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olivLaw · US equity research

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. GFS

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

40.34USD−5.95% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

GlobalFoundries is one of the world's largest semiconductor foundries, with fabs in the United States, Europe and Asia. In 2025 the company recovered from the industry's downturn, reporting net revenue of 6791 mn USD and net income of 888 mn USD, and its relevance grows as customers seek supply chain resilience and AI-driven chip technologies.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS) stock was 40.34 USD (−5.95% on the day), with market capitalisation 22.4 bn USD, P/E 25.4 on diluted EPS of 1.59 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.90, 52-week range 32.24–89.96 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
22.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
25.4
Diluted EPS TTM 1.59 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
3.94%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.90
Volatility (1y) 61%
52-week range
32.2489.96

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
40.73 – 50.89
below the lower band · %B -0.04 · band width 22.2%
SMA 50 / 200
46.18 / 55.17
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.48 / -0.92
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−16.9%−2.0%−14.9 pp—
3 months−18.4%−2.2%−16.3 pp—
6 months−44.2%+4.3%−48.5 pp—
Year to date+15.5%+10.6%+5.0 pp—
1 year+17.2%+10.5%+6.7 pp+37.3%
3 years−23.7%+73.7%−97.3 pp+75.2%
5 years−36.6%+61.7%−98.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−55.2%
26 May 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−61.5%
25 Mar 2022 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.7%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 67 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 20.6, median 22.0, max 33.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.8 bn4.9 bn6.6 bn8.1 bn7.4 bn6.8 bn6.8 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable−16.5%+35.7%+23.1%−8.8%−8.7%+0.6%
Net income-1.4 bn-1.4 bn-250.0 m1.4 bn1.0 bn-265.0 m885.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−29.6%−126.0%unavailable
Diluted EPS-2.72-2.70-0.492.621.83-0.481.59
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−30.2%−126.2%unavailable
net %-23.6%-27.8%-3.8%17.9%13.8%-3.9%13.0%
Free cash flow-91.1 m412.0 m1.1 bn-435.0 m321.0 m1.1 bn1.0 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.8 bn USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
-658.0 m USD
Equity
12.0 bn USD
Total assets
17.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.10x
Current ratio
2.62x
ROE
7.8%
ROA
5.2%
FCF margin
14.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
7.4 bn
2024
6.8 bn
2025
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.3 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.1 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
428.0 m
2024
496.0 m
2025
518.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
-214.0 m
2025
797.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.5 bn ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
2.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
137.0 m
2024
145.0 m
2025
93.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
-170.0 m
2025
911.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
66.0 m
2024
92.0 m
2025
23.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.0 bn
2024
-265.0 m
2025
885.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.83
2024
-0.48
2025
1.59

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
556.0 m
2024
553.0 m
2025
558.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
6.3 bn
2024
6.4 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
9.8 bn
2024
7.8 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
18.0 bn
2024
16.8 bn
2025
17.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
571.0 m
2024
753.0 m
2025
86.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
6.9 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
11.2 bn
2024
10.8 bn
2025
12.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
553.5 m
2024
552.9 m
2025
555.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
2.1 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.8 bn
2024
625.0 m
2025
722.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
321.0 m ≈
2024
1.1 bn ≈
2025
1.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.9 bn
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-212.0 m
2024
-785.0 m
2025
-845.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
200.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
-15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
-15.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-8.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
24.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
28.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
11.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-658.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
8.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
722.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
114.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
88.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
153 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
22.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
21.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
25.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
25.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
3.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
11.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
27.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
3.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
22.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 49 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

40.34 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 22.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
22.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
25.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
11.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Feb 2026
verified 210

Score by group

  • Valuation84
  • Balance sheet86
  • Quality33
  • Growth8
  • Returns33

Estimated value range

Low
40.31
USD per share
Mid
60.31
USD per share
High
94.60
USD per share
Price: 40.34 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 49.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 33.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 22.47 – 193.79 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)22.47 – 33.66 (Mid 26.81)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 1.1 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 13.7%
  • Peers: EV/Sales56.91 – 193.79 (Mid 94.87)
    24 companies used · median multiple 7.7x · quartiles 4.6x – 15.8x
    AAOI, ADI, ALGM, AMAT, AMD, AVGO, AXTI, FORM, FSLR, INTC, LSCC, MCHP, MOBX, MRVL, MTSI, MU, NVDA, NXPI, ON, OSIS, Q, SUNE, TE, TXN
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA40.31 – 94.60 (Mid 60.31)
    8 companies used · median multiple 16.7x · quartiles 11.1x – 26.4x
    AMAT, FSLR, MCHP, MU, NVDA, NXPI, ON, OSIS
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 49/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality24.9%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality11.7%49 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality14.9%59 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.7%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth0.6%24 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.3x73 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.6x100 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation3.2x80 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation4.5%90 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%33 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet86/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth8/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality33/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns33/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation84/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 0.6%; net margin 13.0%; ROE 7.8%; net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.

The estimated value range is 40.31–94.60 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 60.31 USD, the price of 40.34 USD leaves a potential of 49.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 33.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 49/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.3x
  • Current ratio: 2.6x
  • EV/Sales: 3.2x
  • FCF yield: 4.5%

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 24.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.7%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 0.6%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
25.4x
vertical median 48.8x
below median (−48.0%)
EV/EBITDA
11.1x
vertical median 24.8x
below median (−55.3%)
P/S
3.3x
vertical median 7.8x
below median (−57.5%)
P/B
1.9x
vertical median 5.5x
below median (−65.7%)
ROE
7.8%
vertical median 8.9%
below median (−12.5%)
Net margin
13.0%
vertical median 10.1%
above median (+29.3%)
EBIT margin
11.7%
vertical median 12.2%
at median
Revenue YoY
0.6%
vertical median 20.8%
below median (−97.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.3x
vertical median 0.1x
below median (−717.0%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NVDANvidia Corp4,981.2 bn26.1117.2%63.7%+65.5%+17% / +342%
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1,585.5 bn42.444.2%42.9%+23.9%−18% / +259%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.967.5 bn11.588.3%63.8%+256.3%+262% / +1,023%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices Inc790.0 bn124.510.1%15.6%+34.3%+122% / +299%
INTCIntel Corporation321.8 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+49% / +35%
AMATApplied Materials Inc303.1 bn32.941.1%30.1%+4.4%+51% / +155%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc285.5 bn40.539.7%34.3%+13.0%+86% / +105%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc203.4 bn49.812.2%29.8%+16.9%+58% / +129%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc150.8 bn56.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+92% / +209%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.2 bn20.729.2%23.4%−2.7%+35% / +29%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.64.8 bn73.225.1%23.9%+26.4%+43% / +142%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated42.3 bn107.77.2%9.3%+7.1%+45% / −7%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.40.5 bn115.825.8%30.7%+115.1%+48% / unavailable
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd28.4 bn53.830.7%33.8%+205.7%−15% / +743%
ONOn Semiconductor Corp28.3 bn42.28.9%10.8%−15.3%+45% / +2%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.9 bn40.18.9%12.4%+9.7%+47% / unavailable
GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.22.4 bn25.47.8%13.0%+0.6%+17% / −24%
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.0 bn10.818.7%37.1%+24.1%−32% / +18%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.18.0 bn75.317.2%20.7%+32.6%+35% / +180%
LSCCLattice Semiconductor Corp15.3 bn330.14.2%5.5%unavailable+53% / +83%
FORMFormFactor, Inc.6.7 bn38.915.9%17.7%+2.8%+55% / +127%
ALGMAllegro Microsystems, Inc.5.8 bn209.13.2%3.1%+22.8%+17% / +15%
CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.5.8 bn14.220.9%21.0%+5.3%−4% / +53%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.4 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+139% / +383%
SQNSSequans Communications S.A.4.3 bn13.4233.6%—+5.9%−56% / −96%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GFS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
21.60
Total return -46% · Per year -46%
38.37
Total return -5% · Per year -5%
58.06
Total return 44% · Per year 44%
3 years
17.15
Total return -57% · Per year -25%
34.63
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
58.06
Total return 44% · Per year 13%
5 years
13.62
Total return -66% · Per year -20%
31.25
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
58.06
Total return 44% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8.66
  • Net margin± 6.06
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.47
  • Annual dilution± 0.51

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (14 Oct 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026), 6-K (27 Aug 2026), 6-K (05 Aug 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026).

In brief

GlobalFoundries is one of the world's largest semiconductor foundries, with fabs in the United States, Europe and Asia. In 2025 the company recovered from the industry's downturn, reporting net revenue of 6791 mn USD and net income of 888 mn USD, and its relevance grows as customers seek supply chain resilience and AI-driven chip technologies.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a diversified fab base across three continents and a high share of single-sourced products, which strengthens its position with customers.
  • A portfolio of differentiated technologies and an expanded IP base, including recent acquisitions, supports its ability to win new customers.
  • Long-term agreements with customers provide some visibility into future demand as contractual commitments are fulfilled.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends on a small number of customers for a significant share of revenue, so losing them could affect results.
  • The semiconductor industry is capital-intensive, and ongoing investment needs could pressure liquidity and financial flexibility.
  • The company reported material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting for 2025, which could affect investor confidence.

Opportunities

  • Rising demand for physical AI, satellite communications and electrified vehicles could open new orders for the company's technologies.
  • Public funding under CHIPS and similar programs in Europe and Singapore could support capacity expansion.
  • Customer preference for geographically diversified suppliers could bring additional market share, especially outside China and Taiwan.

Threats

  • US-China trade tensions, tariffs and export controls could restrict market access and reshape growth strategy.
  • Industry overcapacity, if prolonged, could pressure wafer prices and margins.
  • If IDMs and competitors expand capacity in the company's locations, its competitive position could be affected.

Risks

  • Dependence on large customershigh

    A small number of customers account for a significant share of revenue, and losing them or further customer consolidation could sharply reduce sales.

  • Industry cyclicalityhigh

    Semiconductor demand is cyclical and seasonal, and downturns can be prolonged, which could affect fab utilization.

  • Geopolitical and trade tensionsmedium

    Export restrictions, sanctions and US-China tensions could disrupt the supply chain and the ability to compete in international markets.

  • Internal control and compliancemedium

    The company concluded that internal control over financial reporting was not effective as of 31 December 2025, which could affect future results.

  • Intellectual property disputesmedium

    The company has been and could again be targeted by intellectual property disputes, which can be costly and create financial liability.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for physical AI and electrified vehicles keeps growing, the company could benefit from its differentiated technologies and single-source supplier position.
  • Fabs on three continents could attract customers seeking supply chain resilience amid trade tensions.
  • The recovery in capacity utilization seen in 2025 could improve margins if the trend holds.

What would break the thesis

  • If industry overcapacity lasts, prices and margins could come under pressure and heavy investments could remain unrecovered.
  • Dependence on a few customers and cycle-sensitive segments could keep revenue volatile.
  • The internal control weaknesses reported for 2025 could weigh on investor confidence and compliance costs.

What to watch

  • Trend in average shipment utilization and revenue by segmentQ1 2027
  • Progress of US investments and CHIPS funds received2027
  • Remediation of the reported internal control weaknessesnext 10-K
  • New export rules and their impact on China-related business2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (14 Oct 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026), 6-K (27 Aug 2026), 6-K (05 Aug 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026).

The business

GlobalFoundries operates as a foundry: it manufactures and ships silicon wafers for customers who design their own chips, and wafer sales are the main revenue source, about 89% of 2025 net revenue 1. The company runs four manufacturing sites, in Malta (New York), Burlington (Vermont), Dresden (Germany) and Singapore, a setup meant to offer customers geographically diversified supply 1. Its strategy rests on differentiated technologies, a customer base spanning automotive, smartphone, communications and data center chips, and an expanded IP portfolio including the MIPS acquisition 1.

The business is supported by public funding, including a Direct Funding Agreement with the U.S. Department of Commerce of up to 1.5 billion USD under the CHIPS and Science Act 1. The company says it plans to invest more than 16 billion USD over the next 10 or more years across its two U.S. sites, subject to market requirements and expected government funding 1.

Operationally, the company reported average shipment utilization of 86% in 2025, up from 77% in 2024, and gross profit of 1690 mn USD in 2025 1. Research and development spending reached 518 mn USD in 2025, roughly 8% of revenue 1.

Segments

Automotive

The automotive segment generated 1410 mn USD in 2025, about 21% of revenue, up from 1206 mn USD in 2024, and includes components for advanced driver assistance, power management for electrified vehicles and in-vehicle networking 1.

Smart Mobile Devices

This segment generated 2678 mn USD in 2025, the largest of the four, but down from 3048 mn USD in 2024; it covers cellular, Wi-Fi, sensor and power management chips under cost and qualification pressure 1.

Home and Industrial IoT

The segment generated 1189 mn USD in 2025, down from 1267 mn USD in 2024, and covers connected home devices, industrial automation and aerospace and defense systems 1.

Market context

The semiconductor industry began recovering in 2025 after a cyclical downturn, as customers reduced excess inventory, but demand remains uneven across markets, with more uncertainty in consumer-centric segments 1. The communications infrastructure and data center segment grew to 745 mn USD in 2025 from 577 mn USD in 2024 1.

Demand is supported by megatrends such as IoT, physical AI, satellite communications and vehicle electrification, which raise semiconductor content across many industries 1.

Trends

  • Industry cycle recoverymixed

    Customers have worked down inventory built up in prior years, leading to a gradual normalization of demand, though a uniform recovery across all markets has not yet appeared 1.

  • AI and edge computing megatrendstailwind

    Growth in connected devices and physical AI could increase demand for differentiated technologies, particularly with the MIPS acquisition extending the processor IP portfolio 1.

  • Trade tensions and export controlsheadwind

    US-China restrictions, tariffs and sanctions could reshape supply chains and growth strategy in China, with potential impact on competitiveness 1.

  • Demand for geographic resiliencetailwind

    Tariffs and geopolitical tensions strengthen customer demand for geographically diversified suppliers outside China and Taiwan, a structural advantage for the company 1.

Competitive position

The foundry segment is highly competitive globally, with rivals including pure-play foundries and integrated device manufacturers (IDMs) offering their own foundry services 1. The company says it differentiates on technology leadership, manufacturing yields, cycle time and its geographically diversified footprint 1.

Competitive risk rises if IDMs and other competitors expand capacity in the United States, Europe and Singapore, or if overcapacity lasts beyond normal cycles, which could pressure prices and margins 1.

  • Pure-play foundries

    Foundry competitors offering manufacturing services to third parties, named generically in the source without identities.

  • Integrated device manufacturers (IDMs)

    Companies that design and manufacture their own chips and may also offer foundry services, named generically in the source.

  • Competitors expanding in the US and Europe

    Companies that have announced or begun capacity expansion in the United States, Europe and Singapore, according to the source.

  • China-based foundry partner

    The company has a strategic partnership with a foundry based in China to serve domestic Chinese demand.

News & filings

In the press

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. · 27 Feb 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.