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olivLaw · US equity research

Hecla Mining Company HL

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) · SIC 1400 · Vertical: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400)

14.95USD+13.17% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hecla Mining is North America's largest silver producer, operating mines in Alaska, Idaho and Yukon and, since March 2026, without the sold Casa Berardi operation. The company reported sales above 745 million USD in the first half of 2026, showing how much the business depends on metal prices.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Hecla Mining Company (HL) stock was 14.95 USD (+13.17% on the day), with market capitalisation 10.0 bn USD, P/E 26.7 on diluted EPS of 0.56 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.07%, beta 1.41, 52-week range 12.11–31.81 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 394.8 m USD (+24.9% YoY), net income of 149.6 m USD (+48.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.22 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
10.0 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.7
Diluted EPS TTM 0.56 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.74%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.07%
DPS 12m 0.01
Beta (2y)
1.41
Volatility (1y) 72%
52-week range
12.1131.81

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
46.7
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
12.81 – 17.05
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.50 · band width 28.4%
SMA 50 / 200
17.39 / 18.52
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.92 / -0.97
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−12.1%−1.1%−11.0 pp—
3 months−9.6%−0.5%−9.2 pp—
6 months−17.6%+4.4%−22.0 pp—
Year to date−22.1%+12.3%−34.4 pp—
1 year+24.9%+13.5%+11.4 pp−13.2%
3 years+244.5%+76.4%+168.1 pp+17.2%
5 years+149.6%+63.7%+85.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−58.5%
23 Jan 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−58.5%
23 Jan 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+20.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
394.8 m USD
+24.9% YoY
Net income
149.6 m USD
+48.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.22
+46.7% YoY
net / operating
37.9% / 39.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue249.7 m205.3 m219.0 m316.0 m682.7 m411.4 m333.9 m394.8 m
Cost of revenue181.3 m136.7 m184.5 m229.1 m199.9 m158.2 m——
Gross profit68.3 m68.7 m85.3 m142.3 m325.9 m253.3 m179.8 m200.1 m
Operating income38.1 m47.4 m58.0 m111.0 m298.4 m223.1 m145.7 m157.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation41.2 m30.6 m32.1 m ≈38.5 m ≈64.4 m34.5 m36.9 m ≈39.2 m ≈
Interest expense-85.9 m11.4 m10.9 m13.3 m-77.2 m5.7 m2.4 m620.0 k
Pre-tax income20.0 m40.0 m49.0 m120.4 m269.8 m215.6 m136.6 m190.1 m
Income tax8.1 m15.6 m22.1 m31.0 m96.1 m50.9 m18.8 m40.5 m
Net income11.9 m28.9 m57.7 m100.7 m134.4 m-19.0 m117.9 m149.6 m
Diluted EPS0.02 ≈0.050.090.150.20 ≈-0.030.170.22
Operating cash flow67.5 m35.7 m161.8 m ≈148.0 m ≈217.1 m194.2 m174.9 m ≈203.0 m ≈
Capex60.8 m37.8 m42.7 m ≈44.4 m ≈127.5 m39.3 m39.1 m ≈51.7 m ≈
Dividends paid8.6 m2.5 m2.5 m ≈2.7 m ≈2.7 m2.8 m2.5 m ≈2.8 m ≈
Share repurchases00885.0 k ≈0 ≈01.2 m3.4 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 6 percentile of its own 17-quarter history (min 22.9, median 51.0, max 2,114.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue567.1 m673.3 m691.9 m807.5 m718.9 m720.2 m929.9 m1.4 bn
Revenue YoY−1.8%+18.7%+2.8%+16.7%−11.0%+0.2%+29.1%+53.0%
Net income-26.6 m-94.9 m-9.5 m35.1 m-37.3 m-84.2 m35.8 m321.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−206.4%unavailableunavailable+798.6%
Diluted EPS-0.06-0.19-0.020.06-0.07-0.140.060.49
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−216.7%unavailableunavailable+716.7%
net %-4.7%-14.1%-1.4%4.3%-5.2%-11.7%3.8%22.6%
Free cash flow-42.7 m-555.0 k89.8 m111.3 m-59.5 m-148.4 m3.8 m310.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
241.6 m USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-241.6 m USD
Equity
2.6 bn USD
Total assets
3.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
2.72x
ROE
13.9%
ROA
9.8%
FCF margin
21.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
720.2 m
2024
929.9 m
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
607.3 m
2024
731.7 m
2025
800.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
112.9 m
2024
198.2 m
2025
622.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2021verified

Operating income
2023
-44.7 m
2024
106.3 m
2025
514.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
163.7 m
2024
190.5 m
2025
165.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
119.0 m ≈
2024
296.7 m ≈
2025
680.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
-43.3 m
2024
-49.8 m
2025
-41.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-83.0 m
2024
66.2 m
2025
479.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.2 m
2024
30.4 m
2025
157.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-84.2 m
2024
35.8 m
2025
321.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.14
2024
0.06
2025
0.49

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
605.7 m
2024
622.5 m
2025
655.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.04
2024
0.01
2025
0.01

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
106.4 m
2024
26.9 m
2025
241.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
19.4 m
2024
31.5 m
2025
170.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
28.8 m
2024
35.0 m
2025
26.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 May 2026verified

Current assets
2023
260.3 m
2024
214.2 m
2025
629.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 May 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
81.6 m
2024
89.0 m
2025
77.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
33.6 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
157.5 m
2024
197.8 m
2025
231.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.0 bn
2024
941.5 m
2025
969.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.0 bn †
2024
2.0 bn †
2025
2.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
75.5 m
2024
218.3 m
2025
562.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
223.9 m
2024
214.5 m
2025
252.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-148.4 m ≈
2024
3.8 m ≈
2025
310.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-231.3 m
2024
-212.9 m
2025
-270.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
156.3 m
2024
-83.8 m
2025
-78.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
15.7 m
2024
25.3 m
2025
10.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
2.0 m
2024
1.2 m
2025
885.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
53.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
384.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
798.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
716.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
8,096.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
52.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
54.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
45.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
29.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
14.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
12.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
6.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
5.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
789.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
257.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
531.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
138.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
79.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
24 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
15 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
46 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-7 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
10.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
26.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
18.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 72 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

14.95 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 10.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
10.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
14.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
53.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2593derived 251

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation46
  • Quality94
  • Growth100
  • Returns41

Estimated value range

Low
9.47
USD per share
Mid
14.08
USD per share
High
18.50
USD per share
Price: 14.95 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -5.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -6.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.47 – 18.50 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E9.47 – 18.50 (Mid 14.08)
    10 companies used · median multiple 25.2x · quartiles 16.9x – 33.1x
    CMP, IPI, KNF, LEU, MLM, SND, SQM, TTAM, USLM, VMC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate0.13 – 0.18 (Mid 0.15)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 72/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality21.0%88 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality138.9%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth25.6%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet12.0x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet6.0x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation26.7x30 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation5.3%66 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.2%2 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns2.0%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality94/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns41/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation46/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

HECLA MINING COMPANY (HL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 53.0%; net margin 21.0%; ROE 14.5%.

The estimated value range is 9.47–18.50 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 14.08 USD, the price of 14.95 USD leaves a potential of -5.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -6.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 72/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 21.0%
  • FCF conversion: 138.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 25.6%
  • Interest coverage: 12.0x
  • Current ratio: 6.0x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 2.0%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 26.7x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.2%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
26.7x
vertical median 25.2x
above median (+6.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.5x
P/S
5.5x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+106.3%)
P/B
3.6x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+66.9%)
ROE
14.5%
vertical median 5.1%
above median (+182.2%)
Net margin
21.0%
vertical median 4.0%
above median (+427.3%)
EBIT margin
45.2%
vertical median 8.1%
above median (+455.7%)
Revenue YoY
53.0%
vertical median 8.5%
above median (+522.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.5x
Dividend yield
0.1%
vertical median 0.6%
below median (−89.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.39.6 bn14.716.8%31.9%+8.6%−11% / +20%
VMCVulcan Materials Company38.2 bn35.212.9%13.8%+7.1%+0% / +39%
SQMChemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc15.1 bn24.014.3%15.1%−39.4%−11% / +15%
HLHecla Mining Company10.0 bn26.714.5%21.0%+53.0%+25% / +244%
IONRIoneer Ltd7.2 bn—-4.3%—unavailable−44% / −35%
USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals Inc3.5 bn26.620.0%35.1%+17.3%+1% / +191%
KNFKnife River Corporation3.5 bn26.38.0%4.0%+8.5%−17% / +4%
TTAMTitan America SA2.6 bn14.220.8%11.1%+1.8%−12% / unavailable
UUUUEnergy Fuels Inc.1.9 bn—-14.1%-100.0%−15.6%−50% / −10%
LEUCentrus Energy Corp1.3 bn42.28.1%10.2%+1.5%−64% / +85%
CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.976.5 m54.27.2%1.4%+11.3%+22% / −4%
GAUGaliano Gold Inc.540.4 m—-12.7%-6.5%+93.6%−14% / +220%
IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.418.0 m17.14.8%8.0%+17.1%+24% / +52%
SNDSmart Sand, Inc.185.3 m16.94.4%2.7%+6.0%+48% / +124%
ABATAmerican Battery Technology Company183.9 m—-74.5%-337.5%+406.8%−66% / −70%
ATLXAtlas Lithium Corporation52.1 m—-103.0%-33,954.4%−86.1%−65% / −93%
LGOLargo Inc.27.7 m—-46.4%-62.3%−12.0%−67% / −84%
ELVRElevra Lithium Limited——-54.2%-131.8%+11.2%−40% / unavailable
TECKTeck Resources Limited——5.5%13.0%+18.7%+50% / +71%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
9.95
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
17.52
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
26.28
Total return 76% · Per year 76%
3 years
11.81
Total return -21% · Per year -7%
23.17
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
37.84
Total return 153% · Per year 36%
5 years
14.01
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
30.64
Total return 105% · Per year 15%
54.49
Total return 265% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 5.79
  • Net margin± 4.05
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.02
  • Annual dilution± 0.34

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Hecla Mining is North America's largest silver producer, operating mines in Alaska, Idaho and Yukon and, since March 2026, without the sold Casa Berardi operation. The company reported sales above 745 million USD in the first half of 2026 2, showing how much the business depends on metal prices.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A leading position in North American silver production with operations in stable jurisdictions in the US and Canada.
  • A strong balance sheet with no financial debt at the end of the second quarter of 2026 and an undrawn credit facility.
  • High operating cash flow in the second quarter of 2026, supported by strong mines such as Lucky Friday.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy dependence on silver and gold prices makes revenue very volatile.
  • Keno Hill has not yet reached commercial production, and its output guidance was lowered.
  • Silver output in the first half of 2026 was below the same period of 2025 at Greens Creek.

Opportunities

  • Greens Creek projects, such as the pyrite circuit and tailings reprocessing, could add production if approved.
  • Demand from green technologies could support silver prices over the longer term.
  • A restart of the Midas mill in Nevada, if the resource expands enough to support operations.

Threats

  • A prolonged fall in metal prices could lead to asset write-downs.
  • Receipt of the deferred and contingent Casa Berardi payments is not assured.
  • Environmental rules and mine closure obligations could increase costs.

Risks

  • Metal priceshigh

    A prolonged fall in silver or gold prices could reduce revenue and lead to write-downs.

  • Casa Berardi sale proceedsmedium

    Deferred and contingent payments depend on the buyer's financial condition and on reaching production milestones.

  • Environmental and reclamation obligationsmedium

    Permit exceedances at Keno Hill and reclamation costs could rise if estimates change.

  • Reserve and resource uncertaintymedium

    Reserve and resource estimates can be revised, which could affect mine plans and depreciation.

  • Regulatory risklow

    Permit approvals and legislative changes could delay growth projects.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The company has a debt-free balance sheet and a strong position as North America's silver leader, which gives it flexibility.
  • If silver prices stay high and Keno Hill reaches commercial production, cash flow could rise significantly.
  • Projects at Greens Creek and in Nevada could add production without large investment in new infrastructure.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue depends on metal prices, which fell in the second quarter of 2026 and could keep fluctuating sharply.
  • Part of the Casa Berardi deal value depends on uncertain future payments, which could reduce actual proceeds.
  • Keno Hill has not yet reached commercial production, and the lowered guidance shows execution risk.

What to watch

  • Greens Creek production pace and silver guidanceQ3 2026
  • Completion of the surface cooling project at Lucky FridaySeptember 2026
  • Keno Hill progress toward commercial production2027
  • Approval decision on Greens Creek growth projectsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

Hecla Mining Company discovers, acquires and develops mines producing silver, gold, lead, zinc and copper, an activity carried on since 1891 1. Its products are concentrates containing precious and base metals, carbon containing silver and gold, and unrefined doré, sold to smelters, traders and refiners. Revenue comes almost entirely from metals sold, so results track silver and gold prices directly.

The strategy focuses on safe operation, strengthening the balance sheet, improving return on invested capital and generating free cash flow 1. In 2026 the company sold Hecla Quebec, which held Casa Berardi, to concentrate capital on its silver assets 2. Advancing Keno Hill to commercial production remains a key priority.

The company operates in stable jurisdictions in the US and Canada, which it says reduces political risk compared with global peers 2. Three mines (Greens Creek, Lucky Friday and Keno Hill) produced together 37% of US and Canadian silver output in 2025 2. Exploration in Nevada and Montana supports the longer-term pipeline.

Segments

Greens Creek (Alaska)

The largest contributor to metal sales, about 44.3% in fiscal 2025 1. It produces silver, zinc and precious metal concentrates plus gravity concentrate for doré. In the second quarter of 2026 silver output fell on lower throughput and grades 2.

Lucky Friday (Idaho)

A northern Idaho mine operating since 1958 that set a record quarterly silver output in the second quarter of 2026 3. The surface cooling project was 88% complete and could finish in September 3.

Keno Hill (Yukon)

A mine still ramping up below commercial production levels, which became profitable for the first time under company ownership in 2025 1. It produced 0.6 million ounces of silver in the second quarter of 2026 after a lower-grade zone, and silver guidance was lowered 3.

Market context

Silver demand from green technology industries is part of the company's growth thesis 2. Treatment and refining charges can reduce net revenue, and limited control over prices keeps results hard to predict 1.

Trends

  • Demand for silver in green technologiestailwind

    The company argues that demand from green technology industries could support silver prices over the longer term 2.

  • Metal price volatilityheadwind

    Silver and gold prices fell in the second quarter of 2026, reducing revenue from the previous quarter 3.

  • Portfolio consolidation after the Casa Berardi salemixed

    The sale removed a gold-focused asset and concentrated the company on silver, which ended the second quarter of 2026 with no financial debt 3.

  • Organic growth projectstailwind

    The Greens Creek pyrite concentrate circuit and tailings reprocessing could add production if approved 2.

Competitive position

Hecla presents itself as North America's largest silver producer, with an asset exposure to silver that it considers better than its nearest peers, by its own assessment 1. Competition comes from other silver and base metal producers in the US, Canada and abroad, which operate in different jurisdictions.

A direct comparison with competitors depends on cost structure and production profile, and the source material gives no detailed peer data. The company stresses that operating in stable jurisdictions reduces political risk relative to global peers 2.

  • Pan American SilverPAAS

    A large silver producer in Latin America, cited as a common sector comparison; details are not drawn from the analysed sources.

  • First Majestic SilverAG

    A silver producer with operations in Mexico, relevant as a competitor through its production profile rather than data in the analysed sources.

  • Coeur MiningCDE

    A silver and gold producer in North America, a direct competitor in the US and Canadian silver market.

  • Orezone Gold

    The buyer of Casa Berardi, to which Hecla agreed a sale with deferred and contingent payments.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.03 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Other events
  • Current report22 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 May 2026
  • Current report05 May 2026
    Results of operations · Other events
  • Proxy statement10 Apr 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Hecla Mining Company · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Hecla Mining Company · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hecla Mining Company · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.