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olivLaw · US equity research

SAIHEAT Limited SAIH

Finance Services · SIC 6199 · Vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

23.45USD−3.06% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

SAIHEAT Limited is a computing and energy operator that combines bitcoin mining with liquid cooling and waste heat recovery technology, plus projects linked to small modular reactors. In fiscal 2025 net revenues were 4.52 million USD and the net loss was 6.45 million USD, which keeps attention on whether the company can sustain its activity in a volatile market.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, SAIHEAT Limited (SAIH) stock was 23.45 USD (−3.06% on the day), with market capitalisation 338.0 m USD, beta 1.76, 52-week range 5.93–31.70 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2022): net income of -632.2 k USD, diluted EPS -0.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
338.0 m USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2023
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.51 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
-14.99%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.76
Volatility (1y) 90%
52-week range
5.9331.70

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
41.9
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
22.75 – 30.86
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.09 · band width 30.3%
SMA 50 / 200
26.35 / 15.11
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.30 / 0.27
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−12.3%−1.1%−11.2 pp—
3 months+11.7%−0.5%+12.1 pp—
6 months+110.5%+4.4%+106.1 pp—
Year to date+154.9%+12.3%+142.6 pp—
1 year+200.6%+13.5%+187.1 pp−47.5%
3 years+54.8%+76.4%−21.6 pp−48.3%
5 years−84.2%+63.7%−147.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.1%
08 Dec 2025 → 05 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−97.8%
27 Apr 2022 → 07 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−30.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2022 · 31 Mar 2022

Revenue
unavailable USD
unavailable YoY
Net income
-632.2 k USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.11
unavailable YoY
net / operating
unavailable / unavailable

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '21Q3 '21Q1 '22
Operating income-23.0 k-552.5 k-635.8 k
Pre-tax income-22.5 k-551.8 k-632.2 k
Net income-22.5 k-551.8 k-632.2 k
Diluted EPS-1.14-0.09-0.11
Operating cash flow——-125.7 k

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.0 m17.0 m10.6 m6.8 m5.5 m4.5 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+770.6%−37.6%−36.3%−18.2%−18.4%
Net income403.0 k-16.7 m-8.8 m-6.1 m-5.9 m-6.5 m
Net income YoYunavailable−4,244.9%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-1.43-6.72-3.79-3.46-3.51
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %20.6%-98.0%-83.1%-90.3%-106.2%-142.7%
Free cash flow-1.4 m-5.0 m-6.8 m-8.2 m-6.3 munavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
202.0 k USD
Financial debt
3.7 m USD
Net debt
3.5 m USD
Equity
7.4 m USD
Total assets
12.7 m USD
Debt / equity
0.50x
Current ratio
2.30x
ROE
-59.3%
ROA
-41.3%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.8 m
2024
5.5 m
2025
4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.3 m
2024
6.6 m
2025
6.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
457.0 k
2024
-1.0 m
2025
-2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Research & development
2023
853.0 k
2024
642.0 k
2025
217.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

SG&A
2023
6.8 m
2024
6.3 m
2025
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-7.4 m
2024
-7.9 m
2025
-6.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.3 m
2024
1.7 m
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-6.0 m ≈
2024
-6.3 m ≈
2025
-5.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-6.1 m
2024
-5.9 m
2025
-6.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Apr 2023verified

Net income
2023
-6.1 m
2024
-5.9 m
2025
-6.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-3.79
2024
-3.46
2025
-3.51

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
1.6 m
2024
1.7 m
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.2 m
2024
1.0 m
2025
202.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2023
900.0 k
2024
237.0 k
2025
293.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2023
44.0 k
2024
772.0 k
2025
63.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
12.3 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
11.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
5.0 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
958.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Apr 2023verified

Total assets
2023
18.1 m
2024
18.5 m
2025
12.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
45.0 k
2024
438.0 k
2025
715.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
2.1 m
2025
3.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
686.0 k
2024
3.7 m
2025
4.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.3 m
2024
4.2 m
2025
5.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
16.8 m †
2024
14.4 m †
2025
7.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
14.4 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Apr 2024verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-3.1 m
2024
-5.6 m
2025
-7.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
5.0 m
2024
713.0 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
-8.2 m ≈
2024
-6.3 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.9 m
2024
1.3 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
9.0 k
2024
2.1 m
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-24.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
18.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
-51.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
-119.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
-150.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
-142.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
-184.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
-59.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
-41.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
-43.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
-87.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
-7.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
713.0 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Free cash flow
-8.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
21 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
22 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days payables outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash conversion cycle
13 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
338.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
341.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-15.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
45.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
74.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
75.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-2.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 37.5% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

23.45 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 338.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
338.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
45.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-59.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
-142.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2023
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Apr 2026
verified 210

Score by group

38% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 37.5% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-43.6%40 (vs peers)28%
Net margin · Quality-142.7%43 (vs peers)17%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-24.8%0 (on a fixed band)22%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.3x100 (on a fixed band)11%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-2.5%0 (on a fixed band)22%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality41/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SAIHEAT Limited (SAIH). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -18.4%; net margin -142.7%; ROE -59.3%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 37.5% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.3x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -24.8%
  • FCF yield: -2.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Finance Services (SIC 6199) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 23.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
74.7x
vertical median 4.7x
above median (+1,485.9%)
P/B
45.7x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+3,384.7%)
ROE
-59.3%
vertical median -17.4%
below median
Net margin
-142.7%
vertical median -99.7%
below median
EBIT margin
-150.9%
vertical median -116.6%
below median
Revenue YoY
-18.4%
vertical median 21.9%
below median (−184.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

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COINCoinbase Global, Inc.40.1 bn—-4.7%-12.5%+9.4%−44% / +21%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.22.4 bn36.37.1%104.3%+23.1%−42% / +138%
MARAMara Holdings, Inc.2.7 bn—-107.2%-430.2%+38.2%−42% / −43%
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn39.98.0%4.9%+64.0%−48% / −13%
PURRHyperliquid Strategies Inc1.9 bn3.032.6%3,229.8%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
CLSKCleanSpark, Inc.1.7 bn—-68.6%-130.2%+102.2%−55% / +9%
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group1.5 bn—-196.7%-171.3%−5.1%−51% / +45%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.1.0 bn24.1—4.2%+9.9%−26% / unavailable
CDChaince Digital Holdings Inc.741.4 m—-12.3%-182.5%+277.9%−30% / +622%
GDOTGreen Dot Corp727.1 m—-2.8%-1.1%+20.7%+2% / +59%
TRONTron Inc.664.1 m96.83.8%135.6%+10.0%−24% / −48%
JFU9F Inc.536.7 m23.24.7%125.2%+12.2%−52% / −43%
SAIHSAIHEAT Limited338.0 m—-59.3%-142.7%−18.4%+201% / +55%
BTBTBit Digital, Inc.300.9 m—-56.7%-237.2%+5.1%−65% / −68%
CANGCango Inc.272.7 m—-130.8%-90.4%+524.3%−92% / −76%
CNTNCanton Strategic Holdings, Inc.172.1 m—-43.1%—unavailable−17% / −83%
USBCUsbc, Inc.166.5 m—-414.1%—−100.0%−47% / −97%
SNFCASecurity National Financial Corporation166.1 m6.59.0%11.1%+3.0%+15% / +37%
TONXTon Strategy Company159.7 m—-75.5%-532.8%+1,327.8%−15% / −93%
BMHLBluemount Holdings Limited79.0 m61,098.226.2%18.8%unavailable−8% / unavailable
UPXIUpexi, Inc.62.9 m—-1,356.3%-984.3%+58.1%−73% / −95%
SGRXSangrix Inc.40.8 m—-300.3%-36,190.3%−98.6%−99% / −100%
AVXAvax One Technology Ltd.34.9 m—-189.6%-1,533.9%+8,709.3%−80% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SAIH from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Sept 2026), 6-K (26 Aug 2026), 6-K (13 Aug 2026), 6-K (10 Aug 2026), 6-K (05 Jun 2026).

    In brief

    SAIHEAT Limited is a computing and energy operator that combines bitcoin mining with liquid cooling and waste heat recovery technology, plus projects linked to small modular reactors. In fiscal 2025 net revenues were 4.52 million USD and the net loss was 6.45 million USD, which keeps attention on whether the company can sustain its activity in a volatile market.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Proprietary liquid cooling and heat recovery technology, with a claimed high thermal efficiency, gives a differentiation edge that the company presents as an early mover in the field 1.
    • The portfolio spans equipment sales, mining and infrastructure services, which reduces reliance on any single revenue source 1.
    • The company has developed a range of modular products, from WITBOX containers to HEATBOX units, that can be adapted to several use cases 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue has declined over recent years, and the net loss remains significant relative to the size of the company 1.
    • Mining activity depends on a single data center in Ohio, concentrating operational and regulatory risk 1.
    • Hosting and mining pool revenue fell to zero in 2025, and the company has not yet collected heating fees from its energy projects 1.

    Opportunities

    • If heat recovery heating projects are commercialized, the company could generate recurring service revenue, reducing its dependence on the bitcoin price 1.
    • Developing a second-generation HEATBOX with higher temperature output could open new industrial and agricultural markets 1.
    • Expansion in North America and Central Asia, which the company identifies as priorities, could bring new sites with cheaper energy 1.

    Threats

    • Bitcoin price volatility and reward reductions at each halving can make mining unprofitable, with a direct effect on revenue 1.
    • Regulation of mining and crypto assets remains uncertain, and changes could restrict operations or raise compliance costs 1.
    • Strained relations between the US and foreign governments and tariff changes could affect the supply chain and the appeal of the services 1.

    Risks

    • Bitcoin volatilityhigh

      The company's results depend entirely on the bitcoin price, and fluctuations can lead to significant operating losses in any quarter 1.

    • Cost of electricityhigh

      Energy is a major component of mining costs, and a rise in price or lack of access to cheap power could make operations unprofitable 1.

    • Regulation and legal classificationhigh

      If bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies were treated as investment securities, or if the company were required to register as a money service business, compliance costs could be substantial 1.

    • Dependence on a single data centermedium

      Mining is concentrated in one location, so a power outage, technical failure or security incident could disrupt the entire output 1.

    • Risks of international activitymedium

      Operating outside the US and links to markets in China expose the company to regulatory changes and controls that can affect market access and auditors 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the liquid cooling and heat recovery technology turns into recurring heating service revenue, the company could reduce its dependence on bitcoin mining.
    • If the SMR and nuclear projects move past the memorandum stage, the company could become a niche supplier in a growing energy market.
    • If the bitcoin price recovers and energy costs stay under control, mining revenue could return to earlier levels.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue has declined in recent years and losses have remained significant, which could limit internal funding capacity.
    • Hosting and mining pool revenue fell to zero in 2025, and the shift to new revenue sources is not yet shown in concrete figures.
    • Dependence on a single data center and on a volatile bitcoin price exposes the company to risks that current diversification does not fully offset.

    What to watch

    • Development of heating service revenue and first commercial contracts2026
    • Level of bitcoin pledged and associated borrowingnext 20-F
    • Progress of SMR projects and whether memorandums become contracts2026
    • Effect of the second halving on mining profitability2028

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Sept 2026), 6-K (26 Aug 2026), 6-K (13 Aug 2026), 6-K (10 Aug 2026), 6-K (05 Jun 2026).

    The business

    SAIHEAT describes itself as a computing and energy operator working toward Sustainable Augmented Intelligence, with a computing division offering joint BTC computing power and AI cloud computing services, and an energy division delivering liquid-cooled computing centers and small modular nuclear products 1. The company says its proprietary liquid cooling and waste heat recovery technology turns heat from mining into hot water for heating, with up to 97% thermal efficiency for its second-generation products 1. According to the report, the core activity remains bitcoin mining, mainly run from a single data center in Marietta, Ohio 1.

    In terms of revenue model, product sales and mining revenue are the two main sources, and in fiscal 2025 product sales made up approximately 69% of total revenue while mining made up approximately 31% 1. The company says it moved to a holding strategy, retaining mined bitcoin and pledging part of it to secure funding, but these decisions expose revenue to bitcoin price volatility 1.

    The report also shows a strategic shift: after China's 2021 ban, the company moved its operations to global markets, focusing on North America and Central Asia, while the energy and SMR divisions are still in development or memorandum stages with no material financial contribution reported 1.

    Segments

    Computing (bitcoin mining and cloud services)

    The computing segment covers bitcoin mining for the company's own account, sales of mining machines and infrastructure containers, and hosting and mining pool services 1. Mining revenue was 1.41 million USD in fiscal 2025, equipment sales were 3.12 million USD, and hosting and mining pool revenue fell to zero in 2025 after customers suspended operations following the halving 1.

    Energy (liquid cooling and SMR)

    The energy division develops liquid-cooled computing centers in the ULTIWIT family, including TANKBOX, RACKBOX, HYDROBOX and HEATBOX, and is examining SMR technology to power operations 1. The company has not yet collected heating service fees but expects to once commercial projects start, which remains an unrealized assumption 1.

    Market context

    The bitcoin mining market is marked by high bitcoin price volatility and electricity costs that can make mining unprofitable, factors the company explicitly names as drivers of its results 1. Revenue fell from 6.78 million USD in 2023 to 4.52 million USD in 2025, which points to pressure across the sector and on the company's ability to sustain activity 1. Regulation remains uncertain, and the report anticipates heightened regulatory scrutiny in 2026 and beyond 1.

    Demand for heating services based on recovered computing heat and for modular nuclear energy is still at an early stage, and turning it into revenue depends on technology development and commercial agreements that, at the report date, were largely memorandums 1.

    Trends

    • Halving of bitcoin block rewardsheadwind

      After the April 2024 halving, the reward per block fell to 3.125 bitcoin, and the company notes that the next halving in 2028 could reduce mining revenue further if the price does not compensate 1.

    • Tighter regulation of bitcoin miningheadwind

      The company anticipates increased regulatory scrutiny in the US starting in 2026, which could add compliance costs and location restrictions, with the impact remaining uncertain 1.

    • Search for clean and affordable energymixed

      Access to secure and cheap electricity determines where mining operations can be located, and the company is studying SMR technology to power its centers, which could become an advantage if the project materializes 1.

    • Waste heat recovery for heatingtailwind

      Interest in solutions that reuse heat generated by mining in agriculture and industry is growing, and the company hopes to add revenue from these services, although they have not yet been monetized 1.

    Competitive position

    The report does not explicitly name direct competitors, but bitcoin mining operators and liquid cooling infrastructure providers in the US and other countries are implicitly its competitors, and the company's claimed edge is its proprietary waste heat recovery technology 1. Competition on energy cost and access to cheap sites is intense, and the company acknowledges that rising energy costs can reduce profitability 1.

    In the SMR and nuclear segment, the company has signed several memorandums with partners in China, and its competitive position depends on turning these agreements into commercial projects, which the report does not yet demonstrate 1.

    • US bitcoin mining operators

      Competitors in the bitcoin mining market in Ohio and other states where the company operates; the report does not name them individually 1.

    • Liquid-cooled data center providers

      Competition in liquid cooling solutions and modular data centers, a segment where the company claims an early technology advantage 1.

    • Partners and suppliers in modular nuclear

      Companies with which the company signed memorandums in SMR and nuclear equipment, which may also be competitors in the same market 1.

    • Gas and electric heating system suppliers

      Competition in heating applications, where conventional natural gas or electric systems are the main alternative for potential customers 1.

    News & filings

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.