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olivLaw · US equity research

Akamai Technologies, Inc. AKAM

Services-Business Services, NEC · SIC 7389 · Vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

77.84USD−9.41% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Akamai Technologies is a cybersecurity and cloud computing company that powers and protects business online, with revenue of 4.208 billion USD in fiscal 2025. Its relevance is rising as demand grows for AI inference at the edge, where Cloud Infrastructure Services grew 39% in the second quarter of 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) stock was 77.84 USD (−9.41% on the day), with market capitalisation 11.2 bn USD, P/E 28.0 on diluted EPS of 2.78 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.31, 52-week range 73.00–161.14 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (+5.4% YoY), net income of 79.4 m USD (−23.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.52 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
11.2 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.0
Diluted EPS TTM 2.78 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.57%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.31
Volatility (1y) 63%
52-week range
73.00161.14

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
28.1
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
79.43 – 106.32
below the lower band · %B -0.06 · band width 29.0%
SMA 50 / 200
102.11 / 112.40
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-5.01 / -4.03
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−28.3%−5.9%−22.4 pp—
3 months−34.3%−4.6%−29.7 pp—
6 months−33.3%+0.2%−33.5 pp—
Year to date−10.8%+7.4%−18.2 pp—
1 year+6.7%+8.2%−1.5 pp−3.7%
3 years−28.2%+68.4%−96.7 pp−4.8%
5 years−27.4%+56.5%−84.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−51.7%
13 May 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−51.7%
13 May 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−6.2%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
+5.4% YoY
Net income
79.4 m USD
−23.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.52
−26.8% YoY
net / operating
7.2% / 7.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.0 bn1.0 bn1.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn
Cost of revenue408.8 m414.4 m418.9 m426.5 m429.5 m452.5 m471.3 m485.9 m
Research & development120.3 m120.2 m123.5 m125.8 m124.7 m139.5 m141.6 m148.8 m
Operating income70.6 m148.1 m154.6 m151.5 m166.0 m94.9 m114.5 m80.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation165.7 m ≈167.9 m174.0 m175.5 m ≈176.6 m ≈182.5 m183.8 m185.5 m ≈
Interest expense6.7 m6.7 m6.8 m8.2 m7.9 m7.9 m8.3 m9.1 m
Pre-tax income73.8 m158.1 m173.4 m151.9 m173.2 m103.9 m122.0 m100.0 m
Income tax15.9 m18.2 m50.2 m48.3 m33.0 m18.8 m15.7 m20.6 m
Net income57.9 m139.9 m123.2 m103.6 m140.2 m85.1 m106.3 m79.4 m
Diluted EPS0.380.91 ≈0.820.710.970.58 ≈0.710.52
Operating cash flow392.5 m ≈343.8 m251.2 m459.1 m ≈441.8 m ≈366.6 m312.5 m326.3 m ≈
Capex112.8 m ≈92.9 m117.8 m145.5 m ≈112.8 m ≈131.7 m101.7 m144.9 m ≈
Share repurchases165.8 m ≈138.4 m500.0 m300.0 m ≈0 ≈0205.9 m409.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 21 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 22.2, median 30.4, max 67.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.7 bn2.9 bn3.2 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn3.8 bn4.0 bn4.2 bn
Revenue YoY+8.4%+6.6%+10.5%+8.2%+4.5%+5.4%+4.7%+5.4%
Net income298.4 m478.0 m557.1 m651.6 m523.7 m547.6 m504.9 m452.0 m
Net income YoY+33.9%+60.2%+16.5%+17.0%−19.6%+4.6%−7.8%−10.5%
Diluted EPS1.762.903.373.933.263.523.273.07
Diluted EPS YoY+36.4%+64.8%+16.2%+16.6%−17.0%+8.0%−7.1%−6.1%
net %11.0%16.5%17.4%18.8%14.5%14.4%12.7%10.7%
Free cash flow790.7 m698.6 m700.7 m1.1 bn1.0 bn890.5 m1.1 bn1.0 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
930.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
5.0 bn USD
Total assets
11.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.36x
ROE
9.2%
ROA
4.1%
FCF margin
24.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.8 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.3 bn ≈
2024
2.4 bn ≈
2025
2.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
406.0 m
2024
470.9 m
2025
513.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
637.3 m
2024
533.4 m
2025
566.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
570.8 m
2024
648.4 m
2025
708.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
17.7 m
2024
27.1 m
2025
30.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
652.5 m
2024
587.0 m
2025
602.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
106.4 m
2024
82.1 m
2025
150.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
547.6 m
2024
504.9 m
2025
452.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.52
2024
3.27
2025
3.07

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
155.4 m
2024
154.3 m
2025
147.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
489.5 m
2024
517.7 m
2025
930.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
724.3 m
2024
727.7 m
2025
793.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
536.1 m
2024
727.6 m
2025
614.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
9.9 bn
2024
10.4 bn
2025
11.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
146.9 m
2024
130.4 m
2025
125.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
836.0 m
2024
2.1 bn
2025
967.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.3 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
6.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.6 bn †
2024
4.9 bn †
2025
5.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
457.9 m
2024
390.4 m
2025
507.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
890.5 m ≈
2024
1.1 bn ≈
2025
1.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.8 bn
2024
-798.7 m
2025
-540.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
443.4 m
2024
-679.6 m
2025
-588.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
654.0 m
2024
557.5 m
2025
800.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-2.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
57.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
27.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
22.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
13.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
491.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
956.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
232.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
122.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
73 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
42 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
11.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
27.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
11.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.52
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 64 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

77.84 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 11.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
11.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2668derived 209

Score by group

  • Growth22
  • Returns79
  • Balance sheet88
  • Valuation74
  • Quality79

Estimated value range

Low
54.95
USD per share
Mid
95.89
USD per share
High
119.79
USD per share
Price: 77.84 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 23.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 18.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 54.95 – 119.79 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E54.95 – 119.79 (Mid 95.89)
    26 companies used · median multiple 34.5x · quartiles 19.8x – 43.1x
    ACN, BR, CPAY, CSGP, DASH, EBAY, FICO, FIS, FOUR, LQDT, MA, MELI, MMS, MSCI, NUTX, OPRX, PAY, PAYO, PDD, PRTH, PYPL, RBA, RDWR, RMNI, UBER, WSE
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 64/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality9.5%59 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality232.6%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.2%43 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.0%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet13.7x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x70 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation28.0x54 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation8.5%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.5%79 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet88/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth22/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality79/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial79/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation74/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Akamai Technologies, Inc (AKAM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.4%; net margin 9.5%; ROE 8.9%.

The estimated value range is 54.95–119.79 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 95.89 USD, the price of 77.84 USD leaves a potential of 23.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 18.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 64/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 232.6%
  • Interest coverage: 13.7x
  • FCF yield: 8.5%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.5%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -2.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
28.0x
vertical median 34.5x
below median (−18.8%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.2x
P/S
2.6x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+40.6%)
P/B
2.4x
vertical median 2.8x
below median (−15.3%)
ROE
8.9%
vertical median 15.0%
below median (−40.4%)
Net margin
9.5%
vertical median 6.7%
above median (+42.9%)
EBIT margin
10.5%
vertical median 9.1%
above median (+15.3%)
Revenue YoY
5.4%
vertical median 9.8%
below median (−44.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PDDPDD Holdings Inc.478.0 bn35.627.4%22.7%+14.5%−28% / −43%
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.140.4 bn40.712.4%6.1%+18.3%−21% / +22%
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.77.6 bn41.126.2%4.9%+39.1%−26% / −6%
EBAYeBay Inc.54.2 bn26.846.6%16.9%+7.9%+49% / +201%
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.49.0 bn11.223.8%13.8%+4.3%−6% / +2%
MSCIMsci Inc.46.9 bn34.7—40.3%+9.7%+16% / +26%
FISVFiserv, Inc.33.4 bn—-17.0%-18.9%+3.6%+2% / −52%
CPAYCorpay, Inc28.6 bn24.633.7%23.7%+13.9%+51% / +86%
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.25.1 bn—-5.6%-11.2%−0.4%+25% / −18%
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.21.9 bn21.440.2%13.9%+8.5%−15% / +0%
RBARB Global, Inc17.6 bn39.78.8%10.0%+7.2%−3% / +49%
FICOFair Isaac Corp15.3 bn20.4—34.1%+15.9%−61% / −35%
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.15.1 bn4.423.0%26.8%+5.4%−55% / −50%
CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.12.9 bn73.12.2%4.9%+18.7%−53% / −61%
AKAMAkamai Technologies, Inc11.2 bn28.08.9%9.5%+5.4%+7% / −28%
MMSMaximus, Inc.3.6 bn10.221.1%7.1%+2.4%−20% / −17%
FOURShift4 Payments, Inc.3.2 bn27.97.4%2.3%+25.5%−42% / −35%
PAYOPayoneer Global Inc.2.4 bn49.27.2%4.7%+7.7%+24% / +38%
ACVACopart Inc1.8 bn—-15.1%-7.9%+19.2%+16% / −21%
LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc1.4 bn43.815.0%6.8%+31.2%+49% / +133%
NUTXNutex Health Inc.1.3 bn8.343.8%20.7%+82.4%+68% / +579%
RDWRRadware Ltd.1.3 bn67.16.1%6.7%+9.8%+32% / +98%
PRTHPriority Technology Holdings, Inc.649.9 m16.2—4.0%+8.3%+35% / +162%
RMNIRimini Street, Inc.482.0 m44.2—2.5%−1.7%+36% / +66%
ADVAdvantage Solutions Inc.410.7 m—-59.0%-8.9%−0.7%+35% / −53%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AKAM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
47.67
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
84.25
Total return 8% · Per year 8%
126.87
Total return 63% · Per year 63%
3 years
46.90
Total return -40% · Per year -16%
93.20
Total return 20% · Per year 6%
154.01
Total return 98% · Per year 26%
5 years
46.14
Total return -41% · Per year -10%
103.11
Total return 32% · Per year 6%
186.96
Total return 140% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 23.30
  • Net margin± 16.31
  • Annual revenue growth± 13.30
  • Annual dilution± 1.37

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Akamai Technologies is a cybersecurity and cloud computing company that powers and protects business online, with revenue of 4.208 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. Its relevance is rising as demand grows for AI inference at the edge, where Cloud Infrastructure Services grew 39% in the second quarter of 2026 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The globally distributed infrastructure gives visibility into traffic and attacks 1.
  • Security is the largest revenue contributor and continues to grow 3.
  • The company holds substantial liquidity to fund investment 3.

Weaknesses

  • Delivery revenue has declined for several years due to lower renewal pricing 1.
  • Operating margin in the second quarter of 2026 fell compared with the prior year 3.
  • Co-location and server costs put pressure on profitability 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand for edge AI inference could bring new large cloud contracts 1.
  • Integrating Fermyon could make the edge platform more attractive to developers 1.
  • Security for AI applications and APIs could open new markets 1.

Threats

  • Larger rivals with greater resources could push prices lower 1.
  • Customers may move to in-house solutions or multiple providers 1.
  • Geopolitical tensions and tariffs could disrupt supply chains and demand 1.

Risks

  • Slowing revenue growthhigh

    Revenue growth could decline, affecting profitability and the share price 1.

  • Delivery pricing pressuremedium

    Competition and customers optimising traffic could further reduce delivery revenue 1.

  • Infrastructure costshigh

    Rising co-location and server costs could reduce margins if prices are not adjusted 2.

  • Intense competitionmedium

    Larger or more agile competitors may win or lose customers through cheaper offers 1.

  • Geopolitical riskslow

    Conflicts, tariffs and sanctions could affect operations and demand 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If Cloud Infrastructure Services keeps growing quickly, the segment could become a major revenue driver 3.
  • The steadily growing security franchise provides a base of recurring revenue 3.
  • The global distributed network could support new edge AI services 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If delivery keeps declining, total revenue could remain under pressure 1.
  • Margins could stay lower if infrastructure costs outpace price increases 2.
  • Competition with large players could limit gains from new contracts 1.

What to watch

  • Growth of Cloud Infrastructure Services revenueQ3 2026
  • Delivery of 2026 revenue guidance2026
  • Non-GAAP operating margin versus guidanceQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

In 2025 the company launched Akamai Inference Cloud, which moves AI inference from core data centres to the edge of the internet 1. The Fermyon acquisition in November 2025 aims to integrate WebAssembly functions into the edge platform 1.

Market context

The enterprise cybersecurity and cloud market is highly competitive and changing quickly, according to the annual report 1. Traffic growth on the Akamai network has remained moderated compared with prior years, especially in media and gaming 2.

On the AI side, demand for edge inference and dedicated infrastructure is growing, but large providers dominate access to servers, memory and co-location capacity 1. Rising co-location and server costs could weigh on margins if prices cannot be adjusted 2.

Trends

  • AI and edge inference growthtailwind

    Companies are moving AI workloads toward the edge, and Akamai is building AIC for this purpose 1. If large customers keep signing multi-year contracts, cloud revenue could accelerate 3.

  • Pressure on delivery pricingheadwind

    Prices paid by delivery customers have declined at renewal because of competition, and some customers shift to in-house or multiple providers 1. This trend could keep delivery revenue under pressure 2.

  • Rising infrastructure costsheadwind

    Co-location, server and memory costs are rising because of hyperscaler market dynamics, lifting capital expenditure 1. If prices do not track these costs, margins could be affected 2.

  • Security demand for AI applicationsmixed

    Organisations are deploying large language models and AI agents, which create new vulnerabilities 1. Firewall for AI was launched to address this gap 1, and security revenue could benefit if adoption continues 3.

Competitive position

Competitors vary in size and offering, from start-ups to large technology or telecommunications companies 1. Large rivals have greater financial resources and priority access to components and space, which can let them offer lower prices 1.

Smaller and more agile competitors can win customers with simpler products at lower prices, and existing customers may become competitors 1. Competitive pressure could continue to weigh on renewal pricing 2.

  • Large hyperscale cloud providers

    Companies that dominate servers, memory and co-location capacity and can offer broader cloud platforms 1.

  • Large technology and telecommunications companies

    Companies that offer or plan products broadly competitive with Akamai's 1.

  • Start-ups in security and API protection

    Smaller firms that target parts of Akamai's portfolio with simpler solutions 1.

  • Content delivery providers

    Rivals that win contracts with lower prices at renewal, particularly in delivery 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 02 Nov 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 05 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report05 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Sept 2026
    Item 5.05 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report24 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Item 3.02 · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report07 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 May 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report08 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Akamai Technologies, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Akamai Technologies, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Akamai Technologies, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.