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olivLaw · US equity research

Garmin Ltd. GRMN

Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys · SIC 3812 · Vertical: Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys (SIC 3812)

289.15USD+6.52% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Garmin designs and sells GPS-based navigation and electronic products for fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine and auto OEM markets. In the first half of 2026 the company reported record revenue, and its full-year 2026 revenue outlook was raised to about 8.05 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) stock was 289.15 USD (+6.52% on the day), with market capitalisation 55.7 bn USD, P/E 27.8 on diluted EPS of 10.42 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.93%, beta 1.11, 52-week range 187.10–313.16 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.0 bn USD (+12.2% YoY), net income of 541.7 m USD (+34.9% YoY), diluted EPS 2.80 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
55.7 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.8
Diluted EPS TTM 10.42 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.60%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.93%
DPS 12m 2.68
Beta (2y)
1.11
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
187.10313.16

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
55.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
262.92 – 299.96
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.71 · band width 13.2%
SMA 50 / 200
281.76 / 254.88
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.80 / -0.09
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+1.3%−1.1%+2.4 pp—
3 months−4.4%−0.5%−4.0 pp—
6 months+19.1%+4.4%+14.7 pp—
Year to date+42.5%+12.3%+30.2 pp—
1 year+40.7%+13.5%+27.2 pp−2.2%
3 years+150.1%+76.4%+73.7 pp+54.2%
5 years+103.4%+63.7%+39.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.6%
20 Apr 2026 → 15 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−46.4%
08 Nov 2021 → 12 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+15.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.0 bn USD
+12.2% YoY
Net income
541.7 m USD
+34.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.80
+34.6% YoY
net / operating
27.3% / 30.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.8 bn1.5 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn2.1 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn
Cost of revenue742.6 m650.6 m747.6 m724.4 m866.7 m711.2 m760.1 m728.3 m
Gross profit1.1 bn884.5 m1.1 bn1.0 bn1.3 bn1.0 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn
Research & development258.8 m268.1 m276.7 m286.5 m295.0 m295.8 m303.9 m312.9 m
SG&A305.1 m283.6 m318.1 m303.2 m349.1 m314.8 m342.6 m333.2 m
Operating income516.1 m332.8 m472.3 m456.8 m614.2 m431.7 m615.5 m611.6 m
Pre-tax income516.1 m389.1 m480.3 m509.8 m635.4 m472.5 m651.1 m661.1 m
Income tax80.4 m56.3 m79.4 m108.2 m106.7 m67.5 m109.1 m119.5 m
Net income435.7 m332.8 m400.8 m401.6 m528.7 m405.1 m541.9 m541.7 m
Diluted EPS2.24 ≈1.722.072.082.73 ≈2.092.802.80
Operating cash flow483.9 m420.8 m173.2 m ≈485.6 m ≈553.8 m536.0 m403.6 m ≈393.9 m ≈
Capex84.7 m40.1 m45.7 m ≈60.5 m ≈124.2 m66.6 m127.8 m ≈100.6 m ≈
Dividends paid144.0 m144.6 m173.2 m ≈173.2 m ≈173.0 m173.6 m202.4 m ≈202.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 88 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 14.3, median 20.2, max 29.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.3 bn3.8 bn4.2 bn5.0 bn4.9 bn5.2 bn6.3 bn7.2 bn
Revenue YoY+7.2%+12.2%+11.4%+19.0%−2.5%+7.6%+20.4%+15.1%
Net income694.1 m952.5 m992.3 m1.1 bn973.6 m1.3 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn
Net income YoY−2.1%+37.2%+4.2%+9.1%−10.0%+32.5%+9.4%+17.9%
Diluted EPS3.664.995.175.615.046.717.308.59
Diluted EPS YoY−2.7%+36.3%+3.6%+8.5%−10.2%+33.1%+8.8%+17.7%
net %20.7%25.3%23.7%21.7%20.0%24.7%22.4%23.0%
Free cash flow763.8 m580.5 m949.9 m704.8 m544.0 m1.2 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Cash
2.3 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
9.0 bn USD
Total assets
11.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
3.63x
ROE
19.8%
ROA
16.1%
FCF margin
18.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.2 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
904.7 m
2024
993.6 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-89.3 m
2024
284.0 m
2025
350.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.71
2024
7.30
2025
8.59

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
192.1 m
2024
193.3 m
2025
193.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Feb 2022verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.7 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
815.2 m
2024
983.4 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.5 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
608.5 m
2024
603.9 m
2025
760.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
8.6 bn
2024
9.6 bn
2025
11.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
253.8 m
2024
359.4 m
2025
347.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
7.0 bn †
2024
7.8 bn †
2025
9.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
193.5 m
2024
193.6 m
2025
270.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-333.0 m
2024
-393.3 m
2025
-645.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-636.5 m
2024
-626.9 m
2025
-844.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
558.8 m
2024
572.4 m
2025
663.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
17.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
17.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
19.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
10.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
17.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
19.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
61.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
28.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
25.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
18.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
22.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
23.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
51.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
419.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
72.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
246 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
52 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
243 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
55.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
27.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
5.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
7.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
38.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 66 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

289.15 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 55.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
55.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
5.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
22.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
25.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 2738derived 213

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation26
  • Quality81
  • Growth100
  • Returns51

Estimated value range

Low
123.53
USD per share
Mid
146.32
USD per share
High
159.76
USD per share
Price: 289.15 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -49.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -97.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 35.22 – 272.17 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E211.84 – 272.17 (Mid 252.24)
    5 companies used · median multiple 24.2x · quartiles 20.3x – 26.1x
    CODA, DRS, LHX, NOC, TDY
  • Dividend discount (DDM)35.22 – 47.36 (Mid 40.40)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys (SIC 3812)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 66/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality25.6%100 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality72.8%61 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.2%100 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth19.5%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.0x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation27.8x20 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation2.6%33 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.3%19 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns51.2%98 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality81/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns51/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation26/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

GARMIN LTD (GRMN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 15.1%; net margin 25.6%; ROE 22.4%.

The estimated value range is 123.53–159.76 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 146.32 USD, the price of 289.15 USD leaves a potential of -49.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -97.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 66/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 25.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.2%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 19.5%
  • Current ratio: 3.0x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 51.2%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 27.8x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.3%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys (SIC 3812) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
27.8x
vertical median 24.2x
above median (+14.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.8x
P/S
7.1x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+240.5%)
P/B
5.8x
vertical median 2.6x
above median (+123.3%)
ROE
22.4%
vertical median 9.5%
above median (+136.4%)
Net margin
25.6%
vertical median 7.3%
above median (+251.3%)
EBIT margin
28.8%
vertical median 10.6%
above median (+171.5%)
Revenue YoY
15.1%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+571.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
0.9%
vertical median 1.8%
below median (−49.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp74.6 bn16.626.1%10.4%+2.2%−8% / +11%
GRMNGarmin Ltd55.7 bn27.822.4%25.6%+15.1%+41% / +150%
LHXL3harris Technologies, Inc.48.4 bn24.210.3%5.2%unavailable−7% / +36%
TDYTeledyne Technologies Inc29.1 bn28.99.5%15.8%+7.9%+27% / +57%
DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.9.5 bn26.113.2%9.4%+12.8%+4% / +93%
NNNextNav Inc.1.5 bn—-77.9%-2,812.5%−19.3%−38% / +121%
LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.835.8 m——-26.6%−7.9%+5% / +248%
CODACoda Octopus Group, Inc.101.4 m20.38.4%17.6%+30.7%+2% / +52%
MINDMind Technology, Inc33.6 m—-6.8%-6.8%−12.6%−61% / −29%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GRMN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
188.56
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
331.94
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
498.05
Total return 72% · Per year 72%
3 years
220.57
Total return -24% · Per year -9%
433.17
Total return 50% · Per year 14%
708.08
Total return 145% · Per year 35%
5 years
258.00
Total return -11% · Per year -2%
565.28
Total return 95% · Per year 14%
1,006.69
Total return 248% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 108.29
  • Net margin± 75.81
  • Annual revenue growth± 56.92
  • Annual dilution± 6.37

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

In brief

Garmin designs and sells GPS-based navigation and electronic products for fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine and auto OEM markets. In the first half of 2026 the company reported record revenue, and its full-year 2026 revenue outlook was raised to about 8.05 billion USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Garmin has diversification across five segments and a vertically integrated model that gives it flexibility in a dynamic economic environment 2.
  • The company has delivered more than three hundred million products since inception and reported record gross and operating margins in the second quarter of 2026 13.
  • In-house design and manufacturing lets Garmin source from different suppliers and redesign products around lower-cost components 1.

Weaknesses

  • The auto OEM segment has generated operating losses because its revenue and gross profit have not covered the costs of its investments 1.
  • Principal consumer product factories are located in Taiwan, concentrating operational risk in one region 1.
  • The company depends on third-party suppliers, some of them sole source, for semiconductors, displays and batteries 1.

Opportunities

  • Recent launches such as the AXIS flight displays and the CIRQA screenless band could extend demand in existing segments 3.
  • The acquisition of TrainingPeaks and TrainHeroic could strengthen Garmin's position in training platforms for athletes and coaches 3.
  • Commercial, military and eVTOL aviation markets offer growth potential for products with demanding reliability requirements 1.

Threats

  • Competitors with larger budgets and OEM customers that could make components in-house could erode prices and market share 1.
  • Geopolitical tension around Taiwan could disrupt factories and suppliers in the region with material impact on operations 1.
  • Changes in trade policy and currency fluctuations could affect margins and forecasts 2.

Risks

  • New product executionhigh

    If Garmin fails to launch competitive products on time or adapt to emerging technologies, demand for existing products could decline 1.

  • Taiwan manufacturing concentrationhigh

    Factories and suppliers in Taiwan could be affected by tensions between the PRC and Taiwan, potentially disrupting production 1.

  • Auto OEM lossesmedium

    If investments in the auto OEM segment are not recovered through new contracts, this segment could continue to weigh on total company profit 1.

  • Supplier dependencemedium

    Shortages or cost increases for semiconductors and memory chips could affect production and margins 12.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Cyberattacks or IT system disruptions could affect orders, distribution and confidential user data 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue and margin growth in the first half of 2026 suggests the diversified business model can support profitability 3.
  • The fitness segment, driven by wearables, shows strong momentum, and recent acquisitions could expand the services offering 3.
  • Presence in aviation, marine and auto OEM provides several revenue sources, which may reduce reliance on a single consumer cycle.

What would break the thesis

  • The outdoor segment reported lower sales in the second quarter of 2026, which could signal pressure in consumer categories 3.
  • Memory chip costs and tariff uncertainty could reduce gross margin in coming quarters 2.
  • Geopolitical risks tied to production in Taiwan remain a significant source of uncertainty for operations 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in gross margin after memory chip costs and tariffsQ3 2026
  • Delivery against 2026 revenue and EPS guidance2026
  • Recovery in outdoor segment salesQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

The business

Garmin Ltd. and its subsidiaries design, manufacture, market and distribute a broad range of GPS products and navigation, communications, sensor-based and information products, aimed at people who live an active lifestyle 1. The company operates five segments: fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine and auto OEM, which are also its reportable segments 1. Sales run through retail partners, dealers, distributors, OEMs, the garmin.com webshop, connected-service subscriptions and its own stores 1.

Segments

Outdoor

The outdoor segment covers adventure watches, inReach devices, handheld GPS units, golf devices and dog and sportsman products, with net sales of about 2.05 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue declined slightly, mainly due to consumer auto and adventure watches 3.

Market context

Garmin serves consumer fitness and outdoor markets, general and business aviation avionics, recreational marine navigation and sonar, and auto OEM electronics. The company reported net sales of about 7.25 billion USD in fiscal 2025, up 15% 1. Revenue is seasonal, peaking in the fourth quarter for consumer products and in the first two quarters for marine products 1.

Trends

  • Demand for wearablestailwind

    Strong demand for smartwatches and fitness bands supports growth in the fitness segment, and recent product launches could widen the addressable market.

  • Memory chip costsheadwind

    Global shortages of memory chips have increased operational complexity and costs, which could unfavorably affect future gross margin 2.

  • Trade policy and tariffsmixed

    Rapid changes in global trade policy, particularly affecting the United States, add uncertainty, while tariff refunds helped margins in the second quarter of 2026 23.

  • Advanced aviation marketstailwind

    Expansion into commercial, military and eVTOL aviation could open new opportunities for Garmin avionics 1.

Competitive position

The markets for Garmin products are highly competitive, and the filings indicate that some competitors have far greater financial, technical and marketing resources 1. Some OEM customers could develop in-house equipment they currently buy from Garmin 1.

  • Larger-resourced competitors

    The filing does not name them but notes competitors with considerably greater resources for development, promotion and sales.

  • OEM customers building in-house

    Some OEM customers could produce internally the equipment they now purchase from Garmin.

  • Rivals replicating features

    Existing and new competitors have replicated certain product features or responded faster to emerging technologies.

  • Retailers with preferential positioning

    Larger competitors could secure better product placement at retailers, which may affect Garmin's market share.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 14 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 28 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-27 · SEC / Garmin Ltd. · 18 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Garmin Ltd. · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Garmin Ltd. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.