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olivLaw · US equity research

HEICO Corporation HEI

Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts · SIC 3724 · Vertical: Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts (SIC 3724)

337.67USD−0.01% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

HEICO Corporation is the world's largest maker of FAA-approved replacement parts for jet engines and aircraft components outside the original equipment manufacturers, and a leading maker of electronics for aviation, defense and space. Net sales reached a record 4485.0 million USD in fiscal 2025, and organic growth remained strong in the first nine months of fiscal 2026, pointing to sustained demand across aerospace.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, HEICO Corporation (HEI) stock was 337.67 USD (−0.01% on the day), with market capitalisation 9.1 bn USD, P/E 56.1 on diluted EPS of 6.01 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.07%, beta 0.84, 52-week range 260.99–374.67 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.4 bn USD (+23.1% YoY), net income of 235.4 m USD (+32.8% YoY), diluted EPS 1.67 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
9.1 bn USD
shares as of 15 Dec 2015
P/E (TTM)
56.1
Diluted EPS TTM 6.01 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.78%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.07%
DPS 12m 0.25
Beta (2y)
0.84
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
260.99374.67

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
69.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
282.19 – 338.23
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.99 · band width 18.1%
SMA 50 / 200
311.33 / 318.90
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
6.27 / 1.59
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+12.0%−1.1%+13.1 pp—
3 months−7.9%−0.5%−7.5 pp—
6 months+13.9%+4.4%+9.5 pp—
Year to date+4.4%+12.3%−8.0 pp—
1 year+6.8%+13.5%−6.7 pp+13.3%
3 years+108.4%+76.4%+32.0 pp+218.2%
5 years+132.2%+63.7%+68.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.1%
15 Jan 2026 → 29 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−27.1%
15 Jan 2026 → 29 Apr 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+18.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
1.4 bn USD
+23.1% YoY
Net income
235.4 m USD
+32.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.67
+32.5% YoY
net / operating
16.7% / 25.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn
Cost of revenue619.8 m624.6 m660.0 m690.4 m723.6 m723.6 m806.2 m832.1 m
Research & development28.5 m27.6 m28.7 m31.9 m32.7 m31.9 m36.4 m36.1 m
SG&A175.2 m178.9 m189.7 m192.1 m206.8 m195.1 m219.1 m225.8 m
Operating income218.6 m226.8 m248.2 m265.0 m279.0 m259.9 m350.4 m355.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation44.7 m46.2 m48.9 m ≈49.8 m ≈51.2 m51.0 m56.6 m ≈58.7 m ≈
Interest expense35.4 m32.5 m32.9 m31.7 m32.9 m29.5 m34.2 m35.9 m
Pre-tax income183.9 m195.3 m215.9 m235.0 m247.4 m231.5 m317.5 m320.6 m
Income tax33.0 m13.7 m45.4 m44.3 m44.6 m26.7 m67.2 m66.1 m
Net income139.7 m168.0 m156.8 m177.3 m188.3 m190.2 m233.8 m235.4 m
Diluted EPS0.99 ≈1.201.121.261.33 ≈1.351.661.67
Operating cash flow205.6 m203.0 m204.7 m ≈231.2 m ≈295.3 m178.6 m292.0 m ≈345.3 m ≈
Capex16.1 m17.3 m16.0 m12.7 m ≈26.8 m13.5 m18.1 m22.6 m ≈
Dividends paid015.3 m0 ≈16.7 m ≈016.7 m0 ≈18.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 45 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 18.9, median 58.6, max 75.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.8 bn2.1 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.2 bn3.0 bn3.9 bn4.5 bn
Revenue YoY+16.6%+15.6%−13.1%+4.4%+18.4%+34.4%+30.0%+16.3%
Net income259.2 m327.9 m314.0 m304.2 m351.7 m403.6 m514.1 m690.4 m
Net income YoY+39.4%+26.5%−4.2%−3.1%+15.6%+14.8%+27.4%+34.3%
Diluted EPS1.902.392.292.212.552.913.674.90
Diluted EPS YoY+38.7%+25.8%−4.2%−3.5%+15.4%+14.1%+26.1%+33.5%
net %14.6%16.0%17.6%16.3%15.9%13.6%13.3%15.4%
Free cash flow286.6 m408.4 m386.2 m407.9 m435.9 m399.3 m614.1 m861.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Oct 2025

Cash
217.8 m USD
Financial debt
3.4 m USD
Net debt
-214.4 m USD
Equity
4.4 bn USD
Total assets
8.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
2.83x
ROE
17.1%
ROA
8.6%
FCF margin
19.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
1.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025derived

Research & development
2023
95.8 m
2024
111.3 m
2025
120.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

SG&A
2023
528.1 m
2024
677.3 m
2025
767.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Operating income
2023
625.3 m
2024
824.5 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
130.0 m
2024
175.3 m
2025
196.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
755.4 m ≈
2024
999.8 m ≈
2025
1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
3.8 m
2024
149.3 m
2025
129.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
555.3 m
2024
677.6 m
2025
893.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
110.9 m
2024
118.5 m
2025
148.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
403.6 m
2024
514.1 m
2025
690.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.91
2024
3.67
2025
4.90

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
138.9 m
2024
140.2 m
2025
140.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.20
2024
0.21
2025
0.23

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
171.0 m
2024
162.1 m
2025
217.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
509.1 m
2024
538.5 m
2025
637.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
321.8 m
2024
339.0 m
2025
431.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
7.2 bn
2024
7.6 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
205.9 m
2024
198.4 m
2025
231.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
17.8 m
2024
4.1 m
2025
3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
665.3 m
2024
663.9 m
2025
832.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.5 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
448.7 m
2024
672.4 m
2025
934.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
49.4 m
2024
58.3 m
2025
72.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
399.3 m ≈
2024
614.1 m ≈
2025
861.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.5 bn
2024
-293.2 m
2025
-731.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
2.1 bn
2024
-389.4 m
2025
-150.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
27.4 m
2024
29.1 m
2025
32.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
16.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
26.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
20.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
23.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
34.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
25.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
17.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
33.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
24.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
16.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
40.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
40.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
28.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
24.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
16.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
18.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROA
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROCE
13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-237.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
9.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
81.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
121.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
76.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
163 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
179 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
9.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
10.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
56.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/S
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
7.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
8.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
FCF yield
11.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Risk

Altman Z
3.01
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 76 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

337.67 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 9.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
9.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
56.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROE
18.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
16.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 15 Dec 2015
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Aug 2026
verified 2914derived 223

Score by group

  • Valuation64
  • Returns43
  • Quality85
  • Balance sheet80
  • Growth100

Estimated value range

Low
705.90
USD per share
Mid
824.74
USD per share
High
940.06
USD per share
Price: 337.67 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 144.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 59.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 165.42 – 1,071.63 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)705.90 – 1,071.63 (Mid 848.69)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 1.1 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -23.7%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA738.45 – 940.06 (Mid 824.74)
    4 companies used · median multiple 15.0x · quartiles 13.4x – 17.1x
    RTX, SARO, SIF, TATT
  • Peers: P/E165.42 – 182.07 (Mid 172.67)
    4 companies used · median multiple 28.7x · quartiles 27.5x – 30.3x
    RTX, SARO, SIF, TATT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate3.02 – 4.06 (Mid 3.47)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts (SIC 3724)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 76/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality23.3%80 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality16.4%80 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality121.5%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth26.6%100 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth24.3%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.2x60 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet9.4x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.7x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation56.1x0 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation6.1x100 (vs peers)10%
FCF yield · Valuation11.3%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.4%5 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns3.4%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet80/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality85/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns43/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

HEICO CORPORATION (HEI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 16.3%; net margin 16.4%; ROE 18.7%; net debt/EBITDA -0.2x.

The estimated value range is 705.90–940.06 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 824.74 USD, the price of 337.67 USD leaves a potential of 144.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 59.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 76/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 23.3%
  • Net margin: 16.4%
  • FCF conversion: 121.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 26.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 24.3%
  • Interest coverage: 9.4x
  • Current ratio: 2.7x
  • EV/EBITDA: 6.1x
  • FCF yield: 11.3%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 3.4%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 56.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.4%

Versus the vertical median

Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts (SIC 3724) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
56.1x
vertical median 27.8x
above median (+102.0%)
EV/EBITDA
6.1x
vertical median 13.5x
below median (−55.2%)
P/S
1.8x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−18.6%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 3.1x
below median (−40.6%)
ROE
18.7%
vertical median 12.3%
above median (+51.6%)
Net margin
16.4%
vertical median 8.8%
above median (+87.1%)
EBIT margin
24.0%
vertical median 10.6%
above median (+127.5%)
Revenue YoY
16.3%
vertical median 9.7%
above median (+66.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.2x
vertical median 0.5x
below median (−131.9%)
Dividend yield
0.1%
vertical median 1.4%
below median (−94.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
RTXRtx Corporation267.8 bn32.212.6%8.8%+9.7%+13% / +144%
HONHoneywell International Inc72.5 bn10.936.0%21.0%+7.8%+13% / +18%
HEIHeico Corporation9.1 bn56.118.7%16.4%+16.3%+7% / +108%
SAROStandardAero, Inc.8.5 bn26.612.3%5.1%+15.8%−2% / unavailable
TATTTat Technologies Ltd494.3 m27.811.7%9.4%+17.0%−1% / +293%
SIFSIFCO Industries, Inc.118.5 m29.610.3%4.0%+6.5%+201% / +452%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HEI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
1,155.81
Total return 243% · Per year 243%
2,034.05
Total return 503% · Per year 503%
3,051.07
Total return 804% · Per year 804%
3 years
1,370.97
Total return 307% · Per year 60%
2,690.03
Total return 698% · Per year 100%
4,393.55
Total return 1,203% · Per year 135%
5 years
1,626.19
Total return 384% · Per year 37%
3,557.56
Total return 957% · Per year 60%
6,326.71
Total return 1,778% · Per year 80%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 672.51
  • Net margin± 470.76
  • Annual revenue growth± 351.09
  • Annual dilution± 39.56

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

HEICO Corporation is the world's largest maker of FAA-approved replacement parts for jet engines and aircraft components outside the original equipment manufacturers, and a leading maker of electronics for aviation, defense and space. Net sales reached a record 4485.0 million USD in fiscal 2025, and organic growth remained strong in the first nine months of fiscal 2026, pointing to sustained demand across aerospace.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading position in independent replacement parts, supported by a large portfolio of FAA approvals and a record of margin expansion.
  • Diversification across commercial aviation, defense, space and industrial markets, which reduces dependence on a single cycle.
  • Solid organic growth in recent quarters, with rising operating margins in both FSG and ETG.

Weaknesses

  • Intangible assets and goodwill make up a very large share of total assets, which could lead to accounting losses if impairment occurs.
  • Higher debt and interest costs are a source of vulnerability if financing conditions worsen.
  • Reliance on a few key executives and specialized technical staff could affect continuity.

Opportunities

  • Continued selective acquisitions could widen the product range and open access to new customers and regions.
  • New PMA approvals and DER-approved repairs could open additional replacement parts revenue.
  • Electronic products for energy and electrification uses, mentioned by the company, could become a new growth source.

Threats

  • A decline in air traffic or aviation demand could reduce sales of parts and services.
  • Trade policy changes, tariffs and export restrictions could raise costs or limit access to foreign customers.
  • Pressure from large competitors and from airlines bringing maintenance in-house could compress margins.

Risks

  • Acquisition strategymedium

    The company may fail to integrate acquisitions effectively or obtain acceptable terms, which could slow growth.

  • Large intangible asset basehigh

    Goodwill and intangible assets make up a major part of total assets, and a significant impairment could affect results.

  • International exposuremedium

    Sales to foreign customers are significant, and currency swings, sanctions or trade restrictions could hurt profitability.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    A security incident could disrupt production and could lead to loss of sensitive data or legal claims.

  • Natural disasters in Floridalow

    Headquarters and many facilities in Florida are exposed to hurricanes and other weather events, and insurance may not cover all costs.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong organic growth across all product lines, combined with rising operating margins, shows the company's ability to turn demand into profit.
  • A leading position in independent replacement parts and FAA approvals create a technical barrier for competitors.
  • Diversification across aviation, defense and space offers a more stable base than a single market cycle.

What would break the thesis

  • Goodwill and intangible assets are very large relative to total assets, which makes the balance sheet sensitive to impairments.
  • Rising debt and interest costs could limit financial flexibility if demand weakens.
  • Growth partly depends on acquisitions, which can be hard to find at reasonable prices and carry integration risk.

What to watch

  • Net sales and organic growth trends in FSG and ETGQ4 2026
  • Pace and size of newly announced acquisitions2027
  • Debt level and total debt to net income rationext 10-K
  • Gross margin trend in the replacement parts businessQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

HEICO runs two operating segments: the Flight Support Group (FSG) and the Electronic Technologies Group (ETG). FSG accounted for 70% of net sales in fiscal 2025 1 and covers FAA-approved replacement parts, repair, overhaul and distribution of components for airlines and military operators. ETG accounted for 30% of net sales in the same year 1 and designs electronic, microwave and electro-optical equipment and high-reliability components for aviation, defense, space and medical uses. The company says it has completed approximately 107 acquisitions since 1990 1, and its growth strategy combines disciplined acquisitions with organic product development.

Market context

The company operates in commercial aerospace, defense and space, and other industrial markets. In fiscal 2025, about 58% of net sales came from commercial aviation 1, and about 31% from defense and space 1. Roughly 38% of consolidated net sales were derived from foreign customers 1, and the company markets its products to customers in about 130 countries 1.

Demand for replacement parts and maintenance services is linked to airline activity and fleet age. The available sources show sales continuing to grow in recent quarters, but longer-term developments depend on aviation cycles, which can reduce demand in downturns.

Trends

  • Rising demand for replacement partstailwind

    The company says increased demand for aftermarket products supported FSG sales in fiscal 2025 1. If air traffic and fleet maintenance stay high, this could continue to support organic growth.

  • Defense and space demandmixed

    ETG sales were supported by demand for defense, space and aerospace products 1. Defense budgets can directly affect this revenue line, so a change in government funding could affect results.

  • Acquisitions as a growth drivermixed

    The company states that acquisitions complemented organic growth and that it will continue to pursue them selectively 23. Acquisitions can add revenue but also add debt pressure and the risk of impairing intangible assets.

  • Financing and debt costsheadwind

    Interest expense rose in the first nine months of fiscal 2026 due to higher debt outstanding 2. The company issued senior notes in the third quarter 3, which could affect financing costs if market conditions change.

Competitive position

The replacement parts market is fragmented and competition is intense. The company says its main competitors include the original engine and component manufacturers, and in electronics it competes with many companies, some well capitalized 1. Smaller competitors may offer more attractive part prices due to lower labor costs 1.

  • General Electric (including CFM International)GE

    Original engine manufacturer cited as the historical source of substantially all replacement parts for its own engines.

  • Pratt & Whitney

    Original engine manufacturer competing in the replacement parts and overhaul market.

  • Rolls-Royce

    Original engine manufacturer named as a dominant supplier of parts for its own engines.

  • Airlines with in-house maintenance units

    Many airlines run their own overhaul services, creating direct competition for FSG.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-10-31 · SEC / HEICO Corporation · 22 Dec 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / HEICO Corporation · 27 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / HEICO Corporation · 25 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.