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olivLaw · US equity research

Mitek Systems, Inc. MITK

Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC · SIC 3577 · Vertical: Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577)

19.09USD+5.35% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Mitek Systems is a global provider of digital identity verification and fraud prevention solutions used by banks and fintech firms against AI-driven fraud. Revenue grew 18% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, and the company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $195-200 million, signalling a shift toward a SaaS model.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Mitek Systems, Inc. (MITK) stock was 19.09 USD (+5.35% on the day), with market capitalisation 861.4 m USD, P/E 40.7 on diluted EPS of 0.47 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.25, 52-week range 8.65–20.14 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 54.0 m USD (+18.2% YoY), net income of 8.4 m USD (+249.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.17 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
861.4 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.7
Diluted EPS TTM 0.47 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.46%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.25
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
8.6520.14

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
15.87 – 19.48
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.89 · band width 20.5%
SMA 50 / 200
17.70 / 15.96
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.30 / 0.18
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.9%−2.0%+9.8 pp—
3 months+11.4%−2.2%+13.6 pp—
6 months+25.3%+4.3%+21.1 pp—
Year to date+80.9%+10.6%+70.4 pp—
1 year+111.6%+10.5%+101.2 pp−19.6%
3 years+77.9%+73.7%+4.2 pp−9.4%
5 years+5.9%+61.7%−55.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.6%
01 Jul 2026 → 14 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−60.5%
08 Nov 2021 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+1.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
54.0 m USD
+18.2% YoY
Net income
8.4 m USD
+249.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.17
+240.0% YoY
net / operating
15.5% / 21.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue43.2 m37.3 m51.9 m45.7 m44.8 m44.2 m54.8 m54.0 m
Research & development6.1 m8.3 m9.8 m9.0 m8.2 m7.4 m7.6 m8.1 m
Operating income7.7 m-3.1 m11.4 m3.8 m4.7 m5.4 m13.5 m11.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation420.0 k395.0 k344.0 k ≈432.0 k ≈129.0 k353.0 k428.0 k ≈504.0 k ≈
Interest expense2.4 m2.4 m2.4 m2.5 m2.5 m2.5 m1.5 m721.0 k
Pre-tax income7.2 m-4.9 m10.1 m3.1 m3.3 m4.4 m12.7 m11.2 m
Income tax-1.4 m-297.0 k916.0 k749.0 k1.4 m1.6 m3.2 m2.8 m
Net income8.6 m-4.6 m9.2 m2.4 m1.9 m2.8 m9.5 m8.4 m
Diluted EPS0.18 ≈-0.100.200.050.04 ≈0.060.200.17
Operating cash flow21.1 m565.0 k13.7 m ≈21.6 m ≈19.5 m8.0 m-945.0 k ≈27.2 m ≈
Capex283.0 k335.0 k232.0 k ≈329.0 k ≈259.0 k1.4 m1.6 m ≈1.8 m ≈
Share repurchases14.1 m3.3 m1.0 k ≈1.0 k ≈1.5 m10.0 m7.8 m ≈2.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 19 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 25.0, median 71.6, max 140.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue63.6 m84.6 m101.3 m119.8 m144.8 m172.6 m172.1 m179.7 m
Revenue YoY+40.0%+33.1%+19.8%+18.2%+20.9%+19.2%−0.3%+4.4%
Net income-11.8 m-724.0 k7.8 m8.0 m3.7 m8.0 m3.3 m8.8 m
Net income YoY−183.8%unavailableunavailable+2.1%−53.7%+117.3%−59.2%+168.3%
Diluted EPS-0.33-0.020.180.180.080.170.070.19
Diluted EPS YoY−182.5%unavailableunavailable0.0%−55.6%+112.5%−58.8%+171.4%
net %-18.6%-0.9%7.7%6.7%2.6%4.7%1.9%4.9%
Free cash flow1.3 m13.2 m23.3 m36.0 m20.0 m30.6 m30.3 m54.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
154.2 m USD
Financial debt
152.2 m USD
Net debt
-1.9 m USD
Equity
240.3 m USD
Total assets
459.1 m USD
Debt / equity
0.63x
Current ratio
1.19x
ROE
3.9%
ROA
2.0%
FCF margin
30.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
172.6 m
2024
172.1 m
2025
179.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Research & development
2023
29.0 m
2024
34.6 m
2025
35.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Operating income
2023
15.6 m
2024
2.2 m
2025
16.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.7 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
17.3 m ≈
2024
4.0 m ≈
2025
18.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
9.1 m
2024
9.3 m
2025
9.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
10.3 m
2024
-909.0 k
2025
11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
2.3 m
2024
-4.2 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
8.0 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
8.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.17
2024
0.07
2025
0.19

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
46.5 m
2024
47.5 m
2025
46.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
58.9 m
2024
93.5 m
2025
154.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Receivables
2023
32.1 m
2024
31.7 m
2025
36.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
190.0 m
2024
185.1 m
2025
248.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.8 m
2024
2.6 m
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
123.5 m
2024
131.6 m
2025
133.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
64.7 m
2024
54.1 m
2025
39.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
405.4 m
2024
413.8 m
2025
459.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
7.6 m
2024
7.2 m
2025
3.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
152.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
2.7 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
51.5 m
2024
42.1 m
2025
209.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
200.2 m
2024
199.0 m
2025
218.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
205.2 m †
2024
214.8 m †
2025
240.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
45.6 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Oct 2023verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
31.6 m
2024
31.7 m
2025
55.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
1.0 m
2024
1.4 m
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
30.6 m ≈
2024
30.3 m ≈
2025
54.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-6.8 m
2024
28.7 m
2025
5.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
1.7 m
2024
-25.9 m
2025
-1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
24.2 m
2025
4.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Dec 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
652.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
168.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
33.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
171.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
33.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
79.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
17.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
24.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-40.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
53.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
5.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
48.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
215.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
146.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
85 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
861.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
820.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
38.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
4.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
22.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
23.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
4.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
17.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 66 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

19.09 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 861.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
861.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
22.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2235derived 136

Score by group

  • Valuation66
  • Balance sheet100
  • Quality93
  • Growth30
  • Returns74

Estimated value range

Low
11.36
USD per share
Mid
13.52
USD per share
High
18.66
USD per share
Price: 19.09 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -29.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -41.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.54 – 27.64 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)18.17 – 27.64 (Mid 21.83)
    WACC 9.0% · starting FCFF 53.8 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 1.3%
  • Peers: EV/Sales4.54 – 9.68 (Mid 5.20)
    4 companies used · median multiple 1.0x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.0x
    CRSR, EVLV, MYND, XRX
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 66/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
EBIT margin · Quality17.8%88 (vs peers)10%
FCF margin · Quality24.6%98 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.5%30 (on a fixed band)19%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth4.4%29 (vs peers)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-1.1x100 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.7x100 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation4.1x40 (vs peers)19%
FCF yield · Valuation5.6%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.5%74 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth30/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality93/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns74/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

MITEK SYSTEMS, INC. (MITK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 179.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 4.4%; net margin 11.4%; ROE 9.2%; net debt/EBITDA -1.1x.

The estimated value range is 11.36–18.66 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 13.52 USD, the price of 19.09 USD leaves a potential of -29.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -41.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 66/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 17.8%
  • FCF margin: 24.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -1.1x
  • Current ratio: 2.7x
  • FCF yield: 5.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 2.5%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 7.5%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 4.4%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Gross margin.

Versus the vertical median

Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
40.7x
vertical median 21.6x
above median (+88.6%)
EV/EBITDA
22.4x
vertical median —
P/S
4.4x
vertical median 2.4x
above median (+84.4%)
P/B
3.4x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+108.0%)
ROE
9.2%
vertical median -3.1%
above median
Net margin
11.4%
vertical median -3.0%
above median
EBIT margin
17.8%
vertical median -4.1%
above median
Revenue YoY
4.4%
vertical median 11.9%
below median (−62.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-1.1x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.286.5 bn875.51.7%2.7%+24.5%+84% / +137%
FTNTFortinet, Inc.94.1 bn41.6153.1%29.0%+14.2%+58% / +144%
LOGILogitech International S.A.13.2 bn16.738.2%16.4%+6.3%−18% / +6%
CRSRCorsair Gaming, Inc.1.4 bn41.45.8%2.5%+11.9%+104% / +3%
EVLVEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.871.2 m—-4.9%-3.0%+40.5%−25% / +20%
MITKMitek Systems, Inc.861.4 m40.79.2%11.4%+4.4%+112% / +78%
SSYSStratasys Ltd.587.3 m—-12.7%-18.9%−3.7%−22% / −38%
IMMRImmersion Corporation237.8 m21.63.5%0.6%+11.2%+1% / +10%
RDCMRadcom Ltd.168.7 m14.311.4%16.8%+17.2%−22% / +29%
XRXXerox Holdings Corp155.0 m—-128.0%-11.9%+12.9%−58% / −92%
MYNDMynd.ai, Inc.126.0 m—-995.5%-32.2%−37.2%−56% / −97%
INVEInve Technologies, Inc.64.0 m—-10.9%-62.9%−19.3%−22% / −62%
TACTTransact Technologies Inc54.4 m—-1.3%-0.8%+18.7%+19% / −22%
LINKInterlink Electronics, Inc52.3 m—-10.5%-7.9%+1.8%−8% / −39%
WETHWetouch Technology Inc.11.6 m1.26.0%17.6%+6.8%−57% / unavailable
AIMDAinos, Inc.5.4 m—-196.3%-106,283.3%+499.0%−65% / −95%
VTIXVirtuix Holdings Inc.———-543.2%+18.4%unavailable / unavailable
YIBOPlanet Image International Limited——-14.4%-5.3%+3.6%+5% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for MITK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
12.37
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
21.83
Total return 14% · Per year 14%
32.84
Total return 72% · Per year 72%
3 years
12.73
Total return -33% · Per year -13%
25.21
Total return 32% · Per year 10%
41.54
Total return 118% · Per year 30%
5 years
13.10
Total return -31% · Per year -7%
29.11
Total return 52% · Per year 9%
52.53
Total return 175% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.30
  • Net margin± 4.41
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.52
  • Annual dilution± 0.37

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Mitek Systems is a global provider of digital identity verification and fraud prevention solutions used by banks and fintech firms against AI-driven fraud. Revenue grew 18% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, and the company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $195-200 million, signalling a shift toward a SaaS model.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a recognised patent portfolio and a broad customer base in the financial sector, with more than 7,000 organisations. Its Mobile Deposit technology is integrated in many banking apps in the United States.
  • Growing SaaS revenue and a rising share of recurring revenue provide a more predictable base. A high non-GAAP gross margin suggests an efficient cost structure.
  • Acquisitions in biometric and KYC technology have extended its capabilities, allowing it to offer an integrated portfolio of solutions.

Weaknesses

  • Most revenue comes from a limited number of technology types, which exposes the company to product concentration risk.
  • Software licence and hardware revenue declined in fiscal 2025, and sales of legacy identity verification products fell.
  • Sales and implementation cycles are long and hard to predict, which makes quarterly results difficult to anticipate.

Opportunities

  • Rising AI-enabled fraud and regulatory requirements could increase demand for deepfake detection and KYC verification solutions.
  • Expanding the consortium data network and partner channel could bring the products to a larger number of financial institutions.
  • Appointing a new chief revenue officer could accelerate sales strategy and partnerships if execution proves effective.

Threats

  • A shift away from checks toward digital alternatives could reduce demand for mobile deposit products.
  • Competitors with greater resources or cheaper technologies could lead to price reductions and lower margins.
  • Patent litigation, including suits by third parties against banks that are customers, could generate defence costs or indemnification claims.

Risks

  • Concentration on a few technologieshigh

    Most revenue comes from a few technology types, and falling demand for them could affect financial results.

  • Patent litigationhigh

    Lawsuits over mobile deposit patents could create costs and indemnification claims, including obligations to defend customers.

  • Declining check usagemedium

    The decline of check usage and a plateau in active mobile banking users could reduce volumes for core products.

  • AI and biometric regulationmedium

    New laws on facial recognition and biometric data processing could raise compliance costs and limit some products.

  • Dependence on mobile operating systemslow

    Changes by platform providers to operating systems, terms or camera access could disrupt product functionality.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Growth in SaaS revenue and in fraud and identity revenue in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 suggests the business model shift could support sustained growth, if the trend continues.
  • Rising adjusted EBITDA margins and the raised fiscal 2026 outlook suggest the cost structure could generate higher profit at similar revenue levels.
  • AI-enabled fraud creates rising demand for detection, and the bank consortium network could strengthen the company's position over time.

What would break the thesis

  • Most revenue still comes from a few technology types, and declining check usage could hurt core products over the long term.
  • Licence revenue fell in fiscal 2025, and recent growth may partly depend on renewal timing, which could make quarterly results more volatile.
  • Patent litigation and competition from larger providers could pressure prices and margins, and legal costs could remain high.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of $195-200 millionQ4 2026
  • Growth of fraud and identity SaaS revenue and the onboarding of the top five US bank into the consortium networkQ4 2026
  • Effect of the board chair transition and the new chief revenue officer on commercial strategy2027
  • Outcome of mobile deposit patent litigation and any indemnification claimsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Mitek provides identity verification, deepfake detection and fraud prevention technologies embedded in its clients' mobile and web applications. Its flagship Mobile Deposit product lets users deposit checks by phone and is integrated into the banking apps of many financial institutions in the United States and Canada. According to the annual report, the company serves more than 7,000 organizations, including financial institutions, fintech companies, telecom providers and digital marketplaces.

The portfolio includes the MiVIP platform for KYC processes, Mobile Verify for identity document verification, MiSnap for automatic image capture, Check Fraud Defender for check fraud detection and MiPass for passwordless biometric authentication. The company acquired ID R&D in 2021 and HooYu in 2022 to extend its biometric and KYC orchestration capabilities.

Revenue comes from software licences, hardware and, increasingly, transactional and recurring SaaS services. In fiscal 2025, SaaS, maintenance and other revenue made up 59% of the total, up from 52% a year earlier, which indicates a shift in the revenue model.

Segments

Software licence and hardware

This segment includes licences for mobile check deposit products and legacy identity verification technologies. In fiscal 2025 it fell to $74.1 million, 41% of revenue, as multi-year Mobile Deposit renewals declined and sales of legacy products decreased.

SaaS, maintenance and other

This segment covers Mobile Verify, HooYu, MiVIP, Mobile Deposit and Check Fraud Defender offered as cloud services. It grew 17% in fiscal 2025 to $105.6 million, 59% of revenue, and was the main growth driver in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.

Market context

The company argues that digital fraud, deepfakes and KYC and AML regulatory requirements are increasing demand for identity verification. The market is fragmented with many providers, and sales and implementation cycles can run six months or longer for large customers.

Mitek operates in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and Europe through direct sales and partnerships with technology, fraud and identity providers. The development of a consortium data network with financial institutions is cited as a differentiator for Check Fraud Defender.

Trends

  • AI-enabled fraudtailwind

    Deepfakes, voice clones and synthetic identities lower the barrier for fraudsters and can bypass legacy systems. This could increase demand for Mitek's solutions if clients choose to invest in detection.

  • Declining check usageheadwind

    Alternatives such as Zelle and Venmo have reduced check usage, and many of the company's products still rely on checks. If this trend continues, revenue from check-related products could decline.

  • Shift to SaaSmixed

    Customers are moving from licences to SaaS subscriptions, which could stabilise recurring revenue but may slow near-term revenue recognition. Third-quarter results show strong growth in this segment.

  • Biometric data regulationheadwind

    Laws on facial recognition and biometric data processing may raise compliance costs and limit some products. The effect is uncertain and depends on jurisdiction.

Competitive position

Competition includes solutions built in-house by customers, companies offering alternative identity and fraud methods, providers of competing mobile deposit or document verification technologies, and face and voice recognition authentication. Many competitors have greater financial and marketing resources.

The company says its patents for mobile image capture, its product portfolio and its market expertise provide advantages, but these depend on continued investment in innovation and on rapid adaptation to regulation and new fraud types.

  • In-house customer-built solutions

    Financial institutions that build their own verification and fraud detection systems are a direct competitor, according to the annual report.

  • Providers of alternative mobile deposit technologies

    Companies offering competing technologies for mobile check deposit or identity document verification are named as principal competitors.

  • Biometric authentication providers

    Third-party face and voice recognition authentication solutions compete with Mitek products in authentication workflows.

  • General fraud prevention service providers

    Companies with broader fraud and identity prevention services compete on price, accuracy and global coverage, as noted in the annual report.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Mitek Systems, Inc. · 11 Dec 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Mitek Systems, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Mitek Systems, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.