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olivLaw · US equity research

Amkor Technology, Inc. AMKR

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

35.66USD−5.21% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S. headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test provider, serving leading chipmakers. The company matters now because of rising demand for advanced packaging tied to artificial intelligence and large capacity investments, including in Arizona. Net sales in the third quarter of 2026 reached 1,991 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) stock was 35.66 USD (−5.21% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.8 bn USD, P/E 14.4 on diluted EPS of 2.48 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.94%, beta 2.38, 52-week range 30.19–93.55 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.0 bn USD (+0.2% YoY), net income of 190.6 m USD (+50.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.76 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.8 bn USD
shares as of 20 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.4
Diluted EPS TTM 2.48 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.95%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.94%
DPS 12m 0.33
Beta (2y)
2.38
Volatility (1y) 80%
52-week range
30.1993.55

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
32.7
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
33.69 – 50.52
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.12 · band width 40.0%
SMA 50 / 200
47.23 / 57.09
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-3.35 / -3.02
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−34.7%−1.1%−33.6 pp—
3 months−33.8%−0.5%−33.3 pp—
6 months−53.8%+4.4%−58.2 pp—
Year to date−9.7%+12.3%−22.0 pp—
1 year+1.2%+13.5%−12.4 pp+37.6%
3 years+49.6%+76.4%−26.8 pp+125.7%
5 years+51.6%+63.7%−12.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−61.9%
22 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−66.7%
16 Jul 2024 → 04 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+8.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.0 bn USD
+0.2% YoY
Net income
190.6 m USD
+50.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.76
+49.0% YoY
net / operating
9.6% / 11.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.6 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.4 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn
Gross profit246.7 m157.6 m181.9 m284.5 m314.6 m239.0 m318.6 m363.5 m
Research & development42.8 m45.7 m42.0 m42.4 m36.7 m41.8 m39.8 m39.8 m
SG&A69.4 m80.4 m47.9 m83.2 m92.9 m97.0 m78.9 m99.0 m
Operating income134.4 m31.5 m92.0 m158.9 m185.0 m100.3 m199.9 m224.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation149.2 m153.8 m158.8 m163.6 m165.7 m170.9 m179.7 m186.6 m
Interest expense17.1 m16.8 m16.8 m21.2 m20.6 m17.7 m17.0 m17.9 m
Pre-tax income135.6 m25.8 m83.2 m154.4 m181.2 m96.3 m203.2 m230.2 m
Income tax29.8 m3.9 m28.2 m27.7 m8.7 m12.3 m28.3 m39.2 m
Net income105.6 m21.1 m54.4 m126.6 m171.8 m83.4 m173.8 m190.6 m
Diluted EPS0.43 ≈0.090.220.510.69 ≈0.330.700.76
Operating cash flow537.6 m24.1 m258.5 m ≈168.5 m ≈644.5 m145.1 m236.5 m ≈486.8 m ≈
Capex285.7 m79.9 m146.2 m ≈246.4 m ≈432.1 m224.6 m463.8 m ≈548.4 m ≈
Dividends paid120.4 m040.9 m ≈20.4 m ≈20.6 m20.7 m20.7 m ≈20.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 55 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 5.1, median 13.2, max 43.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue4.3 bn4.1 bn5.1 bn6.1 bn7.1 bn6.5 bn6.3 bn6.7 bn
Revenue YoY+2.6%−6.1%+24.6%+21.5%+15.5%−8.3%−2.9%+6.2%
Net income127.1 m120.9 m338.1 m643.0 m765.8 m359.8 m354.0 m373.9 m
Net income YoY−51.8%−4.9%+179.7%+90.2%+19.1%−53.0%−1.6%+5.6%
Diluted EPS0.530.501.402.623.111.461.431.50
Diluted EPS YoY−51.8%−5.7%+180.0%+87.1%+18.7%−53.1%−2.1%+4.9%
net %2.9%3.0%6.7%10.5%10.8%5.5%5.6%5.6%
Free cash flow116.3 m91.4 m217.0 m341.5 m190.5 m520.6 m345.1 m191.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.4 bn USD
Financial debt
1.4 bn USD
Net debt
66.9 m USD
Equity
4.5 bn USD
Total assets
8.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.32x
Current ratio
2.27x
ROE
8.6%
ROA
5.0%
FCF margin
2.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.5 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
6.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.6 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
943.2 m
2024
933.2 m
2025
938.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
177.5 m
2024
163.0 m
2025
166.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
295.4 m
2024
331.8 m
2025
304.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
470.3 m
2024
438.5 m
2025
467.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
631.5 m
2024
594.7 m
2025
642.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 bn ≈
2024
1.0 bn ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
59.0 m
2024
64.9 m
2025
75.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
443.8 m
2024
431.0 m
2025
444.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
81.7 m
2024
75.5 m
2025
68.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
359.8 m
2024
354.0 m
2025
373.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.46
2024
1.43
2025
1.50

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
247.2 m
2024
247.8 m
2025
248.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.30
2024
0.72
2025
0.33

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
393.1 m
2024
310.9 m
2025
437.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2021verified

Goodwill
2023
20.0 m
2024
17.9 m
2025
18.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.8 bn
2024
6.9 bn
2025
8.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
754.5 m
2024
712.9 m
2025
912.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
131.6 m
2024
236.0 m
2025
162.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.1 bn
2024
923.4 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.0 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
749.5 m
2024
743.8 m
2025
904.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
520.6 m ≈
2024
345.1 m ≈
2025
191.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-951.9 m
2024
-800.3 m
2025
-885.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-149.2 m
2024
-260.4 m
2025
98.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
74.7 m
2024
178.6 m
2025
81.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-21.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
2.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-21.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-44.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
16.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
18.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
864.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
9.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-156.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-25.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
107.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
71 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
9.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
14.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
13.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 31 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

35.66 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Oct 2026
verified 2980derived 238

Score by group

  • Balance sheet57
  • Valuation50
  • Quality15
  • Growth9
  • Returns49

Estimated value range

Low
96.96
USD per share
Mid
175.19
USD per share
High
303.96
USD per share
Price: 35.66 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 391.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 79.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 64.96 – 438.84 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/Sales128.97 – 438.84 (Mid 251.50)
    24 companies used · median multiple 8.5x · quartiles 4.4x – 14.7x
    AAOI, ADI, AMAT, AMD, AVGO, AXTI, FSLR, FTCI, INTC, MCHP, MRAM, MRVL, MTSI, MU, MXL, NVDA, NXPI, ON, Q, SMTC, TE, TSEM, TXN, UCTT
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA64.96 – 169.08 (Mid 98.87)
    9 companies used · median multiple 18.0x · quartiles 12.0x – 30.3x
    AMAT, FSLR, MCHP, MU, NVDA, NXPI, ON, TSEM, UCTT
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 31/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality16.6%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality9.5%47 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality-2.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.8%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth6.2%28 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.6x33 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x81 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation1.3x88 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation-1.8%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.9%49 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet57/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth9/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality15/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns49/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

AMKOR TECHNOLOGY, INC. (AMKR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 6.2%; net margin 8.3%; ROE 13.6%; net debt/EBITDA 0.6x.

The estimated value range is 96.96–303.96 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 175.19 USD, the price of 35.66 USD leaves a potential of 391.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 79.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 31/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.2x
  • EV/Sales: 1.3x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 16.6%
  • FCF margin: -2.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.8%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 6.2%
  • FCF yield: -1.8%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
14.4x
vertical median 48.2x
below median (−70.1%)
EV/EBITDA
6.9x
vertical median 27.1x
below median (−74.7%)
P/S
1.2x
vertical median 8.9x
below median (−86.8%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 5.7x
below median (−67.9%)
ROE
13.6%
vertical median 7.7%
above median (+75.9%)
Net margin
8.3%
vertical median 10.8%
below median (−23.3%)
EBIT margin
9.5%
vertical median 12.4%
below median (−23.0%)
Revenue YoY
6.2%
vertical median 22.4%
below median (−72.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.6x
vertical median 0.0x
above median (+37,219.9%)
Dividend yield
0.9%
vertical median 0.6%
above median (+65.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited10,262.8 bn291.029.3%40.0%+25.0%+36% / +307%
NVDANvidia Corp4,823.1 bn25.3117.2%63.7%+65.5%+13% / +328%
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1,553.7 bn41.644.2%42.9%+23.9%−19% / +252%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.899.7 bn10.788.3%63.8%+256.3%+236% / +945%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc801.6 bn106.311.8%16.8%+34.3%+125% / +303%
INTCIntel Corporation309.7 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+44% / +30%
AMATApplied Materials Inc293.2 bn31.941.1%30.1%+4.4%+46% / +147%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc284.6 bn40.439.7%34.3%+13.0%+85% / +104%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc196.8 bn48.212.2%29.8%+16.9%+53% / +122%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc140.1 bn52.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+79% / +187%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.8 bn20.829.2%23.4%−2.7%+36% / +30%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.61.5 bn69.525.1%23.9%+26.4%+36% / +130%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated40.9 bn104.27.2%9.3%+7.1%+41% / −10%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.39.0 bn89.028.2%29.6%+115.1%+42% / unavailable
ONOn Semiconductor Corp27.7 bn41.48.9%10.8%−15.3%+42% / −0%
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd25.7 bn48.730.7%33.8%+205.7%−23% / +662%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.8 bn42.07.6%11.5%+9.7%+46% / unavailable
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.9 bn11.318.7%37.1%+24.1%−29% / +23%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.17.8 bn74.617.2%20.7%+32.6%+33% / +178%
TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.16.7 bn76.77.9%14.1%+9.1%+38% / +443%
SMTCSemtech Corporation10.3 bn—-5.8%-3.0%+15.5%+50% / +578%
RMBSRambus Inc8.9 bn34.119.6%33.4%+27.1%−13% / +23%
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.8.8 bn14.413.6%8.3%+6.2%+1% / +50%
MXLMaxLinear, Inc.5.2 bn—-5.9%-4.4%+29.7%+265% / +204%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.0 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+121% / +347%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AMKR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
19.91
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
35.31
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
53.35
Total return 51% · Per year 51%
3 years
16.94
Total return -51% · Per year -21%
34.03
Total return -2% · Per year -1%
56.78
Total return 63% · Per year 18%
5 years
14.41
Total return -57% · Per year -15%
32.79
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
60.43
Total return 75% · Per year 12%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8.51
  • Net margin± 5.95
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.20
  • Annual dilution± 0.50

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

In brief

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S. headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test provider, serving leading chipmakers. The company matters now because of rising demand for advanced packaging tied to artificial intelligence and large capacity investments, including in Arizona. Net sales in the third quarter of 2026 reached 1,991 million USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is the largest U.S. headquartered OSAT and has a diversified geographic footprint 1.
  • Long relationships with leading semiconductor companies and development capability are key strengths 1.
  • Sales growth and margin expansion in the third quarter of 2026 point to solid execution 3.

Weaknesses

  • Many costs are fixed, so margins depend heavily on capacity utilization 1.
  • The company has no meaningful backlog and customer commitments are short term 1.
  • Reliance on a few large customers increases exposure to their decisions 3.

Opportunities

  • Demand for AI-linked advanced packaging could fill new capacity 1.
  • The Arizona facility could strengthen its position in supply chain regionalization 1.
  • Rising semiconductor content in automobiles may open new power packaging demand 1.

Threats

  • The industry is cyclical, and an economic slowdown could reduce demand 1.
  • Tariffs and export controls could affect customers and supply chains 12.
  • Material costs, especially gold, could pressure margins if not passed to customers 1.

Risks

  • Semiconductor cyclicalityhigh

    Industry or economic downturns can reduce demand and capacity utilization 1.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    Large customers generate a major share of sales, and losing one could affect results 3.

  • Large capital investmentsmedium

    Capital spending is large and made ahead of revenue without firm customer commitments 13.

  • Trade and tariffsmedium

    Tariffs, export restrictions and regional conflicts can affect international operations 12.

  • Material costsmedium

    Materials, gold and other commodities have volatile prices, and long-term contracts with price adjustment are rare 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for AI-linked advanced packaging continues, the company could benefit from its new capacity and rising margins.
  • Its position as the largest U.S. headquartered OSAT could attract customers regionalizing their supply chains.
  • The gross margin increase in the third quarter of 2026 shows better capacity use can support profitability 3.

What would break the thesis

  • A slowdown in the semiconductor industry could reduce factory utilization given high fixed costs.
  • Dependence on a few large customers could make revenue vulnerable to their decisions.
  • Large capital spending and rising debt could limit financial flexibility if demand falls.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the fourth quarter guidance for net sales and gross marginQ4 2026
  • Capital expenditure trajectory, updated to about 2.5 billion USD for 20262026
  • Share of communications end market in sales, which declined from the prior yearQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

The business

Amkor provides packaging and test services for integrated device manufacturers, fabless companies, OEMs and contract foundries 1. Its portfolio includes advanced packaging, wafer-level processing and system-in-package solutions for smartphones, data centers, artificial intelligence, automobiles and wearables 1. In fiscal 2025 net sales were 6708.0 million USD 1, and Advanced Products made up 82.8% of sales 1.

The strategy rests on three pillars: technology leadership in advanced packaging, a broader geographic footprint and deeper partnerships with lead customers 1. The company states its primary financial objective is profitable sales growth 1. It has no meaningful backlog, and customer commitments are short term 1.

Amkor is expanding production through a new Arizona facility, under construction since the second half of 2025, and by scaling its Vietnam facility, which opened in 2024 12. Capital spending has focused on advanced packaging and test equipment and the Arizona facility 1.

Segments

Mainstream Products

Includes wirebond packaging, power device packaging and related test services 1. Their share has fallen as Advanced Products grew 13.

Market context

Packaging demand follows the semiconductor cycle, which is cyclical and tied to worldwide GDP and consumer spending 1. The advanced segment is driven by artificial intelligence, data centers and rising semiconductor content in automobiles 12.

In the third quarter of 2026, communications represented 37% of sales and computing 26% 3. Customer concentration remains high, with the top ten customers accounting for 66% of net sales 3.

Trends

  • Artificial intelligence and HPCtailwind

    Demand for advanced packaging grows as AI applications spread across data centers and edge devices 1. Computing sales rose 16% in fiscal 2025 on AI-related PC devices and networking 1.

  • Rising semiconductor content in automobilestailwind

    Chips for ADAS, electrification and infotainment raise content per vehicle and create demand for power packaging 12.

  • Industry cyclicalityheadwind

    The company says it cannot predict the timing or duration of any downturn or recovery 1. A downturn could reduce utilization 1.

  • Tariffs and trade restrictionsmixed

    Tariffs, export controls and related trade actions could affect customers and operations, though the impact depends on uncertain future developments 12.

Competitive position

Amkor competes with other independent OSAT providers, with integrated device manufacturers that package their own chips, and with contract foundries that also offer packaging and test 1. The company notes that prices have historically pressed margins downward 1.

Amkor's advantages include global scale, a diversified geographic footprint and long relationships with lead customers 1. Competitors may have in-house capabilities or different customer access, which could shift its position 1.

  • Integrated device manufacturers (IDMs)

    Package and test chips in their own factories but may outsource part of the work 1.

  • Contract foundries

    May offer packaging and test services to their own customers 1.

  • Other independent OSAT providers

    Compete directly on packaging and test services; the sources do not name them 1.

  • Fabless companies with in-house packaging

    May prefer internal solutions or other partners for packaging 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Amkor Technology, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Amkor Technology, Inc. · 28 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Amkor Technology, Inc. · 26 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.