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olivLaw · US equity research

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. EVLV

Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC · SIC 3577 · Vertical: Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577)

4.81USD+3.89% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Evolv Technologies sells AI-powered screening systems that detect weapons, delivered as Security-as-a-Service with hardware and a software subscription. The company reported revenue of 43.8 million USD for the second quarter of 2026, in a context where demand for screening at public venues is growing.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) stock was 4.81 USD (+3.89% on the day), with market capitalisation 871.2 m USD, beta 1.38, 52-week range 4.05–7.36 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 43.8 m USD (+34.4% YoY), net income of -9.3 m USD, diluted EPS -0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
871.2 m USD
shares as of 04 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.03 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-0.58%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.38
Volatility (1y) 51%
52-week range
4.057.36

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.02 – 4.93
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.86 · band width 20.4%
SMA 50 / 200
4.75 / 5.62
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.00 / -0.06
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.4%−1.1%+8.5 pp—
3 months−19.6%−0.5%−19.2 pp—
6 months−32.3%+4.4%−36.7 pp—
Year to date−32.8%+12.3%−45.1 pp—
1 year−33.6%+13.5%−47.1 pp−9.7%
3 years+6.4%+76.4%−70.0 pp−9.4%
5 years−23.5%+63.7%−87.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−45.0%
18 Dec 2025 → 14 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−77.9%
12 Nov 2021 → 16 Mar 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−5.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
43.8 m USD
+34.4% YoY
Net income
-9.3 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-21.3% / -24.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue27.4 m29.1 m32.0 m32.5 m42.9 m38.5 m46.3 m43.8 m
Cost of revenue11.6 m12.4 m12.9 m16.3 m21.5 m19.9 m22.7 m21.8 m
Gross profit15.8 m16.7 m19.2 m16.2 m21.3 m18.6 m23.6 m22.0 m
Research & development5.8 m5.4 m4.9 m4.7 m5.6 m5.4 m5.9 m5.8 m
Operating income-19.2 m-18.9 m-14.4 m-17.5 m-8.6 m-8.0 m-8.5 m-10.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.6 m5.4 m5.5 m5.8 m6.5 m6.5 m6.8 m7.1 m
Interest expense001.0 k0713.0 k1.0 m962.0 k965.0 k
Pre-tax income-30.4 m-15.7 m-1.6 m-40.5 m-1.8 m10.9 m-5.0 m-9.3 m
Income tax0063.0 k-1.0 k00-37.0 k0
Net income-30.4 m-15.7 m-1.7 m-40.5 m-1.8 m10.9 m-5.0 m-9.3 m
Diluted EPS-0.19-0.10 ≈-0.01-0.25-0.010.06 ≈-0.03-0.05
Operating cash flow3.7 m ≈3.2 m-2.5 m2.1 m ≈3.5 m ≈15.6 m-3.2 m11.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20202021⚠ 2022202320242025
Revenue4.8 m23.4 m52.7 m79.6 m103.9 m145.9 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+388.9%—+50.9%+30.5%+40.5%
Net income-27.4 m-10.9 m-86.8 m-108.0 m-54.0 m-33.1 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-3.07-0.15-0.60-0.72-0.34-0.20
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-572.5%-46.5%-164.6%-135.8%-52.0%-22.7%
Free cash flow-29.9 m-60.5 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

The series breaks before 2022: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
49.2 m USD
Financial debt
28.6 m USD
Net debt
-20.6 m USD
Equity
119.4 m USD
Total assets
304.4 m USD
Debt / equity
0.24x
Current ratio
1.23x
ROE
-28.0%
ROA
-11.6%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
79.6 m
2024
103.9 m
2025
145.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
47.7 m
2024
44.4 m
2025
70.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
31.9 m
2024
59.5 m
2025
75.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
24.5 m
2024
23.4 m
2025
20.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-90.1 m
2024
-82.3 m
2025
-48.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
9.7 m
2024
17.4 m
2025
24.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-80.4 m ≈
2024
-64.9 m ≈
2025
-24.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
654.0 k
2024
0
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-108.0 m
2024
-54.0 m
2025
-33.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
51.0 k
2024
0
2025
62.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-108.0 m
2024
-54.0 m
2025
-33.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.72
2024
-0.34
2025
-0.20

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
149.2 m
2024
156.6 m
2025
168.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
67.2 m
2024
37.0 m
2025
49.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
21.5 m
2024
28.4 m
2025
30.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
10.3 m
2024
17.0 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
173.4 m
2024
121.4 m
2025
151.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
113.2 m
2024
123.7 m
2025
127.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
297.1 m
2024
268.1 m
2025
304.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
17.4 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
9.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
28.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
81.3 m
2024
96.7 m
2025
123.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
153.0 m
2024
150.4 m
2025
185.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
144.1 m †
2024
117.7 m †
2025
119.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-9.8 m
2024
-30.9 m
2025
18.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Mar 2022verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2023derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-123.1 m
2024
-1.4 m
2025
-41.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-29.7 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
35.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
40.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
40.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
98.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
49.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-20.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-31.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-20.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-24.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-9.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
27.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
87 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
51 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
871.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
847.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
7.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
5.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 51 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.81 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 871.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
871.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
7.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
40.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 907derived 56

Score by group

  • Balance sheet22
  • Quality25
  • Valuation20
  • Growth98

Estimated value range

Low
0.92
USD per share
Mid
1.06
USD per share
High
1.84
USD per share
Price: 4.81 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -77.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -353.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.92 – 1.84 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/Sales0.92 – 1.84 (Mid 1.06)
    4 companies used · median multiple 1.0x · quartiles 0.8x – 1.8x
    CRSR, MITK, MYND, XRX
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 51/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality49.9%25 (on a fixed band)16%
EBIT margin · Quality-20.8%25 (vs peers)13%
FCF margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth40.4%100 (on a fixed band)25%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth40.5%94 (vs peers)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x22 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuation4.9x20 (vs peers)25%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial22/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth98/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality25/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial20/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 145.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 40.5%; net margin -3.0%; ROE -4.9%.

The estimated value range is 0.92–1.84 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 1.06 USD, the price of 4.81 USD leaves a potential of -77.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -353.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 51/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 40.4%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 40.5%

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 49.9%
  • EBIT margin: -20.8%
  • Current ratio: 1.2x
  • EV/Sales: 4.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF margin, Net debt / EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 31.1x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
5.1x
vertical median 2.4x
above median (+115.3%)
P/B
7.3x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+343.3%)
ROE
-4.9%
vertical median 0.2%
below median (−2,124.1%)
Net margin
-3.0%
vertical median -0.8%
below median
EBIT margin
-20.8%
vertical median 0.5%
below median (−4,014.9%)
Revenue YoY
40.5%
vertical median 11.2%
above median (+260.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.284.7 bn870.11.7%2.7%+24.5%+83% / +136%
FTNTFortinet, Inc.95.1 bn42.1153.1%29.0%+14.2%+59% / +146%
LOGILogitech International S.A.14.2 bn18.138.2%16.4%+6.3%−11% / +14%
CRSRCorsair Gaming, Inc.1.4 bn41.45.8%2.5%+11.9%+104% / +3%
EVLVEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.871.2 m—-4.9%-3.0%+40.5%−34% / +6%
MITKMitek Systems, Inc.861.4 m40.79.2%11.4%+4.4%+115% / +69%
SSYSStratasys Ltd.587.3 m—-12.7%-18.9%−3.7%−22% / −38%
IMMRImmersion Corporation237.8 m21.63.5%0.6%+11.2%+1% / +10%
RDCMRadcom Ltd.168.7 m14.311.4%16.8%+17.2%−22% / +29%
XRXXerox Holdings Corp155.0 m—-128.0%-11.9%+12.9%−58% / −92%
MYNDMynd.ai, Inc.126.0 m—-995.5%-32.2%−37.2%−56% / −97%
INVEInve Technologies, Inc.64.0 m—-10.9%-62.9%−19.3%−22% / −62%
TACTTransact Technologies Inc54.4 m—-1.3%-0.8%+18.7%+19% / −22%
LINKInterlink Electronics, Inc52.3 m—-10.5%-7.9%+1.8%−8% / −39%
WETHWetouch Technology Inc.11.6 m1.26.0%17.6%+6.8%−57% / unavailable
AIMDAinos, Inc.5.4 m—-196.3%-106,283.3%+499.0%−65% / −95%
YIBOPlanet Image International Limited——-14.4%-5.3%+3.6%+5% / unavailable
VTIXVirtuix Holdings Inc.———-543.2%+18.4%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for EVLV from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Evolv Technologies sells AI-powered screening systems that detect weapons, delivered as Security-as-a-Service with hardware and a software subscription. The company reported revenue of 43.8 million USD for the second quarter of 2026 3, in a context where demand for screening at public venues is growing.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Strengths include a long-term subscription model, proprietary data for training algorithms, and a hardware-software integration that is hard to replicate 1.
    • Growth in revenue and ARR, together with a widening customer base, shows the product is being adopted across several sectors 3.
    • Partnerships with resellers and large venue operators give access to customers the company could not quickly reach on its own 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has not historically been profitable, and net losses remain, although they have narrowed 13.
    • Internal control weaknesses led to a restatement of prior-period financial statements 1.
    • Reliance on a limited number of component suppliers and a new contract manufacturer creates operational risk 12.

    Opportunities

    • The addressable location base is large, and expansion into new verticals and international markets could support longer-term growth 1.
    • If margins improve as the business scales, the company could reach profitability sooner than it currently projects 3.
    • Adding adjacent products and services could increase the average value of each customer 1.

    Threats

    • New entrants or competitors with alternative technologies could reduce market share or pressure prices 1.
    • Component shortages and cost volatility could affect deliveries and margins 2.
    • Detection effectiveness and regulatory risks could damage reputation and revenue 1.

    Risks

    • Persistent net losseshigh

      The company reported net losses in recent years and cannot guarantee long-term profitability 1.

    • Internal control and restatementhigh

      Material weaknesses in internal control contributed to a restatement of prior financial statements, and remediation is not yet fully validated 1.

    • Supply chainmedium

      Dependence on limited suppliers and chipset constraints could delay production or raise costs 12.

    • Public sector concentrationmedium

      Part of revenue comes from government entities, which can have longer and less predictable purchasing cycles 1.

    • Detection effectivenessmedium

      If products fail to detect threats correctly, reputation and contracts could be seriously affected 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Growth in revenue, ARR and new customers, together with a raised outlook, shows adoption is accelerating 3.
    • The subscription model and proprietary data could create predictable recurring revenue and a technology edge that is hard to copy 1.
    • If adjusted margins keep rising, the company could reach a stronger financial profile than it has today 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company is not yet profitable, and net losses could persist if sales and R&D spending grow faster than revenue 1.
    • Internal control problems and the earlier restatement could erode investor confidence and raise compliance costs 1.
    • Competition and dependence on costly or scarce components could limit margins and growth speed 12.

    What to watch

    • Delivery against the 2026 revenue outlook of 180 to 185 million USD2026
    • Year-end ARR progress toward the 148 to 150 million USD range31 December 2026
    • Gross margin trend as the share of purchase subscriptions risesQ3 2026
    • Any remediation of internal control weaknesses and subsequent reportingnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) develops AI-based screening solutions for detecting concealed weapons in high-traffic places such as schools, hospitals, stadiums and houses of worship 1. Its core products are Evolv Express, for screening people, and Evolv eXpedite, for automated bag screening 1.

    The business model is Security-as-a-Service: the customer receives hardware, software, data, support and repairs for the contract term, typically four years 13. The company offers a pure subscription and a purchase subscription, both requiring an active connected software subscription 1.

    Annual Recurring Revenue and Remaining Performance Obligation are the main indicators the company uses to track adoption and revenue stability 13. Operations are mainly in the United States, with international expansion presented as a future direction 1.

    Segments

    Evolv Express and Evolv eXpedite

    Evolv Express screens high volumes of people for concealed threats, while Evolv eXpedite automatically scans bags without a trained X-ray operator 1. Used together, the two products form a layered checkpoint for high-clutter settings such as schools and multi-tenant offices 1.

    Evolv Insights and services

    Evolv Insights is a cloud analytics platform included in the subscription, providing data on visitor flow, alarms and system performance 1. Onsite support and repair are included in the subscription, making services an integral part of the offer 1.

    Market context

    The target market covers public gathering places where screening is increasingly considered, not only airports and courthouses 1. The company estimates these facilities total nearly 400,000 sites and about 700,000 potential thresholds 1. Demand is supported by concerns over gun violence, but revenue depends on how fast customers adopt the technology 1.

    The 2026 outlook was raised in August 2026, with revenue expected between 180 and 185 million USD 3. The company said a larger share of purchase subscriptions could lift revenue in the early years of a contract but could temporarily weigh on reported gross margin 3.

    Trends

    • Concern about gun violencetailwind

      The company argues that the need for effective screening could grow given the frequency of mass shootings in the United States 1. If venues that never screened begin to adopt it, demand for its products could increase 1.

    • Shift from metal detectors to intelligent screeningtailwind

      Many public venues want frictionless screening that reduces queues and physical contact with security staff 13. The company believes this shift could accelerate adoption of its products 1.

    • Components and the supply chainheadwind

      Capacity limits and the availability of chipsets and memory components could affect deliveries and costs 2. The company signed a contract manufacturing agreement with Plexus to diversify production 12.

    • Purchase subscription modelmixed

      A higher share of purchase subscriptions speeds up revenue recognition but temporarily reduces gross margin, since hardware costs are recognized upfront 3. The effect is therefore mixed: it supports revenue growth but pressures near-term margins 3.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with legacy walk-through metal detectors, handheld wands, and passive or active weapon screening systems based on magnetic field sensing, millimeter wave or terahertz imaging 1. Its stated advantage is detection with fewer nuisance alarms and a faster visitor flow 1.

    Competition also includes new entrants, and the risk that they reduce sales or profitability is explicitly listed among its risk factors 1. Its competitive position depends largely on proprietary data and software updates to its algorithms 1.

    • Legacy walk-through metal detectors

      Fixed single-file screening with manual inspection, cited as an older approach that slows entry 1.

    • Magnetic field weapon screening systems

      Passive or active weapon detection systems based on magnetic field sensing 1.

    • Millimeter wave and terahertz imaging systems

      Imaging technologies for weapon detection, cited as competing screening alternatives 1.

    • Other security screening vendors

      Companies selling security screening systems, named as potential competitors and new entrants 1.

    News & filings

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. · 10 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.