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olivLaw · US equity research

Absci Corporation ABSI

Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research · SIC 8731 · Vertical: Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research (SIC 8731)

10.48USD+4.80% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Absci is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that uses generative AI to design therapeutic antibodies, built around its Integrated Drug Creation platform and the Origin-1 model. The current focus is ABS-201, an anti-PRLR antibody tested for androgenetic alopecia and endometriosis, with interim Phase 1 data reported in June 2026. The company remains loss-making, and its revenue comes from partner collaborations rather than product sales.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Absci Corporation (ABSI) stock was 10.48 USD (+4.80% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.8 bn USD, beta 2.55, 52-week range 2.30–12.10 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 318.0 k USD (−46.4% YoY), net income of -33.2 m USD, diluted EPS -0.21 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.8 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.80 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-7.60%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.55
Volatility (1y) 103%
52-week range
2.3012.10

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
53.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
7.71 – 11.82
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.67 · band width 42.1%
SMA 50 / 200
9.55 / 6.60
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.29 / 0.23
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.1%−1.1%−8.0 pp—
3 months+24.8%−0.5%+25.2 pp—
6 months+76.1%+4.4%+71.7 pp—
Year to date+200.3%+12.3%+188.0 pp—
1 year+166.0%+13.5%+152.4 pp+10.9%
3 years+638.0%+76.4%+561.6 pp−23.9%
5 years−37.9%+63.7%−101.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−42.8%
07 Jan 2026 → 12 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−93.6%
08 Nov 2021 → 26 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−9.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
318.0 k USD
−46.4% YoY
Net income
-33.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.21
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-10,443.4% / -10,741.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.7 m665.0 k1.2 m593.0 k378.0 k650.0 k215.0 k318.0 k
Research & development18.0 m18.4 m16.4 m20.5 m19.2 m25.3 m19.3 m22.6 m
SG&A9.3 m8.8 m9.5 m8.5 m8.4 m8.6 m9.1 m9.2 m
Operating income-28.9 m-29.8 m-27.7 m-31.4 m-30.2 m-31.0 m-30.8 m-34.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.4 m3.2 m3.1 m3.0 m2.8 m2.8 m2.7 m2.7 m
Interest expense130.0 k109.0 k79.0 k56.0 k45.0 k29.0 k18.0 k2.0 k
Pre-tax income-27.4 m-29.0 m-26.4 m-30.4 m-28.6 m-29.7 m-29.6 m-33.2 m
Income tax37.0 k21.0 k-4.0 k131.0 k104.0 k-162.0 k18.0 k40.0 k
Net income-27.4 m-29.0 m-26.3 m-30.6 m-28.7 m-29.6 m-29.6 m-33.2 m
Diluted EPS-0.24-0.25 ≈-0.21-0.24-0.20-0.20 ≈-0.19-0.21
Operating cash flow-20.7 m ≈-17.0 m-21.8 m-16.9 m ≈-25.0 m ≈-29.2 m-26.3 m-27.6 m ≈
Capex48.0 k ≈23.0 k25.0 k223.0 k ≈962.0 k ≈-103.0 k30.0 k1.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202020212022202320242025
Revenue4.8 m4.8 m5.7 m5.7 m4.5 m2.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+0.0%+20.2%−0.5%−20.7%−38.2%
Net income-14.4 m-101.0 m-104.9 m-110.6 m-103.1 m-115.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-3.19-2.08-1.15-1.20-0.94-0.84
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-300.3%-2,111.3%-1,825.4%-1,933.6%-2,274.1%-4,113.7%
Free cash flow-13.2 m-98.6 m-97.5 m-65.5 m-72.8 m-94.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
20.0 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
189.4 m USD
Total assets
216.3 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
6.57x
ROE
-62.5%
ROA
-53.6%
FCF margin
-3,358.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.7 m
2024
4.5 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
48.1 m
2024
63.9 m
2025
81.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
37.8 m
2024
36.2 m
2025
35.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-115.5 m
2024
-108.9 m
2025
-120.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
14.0 m
2024
13.4 m
2025
11.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-101.5 m ≈
2024
-95.5 m ≈
2025
-108.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
1.0 m
2024
565.0 k
2025
209.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-110.5 m
2024
-103.0 m
2025
-115.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
100.0 k
2024
70.0 k
2025
69.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-110.6 m
2024
-103.1 m
2025
-115.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.20
2024
-0.94
2025
-0.84

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
92.0 m
2024
110.2 m
2025
136.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
72.4 m
2024
41.2 m
2025
20.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.2 m
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2025verified

Current assets
2023
120.6 m
2024
133.8 m
2025
149.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Mar 2024verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
48.3 m
2024
44.9 m
2025
41.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
217.3 m
2024
213.6 m
2025
216.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.5 m
2024
2.9 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
7.9 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
29.6 m
2024
28.7 m
2025
22.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
41.1 m
2024
34.5 m
2025
26.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
176.2 m †
2024
179.1 m †
2025
189.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-64.6 m
2024
-72.4 m
2025
-92.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
860.0 k
2024
404.0 k
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-65.5 m ≈
2024
-72.8 m ≈
2025
-94.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
81.9 m
2024
-41.6 m
2025
-50.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-4.5 m
2024
82.5 m
2025
105.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-38.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-21.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
-7,373.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-8,084.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7,756.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-6,981.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-57.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-50.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-50.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-1,342.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
10.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
5.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-108.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
890.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-109.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
7.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1,152.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

10.48 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
7.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-57.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7,756.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-38.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 823derived 78

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research (SIC 8731)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-7,756.4%0 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-21.3%0 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-1,342.5x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet10.6x100 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-6.1%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ABSCI CORP (ABSI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -38.2%; net margin -7,756.4%; ROE -57.7%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 10.6x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -7,756.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -21.3%
  • Interest coverage: -1,342.5x
  • FCF yield: -6.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research (SIC 8731) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 67.6x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 24.6x
P/S
1,152.2x
vertical median 4.2x
above median (+27,556.1%)
P/B
7.3x
vertical median 4.4x
above median (+64.7%)
ROE
-57.7%
vertical median 1.8%
below median (−3,242.9%)
Net margin
-7,756.4%
vertical median 1.0%
below median (−767,663.3%)
EBIT margin
-8,084.5%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−202,329.0%)
Revenue YoY
-38.2%
vertical median -0.9%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.4x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
IQVIqvia Holdings Inc.43.5 bn32.021.7%8.1%+5.9%+15% / +23%
INCYIncyte Corporation25.0 bn65.27.8%6.7%+21.2%+18% / +126%
MEDPMedpace Holdings, Inc.18.4 bn36.4117.9%18.2%+20.0%+11% / +143%
CRLCharles River Laboratories International, Inc.15.6 bn385.51.2%1.0%−0.9%+83% / +66%
ICLRICON plc15.6 bn70.02.5%2.8%+0.8%+10% / −24%
ABSIAbsci Corp1.8 bn—-57.7%-7,756.4%−38.2%+166% / +638%
OABIOmniab, Inc.755.6 m—-16.5%-108.1%−29.3%+186% / +18%
NRCNRC Health574.5 m95.9248.1%4.5%−4.0%+59% / −35%
ONMDOnemednet Corporation269.2 m——-584.2%+111.4%−75% / −89%
MXCTMaxCyte, Inc.143.5 m—-20.4%-114.8%−14.5%−21% / −71%
BIAFbioAffinity Technologies, Inc.23.7 m—-1,860.2%-257.3%−34.2%−87% / −100%
ISPCiSpecimen Inc.2.1 m—-968.5%-2,449.0%−79.2%−95% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ABSI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Absci is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that uses generative AI to design therapeutic antibodies, built around its Integrated Drug Creation platform and the Origin-1 model. The current focus is ABS-201, an anti-PRLR antibody tested for androgenetic alopecia and endometriosis, with interim Phase 1 data reported in June 2026. The company remains loss-making, and its revenue comes from partner collaborations rather than product sales.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • An integrated platform combining generative models with rapid laboratory validation and internally generated proprietary data.
    • A lead program, ABS-201, with interim Phase 1 data considered favourable on safety and half-life.
    • Backing from strategic investors and established pharmaceutical companies, including a recent investment from Eli Lilly.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue is small and depends on milestone timing in collaborations, with no royalties yet.
    • Net losses are persistent, and accumulated losses have reached high levels.
    • No product is approved, and the company has not yet demonstrated the ability to complete large clinical studies.

    Opportunities

    • If efficacy data from the Phase 1/2a program are confirmed, ABS-201 could open a new treatment category for hair loss.
    • Expanding the program into endometriosis could add a very large market where no disease-modifying therapy exists yet.
    • Licensing internal programs to partners could bring non-dilutive capital and recurring revenue.

    Threats

    • Clinical risks are high, and Phase 1 results do not guarantee success in efficacy studies.
    • The need for capital could lead to shareholder dilution or restrictive terms from financiers.
    • Competition for partnerships and for investor attention in AI-driven medicine is intense.

    Risks

    • Dependence on ABS-201high

      Much of the company's value rests on a single clinical program, and a failure in efficacy studies could affect the whole pipeline.

    • Need for additional fundinghigh

      The company has said it will need additional capital to fund clinical development, which could lead to dilution.

    • Irregular revenuemedium

      Collaboration revenue depends on milestone timing and partner decisions, so results fluctuate from period to period.

    • No commercial licences yetmedium

      No partner has yet entered a licence for clinical or commercial use, which could delay meaningful revenue 1.

    • Loss historylow

      The company has not yet reached profitability and has a short operating history, which makes long-term viability hard to assess 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If efficacy data from HEADLINE confirm what was seen in Phase 1, ABS-201 could become the first durable treatment for hair loss and open a new category.
    • The strategic investment from a large pharmaceutical company and the recent financing could ease near-term capital pressure and help validate the platform.
    • Expansion into endometriosis could add a large market without an approved disease-modifying therapy, using a non-hormonal mechanism.

    What would break the thesis

    • Most programs are still preclinical or in early clinical stages, and industry history shows many molecules never reach approval.
    • Persistent net losses and small revenue could force further share issuances, diluting shareholders.
    • If partners do not move to commercial licences, the collaboration-based model could keep revenue unstable and small.

    What to watch

    • Interim efficacy data for ABS-201 in hair losssecond half of 2026
    • Full efficacy data from the HEADLINE studyearly 2027
    • Start of the Phase 2 endometriosis trialQ4 2026
    • Cash position and funding need against the company's guidance of funding into the second half of 2028Q3 2026 and next 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Absci develops therapeutic antibodies through a lab-in-a-loop, a continuous cycle between AI models and wet-lab validation that the company says can take a design to validation in as little as six weeks. All revenue in fiscal 2025 came from drug creation work for partnered programs, and no partner has yet licensed clinical or commercial use of its intellectual property 1. The internal pipeline includes five wholly-owned programs, of which ABS-201 and ABS-202 are the most advanced 12.

    The headquarters and primary research facilities are in Vancouver, Washington, with AI research labs in New York and Belgrade and an innovation center in Zug, Switzerland 2. The company has a strategic collaboration with AMD to optimise AMD Instinct accelerators for its antibody design models 1.

    The business model combines internally developed programs that may be advanced to commercialisation or partnered, drug creation collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, and co-development partnerships 1. Past partners include Merck, AstraZeneca and Almirall, according to the annual report 1.

    Segments

    Partnerships and licensing

    The company announced a new partnership with Eli Lilly tailored to the clinical strategy for ABS-201, which does not confer program rights on Eli Lilly 3. This segment could become a revenue source if partners move to commercial licences, but that has not yet happened.

    Market context

    The company states that androgenetic alopecia affects approximately 80 million people in the United States alone, and that no approved therapy provides durable hair regrowth 2. Endometriosis is prevalent in up to 10% of women worldwide, and there is still no FDA-approved disease-modifying therapy for it 3. Companies in therapeutic antibodies and AI-driven design compete both for these patients and for partnerships with pharmaceutical companies.

    The company describes the treatment landscape for these conditions as unmet, which could make a new treatment a distinct therapeutic category if clinical data confirm efficacy 1. The company has not provided market size estimates, so commercial projections remain speculative at this stage.

    Trends

    • AI in drug discoverytailwind

      The US drug regulator acknowledged in 2023 the potential role of AI in drug development, and industry players argue generative design can shorten the time to clinic 1. If this promise holds clinically, it could support the value of the Absci platform.

    • Strategic interest from large pharmamixed

      Eli Lilly's 40 million USD investment signals strategic interest in the ABS-201 program 3. Such partnerships can strengthen funding, but may also limit the company's rights over its programs.

    • Shift from research to clinical operationsmixed

      The company has stated it will need to move from a research-focused organisation to one able to support commercial activities, and this transition is uncertain 1. If successful, it could change the company's risk profile.

    Competitive position

    Absci competes with other companies developing therapeutic antibodies and AI-assisted design platforms, though the available sources do not allow every direct competitor in each indication to be identified with certainty. The company emphasises focusing on underexplored mechanisms where competition is low 1.

    The company's stated advantage lies in the cost and speed of reaching IND compared with industry averages, along with proprietary lab data used to train its models 1. Such an advantage could matter more if the platform also produces clinical results.

    • Eli Lilly & CompanyLLY

      Pharmaceutical company that invested 40 million USD in Absci and entered a partnership tied to ABS-201, making it more a partner than a direct competitor.

    • Advanced Micro DevicesAMD

      Supplier of compute accelerators with which the company has a collaboration to optimise its antibody design models, relevant mainly as a technology partner.

    • MerckMRK

      Former partner in drug creation projects, illustrating competition for the attention of large pharmaceutical companies.

    • AstraZenecaAZN

      Former partner that shows large pharmaceutical companies can explore several AI platforms in parallel.

    News & filings

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Absci Corporation · 24 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Absci Corporation · 11 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Absci Corporation · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.