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olivLaw · US equity research

Rekor Systems, Inc. REKR

Communications Equipment, NEC · SIC 3669 · Vertical: Communications Equipment, NEC (SIC 3669)

0.36USD+0.96% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Rekor Systems builds AI-driven roadway intelligence platforms used by transportation agencies, public safety bodies and commercial operators to monitor and manage traffic. In the second quarter of 2026 the company, still moving toward profitability, reported revenue of 12.7 million USD and a narrower adjusted EBITDA loss, while federal infrastructure investment could support demand for its products.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Rekor Systems, Inc. (REKR) stock was 0.36 USD (+0.96% on the day), with market capitalisation 49.3 m USD, beta 2.30, 52-week range 0.24–2.31 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 12.7 m USD (+2.5% YoY), net income of -551.0 k USD, diluted EPS 0.00 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
49.3 m USD
shares as of 12 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.26 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
-72.54%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.30
Volatility (1y) 83%
52-week range
0.242.31

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.26 – 0.40
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.68 · band width 42.7%
SMA 50 / 200
0.40 / 0.70
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.01 / -0.03
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.5%−1.1%−0.4 pp—
3 months−44.1%−0.5%−43.6 pp—
6 months−59.8%+4.4%−64.2 pp—
Year to date−74.0%+12.3%−86.3 pp—
1 year−84.5%+13.5%−98.0 pp−24.8%
3 years−87.7%+76.4%−164.1 pp+27.9%
5 years−97.1%+63.7%−160.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−89.8%
05 Nov 2025 → 26 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−98.1%
08 Nov 2021 → 26 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−50.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
12.7 m USD
+2.5% YoY
Net income
-551.0 k USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.00
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-4.4% / 1.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue10.5 m13.3 m9.2 m12.4 m14.2 m12.7 m10.3 m12.7 m
Cost of revenue5.9 m6.4 m4.8 m6.2 m5.2 m5.2 m4.9 m5.6 m
Research & development4.7 m4.0 m4.0 m3.7 m3.7 m3.3 m3.5 m2.4 m
Operating income-12.9 m-18.5 m-10.1 m-7.7 m-4.0 m-7.0 m-8.8 m222.0 k
Depreciation & amortisation2.4 m2.4 m1.6 m1.6 m1.5 m1.6 m1.5 m1.4 m
Interest expense496.0 k551.0 k590.0 k586.0 k568.0 k553.0 k493.0 k517.0 k
Income tax045.0 k00042.0 k00
Net income-12.6 m-20.4 m-10.9 m-8.7 m-4.1 m-7.8 m-9.4 m-551.0 k
Diluted EPS-0.14—-0.10-0.07-0.03—-0.070.00
Operating cash flow-9.6 m ≈-4.9 m-8.1 m-7.7 m ≈-4.8 m ≈210.0 k-3.7 m-2.4 m ≈
Capex350.0 k ≈820.0 k349.0 k301.0 k ≈1.4 m ≈464.0 k393.0 k0 ≈
Share repurchases9.0 k ≈093.0 k69.0 k ≈0 ≈27.0 k2.0 k0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue20.1 m5.5 m9.2 m11.6 m19.9 m34.9 m46.0 m48.5 m
Revenue YoY−9.4%−72.7%+68.8%+25.4%+72.1%+75.4%+31.8%+5.3%
Net income-5.7 m-15.9 m-14.2 m-26.8 m-83.1 m-45.7 m-61.4 m-31.5 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.44unavailableunavailable-0.66-1.67-0.72-0.71-0.26
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-28.4%-290.4%-153.6%-231.4%-417.2%-130.8%-133.4%-64.9%
Free cash flow-3.1 m-22.1 m-16.1 m-22.4 m-42.6 m-34.0 m-34.2 m-22.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
16.6 m USD
Financial debt
15.0 m USD
Net debt
-1.6 m USD
Equity
42.9 m USD
Total assets
85.4 m USD
Debt / equity
0.35x
Current ratio
1.06x
ROE
-81.7%
ROA
-37.5%
FCF margin
-47.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
34.9 m
2024
46.0 m
2025
48.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
16.5 m
2024
23.3 m
2025
21.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
18.4 m ≈
2024
22.7 m ≈
2025
27.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
18.3 m
2024
18.8 m
2025
14.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-42.1 m
2024
-54.3 m
2025
-28.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
7.9 m
2024
9.5 m
2025
6.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-34.2 m ≈
2024
-44.8 m ≈
2025
-22.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
3.6 m
2024
2.6 m
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-45.7 m
2024
-61.4 m
2025
-31.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
32.0 k
2024
45.0 k
2025
42.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-45.7 m
2024
-61.4 m
2025
-31.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.72
2024
-0.71
2025
-0.26

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
15.4 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
16.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
5.0 m
2024
7.2 m
2025
8.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
3.1 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
25.3 m
2024
19.9 m
2025
30.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
13.2 m
2024
11.0 m
2025
8.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
20.6 m
2024
24.3 m
2025
24.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
17.2 m
2024
14.5 m
2025
13.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
92.2 m
2024
82.5 m
2025
85.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
5.1 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
26.0 m
2024
15.9 m
2025
15.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
17.2 m
2024
18.2 m
2025
29.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
58.8 m
2024
48.3 m
2025
42.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
33.4 m †
2024
34.1 m †
2025
42.9 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-32.6 m
2024
-32.5 m
2025
-20.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.4 m
2024
1.7 m
2025
2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-34.0 m ≈
2024
-34.2 m ≈
2025
-22.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
270.0 k
2024
-9.0 m
2025
-2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
45.6 m
2024
31.1 m
2025
34.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
105.0 k
2024
189.0 k
2025
189.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
34.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
39.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
58.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-27.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-39.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-43.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-26.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-62.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-28.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-38.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-43.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
5.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-10.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
2.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-13.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
59 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
80 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
49.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
54.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-44.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-26.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 51 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.36 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 49.3 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
49.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-62.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-43.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 12 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 1445derived 140

Score by group

  • Valuation57
  • Returns34
  • Quality26
  • Balance sheet0
  • Growth85

Estimated value range

Low
0.41
USD per share
Mid
0.47
USD per share
High
0.50
USD per share
Price: 0.36 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 29.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 23.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.41 – 0.50 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/Sales0.41 – 0.50 (Mid 0.47)
    5 companies used · median multiple 1.4x · quartiles 1.2x – 1.5x
    AIOT, ESE, KSCP, MTEK, TBCH
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Communications Equipment, NEC (SIC 3669)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 51/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality58.2%46 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality-39.4%27 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality-26.2%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth34.5%100 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth5.3%55 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x0 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation1.1x100 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation-26.4%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.1%34 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality26/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns34/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation57/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Rekor Systems, Inc. (REKR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 48.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.3%; net margin -43.8%; ROE -62.8%.

The estimated value range is 0.41–0.50 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.47 USD, the price of 0.36 USD leaves a potential of 29.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 23.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 51/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 34.5%
  • EV/Sales: 1.1x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • EBIT margin: -39.4%
  • FCF margin: -26.2%
  • Current ratio: 0.8x
  • FCF yield: -26.4%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Communications Equipment, NEC (SIC 3669) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 22.6x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 21.7x
P/S
1.0x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−40.9%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−43.1%)
ROE
-62.8%
vertical median -11.7%
below median
Net margin
-43.8%
vertical median -6.4%
below median
EBIT margin
-39.4%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−1,374.1%)
Revenue YoY
5.3%
vertical median 4.9%
above median (+7.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.9x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LITELumentum Holdings Inc.56.8 bn—-245.8%-175.8%+83.2%+93% / +1,364%
ESEEsco Technologies Inc.6.2 bn19.821.4%24.4%+19.2%+13% / +128%
NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc1.1 bn25.923.4%21.6%+11.4%−21% / +4%
AIOTPowerfleet, Inc.381.2 m—-4.0%-4.2%+22.4%−43% / +22%
TBCHTurtle Beach Corporation303.7 m—-3.2%-1.1%−14.2%+22% / +50%
INSGInseego Corp.79.3 m25.3—-6.4%−13.1%−56% / +120%
AMPGAmplitech Group, Inc.74.5 m—-19.4%-33.4%+165.0%−25% / +56%
REKRRekor Systems, Inc.49.3 m—-62.8%-43.8%+5.3%−84% / −88%
KSCPKnightscope, Inc.34.7 m—-201.3%-217.3%+4.9%−91% / −98%
SNTSenstar Technologies Corporation33.7 m10.38.0%8.8%+1.7%−63% / +28%
UTSIUTStarcom Holdings Corp.19.2 m—-19.5%-88.5%−17.5%−16% / −42%
MTEKMaris-Tech Ltd.2.1 m—-168.6%-403.3%−77.9%−81% / −75%

1- and 3-year price returns: for REKR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Rekor Systems builds AI-driven roadway intelligence platforms used by transportation agencies, public safety bodies and commercial operators to monitor and manage traffic. In the second quarter of 2026 the company, still moving toward profitability, reported revenue of 12.7 million USD and a narrower adjusted EBITDA loss, while federal infrastructure investment could support demand for its products.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The integrated offer combines hardware, software and data on one platform, enabling recurring subscriptions and more predictable revenue 1.
    • Improvement in gross margin and cash consumption in 2026 shows that efficiency measures are producing measurable results 3.
    • Presence across traffic, public safety and urban mobility reduces dependence on a single customer segment 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has not yet reached profitability, and past losses have been significant 1.
    • Its presence in transportation and public safety has been limited in the past, making it harder to win contracts against established rivals 1.
    • Reliance on overseas supply chains for hardware components exposes the company to disruption and variable costs 1.

    Opportunities

    • If federal road safety and intelligent transportation grants are accessed, demand from public agencies could grow 1.
    • Expansion of automated enforcement of insurance and registration rules could open new categories of public customers 1.
    • The video authentication technology from Rekor Labs could find uses in media and insurance beyond traditional customers 2.

    Threats

    • Competitors with greater financial resources could cut prices or develop similar products, which could affect the company's growth 1.
    • Government contracts can be terminated on short notice, and long sales cycles make revenue hard to predict 1.
    • Concerns about data privacy and vehicle recognition could slow adoption or lead to stricter regulation 12.

    Risks

    • Lack of profitabilityhigh

      The company has not yet achieved profit, and it is uncertain whether it will reach the adjusted EBITDA profitability it has projected, which could limit investment 13.

    • Refinancing and liquidityhigh

      The evaluation of refinancing the revenue sharing notes and the reduced cash balance could constrain growth plans if financing is not available on acceptable terms 13.

    • Exchange listingmedium

      The filings refer to efforts to regain compliance with Nasdaq continued listing requirements, a factor that can affect access to capital 2.

    • Dependence on government contractsmedium

      Many large contracts can be terminated without cause and renewals are not assured, which makes revenue vulnerable 1.

    • Dependence on outside supplierslow

      Hardware components come from Europe and Asia, and logistical or trade disruptions could raise costs or delay deliveries 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Growth in recurring revenue and gross margin shows the subscription model could become more important in the company's mix 3.
    • If federal infrastructure programs are accessed, the company could benefit from a wave of requests from transportation agencies 1.
    • Lower cash consumption and a smaller workforce could bring the company closer to adjusted EBITDA profitability if these trends hold 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company could remain loss-making in future periods if revenue does not grow enough to cover fixed costs 1.
    • Second-quarter sales grew only modestly year over year, and part of the improvement came from cost reductions and a one-time gain 3.
    • Competition from better-resourced suppliers and the need for additional financing could limit the company's ability to expand its market share 1.

    What to watch

    • Achievement of the adjusted EBITDA profitability projected for the second half of the year2026
    • Outcome of the evaluation of refinancing the revenue sharing notesQ3 2026
    • Trend in recurring revenue and adjusted gross marginQ3 2026
    • Allocation of IIJA federal grants to the company's customersnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Rekor Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: REKR) describes itself as a roadway intelligence company seeking to modernize public safety, urban mobility and transportation management through interconnected AI-driven hardware and software platforms 1. Operations are conducted mainly through the subsidiaries Rekor Recognition Systems, Waycare, Southern Traffic Services and All Traffic Data Services, while Rekor Labs separately develops a video authenticity technology 1.

    The revenue model combines software and data subscriptions with complementary hardware sales, and management expects the bulk of future revenue to come from recurring models 1. Recurring revenue made up a growing part of the top line in the second quarter of 2026, which reflects the stated strategic direction 3. The net loss in fiscal 2025 remained significant, and management said adjusted EBITDA profitability could be reached in the second half of 2026 13.

    Operationally, the company cut headcount and realigned its engineering work in the first half of 2026, which improved gross margin and reduced cash consumption 3. The balance sheet also includes an evaluation of refinancing its Prime Revenue Sharing Notes, a point that remains important for investors 3.

    Segments

    Rekor Command for transportation management

    Rekor Command unifies data from connected vehicles, incidents, construction and weather into one AI-driven operating platform for traffic agencies, with applications for monitoring, incident management and advanced analytics 1.

    Rekor Discover for urban mobility

    Rekor Discover automatically collects vehicle data and turns it into traffic reports that meet federal classification standards, covering counts, classes and speeds, for agencies and real estate developers 1.

    Rekor Scout for public safety

    Rekor Scout recognizes license plates and vehicle characteristics from existing cameras, connects agencies to watch lists and generates alerts for law enforcement 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in the roadway intelligence and smart city market, where it argues that growing urban populations and the need for more efficient infrastructure management support demand 1. Federal IIJA investments, including programs of over 200 million USD annually for road safety and 500 million USD for the SMART program, could open funding for public customers 1.

    The market for connected vehicle data and automated recognition is still relatively new, and adoption depends on cost, performance and available public funding, which makes growth uncertain 12.

    Trends

    • Federal infrastructure fundingtailwind

      IIJA programs could support purchases by transportation and public safety agencies if grants are directed toward roadway intelligence solutions 1.

    • Automated enforcement of lawstailwind

      Expansion of legislation on automated enforcement, such as insurance compliance, could enlarge the market for vehicle recognition products 1.

    • Cheaper GPUs and edge processingmixed

      More affordable graphics processors and edge processing could lower hardware and data transfer costs, although competitors can use the same technologies 1.

    • Pressure on profitabilityheadwind

      Investments in new markets and products continue to weigh on operating margins, and persistent losses can limit the company's ability to fund growth 13.

    Competitive position

    Rekor competes with established technology and transportation services companies, some with greater financial and commercial resources and long-standing agency relationships 1. Industry consolidation and strategic partnerships can create broader offerings that are difficult to match 1.

    The company says its software outperforms competitors in published benchmarks, but large road operators with long-term contracts may be reluctant to replace their existing systems 1.

    • Furtivo Solutions

      Competitor named in the company's sources in transportation management; not identified as US-listed in the available sources.

    • Established ITS system suppliers

      Companies with long-term contracts and large resources that can expand offerings through acquisitions or partnerships; sources do not give tickers.

    • License plate recognition vendors

      Operators offering installed systems for tolling and enforcement; the sources do not specify their listing status.

    • New entrants from connected vehicle data

      Players without a current market position that could enter through partnerships; sources do not name them.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report27 Oct 2026
      Delisting notice · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report19 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report16 Oct 2026
      Shareholder vote
    • Current report06 Oct 2026
      Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 Sept 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report13 Aug 2026
    • Current report13 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report15 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report15 May 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report11 May 2026

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Rekor Systems, Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Rekor Systems, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Rekor Systems, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.