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olivLaw · US equity research

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. COCO

Beverages · SIC 2080 · Vertical: Beverages (SIC 2080)

65.47USD+9.68% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Vita Coco Company is a U.S. coconut water brand that has extended its portfolio into plant-based beverages, Private Label and, since July 2026, vertically integrated production through the Copra acquisition. In the third quarter of 2026 the company reported net sales of 244 million USD, up 34 percent, and raised its fiscal 2026 guidance.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) stock was 65.47 USD (+9.68% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.7 bn USD, P/E 32.9 on diluted EPS of 1.99 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.70, 52-week range 41.70–84.02 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 243.8 m USD (+33.7% YoY), net income of 35.0 m USD (+45.9% YoY), diluted EPS 0.58 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.7 bn USD
shares as of 20 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
32.9
Diluted EPS TTM 1.99 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.04%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.70
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
41.7084.02

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
65.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
53.39 – 63.57
above the upper band · %B 1.19 · band width 17.4%
SMA 50 / 200
57.30 / 61.86
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.68 / 0.10
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+18.3%−1.1%+19.4 pp—
3 months+1.0%−0.5%+1.4 pp—
6 months−4.6%+4.4%−9.0 pp—
Year to date+23.5%+12.3%+11.2 pp—
1 year+64.2%+13.5%+50.6 pp+1.2%
3 years+126.3%+76.4%+49.9 pp−35.0%
5 years+380.3%+63.7%+316.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−39.7%
18 Jun 2026 → 07 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−57.0%
15 Nov 2021 → 14 Mar 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+36.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
243.8 m USD
+33.7% YoY
Net income
35.0 m USD
+45.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.58
+45.0% YoY
net / operating
14.4% / 18.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue127.3 m130.9 m168.8 m182.3 m127.8 m179.8 m216.2 m243.8 m
Cost of revenue86.0 m82.8 m107.5 m113.6 m83.2 m108.0 m110.8 m151.1 m
Gross profit41.3 m48.1 m61.3 m68.7 m44.6 m71.8 m105.3 m92.7 m
SG&A37.0 m28.8 m36.1 m40.7 m34.4 m38.2 m42.2 m47.2 m
Operating income4.3 m19.3 m25.1 m27.9 m10.2 m33.6 m63.1 m45.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation205.0 k202.0 k206.0 k ≈228.0 k ≈436.0 k476.0 k489.0 k ≈1.5 m ≈
Interest expense0———————
Pre-tax income1.7 m24.4 m28.2 m30.7 m9.8 m37.4 m64.4 m43.6 m
Income tax-1.7 m5.5 m5.3 m6.7 m4.2 m7.0 m14.9 m8.6 m
Net income3.4 m18.9 m22.9 m24.0 m5.5 m30.5 m49.5 m35.0 m
Diluted EPS0.06 ≈0.310.380.400.09 ≈0.500.820.58
Operating cash flow6.9 m-9.8 m21.8 m ≈39.1 m ≈-3.9 m15.6 m80.9 m ≈55.4 m ≈
Capex125.0 k559.0 k949.0 k ≈3.4 m ≈3.2 m461.0 k151.0 k ≈191.0 k ≈
Share repurchases01.5 m8.6 m151.0 k1.1 m11.5 m8.5 m42.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 40 percentile of its own 20-quarter history (min 24.3, median 35.7, max 98.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue283.9 m310.6 m379.5 m427.8 m493.6 m516.0 m609.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+9.4%+22.2%+12.7%+15.4%+4.5%+18.2%
Net income9.4 m32.7 m19.0 m7.8 m46.6 m56.0 m71.3 m
Net income YoYunavailable+246.8%−41.8%−58.9%+496.7%+20.0%+27.5%
Diluted EPS0.160.560.350.140.790.941.19
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+250.0%−37.5%−60.0%+464.3%+19.0%+26.6%
net %3.3%10.5%5.0%1.8%9.4%10.8%11.7%
Free cash flow20.8 m32.9 m-16.7 m-11.9 m106.6 m41.9 m39.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
196.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
331.5 m USD
Total assets
461.3 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
3.62x
ROE
24.2%
ROA
17.3%
FCF margin
6.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
493.6 m
2024
516.0 m
2025
609.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
312.9 m
2024
317.2 m
2025
387.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
180.7 m
2024
198.8 m
2025
222.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
418.0 k
2024
398.0 k
2025
399.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
124.2 m
2024
125.0 m
2025
140.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
56.5 m
2024
73.8 m
2025
82.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
660.0 k
2024
745.0 k
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
57.2 m ≈
2024
74.6 m ≈
2025
83.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
31.0 k
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
57.9 m
2024
70.8 m
2025
93.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
11.3 m
2024
14.8 m
2025
21.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
46.6 m
2024
56.0 m
2025
71.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.79
2024
0.94
2025
1.19

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
58.7 m
2024
59.3 m
2025
60.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
132.5 m
2024
164.7 m
2025
196.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
50.1 m
2024
63.5 m
2025
81.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
50.8 m
2024
83.6 m
2025
111.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
262.9 m
2024
341.3 m
2025
421.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.1 m
2024
2.4 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
7.8 m
2024
7.8 m
2025
7.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Oct 2026verified

Total assets
2023
285.7 m
2024
362.4 m
2025
461.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Oct 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
21.8 m
2024
30.8 m
2025
25.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
82.6 m
2024
103.3 m
2025
116.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
83.2 m
2024
103.6 m
2025
129.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Oct 2026verified

Equity
2023
202.4 m
2024
258.8 m †
2025
331.5 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
107.2 m
2024
42.9 m
2025
47.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
599.0 k
2024
974.0 k
2025
8.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
106.6 m ≈
2024
41.9 m ≈
2025
39.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-594.0 k
2024
-974.0 k
2025
-8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
6.3 m
2024
-8.3 m
2025
-7.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
773.0 k
2024
12.0 m
2025
11.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
18.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
11.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
27.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
109.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
16.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
26.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
104.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
16.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-6.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
41.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
20.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
32.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
20.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
29.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
148.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
4.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
144.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
119.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
95.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
55 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
79 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
106 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
31.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
32.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
8.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
25.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

65.47 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
32.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
8.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
32.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 22 Oct 2026
verified 964derived 89

Score by group

58% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
38.01
USD per share
Mid
48.34
USD per share
High
65.52
USD per share
Price: 65.47 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -26.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -35.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 38.01 – 65.52 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E38.01 – 65.52 (Mid 48.34)
    6 companies used · median multiple 24.3x · quartiles 19.1x – 32.9x
    BF-A, BUDA, KDP, KO, PEP, YHC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Beverages (SIC 2080)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality15.7%71 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Quality119.5%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth12.5%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth104.1%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation32.9x50 (vs peers)18%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.9%48 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.7%24 (on a fixed band)11%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality85/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial24/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation49/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 609.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 18.2%; net margin 15.7%; ROE 32.0%.

The estimated value range is 38.01–65.52 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 48.34 USD, the price of 65.47 USD leaves a potential of -26.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -35.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 15.7%
  • FCF conversion: 119.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 12.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 104.1%
  • Current ratio: 2.5x

What contradicts it

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Beverages (SIC 2080) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
32.9x
vertical median 31.3x
at median
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 23.8x
P/S
4.9x
vertical median 2.0x
above median (+143.0%)
P/B
8.7x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+282.5%)
ROE
32.0%
vertical median 11.2%
above median (+186.8%)
Net margin
15.7%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+955.1%)
EBIT margin
19.9%
vertical median 7.2%
above median (+177.3%)
Revenue YoY
18.2%
vertical median 0.3%
above median (+6,842.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.4x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
KOCoca Cola Co412.1 bn28.242.6%28.7%+1.9%+31% / +64%
DEODIAGEO plc237.6 bn92.424.0%9.1%+0.3%+7% / −30%
PEPPepsico Inc194.1 bn18.750.1%10.8%+2.3%−4% / −15%
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.50.1 bn37.25.7%7.1%+8.2%+32% / +17%
BF-ABrown Forman Corp14.9 bn20.318.1%18.4%−1.2%+10% / −48%
PRMBPrimo Brands Corp7.6 bn79.43.2%1.5%+29.3%+34% / +46%
COCOThe Vita Coco Company, Inc.3.7 bn32.932.0%15.7%+18.2%+64% / +126%
WESTWestrock Coffee Company1.0 bn——-4.9%+39.8%+138% / +13%
BUDABuda Juice, Inc.83.2 m34.519.3%17.1%+11.8%unavailable / unavailable
SRXHSRX Global Inc.18.0 m—-70.8%-254.8%−81.3%−96% / −100%
WVVIWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc.8.3 m—-3.3%-5.9%−6.5%−37% / −68%
YHCLQR House Inc.2.9 m0.2-88.2%-1,589.2%−37.4%−98% / −100%
IPSTIp Strategy Holdings, Inc.2.3 m—-2,713.2%-2,064.0%+20.4%−98% / unavailable
EDVAEndovia Health Sciences, Inc.1.2 m——-53,856.5%−90.9%−96% / −100%
BRCCBRC Inc.903.4 k—-14.2%-1.5%+1.7%−23% / −77%
IBGInnovation Beverage Group Limited593.4 k——-223.4%−5.1%−94% / unavailable
ABEVAmbev S.A.——16.6%17.6%−1.4%+9% / +1%
STZConstellation Brands, Inc.——23.9%20.9%−10.5%+7% / −40%

1- and 3-year price returns: for COCO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
44.34
Total return -32% · Per year -32%
78.11
Total return 19% · Per year 19%
117.26
Total return 79% · Per year 79%
3 years
50.27
Total return -23% · Per year -8%
98.93
Total return 51% · Per year 15%
162.01
Total return 147% · Per year 35%
5 years
56.99
Total return -13% · Per year -3%
125.30
Total return 91% · Per year 14%
223.84
Total return 242% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 24.73
  • Net margin± 17.31
  • Annual revenue growth± 13.19
  • Annual dilution± 1.45

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

The Vita Coco Company is a U.S. coconut water brand that has extended its portfolio into plant-based beverages, Private Label and, since July 2026, vertically integrated production through the Copra acquisition. In the third quarter of 2026 the company reported net sales of 244 million USD, up 34 percent, and raised its fiscal 2026 guidance.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The Vita Coco brand holds a leading position in U.S. and U.K. coconut water, giving it a recognition advantage 1.
  • Organic sales growth stayed strong in 2026, suggesting underlying demand is healthy 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on coconut water is very high, and this category accounts for nearly all revenue 1.
  • The company relies on a small number of large customers and Private Label contracts that can be lost or reallocated quickly 1.
  • Gross margin is sensitive to transport costs and product mix, and Copra diluted margin in the third quarter 3.

Opportunities

  • Europe and Asia offer growth potential for coconut water, and Copra opens access to the super-premium segment 3.
  • The functional beverage market is far larger than the current category, which could support portfolio diversification 1.
  • Integrating Thai production could reduce reliance on third parties and improve quality control 2.

Threats

  • U.S. tariff policy remains uncertain, and new measures could raise import costs 2.
  • Competition from large beverage companies and retailer Private Label brands could pressure prices 1.
  • Geopolitical instability and ocean freight volatility could raise costs and delay deliveries 3.

Risks

  • Concentration on coconut waterhigh

    Nearly all revenue comes from one category, so a fall in demand would have a large effect on results 1.

  • Loss of large customershigh

    Private Label contracts are rebid regularly and changes can come abruptly, which could reduce sales 1.

  • Transport costs and tariffsmedium

    Rising ocean freight and new tariffs could compress gross margin, especially if prices cannot be passed on 2.

  • Copra integrationmedium

    The acquisition adds integration and amortization costs, and synergies could take longer than expected 3.

  • Supply chainmedium

    Coconut harvests are exposed to weather and natural disasters, which could reduce raw material availability 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If organic growth remains strong and guidance is met, the company could show that profitability can grow on a durable basis 3.
  • Its leading position in the U.S. and U.K. gives a brand advantage, and expansion in Europe and Asia could add volume 13.
  • The Copra acquisition could create a super-premium segment and better vertical integration, which could improve cost control 2.

What would break the thesis

  • If demand for coconut water slows, results could be hit hard given how concentrated revenue is 1.
  • Tariff refund gains are one-off, and without them gross margin could be lower than the level reported in 2026 2.
  • Competition from large brands and retailer Private Label could limit the ability to raise prices 1.

What to watch

  • Organic sales growth trend after CopraQ4 2026
  • Effect of Copra integration on SG&A and amortization2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company pioneered packaged coconut water in 2004 and operates as a functional beverage brand, led by Vita Coco, with coconut oil, juice, coconut milk, PWR LIFT and, from 2026, Copra products 12. A significant part of the business is supplying coconut water under Private Label to leading retailers. The supply model is largely asset-light, with about 16 partner factories across six countries 1. The company is a Delaware public benefit corporation that completed its IPO in October 2021 1.

The company runs two segments: Americas, covering the U.S. and Canada, and International, covering Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific 1. Its strategy focuses on expanding the coconut water category, growing distribution of new products and developing international markets, including the Coco Ventures joint venture in China 1.

Segments

Private Label

The Private Label segment supplies coconut water and coconut oil to retailers and has been the fastest-growing area recently. Sales rose 152 percent in the third quarter of 2026, partly reflecting the Copra contribution 2. Contracts are rebid regularly, which can make revenue harder to forecast 1.

Other

The Other category includes the Copra brand, PWR LIFT and bulk product sales to beverage and food companies 2. The 2026 reassessment of the protein drink approach suggests PWR LIFT has not yet made a significant contribution 1.

Market context

The global coconut water and plant water market is among the faster-growing beverage categories, and the company considers itself one of the largest brands in it 1. Consumption of natural beverages is rising, driven by interest in hydration and products with fewer sugars and additives 1. The company reported that demand in Europe and America remained solid, with more households buying the product 3.

The functional beverage market is significantly larger than the coconut water category, which leaves room for expansion 1. Price pressure is high, however, and the products are price-sensitive, limiting the ability to pass cost increases to customers 1.

Trends

  • Demand for coconut watertailwind

    The coconut water category has grown steadily, and growth in 2026 was supported by solid demand in all major markets 3. If this momentum holds, it could support continued growth in the core line.

  • Tariffs and transport costsmixed

    Tariffs in 2025 raised import costs, and the Supreme Court ruled certain IEEPA tariffs unlawful, enabling refunds 2. Newly announced measures could, however, compress margins again if applied.

  • Ocean freight costsheadwind

    Ocean freight costs have been volatile and have materially affected financial results in recent years, and because of price sensitivity the company may not be able to pass these increases to customers 1. This can weigh on gross margin.

  • Consolidation through acquisitionmixed

    The July 2026 Copra acquisition extends access to super-premium Nam Hom coconut water and production capacity in Thailand 2. Integration may bring benefits but also costs and margin dilution, as the company noted 3.

Competitive position

The company competes in the non-alcoholic beverage category with sports drinks, energy drinks, enhanced waters and other functional beverages, and its large competitors include The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo and Nestlé 1. In U.S. coconut water it competes with Goya, Harmless Harvest, Zico and C20, as well as emerging brands and retailer Private Label brands 1.

Competition is based on brand recognition, taste, quality, price, availability and sustainability factors 1. In Private Label the company competes with other suppliers for contracts that are rebid regularly, so its position can shift quickly 1.

  • The Coca-Cola CompanyKO

    Large beverage company named as a competitor in non-alcoholic beverages, with greater financial resources and brand recognition 1.

  • PepsiCo, Inc.PEP

    Large beverage and food company named as a competitor with greater financial resources 1.

  • Nestlé S.A.

    International food and beverage group named as a competitor in beverages 1.

  • Goya, Harmless Harvest, Zico, C20

    Coconut water brands competing in the U.S. market, without a confirmed U.S. listing in the source 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / The Vita Coco Company, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / The Vita Coco Company, Inc. · 22 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Vita Coco Company, Inc. · 22 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.