olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

USA Rare Earth, Inc. USAR

Metal Mining · SIC 1000 · Vertical: Metal Mining (SIC 1000)

8.20USD−5.86% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

USA Rare Earth (USAR) is building an integrated mine-to-magnet value chain outside China, at a time when Western supply of heavy rare earths is heavily dependent on Chinese processing. The company is still at an early stage: revenue in the second quarter of 2026 was 5.8 million USD, and the net loss of 298.5 million USD in 2025 shows the scale of the investment required.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) stock was 8.20 USD (−5.86% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.1 bn USD, beta 1.21, 52-week range 8.20–30.70 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 5.8 m USD, net income of -10.3 m USD, diluted EPS -0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Oct 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.51 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-30.58%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.21
Volatility (1y) 104%
52-week range
8.2030.70

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
26.9
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
7.92 – 12.61
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.06 · band width 45.7%
SMA 50 / 200
13.68 / 18.74
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.37 / -1.38
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−39.9%−2.0%−37.9 pp—
3 months−52.2%−2.2%−50.0 pp—
6 months−71.3%+4.3%−75.6 pp—
Year to date−31.1%+10.6%−41.7 pp—
1 year−49.8%+10.5%−60.3 pp−9.4%
3 years−19.9%+73.7%−93.6 pp+102.6%
5 yearsunavailable+61.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−73.3%
02 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−78.8%
13 Oct 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
5.8 m USD
unavailable YoY
Net income
-10.3 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-177.5% / -795.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue——00——5.7 m5.8 m
Cost of revenue——00——5.6 m7.4 m
Gross profit——00——106.0 k-1.6 m
Research & development1.2 m1.4 m1.7 m2.6 m4.5 m7.2 m14.2 m10.8 m
Operating income-2.0 m-5.9 m-8.7 m-8.8 m-15.9 m-26.1 m-36.7 m-46.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation66.0 k6.0 k33.0 k169.0 k170.0 k391.0 k690.0 k1.0 m
Interest expense——54.0 k0——35.0 k0
Pre-tax income——51.7 m-142.7 m——-68.6 m-12.5 m
Income tax——00——-577.0 k-513.0 k
Net income-1.9 m-6.8 m51.8 m-142.5 m-156.7 m-50.2 m-67.0 m-10.3 m
Diluted EPS-0.03-0.11 ≈0.58-1.54-1.64-0.48 ≈-0.34-0.05
Operating cash flow-1.2 m ≈-3.5 m-10.3 m-7.9 m ≈-2.8 m ≈-27.9 m-18.5 m-56.9 m ≈
Capex1.2 m ≈851.0 k2.0 m4.3 m ≈7.1 m ≈24.0 m38.6 m69.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20242025
Revenue01.6 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable
Net income-15.7 m-297.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.40-3.31
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable
net %unavailable-18,110.7%
Free cash flow-16.1 m-86.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
359.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
494.3 m USD
Total assets
695.0 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
10.17x
ROE
-112.6%
ROA
-77.9%
FCF margin
-5,255.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
0
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
0
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
0
2025
195.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2024
6.3 m
2025
15.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-15.6 m
2025
-59.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
235.0 k
2025
763.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
-15.4 m ≈
2025
-58.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
-16.4 m
2025
-298.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
0
2025
-160.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
-15.7 m
2025
-297.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-0.40
2025
-3.31

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
59.5 m
2025
98.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
16.8 m
2025
359.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2024
0
2025
18.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
22.3 m
2025
385.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
26.5 m
2025
85.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
0
2025
134.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
—
2025
68.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
69.1 m
2025
695.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
1.8 m
2025
11.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
6.9 m
2025
37.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
15.1 m
2025
191.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
34.0 m
2025
494.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
-13.0 m
2025
-49.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
3.1 m
2025
37.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
-16.1 m ≈
2025
-86.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-3.3 m
2025
-139.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
19.8 m
2025
531.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
246.9 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
-9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-932.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-949.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2,159.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-1,865.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-23.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
32.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
31.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
30.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-106.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
139.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-245.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
1,267 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
248 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-30.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
82.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-22.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
1.74
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 3 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 18.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

8.20 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-23.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2,159.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Oct 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 333derived 16

Score by group

19% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Metal Mining (SIC 1000)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 18.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-2,159.3%5 (vs peers)33%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet32.8x100 (on a fixed band)22%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-22.6%0 (on a fixed band)44%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial5/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.6 m USD in 2025; net margin -2,159.3%; ROE -23.6%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 18.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 32.8x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -2,159.3%
  • FCF yield: -22.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Metal Mining (SIC 1000) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 26 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 16.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 13.4x
P/S
82.6x
vertical median 6.3x
above median (+1,205.7%)
P/B
0.4x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−84.2%)
ROE
-23.6%
vertical median -8.4%
below median
Net margin
-2,159.3%
vertical median 4.4%
below median (−48,976.8%)
EBIT margin
-949.5%
vertical median 16.6%
below median (−5,824.0%)
Revenue YoY
—
vertical median 8.5%
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.6x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
BHPBhp Group Limited406.8 bn45.219.5%17.6%−7.9%+46% / +31%
SCCOSouthern Copper Corp146.5 bn22.653.2%37.3%+17.4%+33% / +158%
RIORio Tinto PLC106.2 bn13.917.0%17.3%+7.4%+18% / +22%
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.88.7 bn28.821.8%16.2%+1.8%+44% / +66%
HBMHudbay Minerals Inc.8.8 bn15.419.7%25.7%+9.4%+31% / +388%
CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.7.3 bn—-8.5%-2.4%−3.0%−2% / −25%
BVNBuenaventura Mining Co Inc7.3 bn18.112.6%34.9%+40.1%+16% / +202%
MPMP Materials Corp.6.4 bn—-4.1%-19.9%+10.1%−42% / +126%
EROEro Copper Corp3.2 bn12.234.6%33.6%+67.1%+21% / +150%
NEXANexa Resources S.A.1.6 bn11.914.6%4.4%+8.5%+70% / +103%
IEIvanhoe Electric Inc.1.2 bn—-8.4%-1,138.7%+11.8%−46% / −32%
USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc.1.1 bn—-23.6%-2,159.3%unavailable−50% / −20%
TMCTMC the metals Co Inc.1.0 bn4.2-1,123.2%—unavailable−67% / +103%
USASAmericas Gold And Silver Corporation986.9 m—-61.6%-74.1%+17.7%−31% / +413%
ASMAvino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.769.3 m79.07.0%12.2%+50.8%−15% / +746%
LARLithium Argentina AG682.1 m—-9.5%—+12.9%−24% / −21%
SGMLSigma Lithium Corporation626.1 m—-67.4%-45.6%−27.3%−50% / −81%
GSMFerroglobe PLC547.5 m—-25.9%-12.8%−18.8%−34% / −49%
ALOYRealloys Inc.459.5 m—-155.8%-5,144.4%−5.3%−5% / +68%
THMInternational Tower Hill Mines Ltd455.2 m—-2.8%—unavailable−10% / +222%
LZMLifezone Metals Limited336.9 m—-16.7%-1,289.2%+652.2%+1% / −60%
USAUU.s. Gold Corp.186.4 m—-55.2%—−30.9%−35% / +239%
PZGParamount Gold Nevada Corp.83.9 m—-46.1%—−54.7%−20% / +146%
WWRWestwater Resources, Inc.52.5 m—-19.1%—unavailable−57% / −33%
COPRIdaho Copper Corporation25.7 m—-187.5%—−63.5%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for USAR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

USA Rare Earth (USAR) is building an integrated mine-to-magnet value chain outside China, at a time when Western supply of heavy rare earths is heavily dependent on Chinese processing. The company is still at an early stage: revenue in the second quarter of 2026 was 5.8 million USD 3, and the net loss of 298.5 million USD in 2025 1 shows the scale of the investment required.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is building an integrated mine-to-magnet chain and acquisitions add non-Chinese metal making and processing 12.
  • The Round Top deposit is described by the company as among the richest heavy rare earth deposits in North America 1.
  • The cash balance and announced government financing could provide a firmer financial base than many peers in the sector 13.

Weaknesses

  • The company has not begun commercial magnet or mineral production and has no operating history on which to judge performance 1.
  • Revenue is very small compared with net losses and the investment required 123.
  • The Round Top deposit has no declared mineral resources, and without a definitive feasibility study cost estimates remain uncertain 1.

Opportunities

  • US procurement rules and Chinese export controls could create demand for non-Chinese suppliers 1.
  • The Serra Verde acquisition could bring an operating mine with offtake contracts and price floors 2.
  • Projects in France and South Carolina could extend processing and magnet capacity across several countries 23.

Threats

  • The agreement with the US government remains conditional on negotiations and milestones, and failure to meet them could lead to withheld funds 1.
  • Chinese producers could cut prices or dump product, which could weigh on project returns 1.
  • New share issuances for acquisitions and financing could dilute existing shareholders 12.

Risks

  • Lack of operating historyhigh

    The company has no revenue from magnet or mineral production, so assessing future performance relies on uncertain estimates 1.

  • Dependence on government financinghigh

    Funds under the US government agreement depend on definitive contracts, milestone achievement and final approvals, and failure could lead to withheld or clawed-back funds 13.

  • Large capital needs and dilutionhigh

    The estimated capital needs and share issues for acquisitions could significantly dilute existing shareholders 12.

  • Mining development riskmedium

    The Round Top deposit is at the exploration stage, and obtaining permits, water and power could delay or block the project 1.

  • Acquisition integration riskmedium

    The Less Common Metals, Serra Verde and Carester deals involve operational and management integration, and transactions could be delayed or not completed 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If magnet and metal production starts on schedule, the company could become one of the few Western sources of heavy rare earths at commercial scale 13.
  • Public policy in the US and France, including the DFARS rules, could support demand and investment in non-Chinese supply chains 12.
  • The Serra Verde acquisition could add revenue from an operating mine and could accelerate cash generation 23.

What would break the thesis

  • The company could face technical or cost delays in building its plants, which could extend the period of losses 1.
  • Financing of over 4 billion USD could require new share issues, with significant dilution for shareholders 12.
  • Chinese producers could keep prices low, which could make non-Chinese projects unprofitable over the medium term 1.

What to watch

  • Completion of the Serra Verde acquisition, subject to shareholder approvalQ3 2026
  • Publication of the Round Top definitive feasibility studyQ1 2027
  • Start of magnet deliveries from Stillwater and the volumes achieved2026
  • Meeting the milestones required by the US government agreement and any equity raise2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

USA Rare Earth, Inc. aims to be a global leader in critical minerals and advanced materials, focused on rare earth elements, oxides, metals and magnets 1. Its strategy spans four links: the Round Top deposit in Texas, separation and extraction in Colorado, metal and alloy making through Less Common Metals acquired in November 2025, and NdFeB magnet manufacturing at Stillwater, Oklahoma 1. So far revenue comes only from metal making, and commercial magnet and mineral production has not yet begun 12.

The company was listed on Nasdaq as USAR in March 2025 after its merger with Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. II 1. It expanded through the Less Common Metals acquisition in November 2025 and a planned metal making plant in Lacq, France 1. In July 2026 it announced the Serra Verde acquisition in Brazil and plans for a facility in Blacksburg, South Carolina 23.

Funding is largely conditional: the agreement with the U.S. Department of Commerce, of up to 1.6 billion USD, depends on meeting technical and financial milestones 13. A 1.5 billion USD private placement in January 2026 provided part of the capital, and the cash balance as of June 30 2026 was about 1.53 billion USD 13.

Segments

NdFeB magnets (Stillwater)

Phase 1a of sintered magnet block production at Stillwater was commissioned in the first quarter of 2026, with customer deliveries expected from the second quarter of 2026 1. A second site is planned in Blacksburg, South Carolina, with commissioning targeted for 2028 3.

Market context

Demand for magnets comes from defense, aerospace, semiconductors, data centers, energy, mobility and healthcare 1. The pace of growth and pricing, however, depend on whether non-Chinese producers can deliver real volumes, which remain small today 12.

Trends

  • Chinese export controls on rare earthstailwind

    During 2025 China imposed and expanded export controls on certain rare earths, requiring special licences even for products with small amounts of Chinese-origin material 1. These restrictions could support demand for alternative sources in the US and allied countries 1.

  • DFARS magnet sourcing rules from 2027tailwind

    The ban on Department of War purchases of Chinese-origin magnets, effective 2027, creates a protected segment for compliant producers, but it requires volume deliveries that do not yet exist 1.

  • Consolidation in Europe and Brazilmixed

    The Serra Verde acquisition in Brazil and the stake in Carester in France could extend access to feedstock and processing, but both transactions depend on approvals and shareholder votes 23.

Competitive position

Competition comes mainly from Chinese producers, which control most processing and magnet production 1. The company also notes risks of aggressive pricing, dumping or material substitution, which could affect profitability 1. Outside China there are only a few commercial-scale players 1.

The company's stated advantage is vertical integration and non-Chinese metal making capacity, but this advantage depends on project execution rather than a consolidated market position today 12.

  • Chinese rare earth producers

    They control most global processing and almost all heavy rare earth processing, making them the main structural competitor 1.

  • Commercial operators outside China

    Only a few mines produce meaningful volumes, and the company regards these sources as limited relative to demand 1.

  • Serra Verde Group (Pela Ema, Brazil)

    An operating commercial producer that the company intends to acquire, making it a potential source of integration 2.

  • Carester SAS (France)

    A French rare earth processing and separation specialist in which the company is taking a minority stake 23.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Current report01 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Sept 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report31 Aug 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Current report24 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
  • Current report10 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report07 Aug 2026
    Acquisition or disposition of assets · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report23 Jul 2026
    Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / USA Rare Earth, Inc. · 30 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / USA Rare Earth, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / USA Rare Earth, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.