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olivLaw · US equity research

Century Casinos, Inc. CNTY

Hotels & Motels · SIC 7011 · Vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

0.60USD+5.14% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Century Casinos is a casino operator with activities in North America and Poland, also running hotels, restaurants and racetracks. The company is currently in a strategic review of its assets and capital structure, and revenue has stayed broadly stable in recent years while the Nugget in Reno grew visibly in 2026. Sources:.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Century Casinos, Inc. (CNTY) stock was 0.60 USD (+5.14% on the day), with market capitalisation 16.9 m USD, beta 0.96, 52-week range 0.52–1.99 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 152.0 m USD (+0.8% YoY), net income of -10.9 m USD, diluted EPS -0.39 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
16.9 m USD
shares as of 04 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.93 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-322.50%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.96
Volatility (1y) 56%
52-week range
0.521.99

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
23.3
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.53 – 0.94
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.17 · band width 56.2%
SMA 50 / 200
0.98 / 1.30
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.12 / -0.11
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−41.8%−1.1%−40.7 pp—
3 months−49.6%−0.5%−49.2 pp—
6 months−57.5%+4.4%−61.9 pp—
Year to date−54.9%+12.3%−67.3 pp—
1 year−67.8%+13.5%−81.3 pp+9.5%
3 years−87.4%+76.4%−163.8 pp+9.3%
5 years−96.2%+63.7%−159.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−73.9%
05 Nov 2025 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−96.7%
15 Nov 2021 → 30 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−48.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
152.0 m USD
+0.8% YoY
Net income
-10.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.39
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-7.2% / 11.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue155.7 m137.8 m130.4 m150.8 m153.7 m138.0 m137.2 m152.0 m
Operating income17.9 m-62.6 m7.1 m16.6 m17.1 m10.4 m11.8 m17.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation12.5 m12.7 m12.4 m12.8 m12.8 m12.9 m13.0 m13.0 m
Interest expense25.9 m25.9 m26.0 m26.2 m26.4 m26.1 m25.9 m25.9 m
Pre-tax income-7.1 m-87.8 m-18.4 m-8.3 m-9.0 m-15.5 m-13.9 m-8.7 m
Income tax-334.0 k1.3 m481.0 k1.3 m423.0 k593.0 k909.0 k625.0 k
Net income-8.1 m-90.3 m-20.6 m-12.3 m-10.5 m-17.9 m-16.5 m-10.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.26-2.94 ≈-0.67-0.40-0.35-0.61 ≈-0.58-0.39
Operating cash flow7.4 m ≈-2.3 m-4.6 m11.3 m ≈144.0 k ≈-114.0 k-1.3 m8.6 m ≈
Capex10.2 m ≈14.7 m6.7 m5.8 m ≈4.9 m ≈4.6 m2.7 m3.1 m ≈
Share repurchases————1.5 m ≈1.5 m411.0 k477.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue168.9 m218.2 m304.3 m388.5 m430.5 m550.2 m575.9 m573.0 m
Revenue YoY+9.7%+29.2%+39.4%+27.7%+10.8%+27.8%+4.7%−0.5%
Net income3.4 m-19.2 m-48.0 m20.6 m8.0 m-28.2 m-153.6 m-61.4 m
Net income YoY−45.8%−664.4%unavailableunavailable−61.3%−453.5%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.11-0.65-1.620.660.25-0.93-5.02-2.04
Diluted EPS YoY−54.2%−690.9%unavailableunavailable−62.1%−472.0%unavailableunavailable
net %2.0%-8.8%-15.8%5.3%1.9%-5.1%-26.7%-10.7%
Free cash flow-34.4 m-5.3 m-1.7 m49.2 m18.2 m-35.6 m-62.5 m-15.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
68.9 m USD
Financial debt
328.9 m USD
Net debt
260.0 m USD
Equity
-6.8 m USD
Total assets
1.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.30x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-5.2%
FCF margin
-2.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
550.2 m
2024
575.9 m
2025
573.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
64.0 m
2024
-22.2 m
2025
51.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
41.0 m
2024
49.6 m
2025
50.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
105.1 m ≈
2024
27.4 m ≈
2025
102.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
93.9 m
2024
103.4 m
2025
104.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-23.8 m
2024
-119.9 m
2025
-51.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-5.3 m
2024
26.6 m
2025
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-28.2 m
2024
-153.6 m
2025
-61.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.93
2024
-5.02
2025
-2.04

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
30.3 m
2024
30.6 m
2025
30.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
171.3 m
2024
98.8 m
2025
68.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
4.7 m
2024
3.7 m
2025
3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
207.0 m
2024
135.5 m
2025
104.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
913.6 m
2024
922.1 m
2025
902.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
80.6 m
2024
9.8 m
2025
10.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
93.2 m
2024
84.9 m
2025
77.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
15.3 m
2024
21.0 m
2025
16.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
8.5 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
7.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
324.2 m
2024
321.9 m
2025
321.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
93.6 m
2024
86.0 m
2025
79.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
214.4 m
2024
56.6 m
2025
-6.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
24.1 m
2024
-3.3 m
2025
6.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
59.6 m
2024
59.2 m
2025
22.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-35.6 m ≈
2024
-62.5 m ≈
2025
-15.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-207.0 m
2024
-60.9 m
2025
-22.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
149.9 m
2024
-4.4 m
2025
-15.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
18.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
-4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
268.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
7.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
15.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-7.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
16.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
285.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-322.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
5.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-47.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
23.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.60 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 16.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
16.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
-9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2452derived 160

Score by group

  • Valuation56
  • Balance sheet36
  • Quality12
  • Growth83
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
46.66
USD per share
Mid
75.04
USD per share
High
158.33
USD per share
Price: 0.60 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 12,420.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 99.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 20.23 – 262.96 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)73.09 – 262.96 (Mid 116.25)
    WACC 5.2% · starting FCFF 79.8 m USD · terminal value share of EV 88%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA20.23 – 53.70 (Mid 33.82)
    14 companies used · median multiple 11.3x · quartiles 7.7x – 16.4x
    BYD, CHH, CZR, FLL, HLT, IHG, LVS, MGM, MLCO, PK, TNL, WH, WYNN, XHR
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-9.6%12 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth10.0%83 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.5x58 (vs peers)17%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x33 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation2.6x100 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation-47.1%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns23.2%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet36/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial83/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial12/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation56/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CENTURY CASINOS, INC. (CNTY). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 573.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -0.5%; net margin -9.6%; net debt/EBITDA 2.5x.

The estimated value range is 46.66–158.33 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 75.04 USD, the price of 0.60 USD leaves a potential of 12,420.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 99.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, quality, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 10.0%
  • EV/EBITDA: 2.6x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 23.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -9.6%
  • Interest coverage: 0.5x
  • FCF yield: -47.1%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 26 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 30.2x
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
vertical median 13.6x
below median (−80.6%)
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−98.4%)
P/B
—
vertical median 2.2x
ROE
—
vertical median 11.2%
Net margin
-9.6%
vertical median 5.8%
below median (−266.3%)
EBIT margin
9.7%
vertical median 15.7%
below median (−38.1%)
Revenue YoY
-0.5%
vertical median 4.2%
below median (−112.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.5x
vertical median 3.4x
below median (−26.8%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
HTHTH World Group Ltd154.3 bn218.441.5%20.1%+10.5%+9% / +37%
MARMarriott International Inc109.4 bn42.4—9.7%+4.3%+39% / +110%
HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.83.8 bn50.8—13.4%+7.7%+32% / +125%
IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC29.0 bn36.2—14.6%+5.4%+31% / +124%
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.25.5 bn16.7262.8%11.8%+15.2%−40% / −12%
ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings Limited14.5 bn63.750.5%16.6%+41.0%−9% / +97%
WYNNWynn Resorts, Limited8.5 bn19.7—6.1%+0.1%−36% / −2%
MGMMGM Resorts International8.3 bn12.726.8%3.9%+1.7%−7% / −17%
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.6.0 bn—-15.1%-4.5%+2.1%+26% / −34%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.9 bn29.838.2%14.0%+1.5%+10% / +4%
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment Limited5.7 bn30.6—3.6%+11.3%−48% / −33%
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp5.5 bn11.719.6%12.3%+4.1%−7% / +32%
CHHChoice Hotels International Inc5.4 bn26.7146.5%12.7%+0.8%+32% / +9%
TNLTravel & Leisure Co.4.7 bn20.7—5.7%+4.1%+13% / +118%
PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.3.4 bn—-5.0%-6.4%−2.2%+57% / +14%
SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.2.4 bn54.72.8%5.3%+6.0%+39% / +32%
PENNPenn Entertainment, Inc.2.3 bn—-37.4%-12.7%+5.8%+18% / −29%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.0 bn628.90.3%0.3%+3.8%+57% / +79%
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.2.0 bn17.920.4%20.4%+4.4%+17% / +80%
BALYBally’s Corporation680.3 m———+0.1%−23% / unavailable
FLLFull House Resorts Inc29.1 m—-936.4%-12.1%+3.5%−70% / −84%
CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.16.9 m——-9.6%−0.5%−68% / −87%
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.—29.160.8%5.8%+3.7%−17% / +9%
HHyatt Hotels Corporation—98.65.6%2.6%+6.8%+16% / +66%
MSCStudio City International Holdings Limited——-10.5%-8.5%+8.7%−75% / −83%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CNTY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Century Casinos is a casino operator with activities in North America and Poland, also running hotels, restaurants and racetracks. The company is currently in a strategic review of its assets and capital structure, and revenue has stayed broadly stable in recent years while the Nugget in Reno grew visibly in 2026. Sources: 13.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A diversified portfolio of casinos across several countries and market types, with betting and iGaming partnerships extending the offer.
    • Hotel and entertainment presence at many locations, which can support multi-day visits.
    • The rapid recovery of one of its largest US assets indicates operational capacity that could be leveraged.

    Weaknesses

    • High indebtedness and significant Master Lease rent obligations limit financial flexibility.
    • Weak performance in Poland and net losses attributable to shareholders point to operational vulnerabilities.
    • The leverage ratio exceeds contractual thresholds, which restricts access to the revolving credit line.

    Opportunities

    • Expanding sports betting and iGaming in Missouri and Alberta could create additional revenue.
    • The outcome of the strategic review could unlock value through portfolio optimization or partnerships.
    • A recovery in Poland, which management has signaled, could improve results over the coming quarters.

    Threats

    • Competition from new casinos in Pennsylvania and Edmonton could reduce visits at some locations.
    • An economic slowdown or lower discretionary spending could affect revenue across all segments.
    • Regulatory changes or competition from online gaming could reduce market share and margins.

    Risks

    • Indebtedness and rent obligationshigh

      Debt is largely at variable rates and Master Lease rent obligations rise annually, which could limit the ability to fund investments and meet covenants.

    • Strategic reviewmedium

      No timetable has been set for the review, and the uncertainty could affect retention of staff and relationships with customers and partners.

    • Poland performancemedium

      Lower revenue and negative results in Poland could continue if table hold remains unfavorable.

    • Competition from new casinosmedium

      New locations near the company's assets in Maryland and Alberta could reduce its market share.

    • Capital expenditurelow

      Investments needed to keep properties competitive may be hard to finance under capital constraints.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • The Nugget in Reno nearly doubled its Adjusted EBITDAR, and if the trend holds it could support growth in consolidated results.
    • The strategic review could lead to a transaction that unlocks value for shareholders.
    • Expansion of sports betting and iGaming across more states could create a more diversified revenue stream.

    What would break the thesis

    • High indebtedness and rent obligations could limit financial flexibility if revenue does not grow enough.
    • Weak performance in Poland and persistent net losses could keep weighing on consolidated results.
    • Uncertainty around the strategic review could discourage staff and customers until the process concludes.

    What to watch

    • Quarterly results and the pace of recovery in PolandQ3 2026
    • Outcome of the strategic review and any announced transaction2026
    • Adjusted EBITDAR trend at the Nugget and US West resultsQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Most of its North American real estate is leased from VICI PropCo under a triple net Master Lease, making rent obligations a central part of the financial structure 1. In August 2025 the board launched a comprehensive strategic review that includes mergers, partnerships or a sale of the company, with no timetable set and no decisions made as of the reports 12.

    Market context

    The casino market in North America and Poland depends on discretionary spending, local traffic and tourists in peak seasons, and demand can be affected by inflation, taxes and general economic conditions 1. Expanding legal gaming, such as online sports betting in Missouri and the planned iGaming framework in Alberta, opens new revenue but also adds competition 1.

    In Poland the number of casino licenses available is large, and state-run slot arcades and online gaming compete directly with licensed operators 1. As of 2026 the company opened a second casino in Wroclaw and closed the Hilton Hotel casino in Warsaw in June 2025 2.

    Trends

    • Legalization of sports bettingmixed

      Sports betting legalized in Missouri from December 2025 and the iGaming framework in Alberta could bring new revenue through partnerships, but also attract additional competitors 12.

    • Economic pressure on consumer spendingheadwind

      Inflation, tariffs and economic uncertainty could reduce casino visits and discretionary spending, which could weigh on revenue and profitability 12.

    • Recovery of the Nugget in Renotailwind

      The rapid growth of Adjusted EBITDAR at the Nugget in 2026 points to an operational recovery after the decline that led to goodwill impairment in 2024 13.

    • Competition from new venuesheadwind

      New casinos opening near the company's assets in Maryland and Alberta could reduce its market share in those regions 1.

    Competitive position

    The company differentiates through player club programs, racetracks and hotel presence, but in many markets it lacks the scale or name recognition of larger rivals 1. Large North American operators keep competitive pressure highest 1.

    • BetMGM

      Partner for the Cape Girardeau sportsbook and the Missouri online platform, and also a competitor in sports betting 12.

    • Pennsylvania casino operators

      A new casino, Happy Valley, could increase competition for Rocky Gap in Maryland 1.

    • Reno-Sparks casinos

      More than twenty casinos compete in the Reno market, where the Nugget competes for conventions and group bookings 1.

    • Warsaw and other Polish city casinos

      Local competition in Poland is intense, and street slot arcades and state online gaming add to the pressure 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    • Current report23 Oct 2026
      Delisting notice
    • Current report29 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report07 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report07 Aug 2026
    • Current report23 Jun 2026
      Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report28 May 2026
      Item 4.01 · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report13 May 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report08 May 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report08 May 2026
    • Current report07 May 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Century Casinos, Inc. · 18 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Century Casinos, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Century Casinos, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.