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olivLaw · US equity research

Hudbay Minerals Inc. HBM

Metal Mining · SIC 1000 · Vertical: Metal Mining (SIC 1000)

22.22USD+3.64% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hudbay Minerals Inc. is a Canadian company that files annual reports with the SEC on Form 40-F under the US-Canada multijurisdictional disclosure system. The source document is the report for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, filed March 27, 2026, which includes audited financial statements and management's discussion and analysis.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) stock was 22.22 USD (+3.64% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.8 bn USD, P/E 15.4 on diluted EPS of 1.44 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.06%, beta 1.86, 52-week range 14.58–31.87 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.8 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
15.4
Diluted EPS TTM 1.44 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
6.48%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
0.06%
DPS 12m 0.01
Beta (2y)
1.86
Volatility (1y) 63%
52-week range
14.5831.87

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
20.64 – 26.36
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.28 · band width 24.3%
SMA 50 / 200
25.73 / 24.82
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.10 / -1.02
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−18.5%−1.1%−17.4 pp—
3 months−14.2%−0.5%−13.8 pp—
6 months−7.4%+4.4%−11.8 pp—
Year to date+11.9%+12.3%−0.4 pp—
1 year+49.6%+13.5%+36.1 pp−10.3%
3 years+375.8%+76.4%+299.4 pp+67.8%
5 years+226.8%+63.7%+163.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−36.2%
27 Feb 2026 → 20 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−63.3%
10 Mar 2022 → 14 Jul 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+26.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 25 percentile of its own 4-quarter history (min 13.8, median 21.9, max 40.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.5 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn
Revenue YoY+5.0%−16.0%−11.7%+37.5%−2.7%+15.6%+19.6%+9.4%
Net income85.4 m-343.8 m-144.6 m-244.4 m70.4 m66.4 m76.7 m568.5 m
Net income YoY−38.9%−502.5%unavailableunavailableunavailable−5.7%+15.5%+641.2%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-0.55-0.930.270.220.201.44
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−18.5%−9.1%+620.0%
net %5.8%-27.8%-13.2%-16.3%4.8%3.9%3.8%25.7%
Free cash flow288.7 m51.7 m-121.7 m32.9 m178.8 m195.8 m319.1 m240.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
568.9 m USD
Financial debt
1.0 bn USD
Net debt
439.7 m USD
Equity
3.2 bn USD
Total assets
6.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.31x
Current ratio
0.95x
ROE
19.3%
ROA
9.7%
FCF margin
10.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.7 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
392.5 m
2024
553.8 m
2025
743.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
297.1 m
2024
400.3 m
2025
916.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
393.1 m
2024
428.0 m
2025
441.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
690.2 m ≈
2024
828.3 m ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
151.8 m
2024
251.6 m
2025
912.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
82.3 m
2024
183.8 m
2025
347.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
66.4 m
2024
76.7 m
2025
568.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.22
2024
0.20
2025
1.44

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
311.0 m
2024
377.3 m
2025
396.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
0.01
2025
0.01

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
249.8 m
2024
541.8 m
2025
568.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
203.4 m
2024
235.5 m
2025
377.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
207.3 m
2024
197.4 m
2025
199.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
673.2 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
75.3 m
2024
69.2 m
2025
72.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
4.0 m
2024
5.5 m
2025
7.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
5.3 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
239.3 m
2024
270.2 m
2025
342.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
472.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
536.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
537.4 m
2024
537.2 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.1 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
394.9 m
2025
395.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
476.9 m
2024
666.2 m
2025
707.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
281.1 m
2024
347.1 m
2025
466.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
195.8 m ≈
2024
319.1 m ≈
2025
240.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-271.8 m
2024
-382.9 m
2025
-468.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-182.4 m
2024
10.2 m
2025
-214.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
4.5 m
2024
5.5 m
2025
5.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
129.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
641.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
100.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
620.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
74.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-24.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
33.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
61.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
41.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
25.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
10.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
19.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
16.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
18.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Balance sheet

Net debt
439.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
707.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
466.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
240.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
42.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
52.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
51 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days payables outstanding
76 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash conversion cycle
24 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
9.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
15.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
15.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
6.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
4.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
6.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
10.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
4.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
36.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Risk

Altman Z
2.69
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 66 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

22.22 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
15.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
6.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
19.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
25.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Mar 2026
verified 319derived 6

Score by group

  • Valuation56
  • Balance sheet75
  • Quality61
  • Growth100
  • Returns41

Estimated value range

Low
29.97
USD per share
Mid
34.46
USD per share
High
43.37
USD per share
Price: 22.22 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 55.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 35.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 17.44 – 51.37 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA42.49 – 51.37 (Mid 45.87)
    4 companies used · median multiple 13.7x · quartiles 12.7x – 15.3x
    CLF, ERO, FCX, SCCO
  • Peers: P/E17.44 – 35.38 (Mid 23.05)
    8 companies used · median multiple 16.0x · quartiles 12.1x – 24.6x
    BHP, BVN, ERO, FCX, NEXA, RIO, SCCO, TMC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate0.19 – 0.25 (Mid 0.21)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Metal Mining (SIC 1000)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 66/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality16.5%73 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality25.7%84 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality42.3%18 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.8%100 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth74.7%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.3x100 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x12 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation15.4x56 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation6.8x75 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation2.7%34 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.1%1 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns2.3%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet75/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality61/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns41/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation56/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 9.4%; net margin 25.7%; ROE 19.7%; net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.

The estimated value range is 29.97–43.37 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 34.46 USD, the price of 22.22 USD leaves a potential of 55.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 35.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 66/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 16.5%
  • Net margin: 25.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 74.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.3x
  • EV/EBITDA: 6.8x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 2.3%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 42.3%
  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.1%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Metal Mining (SIC 1000) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 26 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
15.4x
vertical median 18.1x
below median (−14.8%)
EV/EBITDA
6.8x
vertical median 13.7x
below median (−50.3%)
P/S
4.0x
vertical median 7.9x
below median (−49.9%)
P/B
2.7x
vertical median 2.5x
above median (+10.0%)
ROE
19.7%
vertical median -9.0%
above median
Net margin
25.7%
vertical median -2.4%
above median
EBIT margin
41.5%
vertical median 15.4%
above median (+169.9%)
Revenue YoY
9.4%
vertical median 8.0%
above median (+17.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.3x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−70.9%)
Dividend yield
0.1%
vertical median 1.9%
below median (−96.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
BHPBhp Group Limited406.8 bn45.219.5%17.6%−7.9%+46% / +31%
SCCOSouthern Copper Corp149.3 bn23.053.2%37.3%+17.4%+35% / +163%
RIORio Tinto PLC106.2 bn13.917.0%17.3%+7.4%+18% / +22%
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.89.9 bn29.221.8%16.2%+1.8%+46% / +68%
HBMHudbay Minerals Inc.8.8 bn15.419.7%25.7%+9.4%+50% / +376%
CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.7.3 bn—-8.5%-2.4%−3.0%−2% / −25%
BVNBuenaventura Mining Co Inc7.3 bn18.112.6%34.9%+40.1%+16% / +202%
MPMP Materials Corp.6.4 bn—-4.1%-19.9%+10.1%−42% / +126%
EROEro Copper Corp3.2 bn12.234.6%33.6%+67.1%+21% / +150%
NEXANexa Resources S.A.1.6 bn11.914.6%4.4%+8.5%+70% / +103%
IEIvanhoe Electric Inc.1.2 bn—-8.4%-1,138.7%+11.8%−46% / −32%
USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc.1.1 bn—-23.6%-2,159.3%unavailable−39% / −20%
TMCTMC the metals Co Inc.1.0 bn4.2-1,123.2%—unavailable−67% / +103%
USASAmericas Gold And Silver Corporation986.9 m—-61.6%-74.1%+17.7%−31% / +413%
ASMAvino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.769.3 m79.07.0%12.2%+50.8%−15% / +746%
LARLithium Argentina AG682.1 m—-9.5%—+12.9%−24% / −21%
SGMLSigma Lithium Corporation626.1 m—-67.4%-45.6%−27.3%−50% / −81%
GSMFerroglobe PLC547.5 m—-25.9%-12.8%−18.8%−34% / −49%
ALOYRealloys Inc.459.5 m—-155.8%-5,144.4%−5.3%−5% / +68%
THMInternational Tower Hill Mines Ltd455.2 m—-2.8%—unavailable−10% / +222%
LZMLifezone Metals Limited336.9 m—-16.7%-1,289.2%+652.2%+1% / −60%
USAUU.s. Gold Corp.186.4 m—-55.2%—−30.9%−35% / +239%
PZGParamount Gold Nevada Corp.83.9 m—-46.1%—−54.7%−20% / +146%
WWRWestwater Resources, Inc.52.5 m—-19.1%—unavailable−57% / −33%
COPRIdaho Copper Corporation25.7 m—-187.5%—−63.5%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for HBM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
14.47
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
25.46
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
38.19
Total return 72% · Per year 72%
3 years
17.10
Total return -23% · Per year -8%
33.55
Total return 51% · Per year 15%
54.82
Total return 147% · Per year 35%
5 years
20.21
Total return -9% · Per year -2%
44.22
Total return 100% · Per year 15%
78.67
Total return 255% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8.39
  • Net margin± 5.87
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.39
  • Annual dilution± 0.49

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (21 Oct 2026), 6-K (28 Sept 2026), 6-K (31 Jul 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026).

In brief

Hudbay Minerals Inc. is a Canadian company that files annual reports with the SEC on Form 40-F under the US-Canada multijurisdictional disclosure system. The source document is the report for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, filed March 27, 2026, which includes audited financial statements and management's discussion and analysis.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Audited financial statements with an unqualified opinion and internal control with a favourable auditor opinion.
  • Reporting in US dollars with clear references to Canadian dollars, easing reading for international investors.
  • Audit committee with members designated as financial experts and a published code of ethics.

Weaknesses

  • The available report contains no operational details on production or projects, which limits evaluation.
  • Much information is incorporated by reference from separate documents, complicating quick verification.
  • Governance practices differ from those of US companies listed on the NYSE.

Opportunities

  • If operational information in the annual information form confirms project development, transparency could support investor confidence.
  • The dual Toronto and NYSE listing could attract a broader investor base.
  • Standardised mine safety reporting could become a point of differentiation in investor dialogue.

Threats

  • Multiple reporting requirements, Canadian and American, raise compliance costs.
  • If financial restatements occurred, recovery of executive pay could become necessary.
  • Operational risks of mining activity, described in the incorporated documents, could affect results.

Risks

  • Lack of operational data in sourcemedium

    The report contains no information on production, costs or projects, so assessment of operational risks remains incomplete.

  • Financial statement restatementslow

    If restatements were required, the compensation recovery policy could be triggered, with impact on reputation and costs.

  • Mine safety risksmedium

    Safety incidents, if they occurred, could bring sanctions and require reporting under the Dodd-Frank Act.

  • Governance differenceslow

    Canadian rules, less strict on some points, could differ from the expectations of US investors.

  • Internal controllow

    Even effective systems have inherent limits, and changing conditions could make controls less adequate.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Audited financial statements with an unqualified opinion and a favourable internal control opinion could support investor confidence.
  • Reporting in US and Canadian dollars makes the information accessible to a broad investor base.
  • An audit committee with financial experts could reduce the risk of reporting errors.

What would break the thesis

  • The lack of operational detail in the available source makes production performance hard to assess.
  • Multiple reporting requirements could raise administrative costs without a clear benefit shown in the source.
  • If mine safety risks materialised, sanctions and reputational pressure could follow.

What to watch

  • Operational information in the annual information form (AIF)next 10-K
  • Quarterly results and any restatements of financial statementsQ1 2027
  • Changes to the compensation recovery policy2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (21 Oct 2026), 6-K (28 Sept 2026), 6-K (31 Jul 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026).

The business

The available source is only the cover page and exhibits of the Form 40-F for fiscal 2025, which describe the company's reporting structure and documents incorporated by reference, such as the annual information form (AIF), audited financial statements and MD&A. The financial statements are prepared under IFRS, and figures are expressed in US dollars with references to Canadian dollars. The company is a foreign private issuer listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and on the NYSE, applying Canadian governance rules.

The report contains no operational details on mining activity, production or projects, which according to the source are described in the annual information form incorporated by reference. The text indicates that Deloitte LLP audited the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting, with an unqualified opinion.

The governance structure includes an audit committee of four members, all designated audit committee financial experts under Commission rules, and the company has adopted a code of ethics applying to its principal executive officer, principal financial officer and principal accounting officer or controller.

Segments

Financial reporting and annual documents

The company presents results through audited IFRS financial statements for 2025 and 2024, supplemented by management's discussion and analysis, documents incorporated by reference in the 40-F.

Governance and audit

The audit committee and code of ethics define the oversight framework, and the governance rules applied are largely Canadian rather than the NYSE standards applying to US domestic companies.

Market context

The source contains no data on metal markets or the company's market share, so no conclusions on sector size can be drawn. The report shows that activity is reported in US dollars with Canadian dollar references, which may matter for investors in both countries.

The Toronto and NYSE listings place the company under a dual regulatory framework, in which Canadian rules take precedence on several governance matters such as director independence and approval of equity compensation plans.

Trends

  • Move to IFRS reportingmixed

    Financial statements are prepared under IFRS, making results comparable with other Canadian issuers but harder to compare directly with companies reporting under US GAAP.

  • Internal control requirementstailwind

    Internal control over financial reporting was audited and the auditor expressed an unqualified opinion, which reduces the risk of undetected material errors, though no control system removes inherent limitations.

  • Executive compensation recovery rulesheadwind

    Companies must analyse recovery of executive pay in case of financial restatements, and the clawback policy is attached as an exhibit, adding a compliance task.

  • Mine safety transparencymixed

    Incident reporting requirements add administrative burden but give investors standardised information on operational risks.

Competitive position

The source does not identify the company's competitors. The text mentions only the regulatory framework and listing venues, not comparisons with other producers.

Comparisons with other issuers would require competitor reports, which are not part of the source available for this profile.

  • Not named in source

    The source does not name competitors, so no verifiable list can be established.

  • Not named in source

    Without competitor data, margins or costs cannot be compared.

  • Not named in source

    The lack of competition information limits analysis of market position.

  • Not named in source

    A full profile would need reports from other mining companies.

News & filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 40-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Hudbay Minerals Inc. · 27 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.