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olivLaw · US equity research

Sequans Communications S.A. SQNS

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

2.67USD−2.91% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Sequans Communications designs and supplies fabless semiconductor solutions, mainly for cellular IoT, and in 2025 reshaped its strategy through the ACP acquisition and the sale of its 4G technology to Qualcomm. The company is in a transition phase, with revenue declining and results increasingly influenced by its Bitcoin treasury. Total revenue for 2025 was 26.3 mn USD, and the net loss was 109.3 mn USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Sequans Communications S.A. (SQNS) stock was 2.67 USD (−2.91% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.3 bn USD, P/E 13.4 on diluted EPS of 0.20 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.53, 52-week range 2.41–6.75 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.3 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
13.4
Diluted EPS TTM 0.20 · TTM to 31 Dec 2024
E/P (TTM)
7.49%
TTM to 31 Dec 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.53
Volatility (1y) 76%
52-week range
2.416.75

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.8
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.34 – 2.79
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.73 · band width 17.6%
SMA 50 / 200
2.75 / 3.15
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.04 / -0.07
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−2.6%−1.1%−1.5 pp—
3 months−3.3%−0.5%−2.8 pp—
6 months−20.8%+4.4%−25.2 pp—
Year to date−40.5%+12.3%−52.9 pp—
1 year−54.9%+13.5%−68.4 pp+35.9%
3 years−96.3%+76.4%−172.7 pp+34.4%
5 years−98.1%+63.7%−161.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−64.3%
09 Dec 2025 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−98.4%
09 Nov 2021 → 19 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−54.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 1-quarter history (min 174.5, median 174.5, max 174.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920202021202220232024
Revenue48.3 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Revenue YoY+5.9%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Net income-26.2 m-36.2 m-36.7 m-54.5 m-20.3 m-9.0 m-41.0 m57.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.34-0.39-0.39-0.48-0.14-0.05-0.180.20
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-54.2%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2024 · 31 Dec 2024

Cash
9.1 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
55.4 m USD
Total assets
106.5 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.20x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
53.4%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Income statement · USD

Cost of revenue
2022
17.7 m
2023
9.5 m
2024
9.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Gross profit
2022
42.9 m
2023
24.1 m
2024
27.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Research & development
2022
26.6 m
2023
26.1 m
2024
28.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Operating income
2022
-3.8 m
2023
-29.8 m
2024
69.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Interest expense
2022
16.9 m
2023
13.3 m
2024
26.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2022
-6.3 m
2023
-38.3 m
2024
61.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Income tax
2022
2.7 m
2023
2.7 m
2024
3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Net income
2022
-9.0 m
2023
-41.0 m
2024
57.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2022
-0.05
2023
-0.18
2024
0.20

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2022
184.6 m
2023
225.2 m
2024
284.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2022
5.7 m
2023
5.7 m
2024
9.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Inventories
2022
9.4 m
2023
6.3 m
2024
2.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Current assets
2022
40.4 m
2023
36.9 m
2024
93.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2022
8.5 m
2023
6.8 m
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2024verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2022
48.7 m
2023
64.3 m
2024
5.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Total assets
2022
98.8 m
2023
109.2 m
2024
106.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Current liabilities
2022
36.8 m
2023
107.9 m
2024
42.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Equity
2022
2.1 m
2023
-6.1 m
2024
55.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2022
193.4 m
2023
246.3 m
2024
251.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2022
-1.8 m
2023
-7.3 m
2024
-19.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Investing cash flow
2022
-26.0 m
2023
-24.4 m
2024
93.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2022
28.7 m
2023
31.7 m
2024
-70.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2017
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
unavailable
input data missing
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
233.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROA
53.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
108.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
2.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2024

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024

Cash

Operating cash flow
-19.5 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
74.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/E (TTM)
13.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Earnings yield
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/B
77.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 2 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 14.9% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.67 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/E (TTM)
13.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/B
77.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
233.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Net margin
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2017
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

22/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2017
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2024
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2024
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 May 2026
verified 245

The data is older than the freshness threshold.

Score by group

15% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 2 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 14.9% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
EBIT margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
FCF margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth5.9%36 (vs peers)57%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x83 (on a fixed band)43%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial83/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial36/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SEQUANS COMMUNICATIONS S.A. (SQNS). Latest full fiscal year: 2017; data up to 2024-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: YoY growth 5.9%; ROE 233.6%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 2 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 14.9% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.2x

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Gross margin, EBIT margin, FCF margin, Revenue CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
13.4x
vertical median 41.8x
below median (−68.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 18.0x
P/S
—
vertical median 5.8x
P/B
77.1x
vertical median 4.3x
above median (+1,677.7%)
ROE
233.6%
vertical median 7.8%
above median (+2,896.3%)
Net margin
—
vertical median 10.8%
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 10.7%
Revenue YoY
5.9%
vertical median 16.9%
below median (−65.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NVDANvidia Corp4,823.1 bn25.3117.2%63.7%+65.5%+13% / +328%
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1,553.7 bn41.644.2%42.9%+23.9%−19% / +252%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.899.7 bn10.788.3%63.8%+256.3%+236% / +945%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc801.6 bn106.311.8%16.8%+34.3%+125% / +303%
INTCIntel Corporation309.7 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+44% / +30%
AMATApplied Materials Inc293.2 bn31.941.1%30.1%+4.4%+46% / +147%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc284.6 bn40.439.7%34.3%+13.0%+85% / +104%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc196.8 bn48.212.2%29.8%+16.9%+53% / +122%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc140.1 bn52.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+79% / +187%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.8 bn20.829.2%23.4%−2.7%+36% / +30%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.61.5 bn69.525.1%23.9%+26.4%+36% / +130%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated40.9 bn104.27.2%9.3%+7.1%+41% / −10%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.39.0 bn89.028.2%29.6%+115.1%+42% / unavailable
ONOn Semiconductor Corp27.7 bn41.48.9%10.8%−15.3%+42% / −0%
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd25.7 bn48.730.7%33.8%+205.7%−23% / +662%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.8 bn42.07.6%11.5%+9.7%+46% / unavailable
GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.22.4 bn25.47.8%13.0%+0.6%+13% / −25%
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.9 bn11.318.7%37.1%+24.1%−29% / +23%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.17.8 bn74.617.2%20.7%+32.6%+33% / +178%
RMBSRambus Inc8.9 bn34.119.6%33.4%+27.1%−13% / +23%
ALGMAllegro Microsystems, Inc.5.8 bn209.13.2%3.1%+22.8%+17% / +15%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.0 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+121% / +347%
SQNSSequans Communications S.A.4.3 bn13.4233.6%—+5.9%−55% / −96%
HIMXHimax Technologies, Inc.3.6 bn80.34.9%5.3%−8.2%+38% / +83%
KLICKulicke And Soffa Industries, Inc.3.6 bn31.513.2%12.2%−7.4%+52% / +33%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SQNS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 11 May 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (03 Nov 2026), 6-K (24 Sept 2026), 6-K (23 Sept 2026), 6-K (04 Aug 2026), 6-K (30 Jun 2026), 6-K (02 Jun 2026).

In brief

Sequans Communications designs and supplies fabless semiconductor solutions, mainly for cellular IoT, and in 2025 reshaped its strategy through the ACP acquisition and the sale of its 4G technology to Qualcomm. The company is in a transition phase, with revenue declining and results increasingly influenced by its Bitcoin treasury 1. Total revenue for 2025 was 26.3 mn USD 1, and the net loss was 109.3 mn USD 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a proven track record in LTE chips for IoT, with several generations launched and a customer base of more than ninety end customers 1.
  • Know-how in wireless architecture and signal processing enables power-optimized designs and integrated security features 1.
  • The ACP acquisition brought RF intellectual property and the Iris product line for demanding markets 1.

Weaknesses

  • The company has reported losses in most years and depends on a small number of customers for a significant share of revenue 1.
  • Sales are made on purchase orders without long-term contracts, which makes revenue difficult to forecast 1.
  • The company identified material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting in 2024 and 2025 1.

Opportunities

  • The transition to 5G RedCap and eRedCap could open new design cycles for the company's products 1.
  • Defense, drone and V2X markets reachable through the Iris line could provide revenue from higher-margin segments 1.
  • Licensing and design service revenue could grow if new agreements are signed with industry customers 1.

Threats

  • Reliance on a single independent foundry without a long-term agreement exposes the company to supply risks 1.
  • Competition from large semiconductor groups could pressure prices and market share 1.
  • A fall in the Bitcoin price could weigh on the financial position and on the ability to redeem convertible debentures 1.

Risks

  • Bitcoin dependencehigh

    The company holds Bitcoin as an asset and results can be significantly affected by its price, while part of the holdings is still pledged as collateral 1.

  • Secured convertible debentureshigh

    Redemption of the remaining debentures depends on Bitcoin sales before a set deadline, and conversion could dilute existing shareholders 1.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    A small number of customers generate a significant share of revenue, and orders can be cancelled or delayed without long-term contracts 1.

  • Single foundry dependencemedium

    The company relies on one independent foundry for its wafers, and yield problems could affect its reputation and customers 1.

  • NYSE listing and internal controllow

    The company could fall out of compliance with NYSE continued listing criteria, and weaknesses in internal control could lead to misstatements 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the transition to 5G RedCap proceeds as expected, next-generation products could build on an established customer base 1.
  • The ACP acquisition and the Iris line could bring revenue from defense and aerospace segments with demanding technical requirements 1.
  • If Bitcoin is monetized in an orderly way, the company could reduce debt and focus resources on product development 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If revenue keeps declining, the company could remain loss-making and may need further financing 1.
  • Bitcoin and convertible debenture risks could weigh heavily on the financial position if the asset price falls 1.
  • If the 5G transition is delayed, the company could lose design wins to larger competitors 1.

What to watch

  • Completion of the debenture redemption and the remaining Bitcoin holdingsQ2 2026
  • Revenue from the Iris line and the ACP acquisition2026
  • Order flow for 5G RedCap and eRedCap products2026
  • Remediation of internal control weaknesses in financial reportingnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 11 May 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (03 Nov 2026), 6-K (24 Sept 2026), 6-K (23 Sept 2026), 6-K (04 Aug 2026), 6-K (30 Jun 2026), 6-K (02 Jun 2026).

The business

Sequans is a fabless company that designs, develops and supplies integrated circuits and modules for IoT and non-smartphone devices, focusing on LTE-M, NB-IoT, LTE Cat 1bis and, in future, 5G RedCap 1. Its portfolio includes baseband processors, RF transceivers, modules combining these chips with front-end subsystems and modem software, as well as technology licensing and design services 1. Customers are mainly OEMs and ODMs, and sales are generally made on a purchase order basis without long-term contracts 1.

In January 2025 the company acquired ACP Advanced Circuit Pursuit AG, adding RF transceivers for software defined radio sold as the Iris line for defense, aerospace, drone and V2X uses 1. In September 2024 Sequans sold most of its 4G IoT technologies to Qualcomm while keeping the right to sell and develop its existing 4G products and its 5G intellectual property 1. In June 2024 it suspended development of its 5G fixed wireless broadband product and refocused on low-power 5G variants 1.

In June 2025 Sequans raised about 384 mn USD through private placements and secured convertible debentures, using the proceeds to buy Bitcoin pledged as collateral 1. Amendments in October 2025 and February 2026 allowed repurchase of the debentures funded by Bitcoin sales, and the company stated it no longer intends to pursue its Bitcoin treasury strategy, instead monetizing holdings over time 1. The company also flags risks related to Bitcoin, debt and its NYSE listing 1.

Segments

Cellular IoT modules and chips

This is the core segment, covering the Monarch (LTE-M/NB-IoT), Calliope (Cat 1 and Cat 1bis) and Cassiopeia (Cat 4) platforms sold as chips or complete modules for smart meters, telematics and tracking devices 1. The company says more than 90 end customers have launched or are developing products using its 4G LTE chipsets 1.

RF transceivers and licensing services

Through ACP, the company offers RF transceivers for software defined radio and design and licensing services for satellite, avionics, public safety and military applications 1. Licensing, royalty and services revenue was a significant but declining part of total revenue in 2023-2025, and the company expects it to remain a meaningful part through smaller new agreements 1.

Market context

The single-mode cellular IoT module market, covering Cat 1bis and LTE-M/NB-IoT, could grow according to ABI Research, which projects a CAGR of 13% between 2025 and 2030 and about 322 mn annual shipments in 2030 1. The same source notes that migration to 5G RedCap and eRedCap depends on 5G Standalone network readiness and operators' spectrum re-farming strategies 1. The sector has short product life cycles and pressure on average selling prices 1.

Competition in cellular IoT has intensified after the 4G sale to Qualcomm, and the market depends on the early adoption of 5G RedCap 1. Strong demand for AI-related components created selective supply tightness across semiconductors in 2025, which could affect lead times 1.

Trends

  • Migration of IoT from 4G to 5G RedCapmixed

    The 5G RedCap and eRedCap standards, introduced in 3GPP Releases 17 and 18, are designed to replace LTE Cat 4 and Cat 6 in low-power devices, which could open new opportunities for the company's next-generation products 1.

  • Growth in cellular IoT module demandtailwind

    Analysts project roughly 13% annual growth in the single-mode cellular IoT module market through 2030, which supports demand for the company's chips 1.

  • Semiconductor supply constraintsheadwind

    In 2025 strong demand for AI components led to selective shortages and longer lead times, forcing the company in some cases to qualify new supply sources 1.

  • Bitcoin price volatilityheadwind

    The value of the Bitcoin treasury directly affects financial results and the ability to redeem debentures, and a price decline could weigh on the financial position 1.

Competitive position

Sequans competes with cellular IoT chip suppliers and large semiconductor groups with greater resources for 5G development 1. The company points to its 4G track record and wireless system expertise as advantages, but after the 4G sale its position depends increasingly on the success of its 5G products 1.

In cellular IoT, competition rests on power consumption, cost and speed of design cycles, where larger companies could have scale advantages 1. Sequans maintains its positions through existing customers and retained intellectual property, but could lose share if it does not deliver its next generation quickly 1.

  • Qualcomm TechnologiesQCOM

    Acquired Sequans' 4G IoT technologies in September 2024, making it both a partner and a competitor in IoT chips 1.

  • Skyworks SolutionsSWKS

    Partner in a system-in-package solution combining the Monarch 2 modem with a radio front-end, showing collaboration within the same value chain 1.

  • Asian cellular IoT module makers

    ODM and OEM customers in China and Japan form part of the company's demand, and these module makers could also compete through their own supply chains 1.

  • Specialized RF transceiver suppliers for defense and SDR

    In the Iris segment Sequans faces companies specialized in RF transceivers for military, aerospace and V2X applications, a field where ACP has recognized experience 1.

News & filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Sequans Communications S.A. · 11 May 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.