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olivLaw · US equity research

Conduent Incorporated CNDT

Services-Business Services, NEC · SIC 7389 · Vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

1.65USD+10.74% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Conduent delivers digital business process solutions to commercial and government clients and transportation agencies, with a focus on automation and artificial intelligence. The company is in a 2026 transformation program, with asset sales and fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of 2,150 - 2,250 million USD, which makes its profile relevant for readers following modernization of public services and outsourcing.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) stock was 1.65 USD (+10.74% on the day), with market capitalisation 256.6 m USD, beta 1.18, 52-week range 1.16–2.31 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 531.0 m USD (−11.9% YoY), net income of -116.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.76 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
256.6 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.50 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-91.17%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.18
Volatility (1y) 76%
52-week range
1.162.31

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
54.4
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.36 – 1.73
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.78 · band width 24.2%
SMA 50 / 200
1.62 / 1.54
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.00 / -0.01
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.6%−1.1%+1.7 pp—
3 months−4.1%−0.5%−3.6 pp—
6 months−5.7%+4.4%−10.1 pp—
Year to date−14.1%+12.3%−26.4 pp—
1 year−27.6%+13.5%−41.2 pp−3.2%
3 years−39.1%+76.4%−115.5 pp+1.1%
5 years−73.4%+63.7%−137.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−49.8%
05 Nov 2025 → 18 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−81.3%
05 Jan 2022 → 18 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−23.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
531.0 m USD
−11.9% YoY
Net income
-116.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.76
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-21.8% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue807.0 m800.0 m751.0 m603.0 m767.0 m770.0 m723.0 m531.0 m
Cost of revenue656.0 m662.0 m618.0 m489.0 m631.0 m624.0 m587.0 m435.0 m
Research & development1.0 m2.0 m1.0 m1.0 m1.0 m1.0 m1.0 m0
SG&A115.0 m109.0 m120.0 m90.0 m96.0 m96.0 m91.0 m80.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation44.0 m47.0 m48.0 m41.0 m48.0 m50.0 m47.0 m37.0 m
Interest expense16.0 m13.0 m12.0 m12.0 m12.0 m12.0 m12.0 m13.0 m
Pre-tax income159.0 m-82.0 m-56.0 m-43.0 m-38.0 m-28.0 m-27.0 m-57.0 m
Income tax36.0 m-70.0 m-5.0 m-1.0 m8.0 m5.0 m6.0 m12.0 m
Net income123.0 m-12.0 m-51.0 m-40.0 m-46.0 m-33.0 m-33.0 m-116.0 m
Diluted EPS0.72-0.07 ≈-0.33-0.26-0.30-0.21 ≈-0.23-0.76
Operating cash flow-13.0 m ≈41.0 m-58.0 m-15.0 m ≈-39.0 m ≈39.0 m-8.0 m7.0 m ≈
Capex8.0 m ≈-11.0 m14.0 m15.0 m ≈15.0 m ≈15.0 m9.0 m9.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.4 bn4.5 bn4.2 bn4.1 bn3.9 bn3.7 bn3.4 bn3.0 bn
Revenue YoY−10.4%−17.2%−6.8%−0.6%−6.8%−3.5%−9.8%−9.4%
Net income-416.0 m-1.9 bn-118.0 m-28.0 m-182.0 m-296.0 m426.0 m-170.0 m
Net income YoY−329.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−139.9%
Diluted EPS-2.06-9.29-0.61-0.18-0.89-1.412.23-1.14
Diluted EPS YoY−348.2%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−151.1%
net %-7.7%-43.3%-2.8%-0.7%-4.7%-8.0%12.7%-5.6%
Free cash flow104.0 m-16.0 m85.0 m163.0 m52.0 m38.0 m-78.0 m-132.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
233.0 m USD
Financial debt
22.0 m USD
Net debt
-211.0 m USD
Equity
685.0 m USD
Total assets
2.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.03x
Current ratio
1.65x
ROE
-22.3%
ROA
-6.8%
FCF margin
-4.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.7 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
834.0 m ≈
2024
626.0 m ≈
2025
552.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
7.0 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
458.0 m
2024
455.0 m
2025
412.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
264.0 m
2024
204.0 m
2025
194.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
111.0 m
2024
75.0 m
2025
48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-332.0 m
2024
504.0 m
2025
-160.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-36.0 m
2024
78.0 m
2025
10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-296.0 m
2024
426.0 m
2025
-170.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.41
2024
2.23
2025
-1.14

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
216.8 m
2024
191.1 m
2025
158.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
498.0 m
2024
366.0 m
2025
233.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
559.0 m
2024
493.0 m
2025
341.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
197.0 m
2024
167.0 m
2025
167.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
651.0 m
2024
609.0 m
2025
617.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
32.0 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
12.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.2 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
174.0 m
2024
157.0 m
2025
108.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
34.0 m
2024
24.0 m
2025
22.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
868.0 m
2024
744.0 m
2025
728.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.4 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
633.0 m
2024
843.0 m
2025
685.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
89.0 m
2024
-50.0 m
2025
-73.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
51.0 m
2024
28.0 m
2025
59.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
38.0 m ≈
2024
-78.0 m ≈
2025
-132.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-93.0 m
2024
795.0 m
2025
-28.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-81.0 m
2024
-877.0 m
2025
-39.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-139.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-151.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
18.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
-8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-35.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-207.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-1.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
48.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-49.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
52 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
18 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
256.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
49.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-91.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.65 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 256.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
256.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-35.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 1590derived 133

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-8.2%18 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-7.6%0 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x63 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-19.1%0 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial63/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial18/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CONDUENT INC (CNDT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -9.4%; net margin -8.2%; ROE -35.0%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -8.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -7.6%
  • FCF yield: -19.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 28.6x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.2x
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−96.3%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 2.6x
below median (−81.1%)
ROE
-35.0%
vertical median 12.4%
below median (−381.8%)
Net margin
-8.2%
vertical median 8.0%
below median (−202.7%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 8.3%
Revenue YoY
-9.4%
vertical median 9.1%
below median (−202.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.8x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.142.7 bn41.312.4%6.1%+18.3%−20% / +24%
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.88.2 bn47.327.5%5.3%+39.1%−16% / +7%
EBAYeBay Inc.54.9 bn27.246.6%16.9%+7.9%+51% / +205%
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.50.0 bn11.523.8%13.8%+4.3%−4% / +4%
MSCIMsci Inc.48.2 bn35.7—40.3%+9.7%+20% / +29%
FISVFiserv, Inc.33.0 bn—-17.0%-18.9%+3.6%+1% / −52%
CPAYCorpay, Inc27.5 bn25.430.5%22.7%+13.9%+42% / +74%
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.25.4 bn—-4.1%-9.1%−0.4%+27% / −17%
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.21.4 bn20.940.2%13.9%+8.5%−17% / −2%
RBARB Global, Inc17.6 bn39.98.8%10.0%+7.2%−3% / +49%
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.15.3 bn4.423.0%26.8%+5.4%−55% / −49%
FICOFair Isaac Corp15.1 bn20.3—34.1%+15.9%−61% / −36%
AKAMAkamai Technologies, Inc12.3 bn30.98.9%9.5%+5.4%−4% / −26%
ETSYEtsy, Inc8.3 bn11.4—32.8%+2.7%+77% / +27%
RELYRemitly Global, Inc.5.8 bn16.435.9%19.1%+29.4%+100% / +26%
SEZLSezzle Inc.4.6 bn30.088.9%30.4%+66.1%+121% / +8,110%
TICTIC Solutions, Inc.2.3 bn—-7.1%-5.6%unavailable+10% / unavailable
ACVACopart Inc1.8 bn—-15.1%-7.9%+19.2%+16% / −21%
LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc1.5 bn45.815.0%6.8%+31.2%+56% / +144%
QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.1.1 bn13.828.6%6.3%+18.3%+38% / +54%
CTEVClaritev Corporation367.3 m——-28.5%+3.7%−60% / −58%
FVRRFiverr International Ltd.314.4 m15.65.4%4.9%+10.1%−58% / −67%
POWWOutdoor Holding Company278.4 m70.82.8%12.1%+3.5%+30% / +18%
CNDTConduent Inc256.6 m—-35.0%-8.2%−9.4%−28% / −39%
ZHZhihu Inc.159.4 m—-5.0%-7.1%−20.3%−27% / −38%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CNDT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Conduent delivers digital business process solutions to commercial and government clients and transportation agencies, with a focus on automation and artificial intelligence. The company is in a 2026 transformation program, with asset sales and fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of 2,150 - 2,250 million USD, which makes its profile relevant for readers following modernization of public services and outsourcing 123.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has relationships with major clients in healthcare, banking and the automotive industry, and an end-to-end portfolio of solutions 1.
    • Independent analysts recognize several solutions, including benefits administration and experience-led HR transformation 1.
    • The company runs government payment and Medicaid platforms with long experience and multi-year contracts 3.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue declined in fiscal 2025 and in the second quarter of 2026, and the net loss widened 12.
    • The Government segment had weaker profitability in the second quarter of 2026, which pulled Adj. EBITDA down 3.
    • High restructuring costs and significant debt limit financial flexibility 2.

    Opportunities

    • Sales of the Transit and Tolling units could reduce debt and strengthen the balance sheet if the deals close 3.
    • A pipeline of new contracts and healthcare expansions could support growth if it converts into revenue 23.
    • Modernizing Medicaid and EBT systems could generate new contracts in states seeking modern platforms 3.

    Threats

    • Government shutdowns or budget cuts could lead to cancelled public-sector projects 1.
    • The January 2025 cyber event brought litigation and reputational risks, with possible costs above insurance coverage 1.
    • Larger competitors or lower-cost rivals could pressure prices and market share 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on government contractshigh

      Government contracts can be terminated or reduced for lack of funding, and audits can lead to penalties 1.

    • January 2025 cyber eventmedium

      The company was affected by unauthorized access to client data, with notification costs and possible litigation 12.

    • Execution of the transformationhigh

      The restructuring program and asset sales must be executed without disrupting clients, otherwise savings could be delayed 2.

    • International exposurelow

      Part of revenue comes from outside the United States, creating currency and regulatory risks 1.

    • Dependence on third-party providersmedium

      The company relies on a limited number of software vendors and subcontractors, and their problems can affect services 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the pipeline of new contracts converts into revenue and the restructuring delivers the promised savings, profitability could recover 23.
    • Asset sales could reduce debt and let the company focus on its core segments 3.
    • A position in Medicaid and government payments gives an advantage in multi-year contracts that are hard to replace 13.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue has fallen steadily, and guidance for 2026 could stay under expectations if the transformation is delayed 13.
    • The Government segment is sensitive to budgets and audits, which can lead to contract reductions 13.
    • Net losses and restructuring costs could continue if savings do not arrive quickly 2.

    What to watch

    • Closing of the Transit and Tolling sales and use of proceeds to reduce debtsecond half of 2026
    • Progress of the restructuring program and savings of at least 100 million USDQ3 2026
    • Delivery against fiscal 2026 revenue and Adj. EBITDA outlook2026
    • Development of the new contract pipeline and new business signings ACVnext quarterly report

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Conduent provides digital business process services to commercial and government clients, using cloud computing, AI, machine learning and automation 1. The company had about 51,000 associates on December 31, 2025, and about 46,000 by mid 2026 12. Its activity is organized in segments aligned to client industries, with a profile dominated by North America but delivery centers in Asia Pacific, Latin America and Europe 1.

    Revenue in fiscal 2025 fell to 3,042 million USD, mainly because of divestitures and lost business 1. In 2026 the company is focusing on growth, efficiency and quality, and Adj. EBITDA from continuing operations in the second quarter was 16 million USD 3.

    The company has agreed to exit the transportation business by selling its Transit and Tolling units, which would be reported as discontinued operations if the deals close in the second half of 2026 2. If the transactions complete, the remaining profile would be built mainly on the Commercial and Government segments.

    Segments

    Government

    The Government segment had revenue of 922 million USD in fiscal 2025, or 30.3% of total 1. It covers administration of public health programs including Medicaid, benefit card payments and child support payment services 1.

    Market context

    The company estimates its addressable market in the global business process services industry at 219 billion USD in 2025, according to third-party industry reports 1. Outsourcing demand is supported by competitive pressure and AI adoption, but there is a risk that organizations perform these processes in-house or that the model moves to as-a-service offerings 1.

    Government clients are funded through appropriated budgets, which makes revenue sensitive to funding gaps, shutdowns and audits 1. In the commercial market, price pressure rises with competition, while demand for automation and AI could open new contracts 1.

    Trends

    • Interest in outsourcingmixed

      Competitive pressure and globalization push organizations to outsource processes, which could support demand for Conduent services 1. If organizations choose to perform these processes themselves, demand could fall 1.

    • Government budgetsheadwind

      Funding interruptions, spending cuts and government shutdowns can lead to projects being reduced or cancelled 1. This could especially affect the Government segment 1.

    • Transformation and cost reductiontailwind

      The 2026 restructuring program targets annual savings of at least 100 million USD and better margins 2. If the savings materialize, profitability could recover 3.

    Competitive position

    Conduent faces larger competitors with greater financial and marketing resources and operations in lower-cost countries 1. In niche regional or metropolitan markets, smaller competitors with specialized capabilities also operate 1.

    Most contracts are awarded through competitive bidding, which carries high preparation costs and the risk of protests against awards 1. The company is ranked among leaders by some analysts in certain segments, but does not hold a dominant position across the market 1.

    • Large competitors with lower-cost country operations

      The sources mention competitors with larger operations in lower-cost countries, without naming them.

    • Regional niche providers

      Smaller competitors in regional or metropolitan markets with specialized capabilities and economic efficiency.

    • Software and AI platform vendors

      Technology firms may compete through automation and AI solutions, though the sources do not name them.

    • Other BPO outsourcing providers

      The company appears in business process outsourcing rankings alongside other industry players, without detail in the sources.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report23 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report16 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report15 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report30 Sept 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report10 Sept 2026
      Other events
    • Current report28 Aug 2026
      Termination of a material agreement · Departure or appointment of officers
    • Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
    • Current report10 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report02 Jul 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Conduent Incorporated · 19 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Conduent Incorporated · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Conduent Incorporated · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.