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olivLaw · US equity research

Payoneer Global Inc. PAYO

Services-Business Services, NEC · SIC 7389 · Vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

7.16USD0.00% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Payoneer is a financial technology company that gives small and medium-sized businesses a cross-border payments infrastructure with multi-currency accounts. In June 2026 it agreed to be acquired by Nuvei at USD 7.40 per share, so its outlook now depends largely on completing that transaction.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Payoneer Global Inc. (PAYO) stock was 7.16 USD (+0.00% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.4 bn USD, P/E 49.1 on diluted EPS of 0.15 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.37, 52-week range 4.27–7.18 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 274.3 m USD (+5.2% YoY), net income of -2.4 m USD (−112.5% YoY), diluted EPS -0.01 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
49.1
Diluted EPS TTM 0.15 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.03%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.37
Volatility (1y) 46%
52-week range
4.277.18

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
7.11 – 7.18
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.77 · band width 0.9%
SMA 50 / 200
7.14 / 6.07
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.01 / 0.01
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.1%−2.0%+2.1 pp—
3 months+0.6%−2.2%+2.7 pp—
6 months+47.3%+4.3%+43.1 pp—
Year to date+27.4%+10.6%+16.8 pp—
1 year+23.7%+10.5%+13.2 pp−5.0%
3 years+25.4%+73.7%−48.3 pp+1.8%
5 years−5.8%+61.7%−67.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.6%
29 Jan 2026 → 26 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−62.8%
16 Nov 2021 → 11 May 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−1.2%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
274.3 m USD
+5.2% YoY
Net income
-2.4 m USD
−112.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.01
−120.0% YoY
net / operating
-0.9% / 6.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue248.3 m261.7 m246.6 m260.6 m270.9 m274.7 m261.6 m274.3 m
Research & development34.6 m40.4 m37.3 m37.4 m39.9 m40.9 m43.3 m47.0 m
Operating income35.2 m29.2 m29.3 m30.1 m36.3 m28.9 m30.0 m16.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation13.5 m13.7 m14.4 m15.6 m16.1 m19.5 m18.9 m21.2 m
Pre-tax income22.1 m26.2 m27.8 m29.9 m30.5 m27.5 m29.2 m6.3 m
Income tax-19.5 m8.0 m7.2 m10.4 m16.4 m8.4 m9.6 m8.7 m
Net income41.6 m18.2 m20.6 m19.5 m14.1 m19.0 m19.6 m-2.4 m
Diluted EPS0.110.04 ≈0.050.050.040.06 ≈0.06-0.01
Operating cash flow50.1 m ≈45.9 m53.7 m70.7 m ≈54.2 m ≈54.9 m51.8 m61.2 m ≈
Capex1.6 m ≈3.7 m4.7 m2.6 m ≈5.0 m ≈14.6 m10.1 m11.0 m ≈
Share repurchases21.8 m ≈17.1 m17.8 m32.0 m ≈45.3 m ≈78.6 m75.0 m17.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 86 percentile of its own 14-quarter history (min 16.3, median 27.8, max 392.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue317.8 m345.6 m473.4 m627.6 m831.1 m977.7 m1.1 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+8.8%+37.0%+32.6%+32.4%+17.6%+7.7%
Net income-625.0 k-23.7 m-34.0 m-12.0 m93.3 m121.2 m73.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+29.8%−39.6%
Diluted EPS-0.33-0.80-0.33-0.030.240.310.19
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+29.2%−38.7%
net %-0.2%-6.9%-7.2%-1.9%11.2%12.4%7.0%
Free cash flow-23.5 m4.5 m13.1 m73.5 m151.0 m168.7 m206.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
415.5 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
704.4 m USD
Total assets
9.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.00x
ROE
10.2%
ROA
0.9%
FCF margin
19.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
831.1 m
2024
977.7 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
119.2 m
2024
134.6 m
2025
155.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
103.6 m
2024
149.0 m
2025
124.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
27.8 m
2024
47.3 m
2025
65.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
131.4 m ≈
2024
196.3 m ≈
2025
190.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
132.5 m
2024
139.5 m
2025
115.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
39.2 m
2024
18.3 m
2025
42.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
93.3 m
2024
121.2 m
2025
73.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.24
2024
0.31
2025
0.19

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
392.7 m
2024
386.2 m
2025
376.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
617.0 m
2024
497.5 m
2025
415.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
8.0 m
2024
11.9 m
2025
10.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
7.1 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
8.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
15.5 m
2024
16.1 m
2025
32.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
19.9 m
2024
77.8 m
2025
77.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
76.3 m
2024
102.4 m
2025
208.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
7.3 bn
2024
7.9 bn
2025
9.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2021verified

Long-term debt
2023
18.4 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2024verified

Current liabilities
2023
6.5 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
8.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
6.6 bn
2024
7.2 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
664.3 m †
2024
724.8 m †
2025
704.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
159.5 m
2024
176.9 m
2025
233.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
8.5 m
2024
8.2 m
2025
26.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
151.0 m ≈
2024
168.7 m ≈
2025
206.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-44.3 m
2024
-2.0 bn
2025
-218.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
512.0 m
2024
427.8 m
2025
738.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
55.4 m
2024
137.5 m
2025
173.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
18.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
25.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-16.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-39.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-38.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
22.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
17.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
222.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
40.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
181.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
360.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
118.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
5 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
48.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
49.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
13.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

7.16 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
49.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 816derived 67

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
2.07
USD per share
Mid
3.12
USD per share
High
4.93
USD per share
Price: 7.16 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -56.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -129.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.07 – 4.93 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E2.07 – 4.93 (Mid 3.12)
    27 companies used · median multiple 21.4x · quartiles 14.2x – 33.9x
    ACN, AMTM, BR, CART, CPAY, DLO, EBAY, EXLS, FICO, FIS, FISV, GRAB, HQY, IMXI, LQDT, LYFT, MA, MELI, MSCI, OPRX, PYPL, QNST, RBA, RELY, TNET, UBER, WU
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality4.6%31 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality360.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth18.8%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x17 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation49.1x13 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation7.5%93 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial17/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality65/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation49/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Payoneer Global Inc. (PAYO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 7.7%; net margin 4.6%; ROE 7.1%.

The estimated value range is 2.07–4.93 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 3.12 USD, the price of 7.16 USD leaves a potential of -56.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -129.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 360.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 18.8%
  • FCF yield: 7.5%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.9%

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 1.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 49.1x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
49.1x
vertical median 25.2x
above median (+95.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 16.8x
P/S
2.2x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+5.1%)
P/B
3.7x
vertical median 3.0x
above median (+25.4%)
ROE
7.1%
vertical median 15.0%
below median (−52.8%)
Net margin
4.6%
vertical median 9.8%
below median (−52.5%)
EBIT margin
10.4%
vertical median 11.6%
below median (−10.6%)
Revenue YoY
7.7%
vertical median 9.8%
below median (−21.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
UBERUber Technologies, Inc136.0 bn14.638.4%17.3%+18.3%−24% / +18%
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.84.3 bn45.227.5%5.3%+39.1%−20% / +3%
EBAYeBay Inc.52.1 bn25.846.6%16.9%+7.9%+43% / +189%
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.48.4 bn11.123.8%13.8%+4.3%−7% / +1%
MSCIMsci Inc.45.7 bn33.9—40.3%+9.7%+13% / +23%
FISVFiserv, Inc.31.1 bn11.210.7%13.4%+3.6%−5% / −55%
CPAYCorpay, Inc26.7 bn24.730.5%22.7%+13.9%+37% / +69%
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.25.9 bn—-4.1%-9.1%−0.4%+29% / −16%
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.20.8 bn20.340.2%13.9%+8.5%−19% / −5%
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.20.1 bn6.022.3%27.6%+5.4%−41% / −34%
RBARB Global, Inc17.3 bn39.18.8%10.0%+7.2%−5% / +46%
FICOFair Isaac Corp15.6 bn20.9—34.1%+15.9%−60% / −33%
CARTMaplebear Inc.13.7 bn32.417.1%12.0%+10.8%+41% / +145%
HQYHealthequity, Inc.9.0 bn39.411.4%17.4%+9.5%+3% / +62%
LYFTLyft, Inc.7.1 bn2.7152.6%42.3%+9.2%−11% / +60%
EXLSExlservice Holdings, Inc.6.5 bn25.727.7%11.1%+13.6%+9% / +52%
RELYRemitly Global, Inc.5.7 bn19.532.2%16.9%+29.4%+100% / +26%
AMTMAmentum Holdings, Inc.5.4 bn26.74.5%1.4%+71.6%−22% / unavailable
DLODLocal Limited4.1 bn21.437.2%18.0%+46.6%+3% / −19%
TNETTrinet Group, Inc.3.1 bn18.1141.6%3.6%−0.9%+14% / −42%
FLYWFlywire Corporation2.7 bn83.84.2%4.8%+26.6%+56% / −6%
PAYOPayoneer Global Inc.2.4 bn49.17.1%4.6%+7.7%+24% / +25%
TICTIC Solutions, Inc.2.3 bn—-7.1%-5.6%unavailable+10% / unavailable
WUThe Western Union Company2.1 bn5.444.0%9.8%−3.8%−25% / −43%
LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc1.5 bn45.815.0%6.8%+31.2%+56% / +144%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PAYO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.76
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
8.38
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
12.58
Total return 76% · Per year 76%
3 years
5.65
Total return -21% · Per year -8%
11.09
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
18.11
Total return 153% · Per year 36%
5 years
6.70
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
14.66
Total return 105% · Per year 15%
26.08
Total return 264% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.77
  • Net margin± 1.94
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.45
  • Annual dilution± 0.16

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Payoneer is a financial technology company that gives small and medium-sized businesses a cross-border payments infrastructure with multi-currency accounts. In June 2026 it agreed to be acquired by Nuvei at USD 7.40 per share, so its outlook now depends largely on completing that transaction.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Global payment infrastructure with a network of banking partners and broad coverage of payment corridors.
  • Long experience in compliance and regulation for cross-border payments, especially in emerging markets.
  • Strong growth in the B2B and Checkout segments, combined with rising revenue per user.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on interest income from customer funds, which declines as rates fall.
  • A significant share of revenue comes from China, with specific risks to customer access.
  • Marketplace volume growth remained modest in the latest reported quarter.

Opportunities

  • Expansion of the offering through acquisitions such as the Employer of Record platform and deeper presence in China.
  • Greater adoption of B2B products and working capital financing for larger customers.
  • New products, such as capabilities linked to digital currencies, could open additional revenue sources.

Threats

  • The risk that the Nuvei transaction is not completed or is delayed by regulatory approvals.
  • Competitive pressure from partners that take payment services in-house.
  • Regulatory changes and economic sanctions that could limit certain payment corridors.

Risks

  • Nuvei transactionhigh

    The acquisition might not close on the expected timeline or at all, if shareholder, regulatory or other closing conditions are not met. Until then, management attention and resources may be diverted from operations 2.

  • Dependence on interest ratesmedium

    A decline in interest rates could reduce revenue from customer funds, which represent a significant part of revenue 2.

  • Reliance on banking partnersmedium

    Relationships with banks and payment processors could be terminated or changed for regulatory or commercial reasons, which could affect payment processing 1.

  • Exposure to Chinamedium

    A significant part of revenue comes from China, and any limit on the ability to serve customers there could affect results 1.

  • Security and fraud risksmedium

    Cyberattacks, fraud and illegal transactions could harm the company's reputation and financial results 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the Nuvei transaction closes, shareholders would receive a cash amount set in the agreement, removing execution risk for those who remain invested until closing.
  • B2B and Checkout are growing quickly, and revenue per user has risen for eight consecutive quarters, which could support the value of the business.
  • The broad geographic footprint and licences across many jurisdictions could act as an entry barrier for competitors.

What would break the thesis

  • If the transaction does not close, the company could be left with a cost structure affected by the restrictions imposed under the merger agreement.
  • Falling interest income could continue and reduce profitability if volume growth does not offset the loss.
  • Growth in marketplace volume has been weak, which could point to vulnerability in the company's core segment.

What to watch

  • Completion of the Nuvei transaction and regulatory approvalsmid-2027
  • Trend in interest income and customer funds balancesQ3 2026
  • Growth in B2B and Checkout volumeQ3 2026
  • Any new acquisitions or regulatory developments in Chinanext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Payoneer describes its activity as a 'financial stack' built for small and medium-sized businesses operating across borders, with a focus on emerging markets. The platform offers a multi-currency account for receivables and payables (AR and AP), cards, funds management, workforce management and working capital financing. The company was founded in 2005 and serves customers in more than 190 countries and territories, with nearly 2 million active customers 1. Volume processed was USD 87.5 billion in 2025, and revenue was USD 1,052.8 million 1.

Revenue depends on transaction volume and on interest earned on customer funds held on the platform. Because interest rates have fallen, interest income declined in 2026, while revenue excluding interest grew. In 2025 the company acquired PayEco, to expand its regulatory infrastructure in China, and Boundless Technologies, an Employer of Record platform 1.

The company operates as a regulated non-bank financial institution in several jurisdictions, including the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, China and Australia, and runs support hubs in multiple countries, including Romania 1. In Q2 2026 revenue was USD 274.3 million. The company withdrew its financial outlook and suspended investor earnings calls in light of the Nuvei transaction 3.

Market context

The target market is cross-border commerce for small and medium-sized businesses, where customers need multi-currency accounts, compliance and access to local payment methods. The company cites an estimate that global B2B e-commerce volume could reach USD 36 trillion by 2026, with stronger growth in Asia Pacific, Latin America and the Middle East 1.

E-commerce growth slowed in 2025 compared with 2024, due to more volatile macroeconomic and trade conditions, and total volume grew 9% in 2025 1. Market developments could depend on trade policy and the level of interest rates.

Trends

  • Growth of cross-border digital commercetailwind

    B2B digital commerce and small-business online sales create demand for cross-border payment solutions. This trend could support platform volume over the longer term.

  • Shift toward a global workforcetailwind

    Companies increasingly look across borders for talent and suppliers, which favours services for hiring and paying contractors. This could increase demand for workforce management services.

  • Lower interest ratesheadwind

    Interest income on customer funds has declined, falling 11% year over year in Q2 2026. If rates continue to fall, pressure on revenue could persist, although the company has partly hedged its sensitivity through investments and derivatives 2.

  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensionsmixed

    U.S. trade measures and conflicts in the Middle East, including the war in Ukraine, have introduced uncertainty for customers and for processed volume. The impact could be mixed, depending on which trade corridors are affected 2.

Competitive position

Competition in payments and financial services is increasingly intense, coming both from payment providers and from enterprise partners that may take payment services in-house. This could pressure margins if pricing competition intensifies 1.

Payoneer differentiates itself through a network of close to 100 banks and payment providers, regulatory experience in emerging markets and relationships with global marketplaces. Competitors are not named with tickers in the sources received, but categories such as cross-border payment providers and partners that insource services are described 1.

  • Cross-border payment providers

    Companies offering international payments to businesses, referred to generically in the company's risk factors.

  • Marketplaces that insource payments

    Marketplaces that could take seller payouts in-house, a risk the company explicitly identifies.

  • Traditional banks and financial institutions

    Institutions that serve small businesses but typically have limited experience in emerging markets.

  • General-purpose payment fintechs

    Fintech companies serving similar customers without the emerging-market compliance experience the company describes.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Jun 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 08 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Payoneer Global Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Payoneer Global Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Payoneer Global Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.