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olivLaw · US equity research

Fox Corporation FOX

Television Broadcasting Stations · SIC 4833 · Vertical: Television Broadcasting Stations (SIC 4833)

61.62USD+3.34% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Fox Corporation is an American news, sports and entertainment company with cable networks, the FOX broadcast network and the AVOD service Tubi. In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue above 17 billion USD, and its announced acquisition of Roku, with cash and stock terms, could substantially change its growth and debt profile.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Fox Corporation (FOX) stock was 61.62 USD (+3.34% on the day), with market capitalisation 62 USD, P/E 13.0 on diluted EPS of 4.73 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 454,397,922.75%, beta 0.62, 52-week range 44.39–67.76 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 4.6 bn USD (+22.3% YoY), net income of 957.0 m USD (+57.1% YoY), diluted EPS 2.20 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
62 USD
shares as of 18 Mar 2019
P/E (TTM)
13.0
Diluted EPS TTM 4.73 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
7.68%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
454,397,922.75%
Beta (2y)
0.62
Volatility (1y) 34%
52-week range
44.3967.76

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
62.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
54.27 – 61.17
above the upper band · %B 1.07 · band width 12.0%
SMA 50 / 200
57.98 / 55.80
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.41 / 0.16
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.7%−1.1%+9.8 pp—
3 months+18.0%−0.5%+18.5 pp—
6 months+9.6%+4.4%+5.2 pp—
Year to date−5.1%+12.3%−17.4 pp—
1 year+6.0%+13.5%−7.6 pp−3.7%
3 years+110.1%+76.4%+33.7 pp+3.5%
5 years+59.6%+63.7%−4.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.5%
05 Jan 2026 → 25 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−35.3%
10 Feb 2022 → 06 Mar 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
+9.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
4.6 bn USD
+22.3% YoY
Net income
957.0 m USD
+57.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.20
+66.7% YoY
net / operating
20.9% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue5.1 bn4.4 bn3.3 bn3.7 bn5.2 bn4.0 bn4.2 bn4.6 bn
SG&A525.0 m551.0 m590.0 m552.0 m595.0 m546.0 m637.0 m567.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation97.0 m95.0 m102.0 m98.0 m100.0 m101.0 m111.0 m118.0 m
Interest expense117.0 m94.0 m90.0 m100.0 m120.0 m89.0 m92.0 m114.0 m
Pre-tax income515.0 m474.0 m959.0 m799.0 m322.0 m236.0 m921.0 m1.3 bn
Income tax127.0 m120.0 m240.0 m190.0 m75.0 m61.0 m225.0 m326.0 m
Net income388.0 m354.0 m719.0 m609.0 m247.0 m175.0 m696.0 m957.0 m
Diluted EPS0.810.751.57 ≈1.320.520.381.63 ≈2.20
Operating cash flow-362.0 m ≈2.0 bn ≈1.5 bn-130.0 m-669.0 m ≈1.9 bn ≈867.0 m616.0 m
Capex74.0 m ≈74.0 m ≈119.0 m104.0 m122.0 m ≈135.0 m ≈141.0 m113.0 m
Dividends paid3.0 m ≈133.0 m ≈10.0 m138.0 m9.0 m ≈128.0 m ≈12.0 m131.0 m
Share repurchases250.0 m ≈250.0 m ≈250.0 m250.0 m1.6 bn ≈100.0 m ≈100.0 m0

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 52 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 9.0, median 12.9, max 18.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue11.4 bn12.3 bn12.9 bn14.0 bn14.9 bn14.0 bn16.3 bn17.1 bn
Revenue YoY+12.2%+8.0%+4.9%+8.3%+6.7%−6.3%+16.6%+5.1%
Net income1.6 bn1.1 bn2.2 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.6 bn2.3 bn1.7 bn
Net income YoY−26.3%−35.4%+107.3%−44.0%+1.6%+24.0%+47.6%−24.7%
Diluted EPS2.571.623.612.112.333.134.913.84
Diluted EPS YoY−27.0%−37.0%+122.8%−41.6%+10.4%+34.3%+56.9%−21.8%
net %14.4%8.6%17.1%8.8%8.4%11.1%14.1%10.1%
Free cash flow2.3 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn3.0 bn1.5 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
4.2 bn USD
Financial debt
6.6 bn USD
Net debt
2.4 bn USD
Equity
11.7 bn USD
Total assets
22.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.56x
Current ratio
3.17x
ROE
14.5%
ROA
7.6%
FCF margin
8.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
14.0 bn
2025
16.3 bn
2026
17.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.2 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
389.0 m
2025
385.0 m
2026
410.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Interest expense
2024
405.0 m
2025
403.0 m
2026
401.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
2.1 bn
2025
3.1 bn
2026
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
550.0 m
2025
768.0 m
2026
551.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.3 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.13
2025
4.91
2026
3.84

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
480.0 m
2025
461.0 m
2026
439.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
4.3 bn
2025
5.4 bn
2026
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.5 bn
2026
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
626.0 m
2025
432.0 m
2026
487.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
7.5 bn
2025
8.4 bn
2026
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
3.5 bn
2025
3.6 bn
2026
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.0 bn
2026
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
22.0 bn
2025
23.2 bn
2026
22.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
599.0 m
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2025verified

Long-term debt
2024
6.6 bn
2025
6.6 bn
2026
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
10.8 bn
2025
12.1 bn
2026
11.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
1.8 bn
2025
3.3 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
345.0 m
2025
331.0 m
2026
502.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
3.0 bn ≈
2026
1.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-452.0 m
2025
-537.0 m
2026
-705.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-1.3 bn
2025
-1.8 bn
2026
-2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
281.0 m
2025
277.0 m
2026
287.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-24.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
11.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
-4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
-21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
-51.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
511.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
2.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
106.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
66 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
62 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3,578,383,641.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
454,397,922.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3,294,384,940.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 87 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

61.62 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 62 USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
62 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
454,397,922.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 18 Mar 2019
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 1265derived 115

Score by group

  • Valuation87
  • Balance sheet100
  • Quality95
  • Growth70
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
76,807,466,755.05
USD per share
Mid
133,379,051,357.64
USD per share
High
523,834,782,350.05
USD per share
Price: 61.62 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 216,454,156,598.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 100.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 76,807,466,755.05 – 523,834,782,350.05 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)76,807,466,755.05 – 523,834,782,350.05 (Mid 133,379,051,357.64)
    WACC 4.5% · starting FCFF 2.5 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 91%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Television Broadcasting Stations (SIC 4833)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 87/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality11.6%90 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality106.3%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.7%39 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth18.1%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.8x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation13.0x77 (on a fixed band)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3,578,383,641.7%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3,294,384,940.0%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns12.7%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth70/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality95/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation87/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

FOX CORPORATION (FOX). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.1 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 5.1%; net margin 11.6%; ROE 16.8%.

The estimated value range is 76,807,466,755.05–523,834,782,350.05 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 133,379,051,357.64 USD, the price of 61.62 USD leaves a potential of 216,454,156,598.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 100.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 87/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 11.6%
  • FCF conversion: 106.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 18.1%
  • Current ratio: 3.8x
  • P/E (TTM): 13.0x
  • FCF yield: 3,578,383,641.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 3,294,384,940.0%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 12.7%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Television Broadcasting Stations (SIC 4833) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
13.0x
vertical median 34.0x
below median (−61.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
0.0x
vertical median —
P/B
0.0x
vertical median —
ROE
16.8%
vertical median 5.1%
above median (+227.7%)
Net margin
11.6%
vertical median 1.7%
above median (+568.1%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 5.8%
Revenue YoY
5.1%
vertical median -6.0%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.9x
Dividend yield
454,397,922.8%
vertical median 4.0%
above median (+11,306,201,977.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PSKYSkydance Corp10.5 bn———−1.5%unavailable / unavailable
NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.5.7 bn34.08.3%3.2%−8.5%−4% / +30%
FOXFox Corporation6213.016.8%11.6%+5.1%+6% / +110%
GTNGray Media, Inc.——-1.2%-0.8%−15.1%+1% / −36%
SSPThe E.w. Scripps Company——-174.7%-58.0%−14.3%−9% / −45%
FWONALiberty Media Corporation——5.4%9.4%+22.7%+4% / +59%
VSNTVersant Media Group, Inc.——9.0%11.1%−5.3%unavailable / unavailable
EVCEntravision Communications Corporation—710.64.8%0.6%+22.6%+162% / +83%
NMAXNewsmax Inc.——-5.8%-3.2%+10.7%−2% / unavailable
SBGISinclair, Inc.—10.225.4%2.8%−10.7%−11% / +12%
TVGrupo Televisa, S.A.B.——-7.5%-13.3%−6.0%−15% / −29%
FENGPhoenix New Media Limited——15.4%30.2%−15.8%−34% / −5%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FOX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
16,013,204,537.31
Total return 25,987,024,466% · Per year 25,987,024,466%
28,307,121,192.64
Total return 45,938,203,718% · Per year 45,938,203,718%
42,634,354,532.83
Total return 69,189,150,391% · Per year 69,189,150,391%
3 years
15,609,948,062.29
Total return 25,332,599,806% · Per year 63,174%
31,042,473,484.04
Total return 50,377,269,429% · Per year 79,469%
51,325,427,602.13
Total return 83,293,455,924% · Per year 93,989%
5 years
15,216,846,692.96
Total return 24,694,655,358% · Per year 4,670%
34,042,146,265.94
Total return 55,245,287,576% · Per year 5,503%
61,788,188,126.86
Total return 100,272,943,955% · Per year 6,213%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 7,760,618,371.01
  • Net margin± 5,432,432,859.71
  • Annual revenue growth± 4,449,868,395.45
  • Annual dilution± 456,477,276.56

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Fox Corporation is an American news, sports and entertainment company with cable networks, the FOX broadcast network and the AVOD service Tubi. In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue above 17 billion USD, and its announced acquisition of Roku, with cash and stock terms, could substantially change its growth and debt profile.2

SWOT

Strengths

  • Strong news and sports brands with leading live audiences and a significant presence in the largest U.S. markets.
  • Revenue diversified across distribution, advertising and content, with a solid balance sheet and substantial liquidity.
  • Tubi is growing quickly and attracts a younger audience, while the owned station network provides extensive local reach.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on traditional subscriptions, which are declining, exposes distribution revenue to structural decline.
  • Advertising revenue is volatile and tied to sports and election events, while rights costs are high.
  • The Corporate and Other segment posted growing losses as FOX One launched.

Opportunities

  • Growth in direct-to-consumer streaming and FAST could offset the decline of linear television.
  • Integrating a connected TV platform such as Roku could open new advertising and data revenue streams.
  • Successful sports rights, such as the FIFA World Cup, can attract new audiences and advertisers.

Threats

  • Audience migration to streaming and ad-skipping technologies could reduce advertising prices.
  • Competition for sports rights and content talent could raise costs.
  • If the Roku transaction is not completed or is delayed, the company could face significant costs and uncertainty.

Risks

  • Completion of the Roku acquisitionhigh

    The transaction depends on shareholder approvals and antitrust authorities. If it is delayed or fails, the company could pay termination fees and incur transaction costs.1

  • Higher debt loadhigh

    Funding the cash portion could substantially increase indebtedness, which could limit dividends and strategic flexibility.1

  • Subscriber declinemedium

    Falling subscribers at traditional distributors could weigh on distribution revenue in coming years.1

  • Advertising volatilitymedium

    Advertising revenue depends on sports and election cycles and on audiences, and declines can be sudden.1

  • Shareholder dilutionmedium

    Issuing Class A shares for Roku could pressure the share price and change the voting structure.1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the Roku integration succeeds, the company could accelerate revenue growth in digital advertising and streaming.
  • Leadership in news and sports and Tubi's growth could support advertising prices and audiences over the long term.
  • Cash generation and a possible tax benefit from the asset step-up could fund investment and shareholder returns.

What would break the thesis

  • The decline of traditional subscriptions could prove faster than expected, weighing on distribution revenue.
  • The additional debt from the acquisition could limit the company's ability to invest and to pay dividends.
  • Integrating a large business and new services could meet difficulties and unforeseen costs.

What to watch

  • Status of antitrust and shareholder approvals for the Roku acquisition2027
  • Trend in traditional MVPD subscriber counts and distribution revenueQ1 2027
  • Losses in the Corporate and Other segment as FOX One maturesnext 10-K
  • Debt level after financing the Roku transaction and reduction plans2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

Fox Corporation produces and distributes news, sports and entertainment content through brands such as FOX News Media, FOX Sports, Tubi, FOX Entertainment and FOX Television Stations. The company reports two reportable segments, Cable Network Programming and Television, while Corporate and Other includes the FOX One streaming service, Credible and the FOX Studio Lot.1 In fiscal 2026 total revenue was 17.13 billion USD and Adjusted EBITDA was 3.91 billion USD.2

The main revenue sources are distribution fees paid by traditional and virtual MVPDs, advertising, and content and other revenue. In fiscal 2026 about 47% of revenue came from distribution, about 43% from advertising and about 10% from other activities.1 The company's position rests on live news and sports events that draw audiences and can support premium advertising rates.1

On June 14, 2026 Fox agreed to acquire Roku, paying 96 USD in cash and 0.9693 FOX Class A shares for each Roku share.1 The cash portion is to be funded with debt and cash on hand, including bridge loans and a term loan, which could significantly increase leverage after completion.1

Segments

Cable Network Programming

The segment produces and licenses news and sports content to traditional cable, satellite, virtual MVPDs and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. In fiscal 2026 it generated revenue of 7.35 billion USD and segment EBITDA of about 3.10 billion USD, up 2% from the prior year.2

Television

The segment includes the FOX network, the Tubi AVOD service and 29 owned and operated stations, including 11 duopolies. In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of 9.67 billion USD, helped by the FIFA World Cup broadcast, while political advertising fell from the prior election year.12

Corporate and Other

The segment covers FOX One, the direct-to-consumer subscription streaming service launched in August 2025, Credible, a U.S. consumer finance marketplace, and the FOX Studio Lot in Los Angeles.1 Its adjusted losses widened in fiscal 2026, reflecting the cost of launching new services.2

Market context

The U.S. television and media market faces declining pay-TV subscriptions and audience migration to streaming. Fox supports its position through live programming with concentrated audiences that remain relevant to advertisers.1 The company describes its advertising audience as increasingly digital, with fast growth at Tubi.1

Pay-TV distributors' subscriber counts and their distribution fees are sensitive to cord-cutting, and retransmission and affiliation agreements are renegotiated periodically.1 The advertising market also depends on the cycle of sports and election events, which makes the company's revenue uneven from year to year.1

Trends

  • Shift to streamingmixed

    Consumers increasingly move to SVOD, AVOD and FAST services, which reduces traditional subscriptions and cable network audiences. Fox responds with Tubi, FOX One and FOX Nation.1

  • Decline of traditional pay-TV subscriptionsheadwind

    The decline in MVPD subscribers could continue or even accelerate, affecting distribution revenue and affiliation negotiations.1

  • Major live sports rightstailwind

    Rights for the NFL, MLB, FIFA and other live competitions support audiences and advertising prices, but they bring high rights amortization costs.12

  • Generative artificial intelligencemixed

    Rapid development of generative AI could reduce demand for the company's content or open new production methods, and the effects remain uncertain.1

Competitive position

Fox competes with broadcast and cable news networks, with free ad-supported streaming platforms and with SVOD subscription services for viewer attention and advertising budgets.1 Competition for sports rights and younger audiences is intense, and ad-skipping technologies can reduce the value of advertising.1

The Roku acquisition could move the company into connected TV platforms, where competition with large technology and streaming companies is already strong.1 The competitive effect depends on completing the transaction and on antitrust approvals.1

  • RokuROKU

    Connected TV platform, the target of Fox's acquisition announced in June 2026, whose completion depends on approvals

  • Nielsen

    Audience measurement company whose methodology underpins the ratings used to price advertising

  • NetflixNFLX

    SVOD service competing for viewer attention and content budgets

  • Amazon Prime Video

    Streaming service that buys and produces content and competes in video advertising

News & filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Fox Corporation · 06 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Fox Corporation · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Fox Corporation (FOX): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw