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olivLaw · US equity research

Upexi, Inc. UPXI

Finance Services · SIC 6199 · Vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

0.71USD−6.13% · 1 dayClose 02 Nov 2026

Upexi, Inc. is a Nasdaq-listed company that since 2025 has pursued a Solana treasury strategy, holding SOL and earning yield through staking, while keeping a smaller consumer-brand business alongside it. In fiscal 2026 total revenue was about 25.0 million USD, while the net loss of 246.1 million USD, driven largely by unrealized losses on digital assets, shows how much the company depends on the SOL price.

At the close of 02 Nov 2026, Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) stock was 0.71 USD (−6.13% on the day), with market capitalisation 58.5 m USD, beta 1.02, 52-week range 0.57–3.84 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 3.1 m USD (−26.6% YoY), net income of -24.5 m USD, diluted EPS -0.34 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
58.5 m USD
shares as of 15 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.87 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-543.16%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.02
Volatility (1y) 117%
52-week range
0.573.84

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
28.2
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.65 – 1.21
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.11 · band width 59.7%
SMA 50 / 200
1.04 / 1.08
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.09 / -0.07
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−39.1%−2.3%−36.8 pp—
3 months−10.9%−0.8%−10.2 pp—
6 months−47.6%+4.7%−52.3 pp—
Year to date−57.6%+10.2%−67.8 pp—
1 year−84.1%+10.3%−94.3 pp−41.5%
3 years−96.8%+73.0%−169.9 pp−44.3%
5 years−99.4%+61.8%−161.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−85.3%
03 Nov 2025 → 23 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.5%
08 Aug 2022 → 23 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−63.6%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
3.1 m USD
−26.6% YoY
Net income
-24.5 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.34
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-779.4% / -884.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue4.4 m4.0 m3.2 m4.3 m9.2 m8.1 m4.6 m3.1 m
Cost of revenue1.4 m1.0 m1.6 m884.1 k956.7 k1.3 m206.4 k126.3 k
Gross profit2.9 m3.0 m1.6 m3.4 m8.3 m6.7 m4.4 m3.0 m
Operating income-1.3 m-1.1 m-3.6 m-6.5 m69.2 m-175.4 m-106.8 m-27.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation259.1 k239.8 k ≈217.7 k ≈41.2 k155.1 k153.6 k ≈107.5 k ≈40.1 k
Interest expense28.9 k55.8 k25.0 k23.0 k21.0 k17.8 k15.6 k8.4 k
Pre-tax income-1.6 m-1.3 m-3.8 m-6.9 m66.7 m-178.9 m-109.3 m-24.5 m
Income tax00000000
Net income-1.6 m-1.3 m-3.8 m-6.9 m66.7 m-178.9 m-109.3 m-24.5 m
Diluted EPS1.55-1.24-2.87-0.24 ≈0.76-2.94-1.67-0.34 ≈
Operating cash flow-2.0 m-1.4 m ≈-778.7 k ≈-4.3 m-9.8 m-2.7 m ≈-4.8 m ≈-3.7 m
Capex167.4 k0 ≈30.6 k ≈189.8 k14.8 k17.5 k ≈11.7 k ≈0
Share repurchases———0———0

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2020202120222023202420252026
Revenue7.4 m24.1 m23.1 m36.4 m26.0 m15.8 m25.0 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+225.0%−4.3%+58.0%−28.7%−39.2%+58.1%
Net income-5.4 m3.0 m-2.0 m-17.5 m-23.7 m-13.7 m-246.1 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−168.7%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.530.21-0.43-18.94-23.03-1.73-3.87
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−304.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-72.6%12.4%-8.9%-48.0%-91.0%-86.5%-984.3%
Free cash flow-6.1 m1.5 m-5.6 m-734.9 k-1.0 m-8.8 m-21.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
5.8 m USD
Financial debt
57.3 m USD
Net debt
51.5 m USD
Equity
-53.8 m USD
Total assets
180.1 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.64x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-161.9%
FCF margin
-84.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
26.0 m
2025
15.8 m
2026
25.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
13.2 m
2025
4.9 m
2026
2.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
12.8 m
2025
10.9 m
2026
22.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-22.5 m
2025
-12.5 m
2026
-240.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
3.7 m
2025
757.8 k
2026
456.2 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
-18.8 m ≈
2025
-11.7 m ≈
2026
-240.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
99.6 k
2025
103.8 k
2026
62.7 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-25.6 m
2025
-13.7 m
2026
-246.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-332.1 k
2025
0
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Net income
2024
-23.7 m
2025
-13.7 m
2026
-246.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-23.03
2025
-1.73
2026
-3.87

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
1.0 m
2025
7.9 m
2026
63.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
661.4 k
2025
3.0 m
2026
5.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Receivables
2024
606.9 k
2025
157.5 k
2026
97.2 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Inventories
2024
1.4 m
2025
1.2 m
2026
266.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Current assets
2024
11.4 m
2025
56.8 m
2026
116.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
2.4 m
2025
2.1 m
2026
208.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
848.9 k
2025
848.9 k
2026
673.9 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
239.9 k
2025
163.1 k
2026
86.4 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Total assets
2024
23.5 m
2025
123.8 m
2026
180.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
481.6 k
2025
1.0 m
2026
277.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
0
2025
20.0 m
2026
57.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Oct 2023verified

Current liabilities
2024
12.7 m
2025
32.6 m
2026
71.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Equity
2024
6.5 m
2025
90.1 m
2026
-53.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2024
20.9 m
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Jul 2024verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
-101.4 k
2025
-8.4 m
2026
-21.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Capex
2024
932.6 k
2025
387.8 k
2026
44.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
-1.0 m ≈
2025
-8.8 m ≈
2026
-21.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-3.4 m
2025
-99.3 m
2026
-30.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-353.8 k
2025
110.0 m
2026
54.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
—
2025
0
2026
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Sept 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
58.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-11.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
89.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
-961.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
-963.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
-984.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
-84.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
-1,356.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-161.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-221.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
51.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
-3,839.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-21.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
44.0 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
-21.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
2 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
98 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
91 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
9 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
58.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
110.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-543.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
2.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
4.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-35.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.71 USD

02 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 58.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
58.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-1,356.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-984.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
58.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 15 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 17 Sept 2026
verified 896derived 82

Score by group

40% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-984.3%20 (vs peers)16%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-11.8%0 (on a fixed band)21%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-3,839.8x0 (on a fixed band)16%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x70 (on a fixed band)11%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-35.9%0 (on a fixed band)21%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.7%68 (on a fixed band)16%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet28/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial20/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial68/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

UPEXI, INC. (UPXI). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 25.0 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 58.1%; net margin -984.3%; ROE -1,356.3%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 1.6x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -984.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -11.8%
  • Interest coverage: -3,839.8x
  • FCF yield: -35.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Finance Services (SIC 6199) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 26.4x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
2.3x
vertical median 5.8x
below median (−59.7%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.0x
ROE
-1,356.3%
vertical median -45.7%
below median
Net margin
-984.3%
vertical median -142.7%
below median
EBIT margin
-963.5%
vertical median -177.0%
below median
Revenue YoY
58.1%
vertical median 11.0%
above median (+427.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AXPAmerican Express Co219.9 bn18.435.9%27.9%+6.4%−10% / +92%
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.36.5 bn—-4.7%-12.5%+9.4%−49% / +11%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.21.4 bn34.77.1%104.3%+23.1%−44% / +128%
RIOTRiot Platforms, Inc.4.4 bn—-48.2%-196.3%+71.9%−27% / −6%
CORZCore Scientific, Inc.4.0 bn——-324.9%−37.5%−26% / unavailable
CIFRCipher Digital Inc.3.1 bn—-156.8%-742.3%+48.0%−66% / +148%
MARAMara Holdings, Inc.2.5 bn—-107.2%-430.2%+38.2%−46% / −46%
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn43.87.9%4.8%+64.0%−53% / −20%
SBETSharplink, Inc.1.4 bn—-183.6%-3,406.3%+666.1%−39% / −61%
KEELKeel Infrastructure Corp.1.2 bn—-87.6%-230.6%+72.0%−46% / +32%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.930.1 m21.9—4.2%+9.9%−33% / unavailable
JFU9F Inc.555.2 m24.04.7%125.2%+12.2%−51% / −41%
ABTCAmerican Bitcoin Corp.509.2 m—-38.5%-71.7%+158.8%−90% / −99%
HIVEHive Digital Technologies Ltd.469.0 m—-66.4%-98.5%+158.3%−49% / −44%
SAIHSAIHEAT Limited364.1 m—-59.3%-142.7%−18.4%+244% / +83%
CHADDefi Development Corp.309.7 m—-589.3%-1,319.5%+442.3%unavailable / unavailable
BTBTBit Digital, Inc.265.4 m—-56.7%-237.2%+5.1%−69% / −71%
DGXXDigi Power X Inc.215.5 m—-24.7%-114.8%−7.6%−48% / +49%
ZSQRZ Squared Inc.195.6 m—-25.9%-642.0%unavailable−80% / −84%
CNTNCanton Strategic Holdings, Inc.162.5 m—-43.1%—unavailable−22% / −84%
TONXTon Strategy Company160.3 m—-75.5%-532.8%+1,327.8%−15% / −93%
SLNHSoluna Holdings, Inc.142.7 m—-114.6%-185.9%−21.8%−66% / −81%
NAKANakamoto Inc.99.1 m—-342.8%-1,507.8%−33.0%−72% / unavailable
AGPUAxe Compute Inc88.2 m—-1,565.2%-7,769.8%+47.7%+27% / −84%
MGLDThe Marygold Companies, Inc.84.1 m—-20.7%-17.3%+8.0%+93% / +91%

1- and 3-year price returns: for UPXI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Upexi, Inc. is a Nasdaq-listed company that since 2025 has pursued a Solana treasury strategy, holding SOL and earning yield through staking, while keeping a smaller consumer-brand business alongside it. In fiscal 2026 total revenue was about 25.0 million USD, while the net loss of 246.1 million USD, driven largely by unrealized losses on digital assets, shows how much the company depends on the SOL price.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds a established position in the Solana treasury, with a high share of SOL in staking and staking income already visible in the fiscal results.
    • The balance sheet was strengthened by retiring convertible debt and reducing the cost of the credit facility, which could support financial stability.
    • Diversifying yield sources, such as buying locked SOL at a discount, offers more ways to create value for shareholders.

    Weaknesses

    • Very large net losses, driven by unrealized losses on digital assets, show strong exposure to SOL price volatility.
    • Revenue from the traditional brand business has fallen sharply, and management does not expect a quick recovery.
    • Cash is low relative to debt and to the higher administrative costs, which leaves limited buffer.

    Opportunities

    • A recovery in the SOL price could restore treasury value and increase staking income.
    • Buying locked SOL at a discount could generate gains as the discount converges toward spot during the unlock period.
    • Share issuance through an at-the-market programme could fund additional SOL purchases on favourable terms.

    Threats

    • A continued fall in the SOL price could produce further unrealized losses and reduce the value of collateral under credit facilities.
    • Dilution of shareholders through future share or convertible issuance could weigh on the share price.
    • Technology and protocol risks on the Solana network, including consensus changes, could affect staking yield.

    Risks

    • Exposure to the SOL pricehigh

      Most of the company's assets are held in SOL, and a fall in price produces significant accounting losses, as happened in fiscal 2026 12.

    • Liquidity and staking waiting periodsmedium

      Unstaking takes time and locked SOL has transfer restrictions. If urgent liquidity were needed, the company might not be able to meet current obligations on time 1.

    • Debt and cost of financinghigh

      Short-term and convertible debt is large, and collateral could be affected by lower asset prices, which might force adjustments to credit facilities 12.

    • Nasdaq listing compliancemedium

      The company does not currently meet the stockholders' equity standard, and continued listing relies on the market value of listed securities standard. A fall in value could lead to listing problems 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the SOL market recovers, the treasury could regain value, and staking income, already significant, could grow further.
    • A cleaner balance sheet, with less debt and lower interest costs, could give the company more flexibility in the period ahead.
    • Combining staking, discounted locked-SOL purchases and equity issuance could accelerate long-term SOL accumulation.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company remains highly exposed to the volatility of a single asset, and accounting losses can be large even over short periods of price decline.
    • Debt and collateral could become a problem if the SOL price keeps falling, and high administrative costs could absorb staking income.
    • The brand business is in decline and management does not expect it to recover, leaving the company more dependent on a single market factor.

    What to watch

    • Staking revenue against ongoing cash operating expensesCurrent quarter, fiscal 2027
    • Unlocking of locked SOL on the schedule running through January 20282027
    • Effect of the lower credit facility rate on financing costsQ1 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Upexi operates in the cryptocurrency industry by managing cash assets through a crypto portfolio focused mainly on Solana tokens, generating yield from the treasury chiefly through staking. The company also remains a brand owner, selling products wholesale and direct to consumers, with distribution and fulfillment outsourced to a specialized third party 1. The strategy was adopted in 2025, when the company shifted from holding excess cash in interest-bearing bank accounts to holding digital assets directly on its balance sheet 1.

    The company does not self-custody its assets and uses third-party qualified custodians, primarily BitGo Trust Company, Inc., and also maintains a relationship with Coinbase, Inc. 1. SOL is staked natively through Solana's in-protocol delegation, and the company uses several validators to reduce dependence on any single one 1. Reporting is organized as a single segment covering sales and distribution of branded products, after the sale of E-Core Technology Inc. and its subsidiaries 1.

    Treasury management includes acquiring SOL over several days or weeks, allocating it to staking and validators, and selling SOL into the market if needed 1. The company has also described buying locked SOL at a discount to spot, with unlocking scheduled through January 2028 12.

    Market context

    Management described the digital asset market as subdued in fiscal 2026 and said it focused on what it could control 2. The company operates as a public-market treasury model on Solana, an alternative to a Bitcoin-based approach, applied to an asset considered earlier in its lifecycle in terms of development and institutional adoption 1. If the SOL price rose, the value of the treasury would follow, while a decline produces unrealized losses, as happened in fiscal 2026 12.

    The market for branded consumer products is limited, and the company has said revenue from this area is not expected to grow significantly 1. In fiscal 2026 the company relied mainly on capital raised for its digital asset strategy rather than on operating sales 1.

    Trends

    • SOL price trajectorymixed

      Most of the company's losses come from the difference between the SOL price and its acquisition cost, and treasury gains depend directly on that price. If the market recovers, the treasury value could return, while a prolonged low price could keep accounting losses going 12.

    • Staking and Solana network yieldtailwind

      Native staking on Solana generates rewards distributed each epoch of roughly two days, and revenue from this source could rise as more SOL is staked 1. Planned protocol changes, such as the Alpenglow upgrade expected in late 2026, could alter the consensus mechanism 1.

    • Cost of financing and debtmixed

      The treasury was financed largely through convertible notes and loans, and interest costs rose considerably. Cutting the credit facility rate from 11.5% to 7.5% a year after year-end could ease pressure on financing costs 2.

    • Overhead of a company in transitionmixed

      Administrative costs rose sharply in fiscal 2026 as the treasury strategy was built and public-company costs increased. Management announced an efficiency programme and expects staking revenue could exceed ongoing operating expenses starting with the current quarter 12.

    Competitive position

    Official sources do not provide a detailed list of direct competitors. The company describes itself as a leader among Solana-focused digital asset treasuries but offers no comparison with other entities in that category 2. In consumer products it competes with other brand owners, though the sources do not name them 1.

    The main differentiator the company states is the combination of SOL accumulation, staking of over 95% of its SOL, and purchases of locked SOL at a discount 12. Competitive risk also depends on the company's ability to raise capital through share issuance or convertible instruments 1.

    • Other Solana-focused digital asset treasuries

      The sources do not name specific companies in this category, which could include other listed firms accumulating SOL for staking.

    • Consumer product brand owners

      Competition in the consumer products area is not detailed in the official sources reviewed.

    • Digital asset custody providers

      The company relies on third-party custodians to hold its SOL, making them part of the ecosystem rather than necessarily competitors.

    • Solana validators

      Validators are staking partners, but their performance directly affects the company's yield.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 18 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 13 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report13 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Proxy statement13 Oct 2026
    • Current report07 Oct 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Sept 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Annual report17 Sept 2026
    • Current report15 Sept 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report09 Sept 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report31 Jul 2026
      Delisting notice · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report30 Jun 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Upexi, Inc. · 17 Sept 2026
    2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Upexi, Inc. · 17 Sept 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.