North America is expected to remain stable, and conditions in Europe could gradually improve 3.

    Trends

    • Mortgage rates and housing affordabilityheadwind

      High interest rates reduce the affordability of mortgages and increase the cost of home improvement projects, which could lower demand for the company's products 1. The company says it cannot predict when interest rates will stabilize 1.

    • Trade tariffsmixed

      Tariffs imposed by the U.S. government and retaliatory measures by other countries could raise raw material costs and reduce demand, although the company is partly offsetting the impact 12. The company could recover part of the tariffs paid following the Supreme Court decision 2.

    • Energy and raw material costsheadwind

      Asphalt, resins, energy and transport affect the company's costs, and natural gas is the primary energy source for its European operations 1. The company announced incremental costs tied to inflation from the Iran conflict in the third quarter of 2026 3.

    • Building codes and energy efficiencytailwind

      Increasingly stringent building codes and the need for energy efficiency support demand for the company's insulation and other products 1. The company says low-carbon building products are becoming increasingly important to customers 1.

    Competitive position

    The Roofing segment competes mainly with asphalt shingle manufacturers in the United States, and the company describes itself as the second largest producer in that category 1. The Insulation segment competes with fiberglass insulation manufacturers, and Doors competes with several North American door producers 1.

    The company says some competitors have superior financial, technical and marketing resources, while others produce at lower costs outside the United States 1. Competition could limit price increases or lead to loss of market share 1.

    • U.S. asphalt shingle manufacturers

      Competitors of the Roofing segment, not named individually in the source.

    • U.S. fiberglass insulation manufacturers

      Competitors of the Insulation segment, not named individually in the source.

    • North American interior and exterior door producers

      Competitors of the Doors segment, not named individually in the source.

    • Lower-cost foreign manufacturers

      Competitors in countries able to produce similar products at lower cost, without a name in the source.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 11 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Owens Corning · 25 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Owens Corning · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Owens Corning · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.