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olivLaw · US equity research

IREN Ltd IREN

Finance Services · SIC 6199 · Vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

21.71USD−11.24% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform that owns data centers, GPU compute and software for AI training and inference. The company is shifting from Bitcoin mining to AI Cloud, and its AI Cloud revenue rose to 128.8 million USD in fiscal 2026 from 16.4 million USD, driven by strong demand for compute capacity.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, IREN Ltd (IREN) stock was 21.71 USD (−11.24% on the day), with market capitalisation 7.8 bn USD, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 2.86, 52-week range 21.71–76.41 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 137.2 m USD (−26.7% YoY), net income of -684.0 m USD (−487.1% YoY), diluted EPS -1.88 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
7.8 bn USD
shares as of 30 Apr 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.22 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-10.23%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
2.86
Volatility (1y) 107%
52-week range
21.7176.41

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
31.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
19.70 – 36.42
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.12 · band width 59.6%
SMA 50 / 200
36.68 / 43.88
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-4.11 / -3.95
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−46.4%−1.1%−45.3 pp—
3 months−44.2%−0.5%−43.7 pp—
6 months−64.4%+4.4%−68.8 pp—
Year to date−42.5%+12.3%−54.8 pp—
1 year−67.4%+13.5%−81.0 pp−52.3%
3 years+522.1%+76.4%+445.7 pp−64.5%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−71.6%
05 Nov 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−95.7%
19 Nov 2021 → 28 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
137.2 m USD
−26.7% YoY
Net income
-684.0 m USD
−487.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
-1.88
−392.9% YoY
net / operating
-498.5% / -452.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue52.8 m116.1 m144.8 m187.3 m240.3 m184.7 m144.8 m137.2 m
Cost of revenue31.9 m32.3 m42.0 m52.9 m80.7 m65.8 m39.9 m33.3 m
SG&A25.2 m28.9 m29.1 m53.3 m138.4 m100.8 m81.8 m128.3 m
Operating income-47.1 m17.3 m29.2 m17.9 m-76.4 m-116.4 m-233.5 m-620.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation33.9 m36.1 m47.3 m63.8 m85.2 m99.2 m121.2 m112.1 m
Interest expense22.0 k1.7 m4.1 m5.2 m9.3 m10.7 m14.8 m24.5 m
Pre-tax income-50.4 m-18.9 m-11.1 m173.9 m575.3 m-337.9 m-254.1 m-692.0 m
Income tax1.3 m3.0 m5.0 m-2.8 m190.7 m-182.5 m-6.3 m-8.0 m
Net income-51.7 m-21.9 m-16.1 m176.7 m384.6 m-155.4 m-247.8 m-684.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.27-0.10-0.070.64 ≈1.08-0.52-0.74-1.88 ≈
Operating cash flow-3.9 m53.6 m ≈93.1 m ≈103.1 m142.4 m71.7 m ≈75.3 m ≈1.8 bn
Capex105.8 m139.1 m ≈144.5 m ≈184.1 m180.3 m539.7 m ≈949.2 m ≈1.3 bn

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2020202120222023202420252026
Revenue2.2 m7.9 m59.0 m75.5 m187.2 m501.0 m707.0 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+263.3%+647.5%+27.9%+147.9%+167.7%+41.1%
Net income-2.1 m-60.4 m-419.8 m-171.8 m-28.9 m86.9 m-702.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−908.2%
Diluted EPS-0.13-2.93-10.25-3.14-0.290.39-2.22
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−669.2%
net %-98.5%-764.6%-711.0%-227.6%-15.4%17.4%-99.4%
Free cash flow-4.9 m-5.5 m-121.1 m-110.3 m-89.6 m-327.6 m-897.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
5.9 bn USD
Financial debt
7.6 bn USD
Net debt
1.7 bn USD
Equity
4.2 bn USD
Total assets
15.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.81x
Current ratio
3.55x
ROE
-23.4%
ROA
-7.5%
FCF margin
-127.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
187.2 m
2025
501.0 m
2026
707.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
87.1 m
2025
159.0 m
2026
219.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
100.1 m ≈
2025
342.0 m ≈
2026
487.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026derived

SG&A
2024
70.4 m
2025
136.5 m
2026
449.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-27.2 m
2025
17.3 m
2026
-1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
50.5 m
2025
181.1 m
2026
417.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
23.2 m ≈
2025
198.5 m ≈
2026
-629.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
98.0 k
2025
11.0 m
2026
59.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-25.5 m
2025
93.5 m
2026
-708.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
3.5 m
2025
6.6 m
2026
-6.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
-28.9 m
2025
86.9 m
2026
-702.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-0.29
2025
0.39
2026
-2.22

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
99.6 m
2025
223.2 m
2026
316.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
0.00
2025
0.00
2026
0.00

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
404.6 m
2025
564.5 m
2026
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
152.0 k
2025
1.6 m
2026
21.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
452.4 m
2025
641.2 m
2026
7.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
441.4 m
2025
1.9 bn
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Aug 2025verified

Goodwill
2024
0
2025
0
2026
36.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
—
2025
0
2026
317.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
1.2 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
15.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
27.3 m
2025
81.7 m
2026
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
0
2026
169.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
962.8 m
2026
7.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
51.1 m
2025
149.3 m
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
55.3 m
2025
1.1 bn
2026
11.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.8 bn †
2026
4.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
52.2 m
2025
245.9 m
2026
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
141.9 m
2025
573.5 m
2026
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
-89.6 m ≈
2025
-327.6 m ≈
2026
-897.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-498.5 m
2025
-1.4 bn
2026
-4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
782.6 m
2025
1.3 bn
2026
9.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
41.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
110.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
145.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
-6,140.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-908.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-669.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
68.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
-89.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
-148.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
-99.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
-127.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
-23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-21.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-17.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
3.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
-897.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
6 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
1,146 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
7.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
9.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
11.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
13.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-11.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

21.71 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 7.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
7.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-99.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
41.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Apr 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Aug 2026
verified 387derived 26

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-21.7%70 (vs peers)24%
Net margin · Quality-99.4%47 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth110.8%100 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-17.7x0 (on a fixed band)14%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.6x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-11.6%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality61/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

IREN Limited (IREN). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 707.0 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 41.1%; net margin -99.4%; ROE -23.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: -21.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 110.8%
  • Current ratio: 3.6x

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: -17.7x
  • FCF yield: -11.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Finance Services (SIC 6199) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 9.9x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
11.0x
vertical median 4.4x
above median (+149.6%)
P/B
1.9x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+83.6%)
ROE
-23.4%
vertical median -36.4%
above median
Net margin
-99.4%
vertical median -89.2%
below median
EBIT margin
-148.0%
vertical median -143.6%
at median
Revenue YoY
41.1%
vertical median 10.4%
above median (+294.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AXPAmerican Express Co223.0 bn18.735.9%27.9%+6.4%−9% / +95%
BMNPBitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc.59.2 bn—-150.9%-14,306.6%+84.1%unavailable / unavailable
ARBKArgo Blockchain PLC45.2 bn——-117.2%−7.0%−97% / −99%
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.40.1 bn—-4.7%-12.5%+9.4%−44% / +21%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.22.4 bn36.37.1%104.3%+23.1%−42% / +138%
IRENIREN Limited7.8 bn—-23.4%-99.4%+41.1%−67% / +522%
RIOTRiot Platforms, Inc.5.8 bn—-50.5%-210.8%+71.9%−5% / +22%
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group1.5 bn—-196.7%-171.3%−5.1%−51% / +45%
QFINQfin Holdings, Inc.1.3 bn1.725.3%31.1%+16.8%−72% / −65%
KEELKeel Infrastructure Corp.1.3 bn—-87.6%-230.6%+72.0%−40% / +47%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.1.0 bn24.1—4.2%+9.9%−26% / unavailable
CDChaince Digital Holdings Inc.741.4 m—-12.3%-182.5%+277.9%−30% / +622%
GDOTGreen Dot Corp727.1 m—-2.8%-1.1%+20.7%+2% / +59%
JFU9F Inc.536.7 m23.24.7%125.2%+12.2%−52% / −43%
HIVEHive Digital Technologies Ltd.499.2 m—-66.4%-98.5%+158.3%−46% / −41%
CHADDefi Development Corp.310.0 m—-589.3%-1,319.5%+442.3%unavailable / unavailable
CPSSConsumer Portfolio Services, Inc.221.6 m9.97.5%5.0%+10.4%+23% / +7%
BKKTBakkt, Inc.215.0 m—-15.9%-1.3%−32.1%−70% / −87%
USBCUsbc, Inc.166.5 m—-414.1%—−100.0%−47% / −97%
DEFTDefi Technologies Inc.152.4 m2.374.0%62.9%+215.5%−74% / unavailable
SLNHSoluna Holdings, Inc.136.7 m—-114.6%-185.9%−21.8%−67% / −82%
SUIGSui Group Holdings Limited81.4 m—-683.9%-11,373.7%+18.1%−47% / −60%
YRDYiren Digital Ltd.68.9 m8.80.6%1.0%−85.9%−91% / −86%
ZSTKZeroStack Corp.47.4 m—-1,993.6%-444.2%−0.5%−67% / −94%
EXODExodus Movement, Inc.43.5 m—-36.4%-79.9%+4.5%−72% / −6%

1- and 3-year price returns: for IREN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform that owns data centers, GPU compute and software for AI training and inference. The company is shifting from Bitcoin mining to AI Cloud, and its AI Cloud revenue rose to 128.8 million USD in fiscal 2026 from 16.4 million USD, driven by strong demand for compute capacity.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Vertical integration across all three layers of the AI Cloud stack lets the company deliver capacity quickly and with more control over costs 1.
    • Relationships with GPU suppliers and investment-grade GPU financing support access to hardware and capital 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has a history of net losses, and fiscal 2026 was marked by significant impairments linked to decommissioning mining hardware 12.
    • Revenue is still dominated by Bitcoin mining, while the AI Cloud segment is much smaller, although growing rapidly 2.
    • Contracts are concentrated among a few large customers, exposing the company to the risk of non-payment or reduced capacity take-up 1.

    Opportunities

    • Capacity expansion at sites in Texas, Oklahoma, Australia and Spain could add recurring revenue if deliveries stay on schedule 12.
    • Software services from the Mirantis acquisition could raise value per megawatt and managed-services revenue 12.
    • Rising contracted prices, if sustained, could improve returns on GPU investments 2.

    Threats

    • Construction, grid connection or customer acceptance delays can postpone revenue and trigger delay credits 1.
    • Rapid GPU obsolescence and rising equipment costs could reduce returns on existing projects 1.
    • Dependence on capital markets and dilution from share or convertible issuance remain major financing risks 1.

    Risks

    • Recurring net losseshigh

      The company reported a net loss in fiscal 2026 and has no consistent history of profitability, which could weigh on investor confidence if the transition falters 1.

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      A small number of large customers account for a significant share of contracts, and the loss of or default by one of them could affect revenue and the ability to repay financing 1.

    • Heavy capital requirementshigh

      Data center construction and GPU purchases need continuous financing, and market conditions or tariffs could make capital more expensive or unavailable 1.

    • Delivery delaysmedium

      Deliveries depend on power, construction and customer acceptance testing, and delays can postpone revenue and trigger contractual penalties 1.

    • Cost and availability of powermedium

      Government policy or regional tariffs could raise electricity costs or limit grid access, which would affect operating margins 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If demand for AI capacity holds and new contracts are signed at better prices, AI Cloud revenue could grow quickly from its current base, and the power and land portfolio could become a lasting advantage 2.
    • Software integration from Mirantis could increase value per megawatt and diversify revenue beyond simple hardware rental 12.
    • Investment-grade financing and customer prepayments could reduce pressure on equity capital if they remain available on favorable terms 12.

    What would break the thesis

    • If deliveries slip or customer acceptance is delayed, AI Cloud revenue could stay well below announced targets and the company could keep reporting net losses 12.
    • If GPU demand falls or hardware generations become outdated quickly, the value of purchased assets could be impaired again 1.
    • If financing becomes more expensive or equity issuance is needed on a large scale, existing shareholders could face significant dilution 1.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of Horizon 2-4 to Microsoft and the start of revenue from these phasesQ4 2026
    • Completion of the transition from Bitcoin mining to AI CloudDecember 31, 2026
    • Trend in contracted pricing and return on GPU investment2027
    • Integration of Mirantis and contribution of software services to revenuenext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    IREN describes itself as a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform that owns and operates all three layers of the stack: the data center (land, power, substations, buildings and cooling), the compute (GPUs, CPUs, storage and networking) and the software (managed services and enterprise support). It delivers bare metal compute and managed cloud services to hyperscalers, frontier labs, AI developers and enterprises. According to the 10-K, Bitcoin mining decommissioning is under way, with the transition to AI Cloud targeted for completion by December 31, 2026. Total revenue was 707.0 million USD in fiscal 2026 and the net loss was 702.6 million USD 12.

    The business model rests on multi-year reserved capacity contracts, where revenue starts only after capacity is delivered, commissioned and accepted by the customer. The company builds its own sites with grid connections and states that all operating sites have been 100% powered by renewable energy since operations began 1. Strategy also includes a NVIDIA partnership for up to 5GW of AI infrastructure and the Mirantis acquisition, which adds software capabilities.

    Financially, the company still reports net losses, driven mainly by impairments tied to decommissioning Bitcoin mining hardware, but Adjusted EBITDA stayed positive at 245.7 million USD in fiscal 2026 2. Cash and cash equivalents were 5,895.6 million USD and restricted cash 1,723.9 million USD at June 30, 2026 1.

    Segments

    AI Cloud Services

    This is the growth segment, rising about eightfold in fiscal 2026 to 128.8 million USD from 16.4 million USD 2. Customers contract capacity mainly through multi-year agreements, and the Microsoft contract for the Horizon facilities has a total contract value of about 9.7 billion USD through 2031 1.

    Bitcoin mining

    Mining still generated most revenue, at 578.2 million USD in fiscal 2026, but it is being gradually decommissioned as capacity is converted to AI Cloud 2. At June 30, 2026, installed capacity was about 23.2 EH/s 1.

    Market context

    The company describes the AI Cloud market as highly competitive and rapidly evolving, with demand that its results suggest exceeds available infrastructure supply 12. IREN states that its 2026 capacity is largely sold out and reports over 4 billion USD of contracted ARR for 2026 capacity, though ARR is an operating metric and not GAAP revenue 2.

    Bitcoin mining depends on global network hashrate, network difficulty, Bitcoin prices and power costs, which can strongly influence results, while the AI Cloud market depends on power availability, GPU supply and financing conditions 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with hyperscalers such as Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure and Oracle Cloud, as well as specialized AI Cloud providers 1. Some competitors may at the same time be customers, suppliers or partners of the company 1.

    IREN's stated advantage is integrated control over land, power, data centers, compute and software, which in its view enables rapid large-scale deployment 1. Differentiation, however, depends on executing deliveries and keeping prices competitive.

    • Amazon Web Services

      Hyperscaler cloud provider offering cloud services and AI capacity, named by the company as a direct competitor.

    • Microsoft Azure

      Hyperscaler cloud platform that is also a major IREN customer under the Horizon contract.

    • CoreWeave

      Specialized AI Cloud provider with a business model comparable to IREN's.

    • Nebius

      Specialized AI cloud infrastructure provider identified as a competitor in GPU capacity.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    • Proxy statement13 Oct 2026
    • Annual report27 Aug 2026
    • Current report27 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report13 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report04 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report20 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report01 Jul 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report01 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation
    • Current report26 May 2026
      Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 May 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / IREN Ltd · 27 Aug 2026
    2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / IREN Ltd · 27 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.