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olivLaw · US equity research

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. ANF

Retail-Family Clothing Stores · SIC 5651 · Vertical: Retail-Family Clothing Stores (SIC 5651)

171.09USD+8.62% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is a global, digitally-led omnichannel apparel retailer selling its Abercrombie and Hollister brands through company-owned stores and digital channels. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026 it reported record net sales of $1.3 billion, while tariff costs and their refunds continue to shape its margins.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) stock was 171.09 USD (+8.62% on the day), with market capitalisation 7.3 bn USD, P/E 14.7 on diluted EPS of 11.68 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.24, 52-week range 65.61–171.09 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 1.3 bn USD (+4.8% YoY), net income of 183.7 m USD (+29.9% YoY), diluted EPS 4.17 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
7.3 bn USD
shares as of 28 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.7
Diluted EPS TTM 11.68 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.82%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.24
Volatility (1y) 67%
52-week range
65.61171.09

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
66.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
141.39 – 173.69
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.92 · band width 20.5%
SMA 50 / 200
147.20 / 105.60
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
6.72 / 6.72
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+21.0%−1.1%+22.1 pp—
3 months+56.3%−0.5%+56.8 pp—
6 months+115.5%+4.4%+111.1 pp—
Year to date+35.9%+12.3%+23.6 pp—
1 year+149.5%+13.5%+135.9 pp−12.3%
3 years+161.2%+76.4%+84.8 pp+24.2%
5 years+270.1%+63.7%+206.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−45.7%
08 Jan 2026 → 15 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−69.9%
18 Nov 2021 → 31 Aug 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+29.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
1.3 bn USD
+4.8% YoY
Net income
183.7 m USD
+29.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.17
+43.3% YoY
net / operating
14.5% / 19.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue1.2 bn1.6 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.7 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn
Cost of revenue422.0 m610.9 m417.1 m451.6 m483.7 m676.5 m413.8 m366.1 m
Gross profit786.9 m———————
Operating income179.3 m256.1 m101.5 m206.7 m155.0 m235.9 m88.8 m252.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation39.6 m37.2 m38.6 m37.4 m38.6 m40.5 m42.3 m43.3 m
Pre-tax income188.0 m265.0 m108.3 m209.1 m161.0 m242.4 m94.1 m260.3 m
Income tax54.2 m75.3 m26.6 m65.7 m45.9 m67.6 m26.0 m74.8 m
Net income132.0 m187.2 m80.4 m141.4 m113.0 m172.1 m67.1 m183.7 m
Diluted EPS2.503.57 ≈1.592.912.363.68 ≈1.474.17
Operating cash flow142.6 m ≈307.6 m-4.0 m116.9 m ≈200.1 m ≈306.1 m44.3 m269.1 m ≈
Capex50.4 m ≈50.9 m50.8 m66.2 m ≈68.3 m ≈55.6 m61.3 m68.0 m ≈
Share repurchases99.8 m ≈100.0 m200.0 m51.2 m ≈100.0 m ≈100.0 m105.0 m181.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 47 percentile of its own 32-quarter history (min 7.0, median 15.6, max 342.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue3.6 bn3.6 bn3.1 bn3.7 bn3.7 bn4.3 bn4.9 bn5.3 bn
Revenue YoY+2.8%+0.9%−13.7%+18.8%−0.4%+15.8%+15.6%+6.4%
Net income74.5 m39.4 m-114.0 m263.0 m2.8 m328.1 m566.2 m506.9 m
Net income YoY+950.8%−47.2%−389.7%unavailable−98.9%+11,552.1%+72.6%−10.5%
Diluted EPS1.080.60-1.824.200.056.2210.6910.46
Diluted EPS YoY+980.0%−44.4%−403.3%unavailable−98.8%+12,340.0%+71.9%−2.2%
net %2.1%1.1%-3.6%7.1%0.1%7.7%11.4%9.6%
Free cash flow200.5 m97.9 m303.0 m180.8 m-166.9 m495.6 m527.5 m378.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
759.5 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
3.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.49x
ROE
36.6%
ROA
14.8%
FCF margin
7.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
4.3 bn
2025
4.9 bn
2026
5.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.2 bn ≈
2026
3.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026derived

Operating income
2024
484.7 m
2025
740.8 m
2026
699.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
141.1 m
2025
153.8 m
2026
155.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
625.8 m ≈
2025
894.6 m ≈
2026
854.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
30.4 m
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2024
484.3 m
2025
768.7 m
2026
720.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
148.9 m
2025
194.7 m
2026
205.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
328.1 m
2025
566.2 m
2026
506.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
6.22
2025
10.69
2026
10.46

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
52.7 m
2025
53.0 m
2026
48.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Mar 2022verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
900.9 m
2025
772.7 m
2026
759.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2024
469.5 m
2025
575.0 m
2026
601.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
538.0 m
2025
575.8 m
2026
674.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.3 bn
2026
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
297.0 m
2025
364.5 m
2026
377.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
222.1 m
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2025verified

Current liabilities
2024
966.8 m
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.4 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
653.4 m
2025
710.4 m
2026
619.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
157.8 m
2025
182.9 m
2026
240.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
495.6 m ≈
2025
527.5 m ≈
2026
378.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-157.2 m
2025
-297.7 m
2026
-150.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-111.2 m
2025
-534.9 m
2026
-495.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2023verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
229.8 m
2026
451.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
-5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
464.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
493.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-28.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
63.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
13.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
40.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
29.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
819.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
253.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
566.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
105.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
91.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
111 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
7.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
13.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
12.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

171.09 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 7.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
7.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
40.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Sept 2026
verified 2557derived 218

Score by group

58% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
105.27
USD per share
Mid
128.87
USD per share
High
239.85
USD per share
Price: 171.09 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -24.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -32.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 105.27 – 239.85 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E105.27 – 239.85 (Mid 128.87)
    7 companies used · median multiple 11.0x · quartiles 9.0x – 20.5x
    AEO, BKE, GAP, LE, ROST, TJX, URBN
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Family Clothing Stores (SIC 5651)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality10.0%67 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Quality105.7%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth12.5%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth493.6%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x51 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation14.7x29 (vs peers)18%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation7.8%98 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.7%96 (on a fixed band)11%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial51/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality83/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial96/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation59/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.3 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 6.4%; net margin 10.0%; ROE 40.5%.

The estimated value range is 105.27–239.85 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 128.87 USD, the price of 171.09 USD leaves a potential of -24.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -32.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 105.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 12.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 493.6%
  • FCF yield: 7.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.7%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 14.7x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Family Clothing Stores (SIC 5651) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
14.7x
vertical median 11.0x
above median (+32.8%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 6.9x
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+118.4%)
P/B
5.4x
vertical median 2.4x
above median (+120.3%)
ROE
40.5%
vertical median 38.2%
above median (+6.0%)
Net margin
10.0%
vertical median 8.8%
above median (+14.2%)
EBIT margin
13.7%
vertical median 9.4%
above median (+46.1%)
Revenue YoY
6.4%
vertical median 4.1%
above median (+56.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.4x
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 2.9%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc.159.2 bn26.862.2%9.7%+7.1%−5% / +64%
ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.78.5 bn29.742.6%10.8%+7.7%+39% / +88%
GAPGap, Inc8.3 bn7.133.8%8.1%+1.9%−12% / +18%
URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.7.9 bn14.320.9%8.8%+11.1%+24% / +157%
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co.7.3 bn14.740.5%10.0%+6.4%+149% / +161%
AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.3.6 bn10.920.4%5.9%+4.1%+5% / +12%
BKEBuckle, Inc2.5 bn11.045.8%16.6%+6.6%−15% / +24%
LELands’ End, Inc.301.1 m0.997.9%30.5%+0.7%−35% / +44%
DXLGDestination Xl Group, Inc.27.1 m—-30.6%-8.8%−6.9%−50% / −87%
PLCEThe Children’s Place, Inc.5.4 m——-11.8%−12.8%−97% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ANF from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
118.22
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
208.25
Total return 22% · Per year 22%
312.66
Total return 83% · Per year 83%
3 years
133.94
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
263.61
Total return 54% · Per year 15%
431.74
Total return 152% · Per year 36%
5 years
151.77
Total return -11% · Per year -2%
333.69
Total return 95% · Per year 14%
596.17
Total return 248% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 65.90
  • Net margin± 46.13
  • Annual revenue growth± 35.17
  • Annual dilution± 3.88

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is a global, digitally-led omnichannel apparel retailer selling its Abercrombie and Hollister brands through company-owned stores and digital channels. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026 it reported record net sales of $1.3 billion 3, while tariff costs and their refunds continue to shape its margins.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a broad customer base, recognized brands and a developed omnichannel strategy, with a large share of sales made digitally 1. Its balance sheet supports investment in stores, technology and marketing alongside share repurchases 3.
  • Sales growth has continued over several consecutive quarters, and the Abercrombie brand posted record second-quarter sales 3. These results show the company's ability to meet customer demand.
  • Distribution and inventory systems are being modernized, which could improve operating efficiency and responsiveness to customer demand 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on suppliers concentrated in a few countries makes the company vulnerable to tariff changes and logistics disruption 1.
  • Many stores sit in shopping centers whose traffic is declining in some areas, which could reduce the productivity of leased space 1.
  • Margins have been hit by tariff costs, and recovery in the EMEA segment has been slower than in other regions 13.

Opportunities

  • The company plans to expand through franchise, wholesale and licensing partnerships and into new product categories, which could add growth 3.
  • Artificial intelligence and personalization tools could improve customer experience and marketing efficiency 1.
  • If tariffs ease or refunds are fully realized, margins could move above recent levels 3.

Threats

  • Changes in trade policy and new tariffs could raise sourcing costs and affect growth plans 2.
  • Competition from fast fashion and social commerce could reduce sales and pricing power 1.
  • Geopolitical conflict and shipping disruption could raise logistics costs and delay deliveries 2.

Risks

  • Tariff and trade policy dependencehigh

    Tariffs can be imposed, modified or removed without warning, and the outcome of the refund litigation remains uncertain, making margins hard to forecast 12.

  • Supplier concentrationhigh

    Most merchandise comes from a few Asian suppliers, and a disruption in those countries could affect product availability 1.

  • Changing customer preferencesmedium

    The company depends on anticipating fashion trends, and stock that falls out of fashion can lead to markdowns and lower margins 1.

  • Mall trafficmedium

    Store sales depend on traffic in shopping centers, which has declined in some areas 1.

  • Currency fluctuationsmedium

    The company buys substantially all inventory in U.S. dollars, so a stronger dollar could reduce sales and margins in international operations 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Sales growth across several consecutive quarters, including a record quarter, suggests the brands remain attractive to customers 3.
  • If tariff refunds are confirmed and tariff pressure eases, operating margins could exceed current estimates 3.
  • Heavy share repurchases and a solid balance sheet provide flexibility for investment and capital returns to shareholders 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Quarterly results were boosted by non-recurring tariff refunds, and without them the operating margin would have been considerably lower 3.
  • Comparable sales were flat in the second quarter, suggesting growth comes largely from opening new stores 3.
  • Tariff policy remains unpredictable, and new tariffs could again compress margins if refunds do not materialize in full 2.

What to watch

  • Third-quarter results against the sales and EPS outlookQ3 2026
  • Outcome of the IEEPA tariff refund litigation2026
  • Comparable sales trend and recovery in the EMEA segmentQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. was incorporated in Delaware in 1996 and offers apparel, personal care products and accessories for men, women and kids, sold mainly through its company-owned stores and digital channels, as well as through third-party arrangements 1. The company operates the Abercrombie and Hollister brands, both focused on quality and comfort. Digital channels dominate sales for Abercrombie, while stores remain the main sales channel for the Hollister customer 1.

Segments

EMEA

The EMEA segment covers Europe, the Middle East and Africa. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026 its sales grew 2%, though comparable sales declined, pointing to a recovery that is still fragile 3. The company has noted improving trends in the region 3.

Market context

Store sales depend on traffic in shopping centers, which has declined in some areas 1. Online competition, social media and social commerce add pressure, and promotions can reduce average unit retail 1.

Trends

  • Tariffs and IEEPA refundsmixed

    In fiscal 2025 tariffs cost the company about $90 million net 1. After the February 2026 Supreme Court decision striking down IEEPA tariffs, the company is receiving refunds, but the outcome of its litigation remains uncertain 1. If effective tariffs stay high, operating margins could remain under pressure.

  • Digital and omnichannel growthtailwind

    Digital channels dominate Abercrombie sales, and over 89% of digital traffic came from mobile devices in fiscal 2025 1. Investment in apps, personalization and AI could support long-term sales 1.

  • Discretionary spending and inflationheadwind

    Inflationary pressure, economic uncertainty and weaker consumer confidence could reduce apparel spending, and the company has said such conditions could lead to excess inventory and markdowns 1.

  • Logistics costs and geopolitical conflictheadwind

    Conflicts in the Middle East have raised freight rates and transit times, and energy costs could rise if the situation worsens 2. If these pressures persist, margins could be harder to sustain.

  • Share repurchases and financial disciplinetailwind

    The company repurchased 7% of shares outstanding at the start of the year and raised planned repurchases to at least $500 million for fiscal 2026 3. This policy could support per-share results if sales growth holds.

Competitive position

The company describes its competition as specialty apparel retailers, department stores, discount stores, fast fashion, off-price, social commerce and digitally-native brands 1. Consumers also divide discretionary spending with technology, restaurants, travel and media 1. The company differentiates through product quality, brand messaging and omnichannel experience 1.

Competitive pressure could lead to more promotions and lower average selling prices, which would weigh on profitability 1. New commerce platforms and AI-enabled shopping models could also reshape the competitive landscape 1.

  • Specialty apparel retailers

    Specialty chains competing directly for the same casual apparel customers 1.

  • Department stores

    Local, regional and global department stores selling family apparel 1.

  • Fast fashion and off-price retailers

    Retailers with low prices and fast assortment turnover that have shifted customer price expectations 1.

  • Digitally-native brands

    Online-born brands competing through digital channels and social commerce 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Abercrombie & Fitch Co. · 26 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / Abercrombie & Fitch Co. · 04 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Abercrombie & Fitch Co. · 26 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.