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olivLaw · US equity research

Radware Ltd. RDWR

Services-Business Services, NEC · SIC 7389 · Vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

33.00USD−1.79% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Radware Ltd. is a provider of application security and delivery solutions for multi-cloud environments, serving enterprises, carriers and cloud service providers. In fiscal 2025 total revenues grew 10%, to 301.85 million USD, driven mainly by cloud security subscriptions as demand for DDoS and application protection remains strong.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Radware Ltd. (RDWR) stock was 33.00 USD (−1.79% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.4 bn USD, P/E 73.3 on diluted EPS of 0.45 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.01, 52-week range 21.74–37.16 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
73.3
Diluted EPS TTM 0.45 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
1.36%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.01
Volatility (1y) 46%
52-week range
21.7437.16

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
54.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
25.75 – 37.05
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.64 · band width 36.0%
SMA 50 / 200
30.12 / 27.89
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.26 / 1.07
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.6%−1.1%+8.7 pp—
3 months+15.7%−0.5%+16.2 pp—
6 months+22.9%+4.4%+18.5 pp—
Year to date+37.0%+12.3%+24.7 pp—
1 year+38.9%+13.5%+25.3 pp−1.1%
3 years+121.6%+76.4%+45.2 pp+3.3%
5 years−1.9%+63.7%−65.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.3%
09 Jul 2026 → 29 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−65.5%
30 Dec 2021 → 01 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−0.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 6-quarter history (min 53.5, median 114.8, max 260.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue234.4 m252.1 m250.0 m286.5 m293.4 m261.3 m274.9 m301.9 m
Revenue YoY+10.9%+7.5%−0.8%+14.6%+2.4%−11.0%+5.2%+9.8%
Net income11.7 m22.6 m9.6 m7.8 m-166.0 k-21.6 m6.0 m20.3 m
Net income YoYunavailable+92.3%−57.3%−18.9%−102.1%unavailableunavailable+235.5%
Diluted EPS0.250.470.200.160.00-0.500.140.45
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+88.0%−57.4%−20.0%−100.0%unavailableunavailable+221.4%
net %5.0%9.0%3.9%2.7%-0.1%-8.3%2.2%6.7%
Free cash flow40.4 m44.7 m55.2 m66.2 m23.3 m-8.9 m66.3 m41.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
105.1 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
390.7 m USD
Total assets
671.2 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.63x
ROE
5.4%
ROA
3.1%
FCF margin
13.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
261.3 m
2024
274.9 m
2025
301.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
51.7 m
2024
53.3 m
2025
58.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
209.6 m
2024
221.6 m
2025
243.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
82.6 m
2024
74.7 m
2025
79.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-31.7 m
2024
-3.9 m
2025
11.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
12.2 m
2024
11.8 m
2025
11.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-19.4 m ≈
2024
7.9 m ≈
2025
23.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-17.8 m
2024
12.7 m
2025
29.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
3.8 m
2024
6.6 m
2025
9.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-21.6 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
20.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.50
2024
0.14
2025
0.45

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
42.9 m
2024
43.4 m
2025
44.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
70.5 m
2024
98.7 m
2025
105.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
20.3 m
2024
16.8 m
2025
35.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
15.5 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
13.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
375.9 m
2024
320.9 m
2025
316.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
18.2 m
2024
15.6 m
2025
16.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
68.0 m
2024
68.0 m
2025
68.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
15.7 m
2024
11.8 m
2025
7.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
571.9 m
2024
618.7 m
2025
671.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
4.3 m
2024
5.6 m
2025
7.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
155.0 m
2024
168.5 m
2025
194.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
323.3 m
2024
357.1 m
2025
390.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
41.7 m
2024
42.6 m
2025
43.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-3.5 m
2024
71.6 m
2025
50.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
5.4 m
2024
5.3 m
2025
8.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-8.9 m ≈
2024
66.3 m ≈
2025
41.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
92.8 m
2024
-39.5 m
2025
-30.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-64.9 m
2024
-3.9 m
2025
-13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
63.2 m
2024
839.0 k
2025
10.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
235.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
221.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-37.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
80.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
50.1 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
8.5 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
41.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
205.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
216.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
85 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days payables outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash conversion cycle
77 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
70.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
73.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
4.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
4.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
34.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

33.00 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
73.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
4.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 31 Mar 2026
verified 513

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
7.77
USD per share
Mid
11.57
USD per share
High
17.03
USD per share
Price: 33.00 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -65.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -185.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 7.77 – 17.03 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E7.77 – 17.03 (Mid 11.57)
    27 companies used · median multiple 25.7x · quartiles 17.3x – 37.8x
    ACN, AMTM, BR, CART, CPAY, DLO, EBAY, EXLS, FICO, FIS, FLYW, GRAB, HQY, IMXI, LQDT, LYFT, MA, MELI, MSCI, OPRX, PYPL, QNST, RBA, RELY, TNET, UBER, WU
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality6.7%45 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality205.1%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.9%8 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x69 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation73.3x0 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation2.9%36 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.7%11 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial69/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial8/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality72/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial11/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation16/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

RADWARE LTD. (RDWR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 301.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 9.8%; net margin 6.7%; ROE 6.1%.

The estimated value range is 7.77–17.03 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.57 USD, the price of 33.00 USD leaves a potential of -65.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -185.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 205.1%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.9%
  • P/E (TTM): 73.3x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.7%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
73.3x
vertical median 25.7x
above median (+185.3%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.2x
P/S
4.7x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+151.6%)
P/B
4.1x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+44.4%)
ROE
6.1%
vertical median 13.7%
below median (−55.5%)
Net margin
6.7%
vertical median 8.1%
below median (−17.5%)
EBIT margin
3.8%
vertical median 12.0%
below median (−68.6%)
Revenue YoY
9.8%
vertical median 10.3%
at median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.142.7 bn41.312.4%6.1%+18.3%−20% / +24%
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.88.2 bn47.327.5%5.3%+39.1%−16% / +7%
EBAYeBay Inc.54.9 bn27.246.6%16.9%+7.9%+51% / +205%
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.50.0 bn11.523.8%13.8%+4.3%−4% / +4%
MSCIMsci Inc.48.2 bn35.7—40.3%+9.7%+20% / +29%
FISVFiserv, Inc.33.0 bn—-17.0%-18.9%+3.6%+1% / −52%
CPAYCorpay, Inc27.5 bn25.430.5%22.7%+13.9%+42% / +74%
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.25.4 bn—-4.1%-9.1%−0.4%+27% / −17%
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.21.4 bn20.940.2%13.9%+8.5%−17% / −2%
RBARB Global, Inc17.6 bn39.98.8%10.0%+7.2%−3% / +49%
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.15.3 bn4.423.0%26.8%+5.4%−55% / −49%
FICOFair Isaac Corp15.1 bn20.3—34.1%+15.9%−61% / −36%
CARTMaplebear Inc.13.7 bn32.417.1%12.0%+10.8%+41% / +145%
HQYHealthequity, Inc.9.0 bn39.411.4%17.4%+9.5%+3% / +62%
LYFTLyft, Inc.7.1 bn2.7152.6%42.3%+9.2%−11% / +60%
EXLSExlservice Holdings, Inc.6.5 bn25.727.7%11.1%+13.6%+9% / +52%
RELYRemitly Global, Inc.5.8 bn16.435.9%19.1%+29.4%+100% / +26%
AMTMAmentum Holdings, Inc.5.4 bn26.74.5%1.4%+71.6%−22% / unavailable
DLODLocal Limited4.1 bn21.437.2%18.0%+46.6%+3% / −19%
TNETTrinet Group, Inc.3.1 bn18.1141.6%3.6%−0.9%+14% / −42%
FLYWFlywire Corporation2.7 bn36.39.1%10.3%+26.6%+56% / −6%
TICTIC Solutions, Inc.2.3 bn—-7.1%-5.6%unavailable+10% / unavailable
WUThe Western Union Company2.1 bn6.336.8%8.3%−3.8%−25% / −43%
LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc1.5 bn45.815.0%6.8%+31.2%+56% / +144%
RDWRRadware Ltd.1.4 bn73.36.1%6.7%+9.8%+39% / +122%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RDWR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
19.62
Total return -41% · Per year -41%
34.76
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
52.44
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
17.71
Total return -46% · Per year -19%
35.42
Total return 7% · Per year 2%
58.86
Total return 78% · Per year 21%
5 years
15.98
Total return -52% · Per year -13%
36.09
Total return 9% · Per year 2%
66.07
Total return 100% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8.85
  • Net margin± 6.20
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.27
  • Annual dilution± 0.52

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (07 Oct 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026), 6-K (06 Jul 2026), 6-K (27 May 2026), 6-K (07 May 2026).

In brief

Radware Ltd. is a provider of application security and delivery solutions for multi-cloud environments, serving enterprises, carriers and cloud service providers. In fiscal 2025 total revenues grew 10%, to 301.85 million USD, driven mainly by cloud security subscriptions as demand for DDoS and application protection remains strong.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Broad portfolio of cloud security and application delivery solutions, with product revenue growth sustained in fiscal 2025 1.
  • International presence across several continents, with local offices in Asia-Pacific, Europe and the Americas 1.
  • Return to profitability in fiscal 2025 after losses in earlier years 1.

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on independent distributors that are not bound to promote the company's products exclusively 1.
  • Decline in support service revenues in fiscal 2025 as the business shifts toward cloud models 1.
  • Reliance on a few vendors for hardware platforms and components, which could affect deliveries 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand for DDoS and web and API application protection could continue to grow 1.
  • The Pynt acquisition and AI SOC modules could extend the API security offering 1.
  • The carrier segment grew in fiscal 2025 and could bring further contracts 1.

Threats

  • Intense competition in cybersecurity could lead to lost market share 1.
  • Global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions may cause customers to delay spending 1.
  • Exchange rate fluctuations and instability in the Middle East could affect results 1.

Risks

  • Reliance on distributorshigh

    Most sales go through independent distributors without exclusivity or minimum performance obligations, which could reduce sales if these partners shift their priorities 1.

  • Supply chainmedium

    Shortages or delays in components could prevent timely product delivery, and reliance on a few vendors could amplify this risk 1.

  • Intense competitionhigh

    The cybersecurity market is competitive, and failing to develop new solutions could lead to lost market share 1.

  • Global economic conditionsmedium

    Economic and geopolitical changes may reduce demand or lengthen sales cycles, which could affect financial results 1.

  • Concentrated shareholder influencemedium

    The estate of the late founder and members of the Zisapel family may significantly influence the election of directors and other shareholder decisions 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Growth in product revenues and cloud services, together with a return to operating profit in fiscal 2025, could indicate that the shift toward subscriptions is working 1.
  • Strong growth in EMEA and in the carrier segment could open new revenue opportunities if the trend continues 1.
  • The integrated DDoS, application and API security offering, supported by the Pynt acquisition, could strengthen the company's position in cloud demand 1.

What would break the thesis

  • The decline in support service revenues in fiscal 2025 could signal lost recurring revenue if the cloud transition does not fully offset it 1.
  • Dependence on independent distributors and intense competition could limit the ability to sustain margins and grow sales 1.
  • Profitability remains modest, and a slowdown in demand or pricing pressure could quickly reduce operating profit 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in service revenues and the transition to cloud subscriptionsQ1 2027
  • Effects of the decision to sell or cease SkyHawk Security operations2027
  • Integration of the Pynt acquisition and results of the new AI modulesnext 10-K
  • Market share development against competitors and pricing pressure2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (07 Oct 2026), 6-K (29 Jul 2026), 6-K (06 Jul 2026), 6-K (27 May 2026), 6-K (07 May 2026).

The business

Radware Ltd., incorporated in Israel, describes itself as a provider of application security and delivery solutions for multi-cloud environments, with solutions used by enterprises, carriers and cloud service providers 1. Its offering is split into products, which include cloud security-as-a-service subscriptions, on-premises hardware and software and product subscriptions, and services, which cover managed services, professional services, technical support, training and certification 1. In fiscal 2025, product revenues accounted for approximately 63% of total revenues 1. The company sells mainly through independent distributors, including value added resellers, original equipment manufacturers and global system integrators 1.

Cloud services are central to the strategy, particularly cloud DDoS protection and web and API application protection, offered in several plans and deployment options from always-on to on-demand protection 1. The company recently added an AI SOC module and an LLM Firewall, and in January 2026 acquired Pynt, Inc., an API security testing company 1. In February 2026 management resolved to sell or cease the operations of SkyHawk Security 1.

Financially, the company reported an operating profit of 11.41 million USD and a net income of 20.26 million USD in fiscal 2025, compared with losses in 2024 and 2023 1. Revenues from the United States were 92.7 million USD, representing 31% of the total 1.

Segments

Radware's Core Business

The core segment covers cloud security-as-a-service products, application and data center security products and application availability products, and in fiscal 2025 growth was supported by cloud DDoS and application protection subscriptions 1.

The Hawks' Business

The Hawks segment combines SkyHawk Security, which provides cloud-native threat detection and response, and EdgeHawk, which turns routers and network nodes into carrier security platforms; in February 2026 the company resolved to sell or cease SkyHawk Security 1.

Regional sales

Revenue growth was strongest in EMEA, where revenues rose 18% in fiscal 2025, while the Americas grew 6% and Asia-Pacific 5% 1.

Market context

The company operates in the application security and application delivery market, particularly DDoS protection and web and API application security. The source indicates that enterprise revenues grew in fiscal 2025 and carrier revenues grew faster, pointing to sustained demand in both customer groups 1.

Demand for cloud solutions is an important driver, but the market is sensitive to global economic conditions, and customers may postpone spending in periods of uncertainty, which could slow growth or lengthen sales cycles 1.

Trends

  • Shift toward cloud and subscriptionsmixed

    Support service revenues declined in fiscal 2025 as the company moves toward cloud-based and subscription offerings, which could reduce traditional recurring revenue if the transition is not offset by new subscriptions 1.

  • Demand for DDoS and application protectiontailwind

    Growth in product revenues, supported by cloud DDoS and application protection services, indicates continued demand for these solutions, especially in EMEA 1.

  • Long sales cyclesheadwind

    The company notes its solutions have long sales cycles, which may reduce the predictability of financial performance, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty 1.

  • Reliance on distributorsheadwind

    Most sales pass through independent distributors who are not obliged to promote the company's products exclusively, which could affect revenues if these channels shift their priorities 1.

Competitive position

The source states that competition in the cybersecurity and application delivery market is intense and that distributors may prioritize competitors' products or their own 1. The document does not list specific competitors but stresses that failing to compete effectively could lead to lost market share and difficulty maintaining profitability 1.

Differentiation rests on the integrated platform for DDoS, application and API protection, the AI SOC capabilities and the mix of appliances and subscriptions, but pricing pressure could weigh on margins if prices fall 1.

  • Application security and DDoS protection vendors

    The source refers to intense competition in the field without naming specific rivals.

  • Distributors carrying rival products

    Distributors may sell competitors' products, an indirect form of competition.

  • Cloud threat detection providers

    Competition in cloud security and threat detection is referenced in the context of the Hawks segment.

  • Network equipment and ADC vendors

    Alteon ADC and DefensePro X products compete with similar network equipment offerings.

News & filings

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.