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olivLaw · US equity research

Energy Fuels Inc. UUUU

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) · SIC 1400 · Vertical: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400)

7.18USD−0.83% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Energy Fuels is a US company that mines uranium, vanadium, rare earth elements and heavy mineral sands and processes them at the only licensed and operating uranium mill in the US, the White Mesa Mill in Utah. The company is now extending its rare earth supply chain from raw material to magnets, at a time when nuclear energy and critical materials have become priorities for US energy security. Quarterly uranium output, however, is affected by ore quality, which fell in the first half of 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) stock was 7.18 USD (−0.83% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.9 bn USD, beta 1.71, 52-week range 7.18–27.72 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 29.2 m USD (+64.8% YoY), net income of -52.2 m USD, diluted EPS -0.20 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.9 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.46 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-6.37%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.71
Volatility (1y) 83%
52-week range
7.1827.72

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
26.1
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
6.65 – 9.94
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.16 · band width 39.6%
SMA 50 / 200
10.90 / 16.14
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.97 / -1.01
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−33.6%−1.1%−32.5 pp—
3 months−42.3%−0.5%−41.8 pp—
6 months−69.5%+4.4%−73.9 pp—
Year to date−50.6%+12.3%−62.9 pp—
1 year−57.8%+13.5%−71.3 pp−11.5%
3 years−9.6%+76.4%−86.0 pp+29.6%
5 years−30.2%+63.7%−93.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−74.1%
28 Jan 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−74.1%
28 Jan 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−6.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
29.2 m USD
+64.8% YoY
Net income
-52.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.20
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-178.9% / -86.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue39.9 m16.9 m4.2 m17.7 m27.1 m35.8 m25.1 m29.2 m
Cost of revenue39.3 m18.1 m3.7 m12.8 m17.6 m21.5 m10.7 m11.3 m
SG&A15.3 m15.3 m14.8 m15.7 m18.9 m16.5 m19.2 m18.3 m
Operating income-28.6 m-26.2 m-26.2 m-26.7 m-22.1 m-16.9 m-30.6 m-25.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.1 m1.3 m1.3 m ≈1.4 m ≈1.4 m1.4 m1.7 m ≈2.2 m ≈
Interest expense——39.0 k37.0 k2.2 m2.3 m2.3 m2.5 m
Pre-tax income-33.4 m-27.5 m-21.8 m-16.9 m-20.9 m-10.9 m-33.6 m-52.8 m
Income tax-372.0 k-1.1 m26.0 k84.0 k57.0 k48.0 k45.0 k-462.0 k
Net income-32.9 m-26.3 m-21.8 m-16.7 m-20.8 m-10.8 m-33.4 m-52.2 m
Diluted EPS-0.17 ≈-0.13-0.10-0.07-0.09 ≈-0.04-0.13-0.20
Operating cash flow-36.0 m-18.8 m-25.9 m ≈-28.5 m ≈-16.2 m8.3 m-26.1 m ≈-20.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue31.7 m5.9 m1.7 m3.2 m12.5 m37.9 m78.1 m65.9 m
Revenue YoY+2.2%−81.5%−71.7%+92.0%+293.1%+203.1%+106.0%−15.6%
Net income-25.4 m-38.1 m-27.9 m1.4 m-59.8 m99.9 m-47.8 m-85.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−4,233.2%unavailable−147.8%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.40-0.230.01-0.380.62-0.28-0.38
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−3,900.0%unavailable−145.2%unavailable
net %-80.0%-649.5%-1,681.1%45.5%-478.2%263.3%-61.1%-129.9%
Free cash flow-7.9 m-44.4 m-32.8 m-30.7 m-51.7 m-30.8 m-66.1 m-108.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
64.7 m USD
Financial debt
675.7 m USD
Net debt
611.0 m USD
Equity
682.6 m USD
Total assets
1.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.99x
Current ratio
30.69x
ROE
-14.1%
ROA
-8.5%
FCF margin
-165.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
37.9 m
2024
78.1 m
2025
65.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
18.2 m
2024
55.9 m
2025
52.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
19.7 m ≈
2024
22.2 m ≈
2025
13.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
27.9 m
2024
36.6 m
2025
64.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-32.4 m
2024
-47.5 m
2025
-101.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
2.8 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
5.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-29.6 m ≈
2024
-44.4 m ≈
2025
-95.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
100.0 m
2024
-48.2 m
2025
-87.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
276.0 k
2024
-372.0 k
2025
-979.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
99.9 m
2024
-47.8 m
2025
-85.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.62
2024
-0.28
2025
-0.38

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
160.2 m
2024
172.0 m
2025
224.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
57.4 m
2024
38.6 m
2025
64.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Mar 2021verified

Inventories
2023
40.7 m
2024
66.5 m
2025
73.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
232.7 m
2024
230.2 m
2025
958.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
26.1 m
2024
55.2 m
2025
69.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Nov 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
4.8 m
2025
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
401.9 m
2024
612.0 m
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.0 m
2024
7.5 m
2025
5.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Nov 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
675.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
10.4 m
2024
59.3 m
2025
31.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
22.7 m
2024
80.3 m
2025
729.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
379.2 m
2024
531.7 m
2025
682.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-15.4 m
2024
-44.0 m
2025
-89.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
15.4 m
2024
22.2 m
2025
19.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-30.8 m ≈
2024
-66.1 m ≈
2025
-108.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-23.9 m
2024
-13.3 m
2025
-778.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
30.4 m
2024
15.6 m
2025
895.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
74.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
108.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
47.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
-75.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-81.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-100.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-63.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-14.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-9.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
604.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-10.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
20.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
18.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-54.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
19.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-73.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
492 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
2.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
16.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
21.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

7.18 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-14.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-100.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 1396derived 92

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-5.1%9 (vs peers)24%
Net margin · Quality-100.0%18 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth74.0%100 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-10.2x0 (on a fixed band)14%
Current ratio · Balance sheet20.5x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-3.9%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality12/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ENERGY FUELS INC. (UUUU). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 65.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -15.6%; net margin -100.0%; ROE -14.1%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 74.0%
  • Current ratio: 20.5x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -5.1%
  • Net margin: -100.0%
  • Interest coverage: -10.2x
  • FCF yield: -3.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 26.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.5x
P/S
16.2x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+507.2%)
P/B
2.0x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−16.1%)
ROE
-14.1%
vertical median 6.3%
below median (−322.7%)
Net margin
-100.0%
vertical median 8.0%
below median (−1,342.2%)
EBIT margin
-81.0%
vertical median 8.6%
below median (−1,047.2%)
Revenue YoY
-15.6%
vertical median 8.6%
below median (−281.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.5x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.39.6 bn14.716.8%31.9%+8.6%−11% / +20%
VMCVulcan Materials Company38.2 bn35.212.9%13.8%+7.1%+0% / +39%
SQMChemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc15.1 bn24.014.3%15.1%−39.4%−11% / +15%
HLHecla Mining Company10.0 bn26.714.5%21.0%+53.0%−11% / +200%
IONRIoneer Ltd7.2 bn—-4.3%—unavailable−44% / −35%
USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals Inc3.5 bn26.620.0%35.1%+17.3%+1% / +191%
KNFKnife River Corporation3.5 bn26.38.0%4.0%+8.5%−17% / +4%
TTAMTitan America SA2.6 bn14.220.8%11.1%+1.8%−12% / unavailable
UUUUEnergy Fuels Inc.1.9 bn—-14.1%-100.0%−15.6%−58% / −10%
LEUCentrus Energy Corp1.3 bn42.28.1%10.2%+1.5%−64% / +85%
CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.976.5 m54.27.2%1.4%+11.3%+22% / −4%
GAUGaliano Gold Inc.540.4 m—-12.7%-6.5%+93.6%−14% / +220%
IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.418.0 m17.14.8%8.0%+17.1%+24% / +52%
SNDSmart Sand, Inc.185.3 m16.94.4%2.7%+6.0%+48% / +124%
ABATAmerican Battery Technology Company183.9 m—-74.5%-337.5%+406.8%−66% / −70%
ATLXAtlas Lithium Corporation52.1 m—-103.0%-33,954.4%−86.1%−65% / −93%
LGOLargo Inc.27.7 m—-46.4%-62.3%−12.0%−67% / −84%
ELVRElevra Lithium Limited——-54.2%-131.8%+11.2%−40% / unavailable
TECKTeck Resources Limited——5.5%13.0%+18.7%+50% / +71%

1- and 3-year price returns: for UUUU from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    Energy Fuels is a US company that mines uranium, vanadium, rare earth elements and heavy mineral sands and processes them at the only licensed and operating uranium mill in the US, the White Mesa Mill in Utah. The company is now extending its rare earth supply chain from raw material to magnets, at a time when nuclear energy and critical materials have become priorities for US energy security 12. Quarterly uranium output, however, is affected by ore quality, which fell in the first half of 2026 2.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds the only licensed and operating uranium mill in the US, with REE separation capacity, which gives it a unique position 12.
    • Its portfolio of long-term contracts with US utilities and processable ore stockpiles provide flexibility in negotiation and sales 1.
    • Geographic diversification of REE and HMS projects across Australia, Madagascar and Brazil reduces dependence on a single raw material source 2.

    Weaknesses

    • Most properties have no mineral reserves declared under SEC standards, so some projects may only be economic at higher prices 1.
    • Ore quality at Pinyon Plain was lower in the first half of 2026, which slowed output 2.
    • Many projects depend on government approvals and fiscal agreements, and delays could postpone investment decisions 2.

    Opportunities

    • If demand for nuclear energy grows, restarting standby mines could add production capacity of hundreds of thousands of pounds per year 12.
    • Completing the integrated chain from raw material to magnets could create added value and customers in defense and electric vehicles 2.
    • Recovering radium for cancer treatments could open a new revenue line if delivery agreements are reached 1.

    Threats

    • Cyclical uranium and REE prices could reduce revenue and make some projects unprofitable for a long period 1.
    • Competition from foreign REE suppliers with lower costs could limit market access 12.
    • Regulatory changes and delays in obtaining permits could postpone projects and raise costs 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on commodity priceshigh

      Revenue and cash flow depend on uranium, vanadium and REE prices, which are volatile, and prolonged declines could affect projects 1.

    • Limited mineral reserveshigh

      Most properties have no reserves declared under SEC standards, and exploration may not lead to profitable mining 1.

    • Operational risks at mines and the millmedium

      Geological incidents, accidents, power outages and labor issues could interrupt production 1.

    • Government agreements and permitsmedium

      Projects in Madagascar and Australia depend on fiscal agreements and government approvals, and delays could postpone investment decisions 2.

    • Completion of acquisitionsmedium

      The planned acquisitions of ASM and VAC are subject to shareholder and other approvals, and failure to complete them could change expansion plans 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If demand for nuclear energy and defense magnets grows, the company could make use of its unique mill, stockpiles and integrated REE projects 12.
    • Long-term contracts and the ability to quickly restart standby mines could provide flexibility to sell at better prices 12.
    • If the Australian and Madagascar projects are completed, a more diversified raw material source for the REE chain could emerge 2.

    What would break the thesis

    • If uranium and REE prices stay low, many projects could remain on standby without significant revenue 1.
    • Variable ore quality and delays in approvals could slow production and the execution of expansion plans 2.
    • Reliance on acquisitions and external financing could raise risk if market conditions deteriorate 2.

    What to watch

    • Quarterly uranium output from the mill and ore quality at Pinyon PlainQ3 2026
    • Final investment decision for the Donald project in AustraliaQ3 2026
    • Completion of the ASM and VAC acquisitions and their integrationQ3 2026
    • Restart of production at Whirlwind and Nichols Ranch and new uranium contracts2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    Energy Fuels produces uranium, vanadium, rare earth elements (REE) and heavy mineral sands (HMS), with the White Mesa Mill in Utah as its central node, the only uranium mill operating in the US and the only one able to produce separated REE oxides 12. It extracts uranium from the Pinyon Plain, La Sal and Pandora mines in Arizona and Utah and processes or stockpiles it at the mill 12. Over the longer term it aims to build an integrated chain from raw material to permanent magnets, which it describes as a 'mine-to-magnet platform' 2.

    The business depends on commodity prices, which the company describes as cyclical and subject to large fluctuations. Many properties have no mineral reserves declared under SEC standards, and some projects are kept on standby until prices could justify restarting activity 1. The company also maintains rehabilitation work at its Whirlwind mine, prepared for production on a 'go' decision 2.

    The company has obtained raw material and processing capacity outside the US through the Donald project in Australia, the Vara Mada project in Madagascar and the Bahia project in Brazil 12. Plans also include a heavy rare earth plant at the mill for terbium and dysprosium, announced in July 2026 2. The planned acquisitions of ASM and VAC remain subject to approvals and are not yet completed 2.

    Segments

    Rare earths and heavy mineral sands (HMS)

    The REE and HMS segment is under development, with separation of REE oxides at White Mesa and raw material projects in Australia, Madagascar and Brazil 12. The company said it could take a final investment decision for the Donald project as early as 2026, while Vara Mada depends on finalizing fiscal agreements with the government of Madagascar 2. Titanium and zirconium products derived from HMS are used in defense and aerospace 1.

    Market context

    The company argues that supply and demand fundamentals for uranium point to higher sustained prices over the longer term, driven by the resurgence of nuclear power and restrictions on Russian uranium in the US 1. However, prices of uranium, vanadium and REE are influenced by many external factors, including government policy, inventories and production in other countries 1. If prices stayed below extraction costs for a long period, some projects could be halted 1.

    The rare earth and titanium market is dominated by geographically concentrated supply chains, and the company is trying to offer a US-based alternative 2. Demand for permanent magnets in electric vehicles, defense and robotics could support new capacity, but outcomes depend on completing the projects 2.

    Trends

    • Return of nuclear powertailwind

      Growing government and utility interest in carbon-free nuclear energy could support uranium demand and prices over the longer term 1.

    • Critical materials supply chainstailwind

      Policies that reduce dependence on foreign REE and uranium suppliers could favor producers with US operations, such as the White Mesa mill 2.

    • Commodity price volatilityheadwind

      Cyclical prices and large fluctuations in uranium and REE could affect production plans and the feasibility of projects 1.

    • Ore quality and mining pacemixed

      Ore quality at Pinyon Plain fell in the first half of 2026, and recovery depends on moving into higher-grade zones 2.

    Competitive position

    Energy Fuels competes with other uranium and REE producers, and its stated advantage is the only licensed uranium mill in the US and its REE separation capacity 12. The sources provided do not list a complete set of competitors, but competition also comes from producers with projects in Australia, Africa and Brazil 2.

    In the uranium market, long-term contracts and the ability to deliver from inventory are key to winning customers, and the company says it holds processable stockpiles on short notice 1. Competition in REE depends on the ability to integrate mining, processing and magnet production 2.

    • Other US uranium producers

      Compete for uranium deliveries to US utilities, where long-term contracts are important for revenue 1.

    • International uranium producers

      Compete in the global uranium market, which depends on production in other countries and on secondary inventories 1.

    • Non-US rare earth suppliers

      Hold rare earth supply chains that dominate the market, a factor the company sees as a barrier to market access 12.

    • Heavy mineral sands producers

      Compete in titanium and zirconium markets, where demand depends on aerospace and defense industries 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
    • Current report14 Oct 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report13 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report28 Aug 2026
      Acquisition or disposition of assets · Item 3.02 · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
    • Current report28 Jul 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 Jul 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report26 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Shareholder vote · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report23 Jun 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report15 May 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Energy Fuels Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Energy Fuels Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Energy Fuels Inc. · 08 Mar 2016

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.