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olivLaw · US equity research

American Bitcoin Corp. ABTC

Finance Services · SIC 6199 · Vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

6.24USD−5.60% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC) is a Bitcoin accumulation platform that combines large-scale self-mining with a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Its relevance now lies in the fast growth of its reserve and record production in the second quarter of 2026, achieved amid Bitcoin price volatility. As of June 30, 2026, the reserve stood at approximately 8,000 Bitcoin, and mining revenue in the second quarter reached about 67.0 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC) stock was 6.24 USD (−5.60% on the day), with market capitalisation 516.7 m USD, beta 3.81, 52-week range 5.19–76.05 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 67.0 m USD (+121.3% YoY), net income of -57.2 m USD (−1,765.7% YoY), diluted EPS -0.80 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
516.7 m USD
shares as of 14 Aug 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.94 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-15.06%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
3.81
Volatility (1y) 107%
52-week range
5.1976.05

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
38.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
6.21 – 8.90
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.01 · band width 35.5%
SMA 50 / 200
8.21 / 12.37
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.48 / -0.32
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−28.4%−1.1%−27.3 pp—
3 months−4.6%−0.5%−4.1 pp—
6 months−66.7%+4.4%−71.1 pp—
Year to date−75.5%+12.3%−87.8 pp—
1 year−91.0%+13.5%−104.6 pp−47.3%
3 years−98.5%+76.4%−174.9 pp−62.8%
5 years−100.0%+63.7%−163.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−93.2%
18 Nov 2025 → 29 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−100.0%
15 Nov 2021 → 29 Jul 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−84.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
67.0 m USD
+121.3% YoY
Net income
-57.2 m USD
−1,765.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.80
−1,433.3% YoY
net / operating
-85.3% / -110.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue11.6 m15.7 m12.3 m30.3 m64.2 m78.3 m62.1 m67.0 m
Cost of revenue11.1 m-64.0 k11.7 m15.3 m28.3 m36.7 m29.6 m34.0 m
Operating income-10.2 m308.1 m-135.0 m4.4 m7.2 m-104.6 m-118.2 m-74.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.3 m13.3 m6.4 m10.0 m15.2 m26.6 m26.6 m28.2 m
Interest expense283.0 k2.6 m—6.0 k————
Pre-tax income-1.1 m294.9 m-114.1 m4.4 m5.2 m-66.8 m-80.8 m-55.7 m
Income tax-573.0 k34.8 m-13.5 m961.0 k1.8 m-7.4 m957.0 k1.4 m
Net income-576.0 k260.2 m-100.6 m3.4 m3.5 m-59.5 m-81.8 m-57.2 m
Diluted EPS-0.150.29 ≈-0.110.060.00 ≈-0.06 ≈-0.08-0.80
Operating cash flow-76.8 m ≈23.6 m-44.7 m650.0 k ≈937.0 k ≈-36.5 m-42.5 m-21.3 m ≈
Capex2.5 m ≈3.0 m——————
Share repurchases——72.0 k—————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year201820192020⚠ 20212022⚠ 202320242025
Revenue10.5 m10.8 m12.6 m17.6 m10.5 m65.0 m71.5 m185.2 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+3.3%+16.2%—−40.7%—+10.1%+158.8%
Net income-2.5 m-12.4 m-13.6 m-31.3 m-79.1 m39.6 m428.9 m-153.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailable—+982.8%−135.7%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailable-24.44-546.560.040.49-0.17
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailable—+1,125.0%−134.7%
net %-23.8%-114.6%-107.9%-177.7%-755.9%61.0%599.6%-82.7%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailable-8.2 m-10.9 m-57.9 m-60.6 munavailable

The series breaks before 2021, 2023: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
3.8 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
665.8 m USD
Total assets
1.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.08x
ROE
-18.2%
ROA
-13.0%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
65.0 m
2024
71.5 m
2025
185.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
43.6 m
2024
39.5 m
2025
92.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
3.4 m
2024
32.0 m ≈
2025
93.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
2.3 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2024verified

Operating income
2023
6.2 m
2024
484.1 m
2025
-228.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
918.9 k
2024
22.7 m
2025
58.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
7.2 m ≈
2024
506.8 m ≈
2025
-169.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
8.8 m
2024
3.5 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
20.8 m
2024
493.4 m
2025
-171.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-18.8 m
2024
59.6 m
2025
-18.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
39.6 m
2024
428.9 m
2025
-153.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.04
2024
0.49
2025
-0.17

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
891.8 m
2024
891.8 m
2025
905.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
915.0 k
2024
735.0 k
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
486.0 k
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 May 2024verified

Current assets
2023
5.4 m
2024
153.1 m
2025
8.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
12.9 m
2024
43.1 m
2025
341.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
57.6 m
2024
53.1 m
2025
154.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
100.0 k
2024
100.0 k
2025
998.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
18.8 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.2 m
2024
876.0 k
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
14.9 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 May 2024verified

Long-term debt
2023
5.1 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2024verified

Current liabilities
2023
19.4 m
2024
50.3 m
2025
111.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
19.4 m
2024
91.3 m
2025
580.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
473.8 m †
2024
1.0 bn †
2025
665.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-56.0 m
2024
-54.0 m
2025
-79.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.9 m
2024
6.6 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-57.9 m ≈
2024
-60.6 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
62.7 m
2024
-66.6 m
2025
-398.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-6.8 m
2024
120.6 m
2025
481.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
158.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
160.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
71.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-147.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-135.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-134.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
52.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-71.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-106.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-71.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-38.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-38.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-29.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-24.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-100.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-99.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
6.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2025
Free cash flow
-105.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
34 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
516.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-20.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

6.24 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 516.7 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
516.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-38.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-71.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
158.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 14 Aug 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Aug 2026
verified 1061derived 70

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-71.7%58 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth160.6%100 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-100.2x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.2x0 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-20.4%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial58/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 185.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 158.8%; net margin -71.7%; ROE -38.5%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 160.6%

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: -100.2x
  • Current ratio: 0.2x
  • FCF yield: -20.4%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Finance Services (SIC 6199) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 20.9x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
1.9x
vertical median 6.9x
below median (−72.5%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−29.1%)
ROE
-38.5%
vertical median -26.3%
below median
Net margin
-71.7%
vertical median -107.2%
above median
EBIT margin
-106.6%
vertical median -160.1%
above median
Revenue YoY
158.8%
vertical median 15.2%
above median (+946.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AXPAmerican Express Co223.0 bn18.735.9%27.9%+6.4%−9% / +95%
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.38.5 bn—-4.7%-12.5%+9.4%−47% / +17%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.21.7 bn35.07.1%104.3%+23.1%−44% / +130%
IRENIREN Limited7.8 bn—-23.4%-99.4%+41.1%−55% / +340%
HUTHut 8 Corp.6.0 bn—-44.3%-188.6%+44.8%+9% / +415%
BLSHBullish3.5 bn—-27.3%-0.3%−2.2%−47% / unavailable
PURRHyperliquid Strategies Inc1.9 bn3.032.6%3,229.8%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
CLSKCleanSpark, Inc.1.7 bn—-68.6%-130.2%+102.2%−55% / +9%
WLTHWealthfront Corporation1.7 bn—-20.5%-19.4%+18.2%unavailable / unavailable
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group1.5 bn—-196.7%-171.3%−5.1%−51% / +45%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.1.0 bn24.1—4.2%+9.9%−26% / unavailable
AMBRAmber International Holding Limited865.0 m—-116.1%-88.7%−9.0%−27% / −51%
CDChaince Digital Holdings Inc.741.4 m—-12.3%-182.5%+277.9%−30% / +622%
TRONTron Inc.664.1 m96.83.8%135.6%+10.0%−24% / −48%
JFU9F Inc.536.7 m23.24.7%125.2%+12.2%−52% / −43%
ABTCAmerican Bitcoin Corp.516.7 m—-38.5%-71.7%+158.8%−91% / −98%
ORBSEightco Holdings Inc.340.9 m—-157.0%-1,260.9%−16.8%−70% / −74%
CHADDefi Development Corp.310.0 m—-589.3%-1,319.5%+442.3%unavailable / unavailable
CPSSConsumer Portfolio Services, Inc.221.6 m9.97.5%5.0%+10.4%+23% / +7%
DGXXDigi Power X Inc.217.0 m—-24.7%-114.8%−7.6%−48% / +50%
TONXTon Strategy Company159.7 m—-75.5%-532.8%+1,327.8%−15% / −93%
DEFTDefi Technologies Inc.152.4 m2.374.0%62.9%+215.5%−74% / unavailable
HSDTSolana Company127.0 m—-183.2%-1,302.8%+1,057.1%−49% / −100%
AGPUAxe Compute Inc86.2 m—-1,565.2%-7,769.8%+47.7%+24% / −85%
MGLDThe Marygold Companies, Inc.84.1 m—-20.7%-17.3%+8.0%+93% / +91%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ABTC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC) is a Bitcoin accumulation platform that combines large-scale self-mining with a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Its relevance now lies in the fast growth of its reserve and record production in the second quarter of 2026, achieved amid Bitcoin price volatility 3. As of June 30, 2026, the reserve stood at approximately 8,000 Bitcoin 2, and mining revenue in the second quarter reached about 67.0 million USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds a large Bitcoin reserve and an owned fleet of miners with significant capacity, giving it a visible operational base 23.
    • Quarterly production reached a record level, showing execution capability in its mining operations 3.
    • The model integrates owned mining with strategic accumulation, a combination that can support growth in Bitcoin holdings per share 23.

    Weaknesses

    • The company is highly concentrated in a single asset, Bitcoin, and its results depend on its price 1.
    • Operations rely on hosting and administration services from Hut 8, creating dependence on a closely linked partner 1.
    • Fair-value accounting for Bitcoin can produce large swings in quarterly results, complicating the reading of operating performance 1.

    Opportunities

    • If production and efficiency keep rising, the company could expand its reserve and improve per-share metrics 23.
    • The at-the-market equity program could fund fleet expansion if market conditions are favorable 1.
    • New mining sites such as Drumheller could add capacity if returns justify the investment 12.

    Threats

    • A fall in the Bitcoin price could significantly reduce revenue and reserve value, as seen in the second quarter 3.
    • Rising network hashrate and halving-driven reward cuts could reduce the company's share of rewards 1.
    • Custody, counterparty and cybersecurity risks could lead to losses if assets are compromised or a provider becomes insolvent 1.

    Risks

    • Concentration in Bitcoinhigh

      The company has almost total exposure to a single volatile asset, and price drops can affect results and the value of its shares 1.

    • Dependence on Hut 8high

      Mining operations and part of the infrastructure are run under agreements with Hut 8, creating reliance on its main partner 1.

    • Custody riskhigh

      Bitcoin is not insured like bank deposits, and loss of private keys or compromise of providers could lead to irreversible losses 1.

    • Equipment supply riskmedium

      Delays or failure to fulfil miner orders can limit expansion and tie up capital through advance deposits paid to suppliers 1.

    • Controlling shareholdermedium

      The multi-class share structure and controlled-company status can limit the influence of minority shareholders over decisions 3.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If production and efficiency stay near recent levels, the company could keep growing its Bitcoin reserve and per-share metrics 23.
    • Combining owned mining with strategic accumulation could give an edge over Bitcoin holders without their own infrastructure 2.
    • Holding gross margins near the 50% level even as the price fell could signal meaningful operational resilience 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If the Bitcoin price stays under pressure for longer, revenue, margins and reserve value could be hurt 13.
    • Continued growth in network hashrate and equipment costs could lower fleet returns if expansion does not keep pace 1.
    • Dilution from selling shares in the open market could reduce value per share if added Bitcoin does not offset the higher share count 13.

    What to watch

    • Bitcoin production trend and cost to mine per BitcoinQ3 2026
    • Reserve development, including the portion pledged for miner purchasesQ3 2026
    • Progress of fleet expansion and delivery of new miners2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    The company describes itself as a Bitcoin accumulation platform whose stated objective is Bitcoin accumulation through a three-part strategy: efficient mining, disciplined reserve expansion and ecosystem engagement 2. Revenue comes from Bitcoin rewards earned by providing computing services to third-party mining pool operators, paid on a contractual formula tied to the computing power provided 1. The company was separated from Hut 8, which contributed ASIC miners in March 2025, and is now a majority-owned subsidiary of Hut 8 13.

    Mining operations are hosted at several sites managed under the agreement with Hut 8, including Alpha, Medicine Hat, Salt Creek and Vega, with the Drumheller site added after new miners were energized in April 2026 12. Power costs are treated as a pass-through expense, which makes profitability sensitive to electricity price changes 1. The company holds Bitcoin with third-party custodians such as Coinbase Custody and Anchorage Digital Bank 1.

    Segments

    Bitcoin mining

    The mining segment generates revenue from Bitcoin rewards and is the main source of Bitcoin added to the reserve, with production of about 932 Bitcoin in the second quarter of 2026 3. The cost to mine was about 36,500 USD per Bitcoin, against average revenue of about 71,900 USD per Bitcoin 3.

    Trends

    • Rising global hashrateheadwind

      Continued growth in the Bitcoin network's computing power could reduce the company's share of rewards if it does not keep expanding its own fleet 1.

    • Bitcoin price volatilitymixed

      Swings in the Bitcoin price directly affect revenue and the fair-value accounting of the reserve, which can make quarterly results more volatile 13.

    • Regulation of digital assetsmixed

      Changes in regulation and public policy can affect the price, custody and operation of providers in the Bitcoin ecosystem, with possible impact on the company 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with other public Bitcoin treasury holders and with other ways of investing in Bitcoin, including exchange-traded funds that track the Bitcoin price 12. Competitors named in its materials include companies running mining and Bitcoin treasuries, but the exact list is not detailed in the sources available 12.

    Mining competition depends on acquiring new equipment at scale, and supplier delays can limit the ability to keep pace with the network 1. The company positions itself as a platform built around Bitcoin rather than a diversified holding, which differentiates it from other industry players 2.

    • Other public Bitcoin treasury holders

      Companies that hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets and compete for investors seeking Bitcoin exposure, not individually named in the sources provided.

    • Bitcoin exchange-traded funds

      Financial products offering exposure to the Bitcoin price and presented as an alternative investment, noted among the company's risks.

    • Large-scale mining operators

      Competitors that grow their hashrate and determine the share of rewards the company can earn.

    • Mining equipment manufacturers

      Producers of ASIC miners from which the company buys equipment, whose deliveries shape its capacity to expand.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 16 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / American Bitcoin Corp. · 27 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / American Bitcoin Corp. · 03 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / American Bitcoin Corp. · 03 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.