olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. AQN

Electric Services · SIC 4911 · Vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

5.64USD+2.17% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. is a utility company that now operates as a pure-play regulated utility after selling its renewable energy business (excluding hydro). The subject matters because the company closed fiscal 2025 with this simplified structure, and the performance of its regulated and hydro groups largely determines its results.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) stock was 5.64 USD (+2.17% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.4 bn USD, P/E 25.6 on diluted EPS of 0.22 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.61%, beta 0.41, 52-week range 5.00–6.98 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2020
P/E (TTM)
25.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.22 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
3.90%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
4.61%
DPS 12m 0.26
Beta (2y)
0.41
Volatility (1y) 26%
52-week range
5.006.98

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
66.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.98 – 5.65
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.98 · band width 12.6%
SMA 50 / 200
5.33 / 5.95
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.08 / 0.04
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+11.2%−1.1%+12.3 pp—
3 months−2.6%−0.5%−2.1 pp—
6 months−10.9%+4.4%−15.3 pp—
Year to date−8.3%+12.3%−20.6 pp—
1 year+2.2%+13.5%−11.4 pp−1.1%
3 years−1.9%+76.4%−78.3 pp+41.9%
5 years−60.5%+63.7%−124.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−28.4%
27 Feb 2026 → 25 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−73.3%
06 Apr 2022 → 15 Jan 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−17.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 6-quarter history (min 12.0, median 27.2, max 210.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.6 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn2.3 bn2.8 bn2.4 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn
Revenue YoY+8.3%−1.3%+3.1%+35.6%+21.6%−13.1%−3.5%+4.9%
Net income185.0 m530.9 m782.5 m264.9 m-212.0 m28.7 m-1.4 bn180.8 m
Net income YoY+23.8%+187.0%+47.4%−66.2%−180.0%unavailable−4,914.5%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.381.041.370.41-0.330.03-1.900.22
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+173.7%+31.7%−70.1%−180.5%unavailable−6,433.3%unavailable
net %11.2%32.6%46.7%11.6%-7.7%1.2%-59.5%7.4%
Free cash flow64.0 m29.9 m-280.8 m-1.2 bn-469.9 m-398.1 m-390.7 m-178.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
32.7 m USD
Financial debt
7.4 bn USD
Net debt
7.4 bn USD
Equity
5.0 bn USD
Total assets
14.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.46x
Current ratio
1.00x
ROE
3.2%
ROA
1.2%
FCF margin
-7.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2021verified

Gross profit
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2022derived

Operating income
2023
467.3 m
2024
446.1 m
2025
504.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
354.1 m
2024
395.7 m
2025
400.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
821.4 m ≈
2024
841.8 m ≈
2025
905.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
308.4 m
2024
363.6 m
2025
282.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-62.1 m
2024
177.2 m
2025
211.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-37.1 m
2024
186.8 m
2025
65.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
28.7 m
2024
-1.4 bn
2025
180.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.03
2024
-1.90
2025
0.22

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
690.8 m
2024
734.0 m
2025
772.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.43
2024
0.35
2025
0.26

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
25.1 m
2024
34.8 m
2025
32.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2021verified

Current assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
9.1 bn
2024
9.5 bn
2025
9.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
72.5 m
2024
69.1 m
2025
69.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
18.4 bn
2024
17.0 bn
2025
14.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
180.4 m
2024
164.2 m
2025
145.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
766.9 m
2024
118.3 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
6.9 bn
2024
6.2 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2022verified

Equity
2023
6.6 bn
2024
6.2 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2021verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
628.0 m
2024
481.7 m
2025
593.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.0 bn
2024
872.4 m
2025
771.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-398.1 m ≈
2024
-390.7 m ≈
2025
-178.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
132.8 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
442.8 m
2024
-556.4 m
2025
-1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
322.5 m
2024
285.1 m
2025
201.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
-25.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
-30.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
37.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
20.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
-7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
118.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
7.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
8.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
1.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
593.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
771.9 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-178.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
-98.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
65.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
10.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
18.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
25.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
21.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
4.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 32 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

5.64 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
25.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2020
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Mar 2026
verified 311derived 1

Score by group

  • Valuation38
  • Returns55
  • Quality31
  • Balance sheet15
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
3.42
USD per share
Mid
4.74
USD per share
High
5.25
USD per share
Price: 5.64 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -15.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -18.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.86 – 8.52 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
  • Dividend discount (DDM)3.42 – 4.59 (Mid 3.92)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA1.86 – 8.52 (Mid 5.57)
    23 companies used · median multiple 11.8x · quartiles 9.3x – 13.7x
    AEP, BKH, CEG, CNP, CWEN, D, EIX, ELLO, ENLT, ES, ETR, HE, IDA, NEE, NRG, OTTR, PNW, POR, SO, SPRU, TVC, TXNM, VST
  • Peers: P/E4.37 – 5.25 (Mid 4.74)
    17 companies used · median multiple 21.6x · quartiles 19.9x – 23.9x
    AEP, BKH, CEG, CNP, D, ES, ETR, FE, IDA, NEE, NRG, OTTR, PNW, POR, PPL, SO, VST
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 32/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.8%26 (vs peers)7%
Net margin · Quality7.4%37 (vs peers)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.2%0 (on a fixed band)7%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet8.1x14 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.8x8 (on a fixed band)12%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x38 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation25.6x29 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation11.8x50 (vs peers)12%
Dividend yield · Returns4.6%78 (vs peers)16%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns118.2%0 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet15/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality31/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns55/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation38/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 4.9%; net margin 7.4%; ROE 3.9%; net debt/EBITDA 8.1x.

The estimated value range is 3.42–5.25 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 4.74 USD, the price of 5.64 USD leaves a potential of -15.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -18.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 32/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Dividend yield: 4.6%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 2.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 8.1x
  • Interest coverage: 1.8x
  • P/E (TTM): 25.6x
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 118.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y.

Versus the vertical median

Electric Services (SIC 4911) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
25.6x
vertical median 21.7x
above median (+18.2%)
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
vertical median 12.1x
at median
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 2.9x
below median (−51.8%)
P/B
0.7x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−65.5%)
ROE
3.9%
vertical median 9.1%
below median (−57.6%)
Net margin
7.4%
vertical median 11.1%
below median (−33.0%)
EBIT margin
20.7%
vertical median 21.5%
at median
Revenue YoY
4.9%
vertical median 8.3%
below median (−41.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
8.1x
vertical median 4.8x
above median (+70.8%)
Dividend yield
4.6%
vertical median 3.2%
above median (+45.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEENextera Energy Inc184.4 bn22.515.6%31.5%+9.8%+3% / +51%
SOSouthern Co105.0 bn23.911.3%14.5%+10.6%+2% / +31%
PAMPampa Energy Inc.88.2 bn141.021.8%33.0%+8.3%−28% / +38%
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation87.1 bn24.015.3%11.1%+8.3%−33% / +103%
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.70.3 bn19.012.8%16.9%+10.9%+4% / +62%
DDominion Energy, Inc61.3 bn20.610.5%16.9%+14.2%+11% / +54%
ETREntergy Corp51.2 bn28.411.1%13.6%+9.0%+15% / +121%
VSTVistra Operations Company LLC40.4 bn19.943.1%11.6%+3.0%−33% / +240%
FEFirstenergy Corp27.3 bn25.78.4%6.9%+12.0%−1% / +28%
PPLPPL Corp26.9 bn21.88.3%13.1%+6.9%−3% / +37%
CNPCenterpoint Energy Inc26.8 bn25.29.6%11.4%+8.3%+3% / +45%
ESEversource Energy26.5 bn18.29.1%10.4%+13.8%+5% / +19%
EIXEdison International23.7 bn6.520.8%19.6%+9.8%+4% / −8%
NRGNRG Energy, Inc17.5 bn21.623.8%2.6%+9.2%−51% / +74%
TLNTalen Energy Corporation14.2 bn—-16.7%-6.4%+22.0%−17% / +470%
PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation12.8 bn19.89.1%11.7%+4.2%+16% / +41%
ENLTEnlight Renewable Energy Ltd.8.9 bn67.79.2%27.0%+29.3%+69% / +293%
IDAIDACORP, Inc.8.7 bn23.29.9%20.5%−1.2%+12% / +53%
BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners L.P.8.5 bn—-1.9%-1.1%+9.0%+8% / +25%
CWENClearway Energy, Inc.7.3 bn72.61.8%6.4%+4.2%−2% / +43%
TXNMTXNM Energy, Inc.6.5 bn41.15.5%7.5%+9.9%+0% / +41%
BKHBlack Hills Corporation6.4 bn21.37.9%13.0%+8.6%+14% / +63%
PORPortland General Electric Company5.5 bn19.76.6%7.7%+4.0%−9% / +12%
OKLOOklo Inc.4.1 bn—-7.7%—unavailable−76% / +114%
OTTROtter Tail Corporation3.5 bn20.09.4%13.6%−2.3%+2% / +10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AQN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.19
Total return -22% · Per year -22%
7.44
Total return 37% · Per year 37%
11.25
Total return 106% · Per year 106%
3 years
3.39
Total return -29% · Per year -11%
6.83
Total return 36% · Per year 11%
11.44
Total return 122% · Per year 30%
5 years
2.74
Total return -36% · Per year -8%
6.27
Total return 35% · Per year 6%
11.63
Total return 138% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.71
  • Net margin± 1.20
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.07
  • Annual dilution± 0.10

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (28 Aug 2026), 6-K (07 Aug 2026), 6-K (31 Jul 2026), 6-K (29 Jun 2026).

In brief

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. is a utility company that now operates as a pure-play regulated utility after selling its renewable energy business (excluding hydro). The subject matters because the company closed fiscal 2025 with this simplified structure, and the performance of its regulated and hydro groups largely determines its results 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company operates as a pure-play regulated utility after selling its renewable energy business, which simplifies its risk profile 1.
  • The independent auditor issued an attestation report on internal control over financial reporting, a sign of discipline in reporting 1.
  • Results are reported separately by business group, which allows a transparent analysis of each component 1.

Weaknesses

  • Non-GAAP measures are not standardized, and comparability with other companies may be limited 1.
  • Dropping certain adjusted indicators after the sale of the renewable business complicates tracking long-term trends 1.
  • The document gives no details on market share or the company's competitive position 1.

Opportunities

  • A focus on regulated utilities could provide a more predictable basis for investment planning, if the regulatory environment remains favourable 1.
  • The Hydro Group, retained in the portfolio, could become an important element to analyse in the company's future strategy 1.
  • A simpler structure could make reporting clearer for investors, if the indicators remain consistent over time 1.

Threats

  • The document warns that actual results could differ materially from those anticipated because of external factors 1.
  • Changes in regulation or the economic environment could affect the activity of the regulated and hydro groups 1.
  • Dependence on a limited number of business groups could amplify the impact of a deterioration in any one of them 1.

Risks

  • Regulatory riskhigh

    The company's activity is regulated, and decisions by authorities could influence revenue and the profitability of the regulated group 1.

  • Post-sale execution riskmedium

    Operating a simplified structure after the sale of the renewable energy business could have unforeseen effects on results 1.

  • Forward-looking statementsmedium

    The company warns that forward-looking information rests on assumptions that could prove wrong, and actual results could differ 1.

  • Comparability of indicatorslow

    The lack of standardization of non-GAAP measures could make it harder to compare performance with other companies in the sector 1.

  • Internal controllow

    Any weakness in internal control could affect the quality of reporting, although the auditor did not flag such issues in the document reviewed 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the pure-play regulated structure proves stable, the company could show more predictable results than before the sale 1.
  • Keeping the hydro group could provide an additional source of revenue separate from the regulated activity 1.
  • Audited reporting and the attestation on internal control could strengthen confidence in the figures presented 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Dropping adjusted indicators and the lack of standardization could make it difficult to assess real trends 1.
  • Dependence on regulatory decisions could limit the company's flexibility in the face of unexpected changes 1.
  • The document gives no details on competitors or market share, which makes a complete comparative assessment difficult 1.

What to watch

  • Results of the Regulated Services Group and their development after the sale of the renewable energy businessQ1 2027
  • Results of the Hydro Group and its contribution to company profit2027
  • Any changes to the non-GAAP measures reportednext 10-K
  • The auditor's opinion on internal control over financial reporting2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (28 Aug 2026), 6-K (07 Aug 2026), 6-K (31 Jul 2026), 6-K (29 Jun 2026).

The business

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp., trading as AQN, is a Canadian utility company headquartered in Oakville, Ontario 1. According to the Form 40-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, the company explicitly describes itself as a pure-play regulated utility as of the first quarter of 2025 1. Its activity is organized into business groups, and results are reported separately for the Regulated Services Group, the Hydro Group and the Corporate Group 1.

The reporting structure relies on net earnings of each group and on several non-GAAP measures, including 'Adjusted Net Earnings' and 'Net Utility Sales' 1. The company states that these measures are not standardized and that calculation methods may differ from those of other companies 1. Reference documents include the Annual Information Form (AIF), audited financial statements and the Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), all filed as exhibits to the Form 40-F 1.

The independent auditor is Ernst & Young LLP, which also issued an attestation report on the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2025 1. The audit and finance committee has two designated financial experts, which forms part of the governance framework the company describes in the document 1.

Segments

Regulated Services Group

The Regulated Services Group is the core activity of the company after the sale of the renewable energy business (excluding hydro) and is reported separately, with its own net earnings for 2025 1. The document explicitly refers to a dedicated section on fourth-quarter and annual 2025 results for this group, indicating its central role in the revenue profile 1.

Hydro Group

The Hydro Group is reported as a distinct segment, with its own net earnings section in the MD&A for 2025 1. The fact that this group was retained when the renewable energy business was sold makes it a separate component to analyse when assessing the company 1.

Market context

The source documents contain no data on the size of the utility market in Canada or the United States, nor on the company's market share. The Form 40-F refers to the company as a pure-play regulated utility but does not quantify the market in which it operates 1. Market analysis would require additional sources, which this profile does not use.

Trends

  • Simplification of the portfolio towards regulated utilitiestailwind

    The company sold its renewable energy business (excluding hydro) and concentrated on regulated utilities, which could reduce the volatility of results if the structure remains stable 1. The filing notes that metrics such as Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Funds from Operations are no longer presented, as they were mainly relevant to the former renewable group 1.

  • Changes in reported indicatorsheadwind

    Dropping certain non-GAAP measures after the sale makes comparisons with earlier periods harder for an analyst, since definitions and perimeter have changed 1.

  • Forward-looking statements and uncertaintyheadwind

    The document warns that actual results could differ materially from those anticipated, and the company gives no assurance that its forward-looking information will prove accurate 1.

  • Governance and internal controlmixed

    The auditor issued an attestation report on internal control over financial reporting, indicating a control framework subject to external monitoring 1.

Competitive position

The source documents do not identify the company's direct competitors and do not compare its market position with other operators. The Form 40-F only states that the Regulated Services Group and the Hydro Group are distinct activities, with no detail on competition 1. Conclusions about competition cannot be drawn from these sources.

  • No competitors identified in sources

    The source document does not name competing companies, so no names or tickers are proposed.

  • No competitors identified in sources

    The lack of information in the sources makes a comparison with other utility operators impossible.

  • No competitors identified in sources

    Completing this section would require additional sources, which are not part of this file.

  • No competitors identified in sources

    The profile is limited to the information in the Form 40-F, which does not address competition.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 04 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 40-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. · 06 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.